Alert archive / Indiana / Small Craft Advisories in 2011
Small Craft Advisory 69, NWS Northern Indiana
NWS Northern Indiana issued this small craft advisory at Nov 24, 2011, 4:16 AM EST. It was in force for 5 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 24, 2011, 4:16 AM EST (09:16 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 29, 2011, 4:00 AM EST
- In force
- 5 days
- Issued by
- NWS Northern Indiana
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
323 WHUS73 KIWX 240916 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 416 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011 LMZ043-046-241730- /O.NEW.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.111124T0916Z-111126T1200Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 416 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS ON FRIDAY. * WAVES: BUILDING 3 TO 5 FEET TODAY AND 4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
20 follow-up statements
370 WHUS73 KIWX 241543 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1043 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011 LMZ043-046-242345- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111126T1200Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 1043 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS ON FRIDAY. * WAVES: BUILDING 3 TO 5 FEET TODAY AND 4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
390 WHUS73 KIWX 242042 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 342 PM EST THU NOV 24 2011 LMZ043-046-250445- /O.EXT.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111126T1600Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 342 PM EST THU NOV 24 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SATURDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE. * WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
303 WHUS73 KIWX 250210 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 910 PM EST THU NOV 24 2011 LMZ043-046-251015- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111126T1600Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 910 PM EST THU NOV 24 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SATURDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. * WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
533 WHUS73 KIWX 250856 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 356 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2011 LMZ043-046-251700- /O.EXT.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111128T1000Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 356 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. * WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
208 WHUS73 KIWX 251605 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1105 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2011 LMZ043-046-260015- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111128T1000Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 1105 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. * WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...BUILDING UP TO 8 FEET BY SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
076 WHUS73 KIWX 251935 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 235 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2011 LMZ043-046-260345- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111128T1000Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 235 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS...VEERING WEST LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. * WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BUILDING UP TO 8 FEET SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
365 WHUS73 KIWX 260309 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1009 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2011 LMZ043-046-261115- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111128T1000Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 1009 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS...VEERING WEST LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. * WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BUILDING UP TO 8 FEET SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
454 WHUS73 KIWX 260842 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 342 AM EST SAT NOV 26 2011 LMZ043-046-261700- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111128T1000Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 342 AM EST SAT NOV 26 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS...VEERING NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT. * WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT...BUILDING UP TO 8 FEET SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
383 WHUS73 KIWX 261609 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1109 AM EST SAT NOV 26 2011 LMZ043-046-270015- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111128T1000Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 1109 AM EST SAT NOV 26 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS...VEERING NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES: 2 TO 4 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT...BUILDING UP TO 8 FEET SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
118 WHUS73 KIWX 262116 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 416 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011 LMZ043-046-270530- /O.EXT.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111128T1700Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 416 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS...VEERING NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT AND SLACKENING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS. GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. * WAVES: 1 TO 3 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT...BUILDING UP TO 12 FEET BY SUNDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
388 WHUS73 KIWX 270237 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 937 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011 LMZ043-046-271045- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111128T1700Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 937 PM EST SAT NOV 26 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS...VEERING NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT AND SLACKENING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS. GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. * WAVES: 1 TO 3 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT...BUILDING UP TO 12 FEET BY SUNDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
340 WHUS73 KIWX 270821 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 321 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011 LMZ043-046-271700- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111128T1700Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 321 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY. * WINDS: NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES: BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET TODAY AND CONTINUING TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
951 WHUS73 KIWX 271558 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1057 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011 LMZ043-046-280000- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111128T1700Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 1057 AM EST SUN NOV 27 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY. * WINDS: NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. * WAVES: BUILDING TO 6 TO 10 FEET...SUBSIDING MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
527 WHUS73 KIWX 272127 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 427 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011 LMZ043-046-280530- /O.EXT.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111129T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.GL.A.0010.111129T0900Z-111130T1500Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 427 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. * WINDS: NORTH WINDS 10 TO 25 KNOTS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY BECOMING SUSTAINED AT 30 KNOTS OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS OVER 35 KNOT GALES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * WAVES: 5 TO 8 FEET...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET MONDAY AFTERNOON...THEN BUILDING UP TO 14 FEET MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
033 WHUS73 KIWX 280251 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 951 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011 LMZ043-046-281100- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111129T0900Z/ /O.CON.KIWX.GL.A.0010.111129T0900Z-111130T1500Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 951 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * WINDS: NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY BECOMING SUSTAINED AT 30 KNOTS OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS OVER 35 KNOT GALES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * WAVES: 5 TO 8 FEET...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET MONDAY AFTERNOON...THEN BUILDING UP TO 14 FEET MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
672 WHUS73 KIWX 280913 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 413 AM EST MON NOV 28 2011 LMZ043-046-281700- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111129T0900Z/ /O.CON.KIWX.GL.A.0010.111129T0900Z-111130T1500Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 413 AM EST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS TODAY INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL BACK AND INCREASE TUESDAY BECOMING SUSTAINED AT 30 KNOTS OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOT GALES TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET...BUILDING TO 12 TO 16 FEET BY TUESDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
174 WHUS73 KIWX 281554 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1054 AM EST MON NOV 28 2011 LMZ043-046-290000- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111129T0900Z/ /O.CON.KIWX.GL.A.0010.111129T0900Z-111130T1500Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 1054 AM EST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. * WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND TO 40 KNOT GALES TOWARD DAWN TUESDAY. NORTH GALES TO 40 KNOTS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. * WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET BUILDING BY TUESDAY NIGHT TO 14 TO 18 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
355 WHUS73 KIWX 282032 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 332 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011 LMZ043-046-290445- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111129T0900Z/ /O.UPG.KIWX.GL.A.0010.111129T0900Z-111130T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.GL.W.0036.111129T0900Z-111130T1500Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 332 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. * WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS TO 20 KNOTS INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES TOWARD DAWN TUESDAY. NORTH GALES TO 40 KNOTS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY MORNING. * WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET BUILDING TO 15 TO 20 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN SLOWLY DECREASING WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
646 WHUS73 KIWX 290428 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1128 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011 LMZ043-046-291230- /O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111129T0900Z/ /O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0036.111129T0900Z-111130T1500Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 1128 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY. * WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES TOWARD DAYBREAK. NORTH GALES 35 TO 40 KNOTS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY MORNING. * WAVES: 4 TO 7 FEET BUILDING TO 6 TO 12 FEET BY DAYBREAK... BUILDING FURTHER TO 15 TO 20 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN SLOWLY DECREASING WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
599 WHUS73 KIWX 290923 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 423 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011 LMZ043-046-291700- /O.EXP.KIWX.SC.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-111129T0900Z/ /O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-111130T1500Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 423 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: NORTH GALES TO 35 KNOTS. GUSTS TO 45 KNOT GALES. WINDS DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY MORNING. * WAVES: 10 TO 14 FEET BUILDING TO 14 TO 18 FEET TONIGHT AND SLOWLY DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 24, 4:11 AM EST, 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 24, 4:11 AM EST, 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 411 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011 .SHORT TERM... AS FEARED...POTENTIAL WRINKLES IN TERMS OF STRATUS AND FOG CAME TO FRUITION OVERNIGHT AND ARE CAUSE FOR SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO SHORT TERM FORECAST GRIDS. 11-3.9 MICRON SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWS LARGE AREA OF STRATUS ACROSS THE MS AND OH RIVER VALLEY REGIONS AND QUICKLY EXPANDING NORTHEAST ACROSS OUR AREA AS OF 08Z. 1000MB SW FLOW OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS AIDING IN MOVING STRATUS NORTHEAST. THE ENTIRE SHORT TERM FORECAST HINGES ON WHAT THIS STRATUS DECK DOES OVER NEXT 24 HOURS AND HENCE THE SHORT TERM PROBLEM OF THE DAY. NAM12 AND RUC HAVE SOME CLUE THAT STRATUS EXISTS BUT HRRR SEEMS TO HAVE BEST HANDLE BY FAR. MOS GUIDANCE HAS NO CLUE WITH CLOUD COVER CATEGORIES MAINLY CLEAR THROUGH THE PERIOD AND EVEN LAMP GUIDANCE AS OF 08Z HAS NO INDICATION. THUS MOS TEMPS NOT CLOSE TODAY FOR OPTIMISTIC 50S UNLESS CLOUD COVER ERODES QUICKLY WHICH IS DOUBTFUL AT THIS TIME. NAM12 BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOW SATURATED SURFACE TO 1KFT LAYER WITH STRONG INVERSION AND VERY DRY AIR ABOVE. WHILE YESTERDAYS MODEL RUNS MIXED THE LOWER LEVELS...LATEST RUNS ARE MUCH STRONGER WITH INVERSION AND SLIGHTLY DEEPER WITH MOIST LAYER LEADING TO LITTLE MIXING UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. LATEST HRRR LOW CLOUD PRODUCT HAD STRATUS AREA NAILED AT INITIATION AND KEEPS IT LOCKED THROUGH ITS VALID PERIOD WHICH IS MID AFTERNOON. HRRR 2M TEMPS ALSO REMAIN IN UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. ALSO SOME CONCERN FOR DRIZZLE FOR A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE AS TURBULENT MIXING OF SHALLOW CLOUD TOPS OFTEN LEADS TO PERIOD OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION...ESPECIALLY WHEN SUB CLOUD LAYER IS MOIST WITH BR OR FOG. HAVE ADDED A CHANCE FOR DRIZZLE TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS POSSIBILITY THROUGH MID MORNING. A LOOK BACK AT SATELLITE TRENDS ON WEDNESDAY REVEALED VERY LITTLE MIXING OF STRATUS AND THUS CONCERNED FOR SIMILAR TREND TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SUBTLE DIFFERENCE TODAY WILL BE INCREASING WINDS IN THE 1000-925MB LAYER... ESPECIALLY ABOVE 950MB WITH 40 TO 50 KNOTS DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THIS WILL BE JUST ABOVE INVERSION AND MAY NOT BE ENOUGH TO MIX OUT LOWER STRATUS DECK GIVEN STRONG INVERSION IN PLACE. 1000MB WINDS LOOK TO INCREASE BUT ONLY IN THE 5 TO 15 KNOT RANGE WITH LIGHTER WINDS UPSTREAM WHERE STRATUS COULD REDEVELOP AND AGAIN ADVECT BACK IN. AFTER MUCH COLLABORATION HAVE OPTED FOR CLOUDY CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON WITH A SUBTLE OPTIMISTIC TRANSITION TO PARTLY CLOUDY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. KEPT SKY COVER IN PARTLY CLOUDY RANGE TONIGHT WITH UNCERTAINTY CONTINUING AS TO DEGREE OF REDEVELOPMENT IF WE ACTUALLY DO BREAK OUT THIS AFTERNOON. STRONGER FLOW ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF NEXT SYSTEM SUGGEST ANY REMAINING STRATUS WOULD MIX OUT MID TO LATE MORNING. TEMPS OBVIOUSLY WILL BE IMPACTED SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THIS STRATUS. HAVE LOWERED HIGHS TODAY SEVERAL DEGREES BUT LIKELY NOT NEARLY ENOUGH IF CLOUDS PERSIST ALL DAY. HAVE TO RESPECT PARTIAL CLEARING IN AFTERNOON SO DID NOT GO AS LOW AS COLDEST MODEL BLENDS. 06Z NAM12 KEEPING TEMPS IN 30S ALL AREAS TODAY. MINS TONIGHT NOW HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON ACTUAL MAX TEMPS TODAY BUT EXPECT LITTLE DROP OFF WITH DECENT GRADIENT AND CLOUD POTENTIAL. KEPT TEMPS IN LOW TO MID 40S TONIGHT. HIGHS ON FRIDAY STILL LOOK TO BE NEAR 60 WITH BETTER MIXING BUT CONCERNS CONTINUE FOR LINGERING STRATUS IN THE MORNING. && .LONG TERM.../SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/ FEW SIG CHANGES TO LONG TERM WITH MODEL TURMOIL STILL ABUNDANT THROUGH THE PERIOD. ARRIVAL OF TROUGH FROM THE WEST AND ASSOCIATED PRECIP STILL NOT MUCH CLEARER WITH NAM/GFS SPREADING RAIN ACROSS THE AREA MID MORNING WEST INTO AFTERNOON EAST VS ECMWF MORE QUICK AFTERNOON ARRIVAL WEST TO EAST. THESE FASTER SOLUTIONS ALSO PUSHES PRECIP OUT AFTER 6Z SUN IN WESTERN AREAS. THINK COMPROMISE STILL NEEDED IN MODELS...MEANING GENERALLY SAME FORECAST FOR SAT/SAT NGT. TEMPS STILL GOING TO BE TRICKY BUT WITH INCREASING MID/HIGH CLOUDS THINK THEY WILL BE KEPT IN CHECK ESPECIALLY WEST. HAVE INCREASED SKY COVER TO REFLECT FASTER CLOUD ARRIVAL. ECMWF ONLY MODEL THAT STARTS PROGRESSIVE SUNDAY WITH GFS/GEFS/GEM ALL SHOWING CLOSED UPPER LOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES /IN VARYING LOCATIONS/. WITH TIME...ECMWF AND GEM CONTINUE A DEPICTION OF RAPID DEEPENING OF UPPER LOW AND MAJOR TRANSLATION SOUTHWARD IN ENERGY. GFS/GEFS HOLD WITH NORTHERN INFLUENCE BEING STRONGER. NEXT TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AND INTERACT WITH CLOSED LOW WHEREVER IT MAY BE. THINK THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A DECENT SHOT FOR PRECIP UNDER THE UPPER LOW WITH COOL NW FLOW ACROSS THE LAKE AND SYNOPTIC MSTR STILL ACROSS THE AREA. IN ADDITION...PIECE OF ENERGY SHOULD ROTATE ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY. WILL MAINTAIN MID RANGE CHC POPS FOR NOW WITH POSSIBLE INCREASE TO LIKELY WITH TIME. BASED ON THERMAL PROFILES...HAVE OPTED TO THROW IN MIX MENTION FOR THE DAY AS 1000-850 MB VALUES DROP TO NEAR OR BELOW 1300 M. HAVE ONLY MADE MINOR TWEAKS TO POPS FROM CR INIT TO PLACE HIGHER EMPHASIS ON PAST VS PRESENT WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER POPS. WHILE AN OUTLIER...IF ECMWF SOLUTION OF UPPER LOW EVENTUALLY WORKING NORTH TOWARDS THE AREA MON NGT INTO TUES NGT BODES TRUE...COULD BE RATHER WET. ECMWF HAS BEEN VERY VARIABLE OF LATE...BUT NO WORSE THAN SOME OF THE OTHERS LEADING TO AT LEAST CONSIDERATION OF THE SCENARIO. REGARDLESS OF SOLUTIONS...NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL BE IN STORE SUNDAY AND BEYOND. && .AVIATION... STRATUS DECK CONTINUES TO ADVECT RAPIDLY NORTHEAST OUT OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND INDIANA. THIS SHOULD OVERSPREAD TERMINAL SITES AROUND 07Z AT KSBN AND 08Z AND KFWA BASED ON LATEST EXTRAPOLATION FROM SATELLITE. CIGS GENERALLY IN THE 4-8HFT RANGE WITH VIS BETWEEN 1 AND 2SM. HAVE TRENDED TAFS TO THIS RANGE. MODELS NOT HANDLING STRATUS AREA WELL BUT NAM BUFKIT HINTED AT IT LAST NIGHT AND DOES SHOW SATURATED LOWER LEVELS BELOW VERY STRONG INVERSION AT BOTH TAF SITES. CONCERN IS NAM12 SOUNDINGS NOW SHOW SATURATED LOWER LEVELS PERSISTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY UNTIL VERY LATE AFTERNOON WHEN MIXING FINALLY DRIES OUT LOWER LEVELS. GIVEN TRENDS ON WEDNESDAY OF SLOW ERODING STRATUS HAVE TRENDED TAFS TO A MORE PESSIMISTIC NATURE WITH SLOWER EROSION OF LOW CLOUD DECK. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...NONE. MI...NONE. OH...NONE. LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY FOR LMZ043-046. && SHORT TERM...LASHLEY LONG TERM...FISHER AVIATION...LASHLEY
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 23, 11:00 AM EST, 17 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1100 AM EST WED NOV 23 2011 INZ009-018-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-241200- DE KALB-ALLEN IN-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AUBURN...GARRETT...FORT WAYNE...BRYAN... MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING... ANTWERP 1100 AM EST WED NOV 23 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHERN INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREA RIVERS WILL SEE RISING LEVELS TODAY AS A RESULT OF RECENT RAINFALL. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE MAUMEE BASIN WILL EXCEED FLOOD STAGE OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. FOG WILL REDEVELOP TONIGHT...WITH LOCALIZED AREAS OF DENSE FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY TO BELOW 1/2 MILE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MINOR FLOODING WILL PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MAUMEE BASIN INTO THE WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX INZ003>008-012>017-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ016-024-025- 241200- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-STARKE-PULASKI- MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH- HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI- ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC... FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...MONTICELLO... BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER... HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION... HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...BENTON HARBOR... ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS... THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT... DELPHOS...LIMA 1100 AM EST WED NOV 23 2011 /1000 AM CST WED NOV 23 2011/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO... SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREA RIVERS WILL SEE RISING LEVELS TODAY AS A RESULT OF RECENT RAINFALL. FOG WILL REDEVELOP TONIGHT...WITH LOCALIZED AREAS OF DENSE FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY TO BELOW 1/2 MILE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY RIVER LEVELS WILL FALL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX LMZ043-046-241200- NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 1100 AM EST WED NOV 23 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY...HOWEVER LOCALLY DENSE FOG WILL REDEVELOP TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT MAY OCCUR PERIODICALLY THROUGH TUESDAY. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Nov 23, 10:50 PM EST, 5 hours 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1050 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004- 005-015-016-024-025-240700- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB- STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN- WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD- JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS- FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN... NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX... NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE... PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES... SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON... MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO... WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON... OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND... HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES... BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS... MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON... COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE... BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE... SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER... PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA... FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA... SPENCERVILLE 1050 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011 /950 PM CST WED NOV 23 2011/ ...PATCHY DENSE FOG TONIGHT... CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAVE ALLOWED FOR PATCHY FOG FORMATION ACROSS THE AREA. THE FOG WILL BE LOCALLY DENSE WITH VISIBILITIES TEMPORARILY REDUCED TO A HALF OF A MILE OR LESS IN THE DENSER FOG PATCHES. AN AREA OF LOW CLOUDS LIFTING NORTHEAST OUT OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS IS EXPECTED OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT...PROVIDING SOME IMPROVEMENT TO VISIBILITIES FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...AND BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITIES OVER SHORT DISTANCES DUE TO THE PATCHY NATURE OF THE DENSER FOG.
Special weather statement, Nov 24, 3:01 AM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 301 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004- 005-015-016-024-025-241200- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB- STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN- WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD- JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS- FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN... NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX... NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE... PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES... SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON... MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO... WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON... OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND... HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES... BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS... MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON... COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE... BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE... SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER... PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA... FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA... SPENCERVILLE 301 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011 /201 AM CST THU NOV 24 2011/ ...AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS MORNING... FOG CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING WITH SOME AREAS EXPERIENCING DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITIES OF ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...AND BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITIES OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Indiana, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.