Severe Thunderstorm Warning 96, NWS Northern Indiana

282 
WWUS53 KIWX 042130
SVSIWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
530 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

INC017-049-131-042215-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0096.000000T0000Z-110604T2215Z/
FULTON IN-PULASKI IN-CASS IN-
530 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM
EDT/515 PM CDT/ FOR NORTHWESTERN CASS AND SOUTHWESTERN FULTON
COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...AND SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTY
IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...

AT 526 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS SEVERE STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR ROYAL CENTER...OR ABOUT 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LOGANSPORT...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHWESTERN CASS...SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI AND SOUTHWESTERN FULTON
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS LUCERNE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN NORTHERN INDIANA.

&&

LAT...LON 4100 8647 4100 8629 4088 8630 4082 8649
      4089 8659
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 307DEG 30KT 4087 8644
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

949 
WWUS53 KIWX 042141
SVSIWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
541 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

INC017-049-131-042151-
/O.CAN.KIWX.SV.W.0096.000000T0000Z-110604T2215Z/
FULTON IN-PULASKI IN-CASS IN-
541 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN CASS AND
SOUTHWESTERN FULTON COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA IS CANCELLED...

AT 540 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND
NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN NORTHERN INDIANA.

&&

LAT...LON 4100 8647 4100 8629 4088 8630 4082 8649
      4089 8659
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 307DEG 30KT 4081 8634

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
246 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

.SHORT TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE CWA THIS AFTN WITH
3-4KJ/KG MIXED LAYER CAPE AND LITTLE TO NO CONVECTIVE INHIBITION.
ALTHOUGH FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH CDFNT/SHRTWV MOVG ACROSS SRN WI/NW
IL IS WEAK...IT MAY BE SUFFICIENT WHEN COMBINED WITH LAKE BREEZE
INTERACTION FOR SCT TSTM DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES SE ACROSS THE AREA
LATE THIS AFTN/EVE. GIVEN LARGE CAPE/DCAPE AND AROUND 30KT 0-6KM
SHEAR... THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SVR STORMS...  WITH DAMAGING WINDS
THE MAIN THREAT. INITIAL STORM DEVELOPMENT COULD ALSO CONTAIN LARGE
HAIL AS 800 J/KG CAPE IN HAIL GROWTH ZONE AND RELATIVELY DRY MID
LEVEL AIR SHOULD COUNTERACT DETRIMENTAL AFFECTS OF 13-14KFT FREEZING
LEVELS. ASSUMING CONVECTIVE INITIATION DOES OCCUR... A QUICK
TRANSITION FROM CELLS TO SMALL BOWS LIKELY GIVEN UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW
EVIDENT ON WOLCOTT PROFILER.

CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE OUT OF SRN PORTION OF THE AREA BY 06Z AS
CDFNT MOVES INTO SRN IN/OH. SFC HIGH WILL MOVE INTO THE UPR GRTLKS
BEHIND THIS FRONT PROVIDING FAIR WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY. AS
THE HIGH MOVES TO THE LWR GRTLKS SUNDAY NIGHT WAA WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS OUR CWA. CONVECTION PSBL LATE TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT
OVER THE PLAINS WHERE STALLING/RETREATING FRONT AT NOSE OF LLJ WILL
PROVIDE SOME ISENT LIFT/LOW LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION. THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD MOVE SE AND ATTM EXPECT IT WILL REMAIN WEST OF OUR CWA SO DRY
WX FCST AFT 06Z TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH CONVECTIVE
DEBRIS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. LITTLE CHANGE TO
GOING TEMP GRIDS OR 12Z MOS GUIDANCE WITH TEMPS EXPECTED TO FALL
BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A NORTH ATLANTIC OMEGA BLOCK WILL HOLD THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD
SUPPORTING A PERSISTENT LARGE SCALE FLOW PATTERN ACROSS NOAM. THE
LOCAL AREA WILL GENERALLY BE LOCATED ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN
EXPANSIVE RIDGE THAT WILL BE CENTERED ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND
SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS. LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVES AND/OR CONVECTIVELY
MODIFIED VORT MAXES WILL LIKELY PROPAGATE EWD OVER/ALONG THE RIDGE
AXIS. THESE WEAK MID LVL IMPULSES WILL LIKELY AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT
OF SHOWERS/SHOWERS ALONG A LOW LEVEL THETA-E RIDGE / HIGH PWAT /
AXIS THAT WILL MIXING NEWD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WITH
THIS CONTINUED WITH CHC POPS MAINLY MONDAY AFTN AND NIGHT...AND
ADDED LOW CHC POPS TO TUESDAY MORNING IN THE NE WITH THE BOUNDARY
NEAR.

MEDIUM RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO LIFT THE THE WARM
FRONT/THETA-E RIDGE NORTH OF THE FA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY
AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS NWD INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES IN
RESPONSE TO HIGH PLAINS HEIGHT FALLS. HIGH TEMPS NEAR 90F WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE SW ON TUESDAY...WITH WEDNESDAY HIGHS NEAR 90F
CWA-WIDE. BUILDING HUMIDITY DURING THIS TIME WILL SUPPORT
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS...ALTHOUGH LACK OF ANY OBVIOUS
TRIGGER AND SUBTLE MID LVL CAPPING/DRYING ENOUGH TO CONTINUE WITH A
14 POP/DRY FCST. LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY LOOKS SOMEWHAT
SIMILAR TO TODAY AS A STRONGER MID LVL IMPULSE TRACKS EWD THROUGH
THE NRN GREAT LAKES...AGAIN FLATTENING THE UPPER RIDGE AND SENDING A
COLD FRONT SEWD BACK INTO THE FA. WITH THIS CONTINUED WITH CHC
POPS FOR SHOWERS/STORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY GIVEN SUBTLE
TIMING DIFFERENCES IN GUIDANCE.

LARGER SPREAD IN MODEL GUIDANCE AS EXPECTED BY DAYS 6-7
(FRIDAY/SATURDAY). THE 12Z OP GFS TRENDED MORE TOWARDS THE ECMWF IN
THURSDAY'S NRN GREAT LAKES SHORTWAVE DIVING SEWD INTO THE NORTHEAST
US. THIS SUPPORTS A FLATTENING OF THE UPPER RIDGE...SFC RIDGING INTO
THE GREAT LAKES...AND THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL BOUNDARY SINKING
WELL SOUTH OF THE FA. IF THIS PANS OUT WE WOULD SEE A RETURN TO
DRY/COOLER/LESS HUMID WX BY DAYS 6/7. HOWEVER...OPTED NOT TO PULL
INHERITED LOW CHC POPS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY GIVEN MODEL
INCONSISTENCIES THIS FAR IN ADVANCE...AND FOR THE FACT THAT SEVERAL
GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS STALL THE BOUNDARY FARTHER NORTH INVOF THE CWA.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER NRN INDIANA THIS AFTN. A CDFNT
MOVG THROUGH NW IL/SE WI SHOULD DROP ACROSS NRN INDIANA BY THIS
EVENING. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO TRIGGER SCT TSTMS...WHICH
GIVEN THE INSTABILITY IN PLACE...COULD BE SVR WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...THUS MAINTAINED GOING TEMPO +TSRA GROUP AT BOTH
TERMINALS LATE THIS AFTN. SOME LINGERING MID/HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED
TNGT AND SUNDAY. WINDS WILL VEER NE BEHIND THE FRONT OVERNIGHT...
AND THEN LIKELY BACK NW AGAIN AT SBN SUNDAY AS LAKE BREEZE MOVES
INLAND WITH LIGHT GRADIENT FLOW. LINGERING MOISTURE AND LIGHT
WINDS MAY ALLOW PATCHY BR TO DVLP OVERNIGHT... AND ADDED MVFR VSBY
RESTRICTION TO FWA TAF AROUND DAYBREAK.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JT
LONG TERM...STEINWEDEL
AVIATION...JT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
426 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-052030-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
426 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011 /326 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREATS ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY
NIGHT...AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. IT REMAINS TOO
EARLY TO DETERMINE THE CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-052030-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
426 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN SEVERE WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY
NIGHT...AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. IT REMAINS TOO
EARLY TO DETERMINE THE CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
431 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

INZ024>026-042130-
HUNTINGTON IN-WABASH IN-WELLS IN-
431 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
BLACKFORD...EXTREME NORTHWESTERN JAY...WELLS...EXTREME WESTERN
ADAMS...SOUTHERN HUNTINGTON AND EASTERN WABASH COUNTIES...

AT 430 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
RAPIDLY DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORM NEAR ANDREWS...OR 8 MILES EAST OF
WABASH...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  HUNTINGTON...
  BLUFFTON...
  MARKLE...
  MOUNT ETNA...
  LANCASTER...
  MAJENICA...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN MICHIGAN AND
NORTHWESTERN OHIO.

LAT...LON 4089 8548 4083 8507 4059 8508 4058 8521
      4072 8560 4080 8576 4088 8572
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 283DEG 27KT 4083 8567

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
432 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

INZ032>034-042115-
BLACKFORD IN-GRANT IN-JAY IN-
432 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD SOUTHERN BLACKFORD...
SOUTHWESTERN JAY AND SOUTHEASTERN GRANT COUNTIES...

AT 426 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR UPLAND...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...HAIL UP TO A HALF AN INCH IN
DIAMETER...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  HARTFORD CITY...
  DUNKIRK...
  REDKEY...
  SHAMROCK LAKES...
  MILL GROVE AND TRENTON...
  CENTER...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN MICHIGAN AND
NORTHWESTERN OHIO.

LAT...LON 4039 8522 4040 8561 4057 8559 4044 8491
      4032 8496 4032 8521
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 287DEG 24KT 4047 8546

MCS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
440 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

INZ012>015-042130-
FULTON IN-MARSHALL IN-PULASKI IN-STARKE IN-
340 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD EXTREME NORTHEASTERN CASS...
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MIAMI...SOUTHWESTERN MARSHALL AND FULTON
COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...AND PULASKI AND SOUTHERN STARKE
COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...

AT 335 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
RAPIDLY DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORM NEAR MEDARYVILLE...OR 13 MILES
NORTHWEST OF WINAMAC...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  WINAMAC...
  CULVER...
  DENHAM...
  RIPLEY...
  BEARDSTOWN...BASS LAKE AND PULASKI...
  VANMETER PARK AND ORA...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING/1000 PM EDT SATURDAY EVENING/ FOR NORTHERN INDIANA
AND SOUTHERN MICHIGAN AND NORTHWESTERN OHIO.

LAT...LON 4123 8692 4122 8635 4118 8609 4100 8615
      4100 8617 4091 8618 4091 8626 4095 8670
      4105 8691
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 280DEG 23KT 4112 8679

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
444 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0442 PM     HAIL             HARTFORD CITY           40.45N  85.37W
06/04/2011  E0.25 INCH       BLACKFORD          IN   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1100988

EB