Gale Warning 1, NWS Jacksonville, FL

122 
WHUS72 KJAX 080751 AAA
MWWJAX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
251 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

AMZ470-472-474-081600-
/O.CON.KJAX.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KJAX.SC.Y.0002.110108T1000Z-110109T1200Z/
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
251 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY.
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS: WEST WINDS AROUND 25 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE
  FORCE WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING. WEST WINDS WILL VEER
  MORE NORTHERLY TONIGHT BUT CONTINUE AT 20 KNOTS OR GREATER
  BEFORE DECREASING BELOW 20 KNOTS DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

* SEAS: SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FEET WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 5 TO 7 FEET
  TONIGHT WITH A FURTHER DECREASE BELOW 7 FEET ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ450-452-454-081600-
/O.EXT.KJAX.SI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110109T0000Z/
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
251 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM
EST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: WESTERLY WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS
  WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. A DECREASING TREND IN THE WINDS IS
  EXPECTED THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

166 
WHUS72 KJAX 081028
MWWJAX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
528 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

AMZ470-472-474-082000-
/O.EXP.KJAX.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110108T1000Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110109T1200Z/
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
528 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY.

* WINDS: WEST WINDS AROUND 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE
  FORCE WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. WEST WINDS WILL VEER MORE
  NORTHERLY TONIGHT BUT CONTINUE AT 20 KNOTS OR GREATER BEFORE
  DECREASING BELOW 20 KNOTS DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

* SEAS: SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FEET WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 5 TO 7 FEET 
  TONIGHT WITH A FURTHER DECREASE BELOW 7 FEET ON SUNDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ450-452-454-082000-
/O.CON.KJAX.SI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-110109T0000Z/
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
528 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM
EST THIS EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: WESTERLY WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS 
  WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. A DECREASING TREND IN THE WINDS IS 
  EXPECTED THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
950 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

...COOL AND BREEZY TODAY AND SAT...
...RAIN LIKELY MON...

.PUBLIC UPDATE...SUNSHINE WILL BE ABUNDANT TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING INTO THE LOWER 60S MOST LOCALES. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST TO WEST
WINDS OF 20 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEARING 30 MPH. CURRENT ZFP
LOOKS GOOD...NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDS. SURFACE WINDS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15 KNOTS WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20-25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND LIKELY CONTINUING
INTO TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
CURRENT SMALL CRAFT FLAGS ONGOING OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS WITH SCA
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO RE-ESTABLISH ACROSS THE NEARSHORE WATERS
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL FURTHER PICK UP THIS EVENING FOLLOWING
A SECONDARY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING AND EXPECT FREQUENT
GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS...WITH A GALE WATCH
IN EFFECT. WILL DECIDE FATE OF GALE WATCH WITH AFTERNOON PACKAGE
ISSUANCE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A COUPLE OF CLOSE CALLS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY AND
TOMORROW AND HAVE OPTED TO BE SAFE AND ISSUED RED FLAG WARNING ACRS
NERN FL AND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT ACRS SERN GA. MIN RH VALUES WILL
BOTTOM OUT AROUND 35 PERCENT BOTH DAYS ALONG WITH GUSTY WLY WINDS AT
15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AT TIMES.

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-
     FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-
     SUWANNEE-UNION.

     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-
     BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-
     MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-
     CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-
     NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.

GA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-
     COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-COFFEE-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-
     INLAND GLYNN-JEFF DAVIS-PIERCE-WARE-WAYNE.

AM...GALE WATCH FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ALTAMAHA
     SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
     ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-ST AUGUSTINE
     TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM.

&&

.PREVIOUS PUBLIC...MEAN TROUGHING WILL DOMINATE THE EASTERN CONUS TODAY
AND SAT WITH COOLER AND DRY AIR OVER THE LOCAL AREA. SUNNY SKIES ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST PART OF TODAY AS TEMPS WARM INTO THE LOW 60S.
THIS AFTN MID/LOW CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE N AS A FAST MOVING
CLIPPER LOW TRACKS TOWARD VA AND TRAILS A SFC TROUGH INTO THE DEEP
SOUTH. MOISTURE AND FORCING WILL BE LACKING ALONG THE BOUNDARY...BUT
A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT IN FRONT OF THE APPROACHING TROUGH
WILL BRING BORDERLINE LAKE WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS TO OUR CWA THIS
AFTN WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 20 MPH ACROSS MOST ZONES AND GUSTS
IN THE 25-30 MPH. AS THE BOUNDARY PRESSES SOUTH OF THE CWA TONIGHT
BREEZY WNW FLOW WILL CONTINUE AS MINS FALL INTO THE MID 30S INLAND
GA TO MID 40S ACROSS OUR SOUTH FL ZONES.

SAT YET ANOTHER LOW LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWING INTO THE DEEP SOUTH
WHICH WILL ONCE AGAIN BRING MARGINAL LAKE WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS
TO THE CWA. MAX TEMPS WILL BE A BIT COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOW 60S N-S.

SAT NIGHT A FREEZE IS EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND SE GA AND AREAS ALONG
AND WEST OF A YULEE TO OBRIEN LINE IN N FL DUE TO A COLD NNE
DRAINAGE FLOW. LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER NAM MOS FOR TEMP DUE TO
ELEVATED WINDS OVERNIGHT.

SUN ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFFSHORE OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC AND A COASTAL TROUGH BEGINS TO DEVELOP OFFSHORE OF THE
FL COAST. THE FRONT THAT PUSHED SOUTH OF THE AREA SAT NIGHT BEGINS
TO MORPH INTO A WARM FRONT AND LIFTS NWD SUN AFTN AS A GULF LOW
DEVELOPS NEAR LA. COASTAL SHRA POSSIBLE SUN EVENING AS CONVERGENCE
INCREASES BETWEEN THE COASTAL TROUGH AND APPROACHING WARM FRONT.

AS THE SFC LOW TRACKS FARTHER EAST SUN NIGHT...WIDESPREAD STRATIFORM
RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER OUR GA ZONES EARLY MON AS LLVL CONVERGENCE AND
UPPER LEVEL ASCENT PHASED WITH A SURGE MID LEVEL GOMEX MOISTURE. AT
THIS TIME HAVE ADVERTISED STORM TOTAL PRECIP OF 0.75-1 INCHES
POSSIBLE FOR OUR GA ZONES.

DYNAMICS WILL BE STRONG INCLUDING A 45-50 KT LOW LEVEL JET MON AS
THE LOW MOVES OVER THE CWA ALONG THE WARM FRONT. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOW THE BEST WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OUR FL
ZONES AND COASTAL SE GA 18Z-21Z MON AFTN WHEN MARGINAL CAPE AND
LIFTED INDICES COINCIDE WITH THE TRAILING SFC TROUGH AND NEAR THE
BROAD LOW CIRCULATION. GUSTY WINDS AND ISOLD ROTATION WILL BE
POSSIBLE IF ENOUGH LOW LEVEL DESTABILIZATION CAN OCCUR.

LINGERING WRAP-AROUND CLOUDS AND LIGHT PRECIP WILL CONTINUE INTO MON
NIGHT. LEANED ON THE WARM SIDE OF MOS FOR TEMPS SUN-MON NIGHT DUE TO
WINDS AND CLOUD COVER.

.LONG TERM...BELOW NORMAL TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TUE-FRI OF NEXT WEEK AS
A STRONG CANADIAN HIGH SLOWLY BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS AND
SHIFTS EAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. TUE HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM
THE LOW 50S ACROSS OUR GA ZONES TO LOW 60S FL ZONES...THEN HIGHS
WILL STRUGGLE TO BREAK THE 50S ACROSS OUR FL ZONES WED-FRI WITH
FREEZES EXPECTED INLAND EACH NIGHT.

&&

ECZ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
519 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-081100-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-
INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
COASTAL CAMDEN-
519 AM EST FRI JAN 7 2011

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING
TROUGH. SUSTAINED SPEEDS WILL NEAR 20 MPH. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS
BEEN ISSUED THROUGH 6 PM.

LOW HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY WINDS WILL ELEVATE THE FIRE DANGER ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA TODAY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

BREEZY WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AN ELEVATED FIRE
DANGER ON SATURDAY AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
AND THE SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA SUNDAY MORNING.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE AREA EARLY MONDAY.
PERIODS OF MODERATE RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND
ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA MONDAY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW DEPARTS AND
BRINGS A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW STRONG STORMS COULD
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS.

FREEZES ARE EXPECTED NEXT WEEK WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNINGS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

ENYEDI