Severe Thunderstorm Warning 118, NWS Northern Indiana

718 
WWUS53 KIWX 212251
SVSIWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
651 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

OHC003-137-161-212315-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0118.000000T0000Z-110621T2315Z/
PUTNAM OH-VAN WERT OH-ALLEN OH-
651 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL ALLEN...EXTREME EAST CENTRAL VAN WERT AND
SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...

AT 647 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS SEVERE STORM WAS
LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF DELPHOS...AND MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  KALIDA...CLOVERDALE AND DUPONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN NORTHERN INDIANA.

&&

LAT...LON 4083 8421 4079 8425 4081 8435 4085 8438
      4099 8435 4099 8433 4104 8434 4108 8433
      4105 8415 4097 8412
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 198DEG 19KT 4093 8428
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

NG

467 
WWUS53 KIWX 212315
SVSIWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
715 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

OHC003-137-161-212325-
/O.EXP.KIWX.SV.W.0118.000000T0000Z-110621T2315Z/
PUTNAM OH-VAN WERT OH-ALLEN OH-
715 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL ALLEN...EXTREME
EAST CENTRAL VAN WERT AND SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL OHIO HAS EXPIRED...

AT 712 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED.
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN NORTHERN INDIANA.

&&

LAT...LON 4083 8421 4079 8425 4081 8435 4085 8438
      4099 8435 4099 8433 4104 8434 4108 8433
      4105 8415 4097 8412
TIME...MOT...LOC 2315Z 198DEG 19KT 4105 8423

$$

NG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
259 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

.SHORT TERM...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

STACKED/FILLING LOW WILL MEANDER EWD FROM NEAR NORTHWEST IOWA THIS
AFTN TO CENTRAL WI BY LATE WEDNESDAY. MOIST/UNSTABLE SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW ON THE SOUTHEASTERN FRINGE OF THIS FEATURE WILL SUPPORT AN
ACTIVE PERIOD WITH OPPORTUNITIES FOR CONVECTION.

WEAK AREA OF LOW LVL SPEED CONVERGENCE ACROSS ILLINOIS...PER 925/850
HPA AREA PROFILERS...SHOULD CONTINUE ITS PROPAGATION NEWD INTO THE
FA LATER THIS AFTN AND EVE. IT IS THIS FEATURE...A WEAK CONVECTIVELY
MODIFIED MID LVL IMPULSE OVER SRN IL...AND AN APPROACHING LEFTOVER
MCV OVER SE MO THAT SHOULD PROVIDE THE TRIGGER FOR LATE AFTN AND
EVE SCT CONVECTION. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY NOT A PROBLEM THIS GO
AROUND WITH LOW LVL THETA-E RIDGE OVERHEAD SUPPORTING SBCAPE/S
NEAR 4000 J/KG. MORNING 700 HPA CAP HAS BEEN NEARLY ERODED BY EXIT
OF EML AND SFC HEATING AS TEMPS HAVE RISEN TO PROGGED CONVECTIVE
TEMPS. WOLCOTT PROFILER SHOWING RELATIVELY LIGHT UNIDIRECTIONAL SW
FLOW AND MARGINAL DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 25-30 KNOTS IN
THE WEST...LESS THAN 25 KNOTS EAST. THIS HIGH INSTABILITY/LOW
SHEAR ENVIRONMENT IS MAINLY SUPPORTIVE OF PULSE STORMS...WITH
ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THE MAIN THREAT FROM PRECIP LOADING. LARGE
HAIL WILL BE HARDER TO COME BY GIVEN SUCH A WARM/MOIST THERMAL
PROFILE. PWATS NEAR 1.7 INCHES...DEEP WARM CLOUD LAYER...AND
EXPECTED SLOWER CELL MOVEMENT HINTS AT A HEAVY RAIN THREAT. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION THIS AND THE ISO SVR THREAT IN THE HWO.
SHOWER/STORM CHANCES WANE WITH TIME TONIGHT GIVEN BOUNDARY LAYER
COOLING AND BETTER SYNOPTIC SUPPORT RESIDING NORTH AND WEST OF
THE FA.

LOWER CHC POPS FOR SHOWER/STORM WARRANTED LATER TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS SYSTEM DRY SLOT BRIEFLY WORKS IN. THIS
POTENTIAL DRY SLOT SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH MORNING SFC
HEATING/INSOLATION TO ALLOW FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SCT/NUM
SHOWER/STORMS WED AFTN/EVE AS THE PRIMARY SFC TROUGH TRANSLATES
INTO THE SRN GREAT LAKES. STRONGER MID LVL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL
PROVIDE AMPLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED MUTICELLULAR CLUSTERS
AND ISOLATED SUPERCELLS...WITH THE LIMITING FACTORS BEING ANY
LINGERING AFFECTS FROM TONIGHT/S CONVECTION AND FOR A LESS
UNSTABLE LOW LVL ENVIRONMENT BEHIND TODAY/S PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH-
LIKE FEATURE. COOLER THERMAL PROFILE AND SUSTAINABLE UPDRAFTS
SUPPORT A HAIL THREAT...WHILE MODEST UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW THROUGH
THE COLUMN AND POSSIBLE MULTICELL ORGANIZATION SUPPORTS A WIND
THREAT IF STORMS ARE ABLE TO FIRE AS STILL EXPECT MLCAPE VALUES UP
BTW 1000-1500 J/KG. SCT SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE NW...AS DEEP WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WI UPPER LOW ROTATES IN.

&&

.LONG TERM...
THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTH
INTO CANADA EARLY IN THE PERIOD AS A RIDGE GRADUALLY BUILDS OVER THE
EAST CONUS. THE GFS AND CANADIAN ENSEMBLE ANALOGS ARE SHOWING GOOD
AGREEMENT AND REASONABLE CORRELATION/0.86 TO 0.90/ IN THE LARGE
SCALE PATTERN OF BUILDING AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. A
CAVEAT IS FOR A SHORT WAVE TROF TO TOP THE RIDGE AND BRING A CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE IN THE PERIOD. FOR NOW...HAVE KEPT
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY DRY GIVEN LOW CONFIDENCE IN THIS ABOVE
SOLUTION AND LACK OF SUPPORT AMONG GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS.
OTHERWISE...KEPT A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT
FOLLOWED BY DRY CONDITIONS. THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM BECOMES WELL
OCCLUDED BY FRIDAY WITH SOME DRIER AIR SPREADING INTO THE AREA FROM
THE WEST PER 305K GFS ISENTROPIC SURFACE..

&&

.AVIATION... / 18Z TAFS /

CONVERGENT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM MID MS VALLEY CONVECTION WILL
SLIDE EWD INTO THE FA THIS AFTN...LIKELY SUPPORTING SCT
SHOWERS/STORMS AT THE TERMINALS WITHIN VERY UNSTABLE THETA-E
PLUME. ANY STORMS LATER THIS AFTN AND EARLY THIS EVE WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE BRIEF TIMES OF MVFR/IFR CIGS/VIS. CONTINUED WITH A TEMPO
GROUP AT BOTH FWA AND SBN TO HIGHLIGHT THIS POTENTIAL. OPTED FOR A
CONTINUATION OF AN OPTIMISTIC VFR FCST TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW
MORNING AS THE FA WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF A WARM FRONT IN A DECENTLY
MIXED WARM SECTOR.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...STEINWEDEL
LONG TERM...SKIPPER
AVIATION...STEINWEDEL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
602 AM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-LMZ043-046-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-
002-004-005-015-016-024-025-221000-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-
DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
602 AM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011 /502 AM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...NORTHERN INDIANA AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS
OF SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHWEST INDIANA THIS
AFTERNOON AND SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH EVENING. A FEW STORMS MAY
BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION...AREAS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OVER NORTHWEST INDIANA AND SPREAD
EASTWARD INTO OHIO BY EVENING...WITH AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE STORMS
CONTAINING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
600 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

MIZ077-078-212245-
BERRIEN MI-CASS MI-
600 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN CASS AND EASTERN BERRIEN
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...

AT 556 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTH OF DOWAGIAC...OR 6 MILES NORTHEAST
OF NILES...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  DOWAGIAC...
  CASSOPOLIS...
  POKAGON...
  DIAMOND LAKE...
  LA GRANGE...
  INDIAN LAKE AND PENN...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4207 8622 4208 8594 4207 8584 4180 8604
      4180 8608 4185 8628 4209 8628 4209 8623
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 197DEG 17KT 4189 8615

NG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
600 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

INZ026-033-212230-
BLACKFORD IN-WELLS IN-
600 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD NORTHEASTERN BLACKFORD...
NORTHWESTERN JAY AND WELLS COUNTIES...

AT 556 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MONTPELIER...OR 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF
HARTFORD CITY...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

UP TO DIME SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  BLUFFTON...
  WELLSBURG...PONETO AND REIFFSBURG...
  TRAVISVILLE...
  LIBERTY CENTER...
  NORTH OAKS AND ROCKFORD...
  MURRAY...UNIONDALE AND KINGSLAND...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4054 8527 4061 8534 4088 8533 4089 8508
      4059 8511 4057 8514 4057 8520 4054 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 181DEG 23KT 4059 8523

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
602 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             3 E LINKVILLE           41.42N  86.24W
06/21/2011  M0.70 INCH       MARSHALL           IN   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1101068

SC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
602 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

MIZ079-080-212230-
BRANCH MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-
602 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD NORTHEASTERN ST. JOSEPH AND
NORTHWESTERN BRANCH COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...

AT 556 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR COLON...OR 13 MILES WEST OF COLDWATER...
MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  UNION CITY...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4207 8508 4194 8513 4197 8539 4208 8535
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 191DEG 10KT 4201 8524

NG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
608 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

OHZ025-212245-
ALLEN OH-
608 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD CENTRAL ALLEN AND EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...

AT 606 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FORT SHAWNEE...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

UP TO DIME SIZE HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  LIMA...
  ELIDA...
  KEMP...
  NEEDMORE...
  GOMER AND CAIRO...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4067 8412 4065 8416 4066 8421 4069 8422
      4068 8423 4068 8430 4070 8433 4086 8432
      4086 8405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 192DEG 22KT 4070 8423

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
610 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

OHZ005-016-212245-
HENRY OH-PUTNAM OH-
610 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN HENRY AND EASTERN
PUTNAM COUNTIES...

AT 606 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR COLUMBUS GROVE...OR NEAR OTTAWA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  OTTAWA AND GLANDORF...
  LEIPSIC...
  DESHLER...
  GILBOA...
  WEST LEIPSIC...
  PRENTISS...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4092 8399 4091 8400 4092 8418 4117 8411
      4125 8388 4092 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 214DEG 25KT 4099 8404

NG