Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Jacksonville, FL

526 
WWUS52 KJAX 280006
SVSJAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
806 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

GAC001-280015-
/O.CON.KJAX.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-110528T0015Z/
APPLING GA-
806 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL APPLING COUNTY...

AT 806 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL APPLING COUNTY...OR 6 MILES SOUTH
OF BAXLEY...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3177 8228 3162 8231 3166 8243 3174 8242
TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 282DEG 9KT 3168 8232

$$

ZIBURA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...RETRANSMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
156 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

.SYNOPSIS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FIRING UP ACROSS THE REGION
ALONG TAIL END OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT IS PUSHING THROUGH THE
AREA. STORMS FORMING ALONG BOTH GULF AND ATLANTIC SEA BREEZES DUE TO
UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND WILL MOVE INLAND THIS AFTERNOON. RUC ANALYSIS
INDICATING A SECONDARY SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS SW GA AND THE
EASTERN FL PANHANDLE WHICH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVE AND HELP ENHANCE MORE STORMS.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-MON)...

TONIGHT...SECONDARY SHORT WAVE WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVE WHICH WILL HELP ENHANCE STORMS PRODUCED BY
THE SEA BREEZES AND COLLISION OF OTHER BOUNDARIES. ATMOSPHERE IS
PRIMED FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES NOTED IN
THE MID/UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. MAIN CONCERNS WITH THESE
STORMS WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. WE
FEEL THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE BETWEEN U.S. HIGHWAY 301 AND I-95 WHERE SEA-BREEZE
COLLISIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR. MOST OF THE STORMS INITIALLY WILL BE
BETWEEN U.S. 301 AND I-95 AND THEN PUSH BACK TOWARDS I-95 AND THE
COAST DURING THE EARLY EVE. THUS CARRIED PREVIOUS FORECAST WHICH HAS
THE HIGHEST POPS (40%) NEAR THE EAST COAST FOR THIS EVE.

SATURDAY...THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST BECOMING SEPARATED
FROM THE NORTHERN STREAM AS A MEAN LAYER RIDGE REBUILDS NORTH OF THE
AREA. LEANING TOWARDS THE NAM WHICH SHOWS FLOW WEAK ENOUGH FOR SEA
BREEZE COLLISION INLAND IN THE LATE AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BE THE
FOCUS FOR SCATTERED STORMS. WEAK IMPULSES ROTATING BETWEEN THE
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND THE TROUGH OFFSHORE MAY HELP ENHANCE SOME
OF THE STORMS INLAND ESP ALONG THE COLLISION. WARMING ALOFT WILL
HELP MINIMIZE SEVERE POTENTIAL AND OVERALL COVERAGE OF STORMS. THE
ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP BEACHES COOLER WHILE INLAND AREAS WILL SEE
TEMPS RETURN TO THE LOWER 90S.

SUNDAY/MONDAY...MEAN LAYER (1000-500 MB) RIDGE BUILDS NORTH OF THE
AREA WHICH WILL RESULT IN A DEEP EASTERLY FLOW AND ENHANCE THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE. THE UPPER LOW OFFSHORE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE SOUTH
AND WEAKEN. IMPULSES ROTATING AROUND THE LOW MAY HELP SET OFF A FEW
ISOLATED STORMS NEAR THE COAST IN THE MORNING AND INLAND DURING THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS COOLER ALONG THE COAST (MID 80S) AND HOTTER
INLAND (LOWER 90S).

.LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)...NO CHANGES. PREV DISCUSSION...WED TUTT LOW
RETROGRADES OVER THE FL PANHANDLE WITH SILENT 10% POPS EXPECTED
LOCALLY DUE TO UPPER SUBSIDENCE OVER THE AREA. THU AND FRI A WEAK
SFC FRONT SAGS SLOWLY SOUTHWARD FROM THE NORTH AND A SURGE OF
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED ACROSS S FL...THUS HAVE TRENDED TOWARD A LOW
CHANCE OF 20% POPS FOR THE LATER HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPS
WILL CONTINUE AROUND NEAR 90 INLAND TO MID 80S COAST DUE TO ELY
FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...NUMEROUS STORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON FROM
SHORT WAVE AND HAVE TEMPO IFR VSBY/MVFR CIGS AND WIND GUSTS
TO 30 KNOTS 18Z-23Z AT ALL TERMINALS. SOME TAFS MAY NEED
FURTHER REFINEMENTS DEPENDING ON EXACT PLACEMENT AND MOTION
OF STORMS. OTHERWISE HAVE VCTS TIL 01Z-02Z.

&&

.MARINE...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY ESTABLISH OVER THE LOCAL
MAINLAND THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS TO BACKTRACK TO THE COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AS
ADVERTISED...ONSHORE FLOW LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK WILL PUSH CONDS INTO SCEC HEADLINE LEVELS...AND POSSIBLY
ADVISORIES...BUT TOO EARLY TO ISSUE ANY HEADLINES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  65  92  65  92 /  40  20  10  10
SSI  73  86  73  85 /  40  20  10  20
JAX  68  88  68  87 /  40  20  10  20
SGJ  71  87  71  85 /  40  20  10  20
GNV  64  92  65  91 /  30  30  20  20
OCF  66  91  66  91 /  20  30  30  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

PP/ECZ/SP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
245 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-280744-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
245 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...ISOLATED STRONG STORMS WITH HAIL POSSIBLE TODAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS INLAND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING IN
ADVANCE OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT. STORMS WILL PROGRESS GRADUALLY
EASTWARD THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH NUMEROUS ACTIVITY LIKELY
ACROSS INLAND AREAS WHERE THE SEA BREEZES AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ARE
EXPECTED TO FOCUS. STORM MOTION WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT WITH A
GRADUAL DRIFT TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS. THE MAIN
CONVECTIVE CONCERNS TODAY WILL BE HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. GUSTY
WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN COLLAPSING CELLS. STORMS WILL FOCUS
NEAR THE ATLANTIC COAST THIS EVENING...THEN DECREASE IN COVERAGE BY
MIDNIGHT.

A WILDFIRE CONTINUES TO BURN ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 1 JUST NORTHWEST OF
RACE POND IN EXTREME NORTHERN CHARLTON COUNTY...OR ABOUT 16 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF WAYCROSS.  SMOKE WILL SPREAD NORTH THEN NORTHWEST
TODAY...GENERALLY IMPACTING AREAS ALONG AND BETWEEN U.S. HIGHWAYS 301
AND 1.  VISIBILITIES CLOSE TO AND JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE FIRE
WILL BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A MILE.  PEOPLE WHO HAVE RESPIRATORY
ALIMENTS THAT CAN BE TRIGGERED BY SMOKE SHOULD CONSIDER STAYING
INDOORS.  MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN CHANGES IN
VISIBILITY.  U.S. 1 REMAINS CLOSED NEAR THE FIRE.  STATE ROAD 121
BETWEEN RACE POND AND HOBOKEN MAY ALSO BE CLOSED AT TIMES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE
TO INCREASING SWELLS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

ENYEDI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
612 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

FLZ040-272300-
MARION-
612 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MARION COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
VALID UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 612 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LYNNE AND JUST EAST OF
BELLEVIEW...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AFFECT AREAS AROUND SUMMERFIELD...SILVER SPRINGS SHORES...
OCKLAWAHA...LYNNE...LAKE WEIR...WEIRSDALE...MOSS BLUFF AND JUNIPER
SPRINGS THROUGH 700 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN
DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45
TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2896 8205 2925 8202 2932 8168 2930 8165
      2905 8163 2904 8165 2896 8165 2896 8166
      2895 8180
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 273DEG 12KT 2916 8192

CARROLL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
628 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

GAZ136-272315-
WAYNE-
628 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CENTRAL WAYNE
COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID
UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

AT 629 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF DOCTORTOWN...OR 16
MILES NORTHWEST OF LUDOWICI...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND JESUP...GARDI AND DOCTORTOWN
THROUGH 715 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER...
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3183 8201 3179 8198 3180 8195 3177 8194
      3176 8191 3173 8191 3171 8187 3166 8183
      3167 8181 3158 8170 3150 8185 3180 8209
      3183 8207
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 301DEG 14KT 3182 8194

CARROLL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
700 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SATSUMA                 29.55N 81.66W
05/27/2011                   PUTNAM             FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED TREES DOWN IN SATSUMA. THE
            TIME GIVEN WAS BASED ON RADAR.

&&

PP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
706 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EAST PALATKA            29.65N 81.60W
05/27/2011                   PUTNAM             FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED TREES DOWN IN EAST PALATKA.
            THE TIME GIVEN WAS BASED ON RADAR.

&&

PP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
717 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

FLZ037-272345-
PUTNAM-
717 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WESTERN PUTNAM
COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 745 PM EDT...

AT 718 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PUTNAM HALL...OR 3
MILES EAST OF MELROSE...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND PUTNAM HALL...MANNVILLE...
INTERLACHEN AND FLORAHOME THROUGH 745 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE
QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2954 8188 2970 8205 2972 8205 2972 8203
      2975 8199 2975 8194 2977 8193 2977 8176
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 286DEG 7KT 2972 8199

ZIBURA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
731 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

GAZ134>136-280030-
APPLING-BACON-WAYNE-
731 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN
WAYNE...APPLING AND NORTHERN BACON COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND
SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 830 PM EDT...

AT 731 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 4 MILES WEST OF BAXLEY...MOVING EAST AT
10 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
BAXLEY...SURRENCY AND ODUM THROUGH 830 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE
QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3189 8218 3181 8204 3159 8174 3147 8181
      3164 8251 3193 8238
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 290DEG 10KT 3175 8241

ZIBURA