River Flood Warning 69, NWS Jackson, MS

655 
WGUS84 KJAN 040129
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
829 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-050729-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0069.110906T1443Z-000000T0000Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110906T1443Z.110907T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
829 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET AND STEADY. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON TUESDAY AND
  WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 26.6 FEET ON WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  10.4 SAT  7 PM  10.4  11.0  22.5  26.6  7 AM  WED

$$

DL

754 
WGUS84 KJAN 041515
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1015 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011




...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 

SYNOPSIS...

RIVER FORECAST MODELS ARE USING 48 HOURS OF PREDICTED RAINFALL TO
PRODUCE TODAYS RIVER FORECASTS. WEATHER MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT
A HEAVY BAND OF RAINFALL WILL SET UP LATER THIS EVENING FROM
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA TO VICKSBURG MISSISSIPPI TO COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI.
RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS AREA.
HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI WHERE RAINFALL
TOTALS HAVE RANGED FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES UP UNTIL 7AM THIS MORNING. HEAVY
RAINFALL IS STILL OCCURRING ACROSS THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST PORTIONS
OF MISSISSIPPI. ANOTHER 5 TO 7 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER THIS
REGION. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-052115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0069.110906T2236Z-000000T0000Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110906T2236Z.110907T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND AND AGRICULTURE LAND NEAR THE 
  CREEK IS FLOODED
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  10.3 SUN 09 AM  10.8  19.5  25.3  25.5 01 PM 09/07

$$

597 
WGUS84 KJAN 050141
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
841 PM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-060741-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0069.110907T0150Z-000000T0000Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110907T0150Z.110908T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
841 PM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM TUESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND NEARLY STEADY. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY ON TUESDAY
  AND WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 25.9 FEET ON WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE.
* IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  10.3 SUN  7 PM  10.7  18.4  25.3  25.9  7 PM WED

$$

DL

151 
WGUS84 KJAN 051620
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1120 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-062220-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0069.110906T1251Z-110910T0200Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110906T1251Z.110907T1200Z.110909T2000Z.NO/
1120 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND AND AGRICULTURE LAND NEAR THE 
  CREEK IS FLOODED
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  10.9 MON 10 AM  22.8  27.5  26.1  27.5 07 AM 09/07

$$

126 
WGUS84 KJAN 052136
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
436 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LOWNDES COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-070336-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0069.110906T2108Z-110909T1647Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110906T2108Z.110907T1200Z.110909T1047Z.NO/
436 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND AND AGRICULTURE LAND NEAR THE 
  CREEK IS FLOODED
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  11.4 MON 03 PM  19.3  26.0  24.9  26.0 07 AM 09/07

$$

MSC087-070335-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0085.110906T2008Z-110908T0000Z/
/CLUM6.1.ER.110906T2008Z.110907T0600Z.110907T1800Z.NO/
436 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.4 FEET BY EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER GUNSHOOT ROAD NEAR 
  STEENS. LOW LYING AREAS ALONG SAND ROAD, BLACK CREEK ROAD, AND NEAR
  YELLOW CREEK ARE FLOODING
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...OVER BANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE 
  STEENS AREA
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...OVER BANK FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING 
  AREAS NORTH OF COLUMBUS


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

LUXAPALLILA CREEK
COLUMBUS       15   6.5 MON 04 PM  11.7  15.9  12.0  16.4 01 AM 09/07

$$

555 
WGUS84 KJAN 060210
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
910 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-070810-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0069.110907T0138Z-110909T1312Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110907T0138Z.110907T1800Z.110909T0712Z.NO/
910 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  12.4 MON 08 PM  17.3  24.3  24.0  24.5 01 PM 09/07

$$

MSC103-070810-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0084.110906T1710Z-110911T0112Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.110906T1710Z.110907T1800Z.110910T1912Z.NO/
910 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.4 FEET BY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON          26   9.9 MON 10 AM  24.1  28.3  28.3  28.4 07 PM 09/07

$$

802 
WGUS84 KJAN 061446
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
946 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-072046-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0069.110908T0000Z-110909T0600Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110908T0000Z.110908T1200Z.110909T0000Z.NO/
946 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 9:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 23.2 FEET BY
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  14.4 TUE  9 AM  22.3  23.2  22.5  23.2  7 AM THU

$$

DL

097 
WGUS84 KJAN 062140
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
440 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-062210-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-110909T0600Z/
/TBBM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
440 PM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE.
* AT  3:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 21.2 FEET 
  THURSDAY MORNING.


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  14.9 TUE 03 PM  19.2  21.2  20.1     

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1035 AM SAT SEP 3 2011

.UPDATE...TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS JUST OFF THE SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA COAST LINE LATE THIS MORNING. SPIRALING RAINS HAVE REACH
GENERALLY SOUTH OF A EUDORA AR TO JACKSON METRO TO MERIDIAN LINE.
THE HEAVIER RAINS REMAIN SOUTH OF THE ARKLAMISS REGION AT THIS TIME.
SO WITH THE RAINS AROUND HAVE REDUCED AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE SOUTH
BY A FEW DEGRESS. SO AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE FROM THE NEAR 90 NORTH
TO THE UPPER 70S SOUTHEAST. SO UTILIZED THE SREF MODEL FOR AFTERNOON
HIGHS. AS FAR AS POPS ARE CONCERN UPPED THE POPS TO 100 PERCENT IN
THE SOUTHERN THIRD FOR THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE LOWER POPS SOME IN THE
FAR NORTH. BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK OF LEE WILL PROBABLY ISSUE
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH FOR SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE. THE QUESTION WILL BE
IF WE NEED TO START IT FOR TONIGHT. WILL INVESTIGATE FURTHER ON THAT
POSSIBLE SCENERIO. OTHERWISE THE REST OF THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE
ON TRACK./17/

./PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...429 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...TROPICAL STORM LEE TO BRING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL TO THE ARKLAMISS
SPREADING SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH LABOR DAY HOLIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...

STILL HOLDING DRY FOR HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR MOST OF TODAY AS PWATS OF 2
INCHES SPREADING INTO I-20 AXIS WITH STEADY RAIN SHIELD NOT FAR
BEHIND. LATEST SATELLITE TPW SHOW 2.5-2.7 INCH AIR CREEPING INLAND
THROUGH I-10 ON THE ERN SIDE OF TS LEE POSITIONED OFFSHORE DUE S OF
KLFT. SO FAR RAINS IN OUR SRN TIER OF COUNTIES GENERALLY ONE QUARTER
INCH OR LESS BUT THESE VALUES WILL BE RAMPING UP AND FFA IN EFFECT
LOOKS GOOD FOR TODAY. WILL EXTEND/EXPAND FFA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL MS AND NERN LA...WITH EVENTUAL EXPANSION TO MOST
OF THE CWFA EXPECTED IN FUTURE FORECASTS.

WILL GO WITH OVERALL GFS TIMING OF THE RAIN SHIELD ACROSS THE
AREA...WHILE MORE OF THE NAM12 BACKGROUND WIND FIELDS IN CONJUNCTION
WITH THE REQUIRED TCM WIND TOOL. WE MAY END UP NEEDING A TS WARNING
OVER OUR SRN COUNTIES SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT HOWEVER CURRENT WIND
GRIDS HAVE SUSTAINED 30KTS WITH GUSTS TO 40KTS THROUGH THE HIGHWAY
84 CORRIDOR. WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO MAKE A CALL ON THIS LATER TODAY
HOPEFULLY.  EITHER WAY ALL OF THE MODELS HAVE BANDS OF GUSTY RAIN
MOVING ACROSS THE AREA BY TONIGHT LASTING RIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
AS THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF LEE WILL PRODUCE SOME IMPRESSIVE 10 TO 15
INCH RAINS FOR PORTIONS OF SERN MS AND... WIDESPREAD 5-10 INCHES
MOST OTHER LOCATIONS. ANOTHER CONCERN OVER THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY WILL BE THE PRESENCE OF INCREASING BANDS
OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR WITH ANY STRONG CONVECTION AND THE FORMATION OF
BRIEF TORNADOES IN ANY DISCRETE CELLS. AN AXIS OF 200M*M/S*S 0-1KM
HELICITIES AND 300 0-3KM VALUES LIFTS ACROSS THESE AREAS AS A DRY
SLOT ATTEMPTS TO WRAP INTO THE LEE CIRCULATION. WILL KEEP MENTION OF
TORNADOES IN THE HWOJAN AS IS.

STUCK PRETTY CLOSE TO GUIDANCE POPS AND TEMPS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
BUT DID RAISE POPS ABOVE GUIDANCE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN SOME
LOCATIONS. /40/

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...

FOCUS IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TROPICAL
STORM LEE AND ITS EVOLUTION THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK.
LATEST FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS LEE CENTERED
IN VICINITY OF MCCOMB, MS EARLY LABOR DAY MORNING. DEEP MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE WILL ALLOW WIDESPREAD RAINS TO CONTINUE
ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS...ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW ISOLATED
RUMBLES OF THUNDER. BY FAR THE BIGGEST RISK FOR LABOR DAY WILL
CONTINUE TO BE THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL...WITH ALL THE MODELS
INDICATING AN AXIS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN SETTING UP EITHER ALONG OR JUST
SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE PKWY DURING THE DAY. JUST WHERE THE
HEAVIEST BAND OF PRECIP SETS UP WILL BE INFLUENCED BY THE TIMING OF A
COLD FRONT SWINGING INTO THE REGION FROM THE NW...THAT EVENTUALLY
BECOMES WRAPPED UP IN LEE EITHER LATE MONDAY OR EARLY TUESDAY.
REGARDLESS...DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE WILL STILL BE
IN PLACE ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY
NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO MONDAY AS A RESULT...AND MAY VERY WELL NEED
TO BE EXPANDED NORTHWARD DEPENDING UPON WHERE THE FOCUS FOR THE
HEAVY RAIN SETS UP.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN...THE RISK OF TORNADOES WILL NEED TO
BE MONITORED ON MONDAY...PRIMARILY OVER SOUTHEASTERN/EASTERN MS IN
VICINITY OF THE SURFACE LOW WHERE 0-1KM SHEAR VALUES MAY EXCEED 25KTS
AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS NE. THIS POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MENTIONED IN THE HWO. SURFACE WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG
MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...AND CONSIDERING HOW MOIST THE SOILS WILL
BE THE RISK OF SHALLOW ROOTED TREES SUCCUMBING TO THE WIND WILL BE
ENHANCED.

MONDAY NIGHT THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY LINGERING HEAVY RAIN SHOULD BE
CONFINED EAST OF I-55...GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST
THROUGH THE NIGHT. JUST HOW QUICKLY THE RAIN COMES TO AN END LATE
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE SPEED THE
REMNANTS OF LEE MOVE OFF TO THE NE...AND HOW QUICKLY THE DRIER AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS. THIS IS STILL A BIT
UNCERTAIN GIVEN THE OVERALL FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS HEADING
INTO MIDWEEK...STAY TUNED.

COOLER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL FILTER ACROSS THE REGION WED-FRI.
HIGHS FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WILL ONLY CLIMB INTO THE UPPER
70S TO LOW 80S OFFERING A WELCOME BREAK FROM THE HEAT THIS SUMMER.

RELATIVELY FEW CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE GFS MOS TEMPS NEXT WEEK. I
DID DECREASE HIGHS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN ZONES ON MONDAY TO ACCOUNT
FOR THE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND CLOUD COVER EXPECTED. NO OTHER
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE. /BK/

&&

.AVIATION...

IFR CEILINGS WILL BE SLOWLY LOWERING FROM S TO N THROUGH NEXT 24
HOURS. RAINBANDS STARTING TO SPREAD NWWD AROUND LEE CIRCULATION WILL
PRODUCE MVFR VSBYS FOR THE MOST PART AT OUR TAF LOCATIONS BY 21Z-03Z
WITH CEILINGS LOWERING TO MVFR OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL REMAIN ELY
8-15KTS WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH THIS MORNING BEFORE RAMPING
UPWARD 15-25KTS AROUND MIDDAY. LOOK FOR IFR CONDITIONS FOR OUR
SRN/CENTRAL TAF SITES TO BE PREVALENT SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
WITH LEE EDGING INLAND OVER SERN LA. LLWS AND GREATER TURBULENCE WILL
ALSO BE INCREASING DURING THIS TIME FRAME. /17/

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

WIDESPREAD 5 TO 10 INCH RAINS LIKELY INTO TUESDAY BEFORE COMPLETELY
TAPERING OFF. EXPECT 10-15 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL WILL BE COMMON
OVER SERN MS BY TUESDAY MORNING...WITH THE GREATEST RISK FOR ANY
LOCATION EXCEEDING 15 ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE
CORRIDOR...HPC BELIEVES AN ISOLATED 20 INCH AMOUNT IS POSSIBLE. MINOR
TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING COULD DEVELOP WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
OCCURS AND A FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK WILL BE UPDATED LATER TODAY.
/40/

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       83  71  83  73 /  81  92  97  90
MERIDIAN      85  71  84  73 /  77  97  97  90
VICKSBURG     83  74  83  71 /  86  91  96  90
HATTIESBURG   81  74  86  76 / 100  98  99  90
NATCHEZ       82  73  83  71 / 100  98  99  90
GREENVILLE    88  72  84  65 /  38  68  90  79
GREENWOOD     87  72  83  69 /  36  73  90  89

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR MSZ053>055-059>066-
     072>074.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
     MORNING FOR MSZ040>052-056>058.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR LAZ023>026.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
     MORNING FOR LAZ007>009-015-016.

AR...NONE.
&&

17/40/BK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
637 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

LAZ023>026-MSZ053>055-059>066-072>074-041145-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-
JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
637 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS
OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINS WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH AT LEAST LABOR DAY
ON MONDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT BUT
WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED FURTHER. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING MAY REACH 2 TO 4 INCHES IN A FEW AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF
THE HIGHWAY 84.

IN ADDITION...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS
ROTATE IN FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST. WHILE SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 30 MPH...SOME HIGHER GUSTS UPWARDS OF 35
TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORM
RAIN BANDS LATE TONIGHT.

THE POSSIBILITY OF BRIEF TORNADOES WITH THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS CAN
NOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT AS HIGH AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE
PRESENT ACROSS THIS REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HEAVY RAIN BANDING WILL BE LIKELY AS TROPICAL STORM LEE MOVES VERY
SLOWLY NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS
WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW HIGH RAINFALL RATES TO OCCUR OVER A LONG
DURATION OF TIME AND ALLOW FOR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS TO REACH
UPWARDS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS BEFORE
TUESDAY. RAIN WILL EVENTUALLY TAPER OFF BY TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE
SYSTEM PULLS AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER
GUSTS ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF NE LOUISIANA SUNDAY
AND MONDAY AS THE STRONGER WIND FIELD PUSHES FARTHER NORTH. WINDS
WILL SUBSIDE AS TROPICAL STORM LEE PUSHES EAST OF THE REGION BY
TUESDAY NIGHT.

BRIEF TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE IN ANY ORGANIZED RAIN
BAND THAT SETS UP ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...BUT
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST-CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AT TIMES THROUGH LABOR DAY.

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025>039-041145-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-
HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
637 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND PORTIONS
OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HEAVY RAIN BANDING WILL BE LIKELY AS TROPICAL STORM LEE MOVES VERY
SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW HIGH RAINFALL RATES TO OCCUR OVER A LONG
DURATION OF TIME AND ALLOW FOR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS TO REACH
UPWARDS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS BEFORE TUESDAY.
RAIN WILL EVENTUALLY TAPER OFF BY TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE SYSTEM PULLS
AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THE STRONGER WIND FIELD
PUSHES FARTHER NORTH. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AS TROPICAL STORM LEE PUSHES
EAST OF THE REGION BY TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED AT TIMES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

LAZ007>009-015-016-MSZ040>052-056>058-041145-
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-ISSAQUENA-
SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-
637 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL FROM THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE
WILL INFILTRATE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE I-20 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
REALLY PICK UP TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED STARTING
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED FURTHER. TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY WILL REACH 1 TO 3 INCHES AND BE
ADDING UP QUICKLY THEREAFTER.

EASTERLY WINDS WILL BE PICKING UP THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FROM 10
TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 MPH IN THE RAIN BANDS LIFTING NORTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HEAVY RAIN BANDING WILL BE LIKELY AS TROPICAL STORM LEE MOVES VERY
SLOWLY NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS
WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW HIGH RAINFALL RATES TO OCCUR OVER A LONG
DURATION OF TIME AND ALLOW FOR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS TO REACH
UPWARDS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS BEFORE TUESDAY.
RAIN WILL EVENTUALLY TAPER OFF BY TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE SYSTEM PULLS
AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER
GUSTS ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE STRONGER WIND FIELD PUSHES FARTHER NORTH.
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AS TROPICAL STORM LEE PUSHES EAST OF THE REGION BY
TUESDAY NIGHT.

BRIEF TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE IN ANY ORGANIZED RAIN
BAND THAT SETS UP ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...BUT
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST-CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED AT TIMES THROUGH LABOR DAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

40

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1223 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...TROPICAL STORM LEE TO BRING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL TO THE ARKLAMISS
THROUGH THE LABOR DAY HOLIDAY...

LAZ023>026-MSZ053>055-059>066-072>074-040100-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-
JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...
NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...
WEST FERRIDAY...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...
WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...
MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...
WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
1223 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...TROPICAL STORM LEE TO BRING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF
THE ARKLAMISS THROUGH THE LABOR DAY HOLIDAY...

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS TROPICAL STORM LEE
MOVES INLAND ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST. BANDING OF HEAVY RAIN WILL
INCREASE AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LABOR DAY ON MONDAY. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT BUT WILL LIKELY
BE EXTENDED FURTHER. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS MAY REACH 10 TO 15
INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY. RAIN WILL
EVENTUALLY TAPER OFF BY TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY TO
THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

BRIEF TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS ACROSS
SOME SOUTH AND EAST LOCATIONS AS HIGH AMOUNTS OF SHEAR WILL BE
PRESENT ACROSS THIS REGION TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. A TORNADO WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI FOR TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE POSTED FOR OTHER SECTIONS OF SOUTH
AND EAST MISSISSIPPI LATER THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY...AND
POSSIBLY INTO MONDAY...AS TROPICAL STORM LEE EDGES NORTHWARD.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER
GUSTS ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF NE LOUISIANA SUNDAY
AND MONDAY AS THE STRONGER WIND FIELD PUSHES FARTHER NORTH. WINDS
WILL SUBSIDE AS TROPICAL STORM LEE PUSHES EAST OF THE REGION BY
TUESDAY NIGHT.

ALTHOUGH DRY SOIL CONDITIONS WILL SOAK UP SOME OF THE INITIAL
RAINFALL RUNOFF...RIVERS ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI WILL APPROACH
FLOOD STAGE IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. EXPECTED RAINFALL BEYOND THE 48
HOUR PERIOD COULD PRODUCE MODERATE FLOODING OF RIVERS AND
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS. THOSE LIVING ALONG SMALL
STREAMS AND RIVERS NEED TO KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST INFORMATION ON
RAINFALL AND RIVER FORECASTS.

17/03