Small Craft Advisory 18, NWS Northern Indiana

501 
WHUS73 KIWX 130900
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
500 AM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

LMZ043-046-131700-
/O.EXT.KIWX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-110313T2200Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
500 AM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
  TODAY.

* WAVES: AROUND 6 FEET THIS MORNING WILL DECREASE TO UNDER 4 FEET
  BY THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

366 
WHUS73 KIWX 131405
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1005 AM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

LMZ043-046-132200-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-110313T2200Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1005 AM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

689 
WHUS73 KIWX 131956
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
356 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

LMZ043-046-132100-
/O.CAN.KIWX.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-110313T2200Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
356 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS CANCELLED
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING. WAVES WILL
ALSO CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE. THEREFORE...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
628 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

.AVIATION...

A FEW LARGE HOLES HAVE DEVELOPED IN CLOUD COVER WITH BOTH TAF SITES
SEEING VFR AT ISSUANCE. KSBN WILL SEE SCT CLOUDS FOR A FEW HOURS
BEFORE BKN TO OVC DECK MOVES BACK IN. UPSTREAM CIGS SUGGEST THIS
WILL BE MVFR DECK. KFWA MAY SEE SOME BKN MVFR CIGS EARLY BASED ON
IMMEDIATE UPSTREAM OBS SO INCLUDED A TEMPO GROUP FOR THIS. OTHERWISE
SOME CLEARING MAY WORK IN LATE EVENING WITH OPEN AREAS SEEN IN
SATELLITE. EXPECT THIS TO FILL BACK IN OVERNIGHT AS MORE DENSE CLOUD
COVER SETTLES SOUTH. WINDS WILL DIMINISH EARLY THIS EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE OVER NEXT SEVERAL HOURS
AS STRONG VORT MAX ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION SHIFTS OFF TO THE
EAST. THIS VORT MAX SHOULD TEND TO TRANSITION MORE TO AN OPEN WAVE
TONIGHT...ALLOWING FOR CONTINUED SLOW FILLING OF SFC LOW PRESSURE
ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. DESPITE SLOW FILLING THIS
AFTERNOON...WINDS ACROSS THE AREA HAVE BEEN NUDGING UP AGAINST WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA WITH A PERIOD OF VERY GUSTY WINDS EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON LIKELY ENHANCED BY STRONGEST ISALLOBARIC
CONTRIBUTION...AND OVER PAST HOUR RENEWED STRONG GUSTS TO AROUND 40
MPH HAVE BEEN NOTED DUE TO DEEPENING MIXED LAYER UNDER COLD
ADVECTION. WILL NOT ISSUE ANY WIND HEADLINES WITH GUSTS EXPECTED TO
TOP OUT AROUND 40 MPH NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING. ANOTHER
SHEARED VORT MAX UPSTREAM FROM EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA INTO CENTRAL
IOWA WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT RESULTING IN RENEWED LOW LEVEL
COLD ADVECTION. STRATOCU CURRENTLY ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD TEND TO
EXHIBIT SOME DIURNAL DEPENDENCY AND DIMINISH EARLY THIS EVENING.
DID INDICATE SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS AGAIN OVERNIGHT TO ACCOUNT
FOR POSSIBILITY OF STRATOCU REDEVELOPING OR SHIFTING SOUTHWARD AS
BAROCLINIC ZONE SHIFTS SOUTHWARD WITH SECONDARY COLD ADVECTION PUSH.

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE QUIET...ALTHOUGH ON THE CHILLY
SIDE...AS FORECAST AREA BECOMES ANCHORED ON THE COOL SIDE OF THIS
AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY. WITH ANTICYCLONE CENTERED TO THE
NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY...NORTHEAST WINDS OFF SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN
WILL LIKELY KEEP LAKESHORE AREAS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S...WHILE
AREAS ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH REACH INTO THE LOWER 40S. SFC HIGH WILL
BEGIN TO APPROACH THE AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT RESULTING IN
DIMINISHING WINDS AND BETTER RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WITH
LOWS GENERALLY IN THE MID 20S EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM...

MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

TUMULTUOUS PD W/ACTIVE WRLY FLW DVLPG ACRS THE CONUS. HWVR EVENTUAL
BREAK TWD GREATER AMPLIFICATION IN LTR PDS YIELDS INCREASING
UNCERTAINTY W/GENERALLY POOR CONTINUITY AND CONSISTENCY AMG MED
RANGE GUIDANCE.

TO START...ENERGETIC SW TROUGH ARRIVING ALG THE NRN CA COAST TO DIG
ESE INTO THE MID MS VALLEY MON BFR PHASING TO SOME DEGREE W/ADDNL
NRN STREAM ENERGY EJECTING EWD THROUGH SRN CANADA TUE AND
SUBSEQUENTLY LIFTING NEWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY TUE/WED. PRIOR LOW
CHC POPS GENERALLY LEFT AS IS W/CLEAR LACK OF TEMPORAL DETAIL YET TO
OFFER A HIGHER GRADED POP...ESP TUE NIGHT TIMED W/GREATER MED RANGE
PLACEMENT CLUSTERING OF MID LVL TROUGH OVR OH. IN THE WAKE OF THIS
SYS AND AHD OF STGR SECONDARY FOLLOWING NRN STREAM WAVE BREAKING EWD
OUT OF AMPLIFYING EPAC TROUGH MID WEEK...BLDG THERMAL RIDGING XPCD
THROUGH THE PLAINS/OH VALLEY. GUIDANCE TEMPS HAVE TRENDED WARMER MID
PD AS XPCD YDA AND KEPT CLOSE W/PRIOR NUMBERS WED-FRI ESP GIVEN
GREATER CONTINUITY OF ECMWF. HWVR LACK OF GREATER WRN TROUGHING AND
DEEPER BACKED FLW YIELDS QUESTIONABLE LL MSTR RTN AHD OF FNTL SYS
ASSOCD/W SECONDARY NRN STREAM WAVE AND STOOD PAT W/CONTD LOW CHC POP
MENTION DY6.

BEYOND THAT...MED RANGE SOLUTIONS DIVERGE CONSIDERABLY WRT TO
GREATER OVERALL MID LVL HGT AMPLIFICATION ACRS THE CONUS...IN
PARTICULAR ALG BOTH COASTS AND ESP SO OVR ERN CANADA. ECMWF/GFS
BECOME OUT OF PHASE W/ONE ANOTHER ON PLACEMENT OF POTENTIAL MID LVL
TROUGH DVLPMNT OUT EAST WHICH BREEDS SIG THERMAL DIFFS ACRS THE
GREAT LAKES DY9-11. WHILE ITS ABOUT THE SEASON FOR BACKDOOR COLD
FRONTS AND ERN CANADA MID LVL TROUGHING...WILL KEEP W/WARMEST
GUIDANCE TEMPS THROUGH NXT WEEKEND GIVEN MAJORITY OF GEFS MEMBERS
HOLDING MID LVL TROUGH DVLPMNT EWD OUT ACRS THE WRN ATL AND IN LIGHT
OF POOR CONTINUITY SEEN IN OP GFS SOLUTIONS.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LMZ043-046.

&&

SHORT TERM...MARSILI
LONG TERM...T
AVIATION...LASHLEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
927 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

OHZ001-002-004-131430-
WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRYAN...MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...
DEFIANCE
927 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WEST WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE MAINLY ON THE TIFFIN RIVER NEAR
STRYKER. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENTS AND
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

MINOR FLOODING WILL PERSIST ON THE TIFFIN RIVER INTO TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ005-015-016-024-
025-131430-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-
VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...NAPOLEON...
PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
927 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011 /827 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WEST WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-131430-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
927 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...
OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE