Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 72, NWS Jackson, MS

September 4, 2011Leake County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Sep 4, 2011, 10:05 AM CDT for Leake County, Mississippi. It took effect at Sep 5, 2011, 5:54 AM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 4, 2011, 10:05 AM CDT (15:05 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 5, 2011, 5:54 AM CDT
Expired
Sep 8, 2011, 8:41 PM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Flood severity
Minor

County Leake County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tuscolameta Creek at Walnut Grove (WTGM6).

Action stage
24 ft
Minor stage
25 ft
Moderate stage
31.5 ft
Major stage
33 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02483000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

421 
WGUS44 KJAN 041505
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1005 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011


...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... 

  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY
  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY


SYNOPSIS...

RIVER FORECAST MODELS ARE USING 48 HOURS OF PREDICTED RAINFALL TO
PRODUCE TODAYS RIVER FORECASTS. WEATHER MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT
A HEAVY BAND OF RAINFALL WILL SET UP LATER THIS EVENING FROM
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA TO VICKSBURG MISSISSIPPI TO COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI.
RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS AREA.
HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI WHERE RAINFALL
TOTALS HAVE RANGED FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES UP UNTIL 7AM THIS MORNING. HEAVY
RAINFALL IS STILL OCCURRING ACROSS THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST PORTIONS
OF MISSISSIPPI. ANOTHER 5 TO 7 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER THIS
REGION. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-052105-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0071.110906T2248Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.110906T2248Z.110908T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER SOME OF THE LAKE 
  BURNSIDE WATER PARK CAMP AREAS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BURNSIDE LAKE WATER 
  PARK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13   4.2 SUN 09 AM   5.0  12.0  13.8  14.0 01 AM 09/08

$$

MSC079-052105-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0072.110906T1727Z-110909T0336Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.110906T1727Z.110907T1200Z.110908T1236Z.NO/
1005 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.0 FEET BY EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOW AREAS ALONG AND 
  NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  12.2 SUN 09 AM  14.0  24.0  26.0  26.0 01 PM 09/07

$$
13 follow-up statements
996 
WGUS84 KJAN 050037
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
737 PM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC079-060637-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0072.110906T2125Z-110909T0534Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.110906T2125Z.110907T1200Z.110908T1434Z.NO/
737 PM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET AND NEARLY STEADY. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON TUESDAY AND
  WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 26 FEET ON WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 25 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOW AREAS ALONG AND 
  NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  12.2 SUN  7 PM  14.1  23.7  26.0  26.0  1 PM  WED

$$

DL
184 
WGUS84 KJAN 050947
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
447 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 


SYNOPSIS...

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IN THE UPPER PEARL RIVER BASIN HAS FALLEN
ACROSS THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK BASIN. RAINFALL FROM 8 TO 12 INCHES
HAS FALLEN ACROSS THIS BASIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-061547-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0072.110905T1747Z-110909T0318Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.110905T1747Z.110907T1200Z.110908T1218Z.NO/
447 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE RIVER IS 
  FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOW AREAS ALONG AND 
  NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  21.4 MON 04 AM  26.7  27.0  25.1  27.0 07 AM 09/07

$$
336 
WGUS84 KJAN 051057
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
557 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011




...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 

SYNOPSIS...

GAGE IS RISING VERY RAPIDLY...THE GAGE SHOULD REACH FLOOD STAGE
MUCH SOONER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. THE CREEK SHOULD
GO ABOVE FLOOD IN THE NEXT HOUR. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IN THE UPPER
PEARL RIVER BASIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK BASIN.
RAINFALL FROM 8 TO 12 INCHES HAS FALLEN ACROSS THIS BASIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-061657-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0072.110905T1054Z-110909T0318Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.110905T1048Z.110907T1200Z.110908T1218Z.NO/
557 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT  5:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE RIVER IS 
  FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOW AREAS ALONG AND 
  NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  24.7 MON 05 AM  26.8  27.0  25.1  27.0 07 AM 09/07

$$
106 
WGUS84 KJAN 051603
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1103 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 

SYNOPSIS...

LATE EVENING AND MORNING RAINFALL RANGED FROM 8 TO 13 INCHES 
ACROSS THE UPPER PORTIONS OF THE PEARL RIVER BASIN. MUCH OF THE
RAINFALL OCCURRED WITHIN A 6 HOUR PERIOD. RUNOFF FROM THIS 
RAINFALL IS VERY HIGH AND THUS MANY POINTS ALONG THE UPPER
PEARL RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE. THE GREATEST RAINFALL OCCURRED ACROSS THE TUSCOLAMETA
CREEK BASIN. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-062203-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-110909T2110Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.110905T1010Z.110907T1200Z.110909T0610Z.NO/
1103 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.5 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE RIVER IS 
  FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOW AREAS ALONG AND 
  NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  27.7 MON 10 AM  28.6  30.5  28.7  30.5 07 AM 09/07

$$
738 
WGUS44 KJAN 060121
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
821 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...

  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-070721-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-110909T2206Z/
/WTGM6.2.ER.110905T1010Z.110907T1200Z.110909T0706Z.NR/
821 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE LATE MORNING HAS 
  NECESSITATED RAISING THE CREST. THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING
  TO NEAR 31.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 31.5 FEET...SEVERAL HUNDRED ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  IS UNDERWATER.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE RIVER IS 
  FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOW AREAS ALONG AND 
  NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  28.5 MON 08 PM  31.5  30.5  19.3  31.5 07 AM 09/07

$$
310 
WGUS44 KJAN 060236 CCA
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
821 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011  ***CORRECTED TABULAR DATA***

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...

  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-070721-
/O.COR.KJAN.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-110909T2206Z/
/WTGM6.2.ER.110905T1010Z.110907T1200Z.110909T0706Z.NR/
821 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE LATE MORNING HAS 
  NECESSITATED RAISING THE CREST. THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING
  TO NEAR 31.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 31.5 FEET...SEVERAL HUNDRED ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  IS UNDERWATER.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE RIVER IS 
  FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOW AREAS ALONG AND 
  NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  28.5 MON 08 PM  30.5  31.5  30.5  31.5 07 AM 09/07

$$
554 
WGUS84 KJAN 061518
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1018 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-072118-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-110909T1840Z/
/WTGM6.2.ER.110905T1010Z.110907T1200Z.110909T0340Z.NR/
1018 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.1 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 32 FEET
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 31.5 FEET...SEVERAL HUNDRED ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  IS UNDERWATER.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  31.1 TUE 10 AM  32.0  29.2  22.3  32.0  7 AM WED

$$

DL
800 
WGUS84 KJAN 070151
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
851 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER AT EDINBURG AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR CARTHAGE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY
  PEARL RIVER NEAR LENA AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 
  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR RATLIFF AFFECTING MADISON AND RANKIN COUNTIES 
  PEARL RIVER AT JACKSON AFFECTING HINDS AND RANKIN COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-080751-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-110911T2100Z/
/PLAM6.2.ER.110905T2246Z.110908T0600Z.110910T1500Z.NO/
851 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE OPEN AIR PAVILION IN BURNSIDE LAKE WATER
  PARK BEGINS TO  FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MOST OF THE CAMPING AREAS IN BURNSIDE LAKE 
  WATER PARK ARE COVERED BY FLOOD WATER.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER SOME OF THE LAKE 
  BURNSIDE WATER PARK CAMP AREAS.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  13.1 TUE 08 PM  13.5  15.9  14.0  16.0 01 AM 09/08

$$

MSC079-080750-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.110905T1748Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
851 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER AT EDINBURG
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...SOME DIRT ROADS NEAR THE RIVER ARE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER IS PARTIALLY COVERING SEVERAL COUNTY 
  ROADS AND DIRT ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THE LUMBER YARD DOWNSTREAM OF 
  STATE HIGHWAY 16 BRIDGE IS AFFECTED.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MINOR OVER BANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING SOUTH 
  OF THE RIVER.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
EDINBURG       20  20.6 TUE 08 PM  21.3  23.3  24.0  24.0 07 AM 09/09

$$

MSC079-080750-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.110905T1753Z.110910T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
851 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR CARTHAGE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLANDS UPSTREAM AND
  DOWNSTREAM OF HIGHWAY 35 BRIDGE IS OCCURRING.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
CARTHAGE       17  19.2 TUE 08 PM  19.4  20.2  20.9  21.5 07 AM 09/10

$$

MSC079-080750-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0077.110907T0357Z-110912T0000Z/
/GDHM6.1.ER.110907T0357Z.110909T1800Z.110911T0900Z.NO/
851 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR LENA
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL AND PASTURE 
  LAND IS OCCURRIN ALONG THE RIVER.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
LENA           24  23.9 TUE 08 PM  24.6  25.5  25.9  26.0 01 PM 09/09

$$

MSC079-080750-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-110908T2118Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.110905T1010Z.110906T1415Z.110908T0618Z.NR/
851 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 31.5 FEET...SEVERAL HUNDRED ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  IS UNDERWATER.


&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  30.2 TUE 08 PM  29.9  15.5  10.6     CRESTED 

$$

MSC089-121-080750-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0087.110909T1800Z-110912T1100Z/
/RATM6.1.ER.110909T1800Z.110910T1800Z.110911T2000Z.UU/
851 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR RATLIFF
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  5:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 300.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 303.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 303.7 FEET BY EARLY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 303.0 FEET...MINOR OVERBANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG 
  THE REACH OF THE RIVER.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
RATLIFF       303 300.3 TUE 05 PM 300.7 301.9 302.8 303.7 01 PM 09/10

$$

MSC049-121-080750-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JACM6.2.ER.110906T0557Z.110911T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
851 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER AT JACKSON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO BETWEEN 33.0 AND 34.0
  FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 34.0 FEET...OLD BRANDON ROAD IS PARTIALLY INUNDATED AND 
  CLOSED AT NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...ROSEMARY ROAD IS CLOSED. SIDNEY STREET IS 
  IMPASSABLE. THERE IS WATER ON WEST STREET. THE PLAYING FIELD OFF 
  WESTBROOK ROAD IS UNDERWATER. THERE IS WATER ON NICHOLS AND 
  JULIENNE STREETS IN THE HIGHTOWER AREA; HOWEVER, BOTH ARE PASSABLE.
  WATER IS APPROACHING PACKS AUTO DETAIL SHOP ON SOUTH WEST STREET.
* IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BUSINESSES ON SOUTH 
  PRESIDENT AND SOUTH FARISH STREETS. SIDNEY STREET IS FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT APPROACHES TO 
  ADDITIONAL HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN THE BYRAM AREA.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...WATER BACKS UP INTO SEVERAL CREEKS AND 
  STREAMS IN THE JACKSON AREA.  WATER IS UNDER SOME HOMES NEAR THE 
  RIVER IN THE BYRAM AREA.


&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
JACKSON        28  29.9 TUE 08 PM  30.9  32.2  32.6 33-34 01 PM 09/11

$$
286 
WGUS84 KJAN 071454
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
954 AM CDT WED SEP 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-081833-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-110908T1833Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.110905T1010Z.110906T1415Z.110908T0333Z.NR/
954 AM CDT WED SEP 7 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.4 FEET AND FALLING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  28.4 WED  9 AM  18.8  10.6  10.6      FALLING 

$$

DL
105 
WGUS84 KJAN 071631
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1131 AM CDT WED SEP 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-082231-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-110908T2308Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.110905T1010Z.110906T1415Z.110908T0808Z.NR/
1131 AM CDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 11:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.1 FEET AND FALLING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  28.1 WED 11 AM  23.2  15.5  15.1      FALLING

$$

DL
477 
WGUS84 KJAN 080126
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
826 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER AT EDINBURG AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR CARTHAGE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR LENA AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 
  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR RATLIFF AFFECTING MADISON AND RANKIN COUNTIES 
  PEARL RIVER AT JACKSON AFFECTING HINDS AND RANKIN COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-090726-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-110911T1900Z/
/PLAM6.2.ER.110905T2246Z.110908T1200Z.110910T1300Z.NO/
826 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE OPEN AIR PAVILION IN BURNSIDE LAKE WATER
  PARK BEGINS TO  FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MOST OF THE CAMPING AREAS IN BURNSIDE LAKE 
  WATER PARK ARE COVERED BY FLOOD WATER.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  14.5 WED 08 PM  16.0  14.9  13.1  16.0 07 AM 09/08

$$

MSC079-090726-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-110913T1330Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.110905T1748Z.110909T1800Z.110912T2230Z.NO/
826 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER AT EDINBURG
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...SOME DIRT ROADS NEAR THE RIVER ARE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER IS PARTIALLY COVERING SEVERAL COUNTY 
  ROADS AND DIRT ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THE LUMBER YARD DOWNSTREAM OF 
  STATE HIGHWAY 16 BRIDGE IS AFFECTED.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
EDINBURG       20  22.1 WED 08 PM  22.5  23.9  23.9  24.0 01 PM 09/09

$$

MSC079-090725-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.110905T1753Z.110910T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR CARTHAGE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLANDS UPSTREAM AND
  DOWNSTREAM OF HIGHWAY 35 BRIDGE IS OCCURRING.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
CARTHAGE       17  19.2 WED 08 PM  19.6  20.6  21.5  21.5 07 AM 09/10

$$

MSC079-090725-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-110913T0900Z/
/GDHM6.1.ER.110907T0154Z.110907T2030Z.110912T1800Z.NO/
826 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR LENA
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL AND PASTURE 
  LAND IS OCCURRIN ALONG THE RIVER.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
LENA           24  26.1 WED 07 PM  26.1  25.8  25.4    FALLING

$$

MSC079-090313-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-110909T0313Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.110905T1010Z.110906T1415Z.110908T1213Z.NR/
826 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE RIVER IS 
  FLOODING.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  27.1 WED 08 PM  25.2  14.5  13.9   FALLING 

$$

MSC089-121-090725-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0087.110908T1500Z-110911T2100Z/
/RATM6.1.ER.110908T1500Z.110909T1200Z.110911T0600Z.UU/
826 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR RATLIFF
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  5:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 301.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 303.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 304.0 FEET BY FRIDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 303.0 FEET...MINOR OVERBANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG 
  THE REACH OF THE RIVER.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
RATLIFF       303 301.7 WED 05 PM 302.8 304.0 303.5 304.0 07 AM 09/09

$$

MSC049-121-090725-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JACM6.2.ER.110906T0557Z.110910T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 PM CDT WED SEP 7 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER AT JACKSON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING BETWEEN 33 TO 34 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 34.0 FEET...OLD BRANDON ROAD IS PARTIALLY INUNDATED AND 
  CLOSED AT NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...ROSEMARY ROAD IS CLOSED. SIDNEY STREET IS 
  IMPASSABLE. THERE IS WATER ON WEST STREET. THE PLAYING FIELD OFF 
  WESTBROOK ROAD IS UNDERWATER. THERE IS WATER ON NICHOLS AND 
  JULIENNE STREETS IN THE HIGHTOWER AREA; HOWEVER, BOTH ARE PASSABLE.
  WATER IS APPROACHING PACKS AUTO DETAIL SHOP ON SOUTH WEST STREET.
* IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BUSINESSES ON SOUTH 
  PRESIDENT AND SOUTH FARISH STREETS. SIDNEY STREET IS FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO IMPACT APPROACHES TO 
  ADDITIONAL HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN THE BYRAM AREA.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
JACKSON        28  31.1 WED 08 PM  32.0  32.8  33.4 33-34 01 PM 09/10

$$
604 
WGUS84 KJAN 081530
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1030 AM CDT THU SEP 8 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-092130-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-110910T0147Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.110905T1010Z.110906T1415Z.110909T1047Z.NR/
1030 AM CDT THU SEP 8 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOW AREAS ALONG AND 
  NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  26.5 THU 10 AM  24.9  22.0  19.0      FALLING  

$$
673 
WGUS84 KJAN 090141
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
841 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC079-090211-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-110910T0147Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.110905T1010Z.110906T1415Z.110908T2012Z.NR/
841 PM CDT THU SEP 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE.
* AT  8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  3:12 PM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 16.9 FEET BY SATURDAY
  MORNING.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  23.1 THU 08 PM  19.1  16.9  16.0    FALLING

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 4, 4:00 AM CDT, 6 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 4, 4:00 AM CDT, 6 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
400 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...TROPICAL STORM LEE BRINGING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL TO THE ARKLAMISS
   THROUGH EARLY LABOR DAY BUT TAPERING OFF A LITTLE QUICKER...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...

A LARGE RAIN SHIELD COVERED JUST ABOUT THE ENTIRE CWFA THIS MORNING
WITH BANDS OF HEAVIER TROPICAL DOWNPOURS CONFINED TO OUR SRN
SECTIONS. QPF AMOUNTS SO FAR SHOWING 3-5 INCHES IN SRN MARION...LAMAR
AND FOREST COUNTIES WITH AMOUNTS LESS THAN 1 INCH ALONG AND S OF
I-20. CURRENTLY...TS LEE POSITIONED ONLY ABOUT 30 NM DIFFERENT FROM
THE LOCATION JUST 24 HOURS AGO WITH SATELLITE IMAGES CONFIRMING A
NEARLY STATIONARY LOOPING KIND OF CENTER FOR THE PAST 6-12 HOURS.
LATEST RUC SHOWS A SLOW ENE MOTION RESUMING 15-18Z AND THEN NHC
TAKING STORM A LITTLE FASTER NEWD TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

WATER VAPOR IMAGES SHOW A SUBSTANTIAL DRY SLOW WRAPPING INTO THE MS
COASTAL REGION WHICH WILL LIKELY ENHANCE THE INSTABILITY AND TORNADO
RISK FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS THIS MORNING.
MEANWHILE...A FLATTENING IN THE OUTFLOW CIRRUS PATTERN NW OF THE LEE
CENTER HAS GOTTEN UNDERWAY WITH A MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS COMING DOWN
THE MO RIVER VALLEY AND ACROSS THE OZARKS. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE
COLD FRONT ALSO CROSSING THE OZARKS CURRENTLY AND THESE FEATURES
WILL COMBINE TO SET UP A NEW HEAVY RAINFALL DEFORMATION ZONE FOR
TONIGHT AND MONDAY ACROSS OUR NWRN CWFA. OTHERWISE...EXPECT THE
TROPICAL DOWNPOURS IN THE 2.2-2.4 INCH PWAT AIR TO PRODUCE HEAVIEST
RAINS TODAY STILL GENERALLY S OF I-20.

WILL MAINTAIN ONGOING FFA AND WIND ADVISORIES AS THEY ARE FOR TODAY
WITH WEAKENING OF THE LEE CIRCULATION EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. OVERALL TIMING OF THE RAIN SHIELD SHOWS A FASTER END TO THE
RAINS FROM THE W TO E MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING...ESPECIALLY W OF THE
MS RIVER LOCATIONS. WE MAY NEED TO END THE FFA SOONER IN THOSE
LOCATIONS IF THESE TRENDS ARE CONFIRMED IN NEXT FORECAST CYCLE.
AGAIN HAVE USED A 15-20 PERCENT INLAND WIND REDUCTION USING THE
REQUIRED TCM WIND TOOL.

THE INCREASING BANDS OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR OVER SERN MS THIS MORNING
ARE PROJECTED TO WEAKEN BY THIS EVENING. ANY STRONG CONVECTION WILL
BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR THE FORMATION OF BRIEF TORNADOES IN ANY
DISCRETE CELLS. EXPECT THE CENTER OF LEE WILL START FILLING A BIT
MORE QUICKLY BY MONDAY WITH LESS OPPORTUNITY FOR DIURNAL INSTABILITY
TO RAMP UP SO WILL KEEP MENTION OF TORNADOES IN THE HWOJAN MAINLY
FOR TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT AS RISK SHIFTS E OF OUR CWFA FOR MONDAY
PER SPC FORECASTS.

PLAN TO STAY CLOSE TO GUIDANCE POPS AND TEMPS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
BUT DID RAISE POPS ABOVE GUIDANCE TONIGHT AND IN EASTERN LOCATIONS
ON MONDAY. /40/

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...

FOCUS IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST IS ON THE DEPARTURE OF
POST TROPICAL STORM LEE AS IT MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. BOTH THE
GFS/ECMWF ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT SHOWING DRIER AIR FILTERING ACROSS
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FA BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LEE BECOMES
ENTWINED WITH MONDAY. ACROSS EASTERN ZONES HOWEVER REMNANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS GOING TO BE HARD TO KICK OUT AS THE UPPER TROUGH STALLS
OVER THE TN VALLEY THANKS TO THE PRIMARY BELT OF WESTERLIES
REMAINING WELL TO OUR NORTH. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A TRICKY PRECIP
FORECAST FOR THE MIDDLE TO END OF THE WEEK AS SOME QUESTION REMAINS
WHETHER THE MOISTURE WILL BE DEEP ENOUGH TO BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS
TO NORTHEASTERN ZONES. FOR NOW HAVE KEPT A SLIGHT CHANCE MENTION IN
THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE REGION THROUGH WED MORNING...LOWERING GFS MOS
POPS A TAD THEREAFTER. PRECIP FORECAST WILL REALLY BE DEPENDENT ON
THE EVOLUTION OF THE CUT-OFF LOW (LEE REMNANTS) THE LATTER HALF OF
THE WEEK. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL STILL BE A BIT GUSTY TUE MORNING
IN WAKE OF LEE...HOWEVER A MARKED DOWNWARD TREND IS EXPECTED TUE
AFTN/NIGHT.

A COMBINATION OF COOLER AIR FILTERING ACROSS THE REGION BEHIND THE
FRONT AND SOME PERSISTENT LOW-MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER THAT LOOKS TO
EXPAND A BIT MIDWEEK WILL HELP KEEP DAYTIME/OVERNIGHT TEMPS BELOW
NORMAL INTO THE WEEKEND...A WELCOME CHANGE CONSIDERING HOW WARM THE
SUMMER HAS BEEN. HIGHS TUE WILL LIKELY STRUGGLE TO REACH THE 80
DEGREE MARK(SOME 10-12 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL)...CLIMBING TO NEAR 80
WED-THU BEFORE REACHING THE LOW MID 80S LATE IN THE WEEK. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL GENERALLY FALL INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. THE GFS MOS
TEMP GUIDANCE SEEMED TO HANDLE THE EXPECTED CONDITIONS RELATIVELY
WELL...WITH ONLY A FEW MINOR CHANGES MADE THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. /BK/

&&

.AVIATION...

MVFR CEILINGS WILL BE SLOWLY LOWERING TO AREAS OF IFR
FROM S TO N FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. EXPANSIVE RAIN SHIELD COVERS ALL
OF THE CWFA AND RAIN BANDS AROUND LEE CIRCULATION WILL PRODUCE VSBYS
IN THE 3-5SM RANGE FOR THE MOST PART AT OUR TAF LOCATIONS WITH LOWER
IFR CONDITIONS IN ANY TSRA. WINDS WILL REMAIN ENELY 12-25KTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS OF 35KTS IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS ROTATING NWWD. WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE NLY ON MONDAY AS FROPA WORKS INTO THE
REGION FROM THE NW. /40/

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

WIDESPREAD 5 TO 10 INCH RAINS LIKELY INTO TUESDAY
BEFORE COMPLETELY TAPERING OFF. EXPECT 8-12 INCH TOTAL RAINFALL WILL
BE COMMON OVER SERN MS BY MONDAY NIGHT...WITH THE GREATEST RISK FOR
ANY LOCATION EXCEEDING 15 INCHES SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE
CORRIDOR...HPC BELIEVES AN ISOLATED 20 INCH AMOUNT STILL POSSIBLE
NEAR THE COAST. MODERATE RIVER FLOODING COULD DEVELOP WHERE THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL OCCURS. /40/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       78  70  78  61 / 100  99  83  27
MERIDIAN      79  71  82  63 / 100  97 100  61
VICKSBURG     80  70  78  60 / 100  96  56  12
HATTIESBURG   82  74  83  64 / 100  97  87  25
NATCHEZ       81  69  77  61 / 100  94  49   6
GREENVILLE    82  66  76  59 /  96  86  43   9
GREENWOOD     82  68  77  59 /  96 100  67  24

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR
     MSZ026>033-035>039.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR MSZ040>066-072>074.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MSZ043-047>066-
     072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ015-016-023>026.

AR...NONE.
&&

40/BK
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 4, 6:42 AM CDT, 3 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
642 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ040>066-072>074-051145-
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
642 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE AS RAIN BANDS PIVOT INTO THE
AREA AROUND TROPICAL STORM LEE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE
FROM AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY.

BRIEF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING IN THE STRONGER
RAIN BANDS THAT WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE AREA IN THE STRONGLY SHEARED
AIR MASS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM LEE. DAYTIME HEATING WILL
PRODUCE INCREASED INSTABILITY TO COMBINE WITH THE WIND SHEAR...
MAINLY SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE TWENTY CORRIDOR.

EASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST SUSTAINED SPEEDS FROM 15 TO 30 MPH...LOOK
FOR HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLY FROM 40 TO 45 MPH ALONG THE HIGHWAY 84
CORRIDOR UNTIL EARLY EVENING AS WELL. WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AS TROPICAL STORM
LEE MOVES VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE
EARLY TUESDAY. RAIN WILL EVENTUALLY TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST
LATER MONDAY NIGHT AS LEE PULLS AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST.

THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT MONDAY IN STRONGER
RAIN BANDS THAT PIVOT ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN MISSISSIPPI.

STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY WITH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS FROM 15
TO 25 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLY 35 MPH. WIND SPEEDS WILL BECOME
NORTH AND DECREASE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED INTO PORTIONS OF LABOR DAY.

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-051145-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-
642 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE
MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TONIGHT MAY TOTAL UP TO 4 INCHES BY EARLY TUESDAY AS
A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTH
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

MSZ026>033-036>039-051145-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
642 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE PIVOT INLAND. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH GOES INTO
EFFECT FOR TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING
AS TROPICAL STORM LEE MOVES VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST INTO ALABAMA.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT MONDAY AS RAINFALL TOTALS COULD
BEGIN ADDING UP TO BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES BEFORE TAPERING OFF EARLY
ON TUESDAY.

STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA MONDAY...POSSIBLY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS FROM 15 TO 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT FOR LABOR DAY IN
STRONGER RAIN BANDS THAT MAY PIVOT ACROSS THE AREA.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT AND ON LABOR DAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

40

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 4, 5:43 AM CDT, 4 hours 22 minutes before
MSZ072-073-041110-
MARION MS-LAMAR MS-
543 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
543 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...BAND OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLY STRONG WINDS MOVING INTO LAMAR
AND EASTERN MARION COUNTIES...

A BAND OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 35 TO 45 MPH
WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 5 MILES SOUTH OF BAXTERVILLE TO 24 MILES
SOUTH OF LUMBERTON AT 541 AM CDT...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

PEOPLE IN LAMAR AND EASTERN MARION COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THESE
STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3099 8948 3101 8951 3100 8955 3100 8973
      3143 8983 3143 8946 3135 8945 3135 8935
      3100 8935 3100 8941 3097 8944 3097 8947
TIME...MOT...LOC 1041Z 173DEG 21KT 3104 8958 3068 8949

BK
Special weather statement, Sep 4, 8:21 AM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
MSZ056-065-041350-
SMITH MS-COVINGTON MS-
821 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
821 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TAYLORSVILLE AT 821 AM CDT...MOVING
NORTH AT 40 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN COVINGTON AND SMITH COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR
THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3193 8966 3204 8966 3204 8970 3214 8973
      3216 8973 3221 8948 3180 8939 3179 8940
      3171 8940 3168 8958
TIME...MOT...LOC 1321Z 167DEG 35KT 3179 8950

OLB
Local storm report, Sep 4, 8:23 AM CDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
823 AM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST LAUREL                  31.69N 89.14W
09/03/2011  E40 MPH          JONES              MS   PUBLIC

            A TREE HAD BLOWN DOWN ON A HOUSE ON OPAL DRIVE IN THE
            CITY.

&&

17
Local storm report, Sep 4, 8:44 AM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
844 AM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 AM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 ESE SUMRALL           31.40N 89.48W
09/04/2011                   LAMAR              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SPOTTER REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD WITH POSSIBLE DEBRIS.

&&

GERARD
Local storm report, Sep 4, 9:04 AM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
904 AM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 AM     TORNADO          4 ESE SUMRALL           31.40N 89.48W
09/04/2011  F0               LAMAR              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            INVESTIGATION BY FIRE PERSONNEL INDICATES THAT THE FUNNEL
            CLOUD BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN NEAR HIGHWAY 42...WITH SOME
            LIMBS DOWN AND SMALL DEBRIS EVIDENT. NO OTHER DAMAGE
            OBSERVED.

0900 AM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBIA                31.26N 89.83W
09/04/2011                   MARION             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREET FLOODING REPORTED IN COLUMBIA

&&

GERARD
Special weather statement, Sep 4, 9:36 AM CDT, 29 minutes before
MSZ066-073-074-041505-
LAMAR MS-JONES MS-FORREST MS-
936 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
936 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF PURVIS AT 936 AM CDT...MOVING NORTH AT 35
MPH. THIS STORM ILL BE NEAR WEST HATTIESBURG AND HATTIESBURG IN THE
NEXT 5 TO 10 MINUTES.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHERN FORREST...SOUTHWESTERN JONES AND EAST CENTRAL
LAMAR COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3113 8947 3155 8936 3148 8911 3109 8927
TIME...MOT...LOC 1436Z 201DEG 29KT 3120 8934

JA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 4, 5:43 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLamar27 min
Sep 4, 7:10 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANLamar3 hr
Sep 4, 8:21 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSmith29 min
Sep 4, 8:25 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANMarion110 min
Sep 4, 8:56 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Smith2 hr
Sep 4, 8:58 AM CDTTornado WarningJANCovington, Simpson, Smith32 min
Sep 4, 9:29 AM CDTTornado WarningJANCovington, Simpson, Smith46 min
Sep 4, 9:34 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala, Holmes3 days
Sep 4, 9:36 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANForrest29 min
Sep 4, 9:47 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest118 min
Sep 4, 9:48 AM CDTTornado WarningJANForrest, Jones, Lamar42 min
Sep 4, 10:05 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba6 days
Sep 4, 10:10 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANClarke25 hr
Sep 4, 10:16 AM CDTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jones, Smith44 min
Sep 4, 10:31 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANForrest29 min
Sep 4, 11:07 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJones28 min
Sep 4, 11:10 AM CDTTornado WarningJANJasper, Smith37 min
Sep 4, 11:15 AM CDTTornado WarningJANJasper, Jones45 min
Sep 4, 11:26 AM CDTTornado WarningJANScott, Smith20 min
Sep 4, 11:32 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest, Lamar88 min
Sep 4, 11:55 AM CDTTornado WarningJANJasper35 min
Sep 4, 12:25 PM CDTTornado WarningJANClarke, Jasper50 min
Sep 4, 1:13 PM CDTTornado WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Lauderdale, Newton47 min
Sep 4, 1:15 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANClarke, Jasper2 hr
Sep 4, 2:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke30 min
Sep 4, 4:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower3 hr
Sep 4, 5:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANAdams, Franklin4 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.