Alert archive / Indiana / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 124, NWS Northern Indiana

December 4, 2011Cass County, Miami County, Wabash County, Indiana

NWS Northern Indiana issued this river flood warning at Dec 4, 2011, 10:25 AM EST for Cass County, Miami County, Wabash County, Indiana. It took effect at Dec 4, 2011, 9:02 PM EST. It was in force for 19 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 4, 2011, 10:25 AM EST (15:25 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 4, 2011, 9:02 PM EST
Expired
Dec 5, 2011, 3:36 PM EST
In force
19 hr
Issued by
NWS Northern Indiana
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Cass County, IN, Miami County, IN, Wabash County, IN

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Wabash River at Wabash (WABI3). The gauge peaked at 14.32 ft at Dec 4, 2011, 4:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderate10152012/0412/0512/06
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
14 ft
Moderate stage
19 ft
Major stage
23 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03325000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

602 
WGUS43 KIWX 041525
FLWIWX
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1025 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

  EEL RIVER AT NORTH MANCHESTER AFFECTING CASS...KOSCIUSKO...MIAMI...
  WABASH AND WHITLEY COUNTIES
  WABASH RIVER AT WABASH AFFECTING CASS...MIAMI AND WABASH COUNTIES

.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL AND SNOWMELT...COMBINED WITH ADDITIONAL EXPECTED
RAINFALL TODAY AND MONDAY...WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE EEL
RIVER AT NORTH MANCHESTER AND THE WABASH RIVER AT WABASH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IN 
ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

&&

INC017-085-103-169-183-051525-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FL.W.0123.111205T0000Z-111208T1000Z/
/NMCI3.1.ER.111205T0000Z.111206T0000Z.111207T1000Z.NO/
1025 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE EEL RIVER AT NORTH MANCHESTER
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EVENING AND
  CREST NEAR 10.5 FEET AROUND  7 AM TUESDAY DECEMBER  6 AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  5 AM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER  7.
* AT 8.0 FEET...THE RIVER IS AT BANKFULL CONDITIONS...EXPECT OVERFLOW
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND TO BEGIN.

$$

INC017-103-169-051524-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FL.W.0124.111205T0300Z-111208T1500Z/
/WABI3.1.ER.111205T0300Z.111206T0600Z.111207T1500Z.NO/
1025 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE WABASH RIVER AT WABASH
* FROM THIS EVENING TO THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY NIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 14.6 FEET AROUND  1 AM TUESDAY DECEMBER  6 AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER  7.
* AT 14.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS IN RURAL WABASH COUNTY.

$$
4 follow-up statements
170 
WGUS83 KIWX 050206
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
906 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  EEL RIVER AT NORTH MANCHESTER AFFECTING CASS...KOSCIUSKO...MIAMI...
  WABASH AND WHITLEY COUNTIES 
  WABASH RIVER AT WABASH AFFECTING CASS...MIAMI AND WABASH COUNTIES 
  MAUMEE RIVER AT FORT WAYNE AFFECTING ALLEN AND PAULDING COUNTIES 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO BELOW MONTPELIER AFFECTING WILLIAMS COUNTY 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO NEAR ST. JOE RIVER FORT WAYNE AFFECTING 
  ALLEN COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS... 

  TIPPECANOE RIVER NEAR ORA AFFECTING FULTON...KOSCIUSKO...
  MARSHALL...PULASKI AND STARKE COUNTIES 
  WABASH RIVER NEAR BLUFFTON AFFECTING HUNTINGTON AND WELLS COUNTIES
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE AFFECTING ALLEN...DE KALB 
  AND DEFIANCE COUNTIES 
  SAINT MARYS RIVER NEAR DECATUR AFFECTING ADAMS...ALLEN AND VAN 
  WERT COUNTIES 
  TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER AFFECTING DEFIANCE...FULTON AND WILLIAMS
  COUNTIES 
 
.MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG AREA RIVERS. ALTHOUGH MOST
OF THE RIVERS HAVE CRESTED AND ARE CURRENTLY RECEDING...FLOODING MAY BE
PROLONGED OR EXACERBATED BY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IN 
ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

&&

OHC171-060206-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-111208T1200Z/
/MONO1.2.ER.111129T1710Z.111201T1200Z.111207T1200Z.NR/
906 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO BELOW MONTPELIER
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 7 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.3 FEET AROUND  7 
  AM TUESDAY DECEMBER  6 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  7 AM 
  WEDNESDAY DECEMBER  7.
* AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY ROAD K, ONE MILE SOUTHWEST OF MONTPELIER 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD. SOME FLOODING BEGINS TO AFFECT THE VILLAGE OF 
  PIONEER. SIGNIFICANT LOW LAND AND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS NEAR
  THE RIVER.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.6 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON MAR 7 2011.

$$

INC003-033-OHC039-060206-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NVLI3.2.ER.111125T0400Z.111202T0945Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
906 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO NEAR 14.1 FEET AROUND  1 AM 
  MONDAY DECEMBER  5. 
* AT 14.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OCCURS ON DEKALB COUNTY ROAD 42
  ABOUT 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF NEWVILLE. CONSIDERABLE AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOW LAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE ST. JOSEPH RIVER TO THE 
  CEDARVILLE RESERVOIR. 

$$

INC003-060206-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-111209T2000Z/
/ROOI3.1.ER.111129T0951Z.111201T0800Z.111208T2000Z.NO/
906 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO NEAR ST. JOE RIVER FORT WAYNE
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 12.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  3 PM THURSDAY DECEMBER  8.
* AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLAND AND FARMLAND NEAR THE RIVER 
  INCREASES.

$$

INC017-085-103-169-183-060205-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-111207T1500Z/
/NMCI3.1.ER.111205T1800Z.111206T0600Z.111206T1500Z.NO/
906 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE EEL RIVER AT NORTH MANCHESTER
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY AFTERNOON  
  AND CREST NEAR 9.2 FEET AROUND  1 AM TUESDAY DECEMBER  6 AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10 AM TUESDAY DECEMBER  6.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOOD WATER NEARS THE LUMBER COMPANY AND TRAILER 
  COURT ON SOUTH MILL STREET.

$$

INC049-085-099-131-149-060205-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-111208T1200Z/
/ORAI3.1.ER.111202T1430Z.111204T0345Z.111207T1200Z.NO/
906 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIPPECANOE RIVER NEAR ORA
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND  7 PM 
  MONDAY DECEMBER  5.
* AT 12.0 FEET...THE RIVER IS AT FLOOD STAGE...SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND 
  AND RURAL FLOODING BEGINS.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.0 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON JAN 6 2005.

$$

INC069-179-060205-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLFI3.1.ER.111130T0908Z.111208T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER NEAR BLUFFTON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY NIGHT  AND 
  CREST NEAR 12.4 FEET AROUND  7 PM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER  7. ADDITIONAL
  RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 12.0 FEET...RIVER ROAD AND A FEW COUNTY ROADS ARE CLOSED BY HIGH
  WATER.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.3 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON APR 29 2011.

$$

INC017-103-169-060205-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0124.111205T0202Z-111208T0900Z/
/WABI3.1.ER.111204T1741Z.111204T2130Z.111207T0900Z.NO/
906 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT WABASH
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING  
  AND CREST NEAR 14.2 FEET AROUND  1 PM TUESDAY DECEMBER  6 AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  4 AM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER  7.
* AT 14.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS IN RURAL WABASH COUNTY.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON APR 6 2009.

$$

INC003-OHC125-060205-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-111210T1800Z/
/FTWI3.2.ER.111129T1351Z.111201T1715Z.111209T1800Z.NO/
906 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER AT FORT WAYNE
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 17.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  1 PM FRIDAY DECEMBER  9.
* AT 19.0 FEET...THE CITY OF FORT WAYNE LAUNCHES 24-HOUR FLOOD FIGHT.

$$

OHC039-069-060205-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-111210T0600Z/
/DEFO1.2.ER.111129T1230Z.111201T1215Z.111209T0600Z.NO/
906 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.3 FEET AROUND  7 
  AM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER  7 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  1 AM 
  FRIDAY DECEMBER  9.
* AT 12.3 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS ON AUGLAIZE AND EAST FRONT STREETS 
  AND IN THE REAR OF THE BUILDING AT LEEVER GLASS.

$$

INC001-003-OHC161-060205-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DCRI3.2.ER.111129T1512Z.111201T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT MARYS RIVER NEAR DECATUR
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* AT 18.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 225 NORTH...JUST NORTH OF PLEASANT MILLS
  INDIANA IS CLOSED BY FLOOD WATER. LOW LAND AREAS OF KEKIONGA PARK 
  ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF DECATUR BEGIN FLOODING. FLOODING IS 
  LIMITED TO FARM LAND IN PLEASANT MILLS INDIANA AND WILSHIRE OHIO.

$$

OHC039-051-171-060205-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STRO1.3.ER.111123T0903Z.111201T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
906 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO NEAR 13.7 FEET AROUND  1 AM 
  MONDAY DECEMBER  5. 
* AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT SOME FARM BUILDINGS 
  NEAR STRYKER AND FLOOD SOME SECONDARY ROADS.

$$
796 
WGUS83 KIWX 051014
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
514 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  EEL RIVER AT NORTH MANCHESTER AFFECTING CASS...KOSCIUSKO...MIAMI...
  WABASH AND WHITLEY COUNTIES 
  WABASH RIVER AT WABASH AFFECTING CASS...MIAMI AND WABASH COUNTIES 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS... 

  SAINT MARYS RIVER NEAR DECATUR AFFECTING ADAMS...ALLEN AND VAN 
  WERT COUNTIES 
 
.MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG AREA RIVERS. ALTHOUGH MOST
OF THE RIVERS HAVE CRESTED AND ARE CURRENTLY RECEDING...FLOODING MAY BE
PROLONGED OR EXACERBATED BY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IN 
ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

&&

INC017-085-103-169-183-061014-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-111207T0600Z/
/NMCI3.1.ER.111206T0600Z.111206T0600Z.111206T0600Z.NO/
514 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE EEL RIVER AT NORTH MANCHESTER
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO RISE LATER THIS MORNING AND
  WILL RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND 1 AM TUESDAY DECEMBER  6.
* AT 9.0 FEET...THE RIVER IS AT FLOOD STAGE...MINOR AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING OCCURS.

$$

INC017-103-169-061013-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-111209T2100Z/
/WABI3.1.ER.111204T1741Z.111207T0000Z.111208T2100Z.NO/
514 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT WABASH
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO RISE LATER THIS MORNING. THE RIVER
  WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EVENING AND CREST NEAR 14.7 FEET AROUND
  7 PM TUESDAY DECEMBER 6.
* AT 14.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS IN RURAL WABASH COUNTY.

$$

INC001-003-OHC161-061013-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DCRI3.2.ER.111129T1512Z.111201T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
514 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT MARYS RIVER NEAR DECATUR
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 18.7 FEET AROUND  1 
  AM FRIDAY DECEMBER 9 AND BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 18.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 225 NORTH...JUST NORTH OF PLEASANT MILLS
  INDIANA IS CLOSED BY FLOOD WATER. LOW LAND AREAS OF KEKIONGA PARK 
  ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF DECATUR BEGIN FLOODING. FLOODING IS 
  LIMITED TO FARM LAND IN PLEASANT MILLS INDIANA AND WILSHIRE OHIO.

$$
608 
WGUS83 KIWX 051608
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1108 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  TIPPECANOE RIVER NEAR ORA AFFECTING FULTON...KOSCIUSKO...MARSHALL...
  PULASKI AND STARKE COUNTIES 
  WABASH RIVER NEAR BLUFFTON AFFECTING HUNTINGTON AND WELLS COUNTIES 
  WABASH RIVER AT WABASH AFFECTING CASS...MIAMI AND WABASH COUNTIES 
  MAUMEE RIVER AT FORT WAYNE AFFECTING ALLEN AND PAULDING COUNTIES 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO BELOW MONTPELIER AFFECTING WILLIAMS COUNTY 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO NEAR ST. JOE RIVER FORT WAYNE AFFECTING 
  ALLEN COUNTY 
  SAINT MARYS RIVER NEAR DECATUR AFFECTING ADAMS...ALLEN AND VAN WERT 
  COUNTIES 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS... 

  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE AFFECTING ALLEN...DE KALB 
  AND DEFIANCE COUNTIES 
  TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER AFFECTING DEFIANCE...FULTON AND WILLIAMS
  COUNTIES 
 
.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND HAS CAUSED MINOR
FLOODING ALONG AREA RIVERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IN 
ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

&&

INC049-085-099-131-149-061608-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-111207T0600Z/
/ORAI3.1.ER.111202T1430Z.111204T0345Z.111206T0600Z.NO/
1108 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE TIPPECANOE RIVER NEAR ORA
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND  7 PM 
  MONDAY DECEMBER  5.
* AT 12.0 FEET...THE RIVER IS AT FLOOD STAGE...SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND 
  AND RURAL FLOODING BEGINS.

$$

INC069-179-061607-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-111210T1030Z/
/BLFI3.1.ER.111130T0908Z.111208T0000Z.111209T1030Z.NO/
1108 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER NEAR BLUFFTON
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET AND STALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON
  AND CREST NEAR 11.0 FEET AROUND  1 AM THURSDAY DECEMBER  8 AND FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  5 AM FRIDAY DECEMBER  9.
* AT 11.0 FEET...RIVER ROAD AT BLUFFTON BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

INC017-103-169-061607-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-111208T0000Z/
/WABI3.1.ER.111204T1741Z.111204T2130Z.111207T0000Z.NO/
1108 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT WABASH
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND  7 PM 
  TUESDAY DECEMBER  6.
* AT 14.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS IN RURAL WABASH COUNTY.

$$

INC003-OHC125-061607-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-111208T2159Z/
/FTWI3.2.ER.111129T1351Z.111201T1715Z.111207T2159Z.NO/
1108 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER AT FORT WAYNE
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 17.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  4 PM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER  7.
* AT 19.0 FEET...THE CITY OF FORT WAYNE LAUNCHES 24-HOUR FLOOD FIGHT.

$$

OHC039-069-061607-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-111209T2248Z/
/DEFO1.2.ER.111129T1230Z.111201T1215Z.111208T2248Z.NO/
1108 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET AROUND  1 
  PM TUESDAY DECEMBER  6 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  5 PM 
  THURSDAY DECEMBER  8.
* AT 12.3 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS ON AUGLAIZE AND EAST FRONT STREETS 
  AND IN THE REAR OF THE BUILDING AT LEEVER GLASS.

$$

OHC171-061607-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-111208T0600Z/
/MONO1.2.ER.111129T1710Z.111201T1200Z.111207T0600Z.NR/
1108 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO BELOW MONTPELIER
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 12.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  1 AM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER  7.
* AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LAND AND AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS 
  NEAR THE RIVER.

$$

INC003-033-OHC039-061607-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NVLI3.2.ER.111125T0400Z.111202T0945Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1108 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO NEAR 13.9 FEET AROUND  1 PM 
  MONDAY DECEMBER  5. 
* AT 14.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OCCURS ON DEKALB COUNTY ROAD 42
  ABOUT 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF NEWVILLE. CONSIDERABLE AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOW LAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE ST. JOSEPH RIVER TO THE 
  CEDARVILLE RESERVOIR. 

$$

INC003-061607-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-111208T1500Z/
/ROOI3.1.ER.111129T0951Z.111201T0800Z.111207T1500Z.NO/
1108 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO NEAR ST. JOE RIVER FORT WAYNE
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 12.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER  7.

$$

INC001-003-OHC161-061607-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-111211T0800Z/
/DCRI3.2.ER.111129T1512Z.111201T0115Z.111210T0800Z.NO/
1108 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE SAINT MARYS RIVER NEAR DECATUR
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 17.8 FEET AROUND  7 
  PM TUESDAY DECEMBER  6 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  3 AM 
  SATURDAY DECEMBER 10.
* AT 17.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 225 NORTH OF PLEASANT MILLS IS FLOODED. 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING INCREASES IN NORTHERN...CENTRAL AND 
  EASTERN ADAMS COUNTY.

$$

OHC039-051-171-061607-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STRO1.3.ER.111123T0903Z.111201T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1108 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO NEAR 13.5 FEET AROUND  1 PM 
  MONDAY DECEMBER  5. 
* AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT SOME FARM BUILDINGS 
  NEAR STRYKER AND FLOOD SOME SECONDARY ROADS.

$$
282 
WGUS83 KIWX 052036
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
336 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  TIPPECANOE RIVER NEAR ORA AFFECTING FULTON...KOSCIUSKO...MARSHALL...
  PULASKI AND STARKE COUNTIES
  WABASH RIVER AT WABASH AFFECTING CASS...MIAMI AND WABASH COUNTIES
 
THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS HIGH WATER EVENT.

INC017-103-169-052106-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-111208T0000Z/
/WABI3.1.ER.111204T1741Z.111204T2130Z.111204T2356Z.NO/
336 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT WABASH
* AT 2 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE YESTERDAY EVENING.

$$

INC049-085-099-131-149-052106-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-111207T0600Z/
/ORAI3.1.ER.111202T1430Z.111204T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
336 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TIPPECANOE RIVER NEAR ORA
* AT 2 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 4, 6:42 AM EST, 3 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 4, 6:42 AM EST, 3 hours 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
642 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS...MAIN CHALLENGES FOR AVIATION WEATHER WILL BE CIG TRENDS
AND TIMING APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL
SHORT WAVE TROUGH APPARENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY EARLY THIS
MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS HAS ENHANCED RAIN COVERAGE ALONG
ADVANCING LOW LEVEL FRONT. ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE DRYING
CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHWEST INDIANA WHICH SHOULD TREND FROM WEST
TO EAST DURING THE DAY. DEEPER MOISTURE IS IN A RELATIVELY NARROW
AXIS THAT SHOULD SHIFT INTO FAR NORTHEAST INDIANA LATER THIS
MORNING. SOME IFR CIGS NOTED IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT JUST
EAST OF THE MS RVR AT 11Z STILL APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE AT KSBN BY
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON BASED ON FRONTAL TIMING AND WILL MAINTAIN
MENTION OF 1K FT CIGS AT TERMINALS CORRESPONDING TO THE
PROGRESSION OF THIS FRONT. A GREATER PROBABILITY OF LONGER
DURATION IFR CONDITIONS SHOULD EXIST AT KFWA BY LATE AFTERNOON OR
EARLY THIS EVENING AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD HANG UP TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE KFWA. BETTER CHANCES OF RAIN ALSO SHOULD AFFECT
KFWA LATER TONIGHT DUE TO ACTIVE SHORT WAVE PATTERN AND PROXIMITY
OF THIS BOUNDARY. HAVE ALSO MAINTAINED LLWS MENTION FOR A FEW
HOURS THIS MORNING BEFORE STRONGER LOW LEVEL FLOW SHIFTS EASTWARD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 433 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011/

SHORT TERM...

TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT

LONG WAVE TROUGH BIFURCATING THE CONUS...WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT
SLOWLY EAST...AS A SW CONUS CLOSED UPPER LOW SUPPORTS DISTURBED FLOW
INTO THE REGION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONFIRMS A STRONGER MID LEVEL
IMPULSE IS PUSHING INTO NW IL...SUPPORTING A SFC PRESSURE REFLECTION
LOCATED OVER S CENTRAL WI. BROAD AREA OF POS THETA-E ADV IS
SUPPORTING WIDESPREAD RAIN EAST OF THE SFC TROUGH...AS GUSTY LL FLOW
CONTINUES IN RESPONSE TO SFC PRESSURE ADJUSTMENT. TEMPS HAVE
REMAINED STEADY IN THE 40S...WITH EARLIER RISES INTO THE 50S.
AFOREMENTIONED IMPULSE WILL SHIFT NE AND OUT OF THE AREA QUICKLY
THIS MORNING...FORCING A COLD FRONT INTO AND THROUGH THE REGION
TODAY. GUSTY SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT MILD
TEMPS AT MOST LOCATIONS WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOWER 50S. THE
ADVECTING MID LEVEL IMPULSE WILL ORPHAN THE LL FRONT/BAROCLINIC ZONE
OVER THE OH VALLEY...WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE SW CONUS UPPER VORT
MAX EJECTING NE TOWARD THE REGION LATER TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT. THIS
WILL SUPPORT RENEWED THETA-E ADVECTION AND INCREASING LL
CONVERGENCE IN THE H9-H8 LAYER...WITH RAIN OVERSPREADING THE REGION
ONCE AGAIN S-N. WEAK SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THIS MORNING/S SYSTEM WILL
SUPPORT A LL DRY WEDGE IN THE H9-H8 LAYER ACROSS THE NORTH...WITH
VEERING LL CAA FLOW. THIS PROCESS MAY LIMIT THE PRECIP/S NORTHERN
EXTENT THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT UNTIL STRONGER LARGE SCALE ASCENT
ARRIVES MON. THE CONCERN FOR SOME ACCUMULATION SNOW LINGERS...MAINLY
ACROSS THE NE WHERE TW VALUES HOVER AROUND 32/THE WARM NOSE ERODES
PER CAA/AND ADIABATIC LAYER COOLING ACTS TO COOL THE LL/S THROUGH
BROAD ASCENT. ALL FORECAST MODELS GENERALLY SUPPORT A RAIN-SNOW MIX
NW HALF...WITH RAIN AS THE DOMINANT PRECIP TYPE PER TOP DOWN AND
THICKNESS ANALYSIS. ATTM...NW THIRD PRECIP CHANCES REMAIN IN THE LOW
LIKELY TO HIGH CHANCE RANGE...WITH CHANCES BEING DICTATED BY IMPULSE
TRACK. ONGOING INDICATIONS ARE FOR A POSITIVELY TILTED SYSTEM WITH A
FAST ADVECTION SPEED BIAS...ESP SINCE BEING REMOVED FROM A JET EXIT
REGION. HENCE...FEEL COMFORTABLE THAT THE TRACK WILL NOT SHIFT
WEST...WITH HIGHEST POPS REMAINING ACROSS THE SE HALF. THIS LIMITS
SNOWFALL POTENTIAL GIVEN STRONGEST LL UVM AND ASSOCIATED CONVERGENCE
WILL REMAIN IN AREAS WHERE THERMAL FIELDS SUPPORT ALL RAIN.
OTHERWISE...ANOTHER CONCERN IS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXACERBATING
RIVER FLOODING...ESP IN THE SE WHERE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR SO OF QPF
IS FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. FORTUNATELY THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL
FALL AWAY FROM AREAS THAT WERE IMPACTED BY LAST WEEK/S HEAVY
SNOW...WITH AREAL FLOODING IN THE SE EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED.

TODAY...HAVE CONTINUED THE SLOW DRYING TREND WEST TO EAST WITH THE
FROPA. DISTURBED SW FLOW WILL SUPPORT PERIODS OF RAIN EAST THIS
AM...SHIFTING TO MORE OF A SHOWER CHANCE THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDY
SKIES WILL REMAIN...WITH A BRIEF DRY PERIOD THIS EVENING. LIFTING SW
CONUS IMPULSE WILL RE-ESTABLISH THETA-E RISES IN THE H9-H7 LAYER
THIS EVENING...WITH RAIN SPREADING NORTH. DRY NORTHERLY SINK FLOW
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS WILL LIMIT NORTHWARD EXTENT OF
RAINFALL...UNTIL MON AM.

MONDAY...PRECIP WILL EXPAND NORTH AS STRONGER BROAD ASCENT ARRIVES
OVER THE DEFORMATION ZONE IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHERN FA...SUPPORTING
INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN MOST PLACES. THIS SAME INCREASE IN ASCENT
WITH CONTINUED LL CAA NORTHERLY FLOW WILL SUPPORT A MIX OR CHANGE
OVER TO SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...ESP THE NE WITH ACCUMS
POSSIBLE. CURRENT THINKING IS UP TO 3 INCHES...MAINLY IN THE NE
ZONES WHERE COOLEST PROFILES/LONG DURATION OF PRECIP WILL RESIDE.
THIS IS IN LINE WITH SREF PROBS AND HPC CONCERNS. OTHERWISE...MOST
PLACES WEST OF A JYM/GUS LINE ARE EXPECTED TO SEE MINOR ACCUMS OF 1
INCH OR LESS. RAIN WILL END MONDAY EVENING WITH CAA SUPPORTING MUCH
COOLER THERMAL FIELDS. PARTIAL CLEARING EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH
RESULTING IN T FALLS INTO THE 20S...WITH MOST AREAS EXPECTED TO BE
DRY BY 09Z.

&&

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ON TUESDAY...THE NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
POSITIVELY TILTED FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES BACK INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AS A STRONG UPPER WAVE PUSHES INTO SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA.
ORIENTATION OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL KEEP MORE SUBSTANTIAL MID
LEVEL MOISTURE TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA. GIVEN
RESIDUAL WEAK SYNOPTIC FORCING WITH THE APPROACH OF THIS SHEARING
WAVE AND LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...SOME SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES
MAY PERSIST INTO TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE
AREA...OR PERHAPS MORE LIKELY SOME PATCHY LINGERING DRIZZLE GIVEN
THE LACK OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE. DID MAINTAIN SOME LOW CHANCE POPS
FOR LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST...BUT BY THE
TIME COLDER LOW LEVEL AIR MASS SETTLES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
GREAT LAKES...LOW LEVEL WINDS SHOULD BACK SUFFICIENTLY TO LIMIT
FETCH/BOUNDARY LAYER MODIFICATION. MID LEVEL DRY AIR ADVECTION WILL
ALSO BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE CONTINUED TO SHOW MORE SIGNIFICANT
CONVERGENCE IN THEIR RESPECTIVE EVOLUTIONS OF A RATHER COMPLICATED
UPPER LEVEL FLOW EVOLUTION. MAIN CLUSTER OF DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE
HAS SIDED TOWARD THE ECMWF IDEA OF AN INCREASINGLY SHEARED NORTHERN
STREAM WAVE DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED STRONGER SOUTH
CENTRAL CANADIAN TROUGH...WITH A CORRESPONDING MORE SOUTHERLY
SUPPRESSED TRACK OF THE SOUTHWEST US CUT OFF UPPER LOW. CONSIDERING
THESE TRENDS...DID FEEL COMFORTABLE IN STARTING TO SHAVE SOME OF THE
SLIGHT CHANCE AND LOW CHANCE -SN POPS IN THE TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY
PERIOD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...WITH A MUCH DRIER AIR MASS LIKELY TO
RESIDE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION FOR MID WEEK.

NEXT STRONGER VORT ROTATING THROUGH WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE BROAD
CENTRAL CANADIAN TROUGH SHOULD DROP INTO THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS
THURSDAY NIGHT. FRONTAL PASSAGE STILL ANTICIPATED SOMETIME IN THE
THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY TIMEFRAME MARKING THE APPROACH OF A MODIFIED
ARCTIC MASS INTO THE REGION. WOULD EXPECT A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO
ACCOMPANY THE UPPER TROUGH AND STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE...THAT COULD
RESULT IN SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD. IN
TERMS OF TEMPERATURES...LITTLE DAY TO DAY VARIATIONS IN TEMPS
TUES-THU WITH WEAK THERMAL ADVECTIONS THROUGH THIS PERIOD WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY IN MID 30S AND LOWS IN LOWER TO MID 20S. TOWARD THE END OF
THE PERIOD MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES IN STORE...ALTHOUGH LATEST
TRENDS IN 00Z ECMWF/GFS WOULD SUGGEST THESE CONDITIONS COULD BE
RELATIVELY SHORT LIVED AS PATTERN REMAINS RELATIVELY PROGRESSIVE.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LMZ043-046.

&&

SHORT TERM...JC
LONG TERM...MARSILI
AVIATION...MARSILI
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 4, 5:00 AM EST, 5 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
500 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

INZ005>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ079>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-051000-
ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-
FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-
HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-
HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-
ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...
ANGOLA...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...
ROCHESTER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...
FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...STURGIS...
THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...
DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA...
VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
500 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011 /400 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG MANY RIVERS IN THE MAUMEE AND WABASH
BASINS. PLEASE REFERENCE RIVER FLOOD PRODUCTS FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON RIVER FLOOD FORECASTS. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM
LATE LAST EVENING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
FROM A QUARTER OF AN INCH TO A HALF OF AN INCH. RAIN IS EXPECTED
TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AGAIN LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
FAR NORTHEAST INDIANA INTO NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG SOME RIVERS IN THE MAUMEE AND WABASH
BASINS THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF BETWEEN THREE QUARTERS
OF AN INCH TO ONE AND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE...WITH
THESE HEAVIER AMOUNTS ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A MARION INDIANA TO
OTTAWA OHIO LINE. THE COMBINATION OF ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AND
RUNOFF FROM RECENTLY MELTED SNOW WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUED RISK OF
RIVER FLOODING...ALONG WITH A RISK OF ADDITIONAL FLOODING ALONG
CREEKS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME
NORTHEAST INDIANA INTO SOUTH CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN MONDAY
INTO MONDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. HOWEVER...ANY REPORTS OF
FLOODING WILL BE APPRECIATED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

INZ003-004-MIZ077-078-051000-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-BERRIEN-CASS MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...
DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS
500 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011 /400 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN INDIANA
AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY
EVENING ROUGHLY ALONG AND JUST SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM KNOX INDIANA
TO GOSHEN INDIANA TO THREE RIVERS MICHIGAN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-051000-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
500 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
EVENING. A FEW GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 4, 10:25 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningIWXCass, Kosciusko, Miami, Wabash, Whitley25 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Indiana, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.