Alert archive / Indiana / Winter Storm Watches in 2011

Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Indianapolis, IN

January 30, 201139 counties in Indiana

NWS Indianapolis, IN issued this winter storm watch at Jan 30, 2011, 4:11 AM EST for 39 counties in Indiana. It took effect at Jan 31, 2011, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2011, 4:11 AM EST (09:11 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 31, 2011, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 31, 2011, 1:38 PM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Indianapolis, IN
All 39 counties

Bartholomew County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Rush County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warren County, IN

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 15 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2011-01-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2011-01-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -72 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
767 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-72 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
242 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

084 
WWUS43 KIND 300911
WSWIND

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
411 AM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...STRONG WINTER STORM LIKELY TO IMPACT CENTRAL INDIANA...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA ON TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS
SYSTEM. 

AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES...COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE
SURFACE...HOWEVER VERY WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL BE PULLED INTO THE
SYSTEM ON SOUTHERLY WINDS...RESULTING IN WARM AIR ALOFT. THIS WILL
RESULT IN FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL INDIANA ON
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. AS THE LOW PASSES TO OUR EAST...ALL OF
THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW.

AT THIS TIME...NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...INCLUDING THE
CITIES OF KOKOMO AND LAFAYETTE LOOK TO REMAIN COLD ENOUGH THAT ALL
OF THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW. HOWEVER
SNOWFALL MAY BE HEAVY AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES
MAY BE POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

FARTHER SOUTH...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TERRE
HAUTE...INDIANAPOLIS...BLOOMINGTON...NEW CASTLE AND MUNCIE...WARM
AIR IS EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT AND PRECIPITATION MAY FALL AS SLEET
OR FREEZING RAIN. SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...WITH
ICE ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS NEAR ONE INCH. FURTHERMORE...STRONG WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
COMBINATION COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND POWER
LINES.

UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS WITH THE PRECISE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM.
ADJUSTMENTS IN THE TRACK IN LATTER FORECASTS MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ON AREAS THAT MAY RECEIVE FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW. STAY
ALERT TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
STRONG DEVELOPING WINTER STORM.

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>063-301715-
/O.NEW.KIND.WS.A.0002.110201T1200Z-110203T0000Z/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON
411 AM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 


* MAIN IMPACT: ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO HEAVY SNOW OR
  ICING...BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY...TRAVEL MAY BECOME
  VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES IS
  POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST CENTRAL INDIANA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN
  EXCESS OF ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NEAR THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR.

* TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON TUESDAY MORNING
  AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* OTHER IMPACTS: WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IN
  COMBINATION WITH POSSIBLE ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED
  TREES AND POWER LINES.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

PUMA
5 follow-up statements
314 
WWUS43 KIND 301211
WSWIND

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
711 AM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...STRONG WINTER STORM LIKELY TO IMPACT CENTRAL INDIANA...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA ON TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS
SYSTEM.

AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES...COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE
SURFACE...HOWEVER VERY WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL BE PULLED INTO THE
SYSTEM ON SOUTHERLY WINDS...RESULTING IN WARM AIR ALOFT. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL
INDIANA LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. AS THE LOW PASSES TO OUR
EAST...ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW.

AT THIS TIME...NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...INCLUDING THE
CITIES OF KOKOMO AND LAFAYETTE LOOK TO REMAIN COLD ENOUGH THAT
ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW. HOWEVER
SNOWFALL MAY BE HEAVY AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES
MAY BE POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

FARTHER SOUTH...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TERRE HAUTE...
INDIANAPOLIS...BLOOMINGTON...NEW CASTLE AND MUNCIE...WARM AIR IS
EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT AND PRECIPITATION MAY FALL AS SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN. SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...WITH
ICE ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS NEAR ONE INCH. FURTHERMORE...STRONG
WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS COMBINATION COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND
POWER LINES.

UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS WITH THE PRECISE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM.
ADJUSTMENTS IN THE TRACK IN LATTER FORECASTS MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ON AREAS THAT MAY RECEIVE FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW. STAY
ALERT TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
STRONG DEVELOPING WINTER STORM.

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>063-302015-
/O.CON.KIND.WS.A.0002.110201T1200Z-110203T0000Z/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON
711 AM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* MAIN IMPACT: ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO HEAVY SNOW OR  
ICING...BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY...TRAVEL MAY BECOME  
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES IS  
POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST CENTRAL INDIANA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN  
EXCESS OF ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NEAR THE INTERSTATE
70 CORRIDOR.

* TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE MONDAY AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* OTHER IMPACTS: WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IN  
COMBINATION WITH POSSIBLE ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED 
TREES AND POWER LINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

KOCH
363 
WWUS43 KIND 302025
WSWIND

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
325 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...STRONG WINTER STORM LIKELY TO IMPACT CENTRAL INDIANA...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA ON TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS
SYSTEM.

AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES...COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE
SURFACE...HOWEVER VERY WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL BE PULLED INTO THE
SYSTEM ON SOUTHERLY WINDS...RESULTING IN WARM AIR ALOFT. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL
INDIANA LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. AS THE LOW PASSES TO OUR
EAST EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW.

AT THIS TIME...NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...INCLUDING THE
CITIES OF KOKOMO AND LAFAYETTE LOOK TO REMAIN COLD ENOUGH THAT
A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE PRECIPITATION MAY FALL IN THE FORM OF
SNOW. HOWEVER SNOWFALL MAY BE HEAVY AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS
OF 10 INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

FARTHER SOUTH...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TERRE HAUTE...
INDIANAPOLIS...BLOOMINGTON...NEW CASTLE AND MUNCIE...WARM AIR IS
EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT AND PRECIPITATION MAY FALL AS SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN. SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...WITH
ICE ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS NEAR ONE INCH. FURTHERMORE...STRONG
WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS COMBINATION COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND
POWER LINES.

UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS WITH THE PRECISE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM.
ADJUSTMENTS IN THE TRACK IN LATTER FORECASTS MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ON AREAS THAT MAY RECEIVE FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW. STAY
ALERT TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
STRONG DEVELOPING WINTER STORM.

INZ064-065-067>072-310430-
/O.EXB.KIND.WS.A.0002.110201T0000Z-110203T0000Z/
BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...BEDFORD...
SEYMOUR
325 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* MAIN IMPACT: ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO HEAVY SNOW OR 
  ICING...BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY...TRAVEL MAY 
  BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW ACCUMULATION IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES IS
  POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST CENTRAL INDIANA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN
  EXCESS OF ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NEAR THE INTERSTATE 70
  CORRIDOR.

* TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE MONDAY AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* OTHER IMPACTS: WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH ON WEDNESDAY IN COMBINATION
  WITH POSSIBLE ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND
  POWER LINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>063-310430-
/O.EXT.KIND.WS.A.0002.110201T0000Z-110203T0000Z/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON
325 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* MAIN IMPACT: ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO HEAVY SNOW OR 
  ICING...BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY...TRAVEL MAY 
  BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW ACCUMULATION IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES IS
  POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST CENTRAL INDIANA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN
  EXCESS OF ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NEAR THE INTERSTATE 70
  CORRIDOR.

* TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE MONDAY AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* OTHER IMPACTS: WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH ON WEDNESDAY IN COMBINATION
  WITH POSSIBLE ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND
  POWER LINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NIELD
309 
WWUS43 KIND 310147 AAA
WSWIND

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
847 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...STRONG WINTER STORM LIKELY TO IMPACT CENTRAL INDIANA...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA ON TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS
SYSTEM.

AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES...COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE
SURFACE...HOWEVER VERY WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL BE PULLED INTO THE
SYSTEM ON SOUTHERLY WINDS...RESULTING IN WARM AIR ALOFT. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL
INDIANA LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. AS THE LOW PASSES TO OUR
EAST EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW.

AT THIS TIME...NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...INCLUDING THE
CITIES OF KOKOMO AND LAFAYETTE LOOK TO REMAIN COLD ENOUGH THAT A
SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE PRECIPITATION MAY FALL IN THE FORM OF
SNOW. HOWEVER SNOWFALL MAY BE HEAVY AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN
EXCESS OF 10 INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

FARTHER SOUTH...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TERRE HAUTE...
INDIANAPOLIS...BLOOMINGTON...NEW CASTLE AND MUNCIE...WARM AIR IS
EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT AND PRECIPITATION MAY FALL AS SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN. SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...WITH
ICE ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS NEAR ONE INCH. FURTHERMORE...STRONG
WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS COMBINATION COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND
POWER LINES.

UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS WITH THE PRECISE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM.
ADJUSTMENTS IN THE TRACK IN LATTER FORECASTS MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ON AREAS THAT MAY RECEIVE FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW. STAY
ALERT TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
STRONG DEVELOPING WINTER STORM.

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-311000-
/O.CON.KIND.WS.A.0002.110201T0000Z-110203T0000Z/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...BEDFORD...
SEYMOUR
847 PM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* MAIN IMPACT: ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO HEAVY SNOW OR  
ICING...BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY...TRAVEL MAY   BECOME
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW ACCUMULATION IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES IS  
POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST CENTRAL INDIANA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN  
EXCESS OF ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NEAR THE INTERSTATE 70 
CORRIDOR.

* TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE MONDAY AND  
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* OTHER IMPACTS: WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH ON WEDNESDAY IN COMBINATION
 WITH POSSIBLE ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND 
POWER LINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$
191 
WWUS43 KIND 310912
WSWIND

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
412 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011

...STRONG WINTER STORM LIKELY TO IMPACT CENTRAL INDIANA...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA ON STARTING TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS
SYSTEM.

AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES...COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE
SURFACE...HOWEVER VERY WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL BE PULLED INTO THE
SYSTEM ON SOUTHERLY WINDS...RESULTING IN WARM AIR ALOFT. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL
INDIANA LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. AS THE LOW PASSES TO OUR
EAST EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW.

AT THIS TIME...NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...INCLUDING THE
CITIES OF KOKOMO AND LAFAYETTE LOOK TO REMAIN COLD ENOUGH THAT A
SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE PRECIPITATION MAY FALL IN THE FORM OF
SNOW. HOWEVER SNOWFALL MAY BE HEAVY AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN
EXCESS OF 12 INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

FARTHER SOUTH...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TERRE HAUTE...
INDIANAPOLIS...BLOOMINGTON...NEW CASTLE AND MUNCIE...WARM AIR IS
EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT AND PRECIPITATION MAY FALL AS SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN. SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...WITH
ICE ACCUMULATION OVER ONE INCH. FURTHERMORE...STRONG WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
COMBINATION COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND POWER
LINES. 

A LARGE AREA OF CENTRAL INDIANA MAY RECEIVE LARGE ICE
ACCUMULATIONS AND STRONG WINDS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS MAY
RESULT IN WIDESPREAD TREES DOWN AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. LONG
DURATION POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR MANY PEOPLE IN CENTRAL
INDIANA.

UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS WITH THE PRECISE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM.
ADJUSTMENTS IN THE TRACK IN LATTER FORECASTS MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ON AREAS THAT MAY RECEIVE FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW. STAY
ALERT TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
STRONG DEVELOPING WINTER STORM.

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-311715-
/O.CON.KIND.WS.A.0002.110201T0000Z-110203T0000Z/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...BEDFORD...
SEYMOUR
412 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* MAIN IMPACT: ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO HEAVY SNOW OR
  ICING...BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY...TRAVEL MAY BECOME
  VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY RESULT IN
  WIDESPREAD...LONG DURATION POWER OUTAGES.

* ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW ACCUMULATION IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES IS
  POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST CENTRAL INDIANA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN
  EXCESS OF ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NEAR THE INTERSTATE 70
  CORRIDOR.

* TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE MONDAY AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* OTHER IMPACTS: WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH ON WEDNESDAY IN 
  COMBINATION WITH POSSIBLE ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY RESULT IN 
  DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

PUMA
823 
WWUS43 KIND 311838
WSWIND

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
138 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011

...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC WINTER STORM TO IMPACT CENTRAL INDIANA...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL
PUSH ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA STARTING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A
VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM.

AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES...COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE
SURFACE...HOWEVER VERY WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL BE PULLED INTO THE
SYSTEM ON SOUTHERLY WINDS...RESULTING IN WARM AIR ALOFT. THIS WILL
RESULT IN FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL INDIANA
THIS EVENING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. AS THE LOW PASSES TO OUR EAST
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE
OVER TO SNOW.

AT THIS TIME...NORTH AND NORTHWEST CENTRAL INDIANA...INCLUDING
THE CITIES OF KOKOMO AND LAFAYETTE LOOK TO REMAIN COLD ENOUGH THAT
A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE PRECIPITATION MAY FALL IN THE FORM OF
SNOW. HOWEVER SNOWFALL MAY BE HEAVY AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS
OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

FARTHER SOUTH...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TERRE HAUTE...
INDIANAPOLIS...BLOOMINGTON...NEW CASTLE AND MUNCIE...WARM AIR IS
EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT AND PRECIPITATION MAY FALL AS SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN. SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...WITH
ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE INCH OR MORE. FURTHERMORE...STRONG WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINATION WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

A LARGE AREA OF CENTRAL INDIANA MAY RECEIVE LARGE ICE
ACCUMULATIONS AND STRONG WINDS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT
IN WIDESPREAD TREES DOWN AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. LONG DURATION
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR MANY PEOPLE IN CENTRAL INDIANA.

UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS WITH THE PRECISE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM.
ADJUSTMENTS IN THE TRACK IN LATER FORECASTS MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ON AREAS THAT MAY RECEIVE FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW. STAY
ALERT TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC WINTER STORM.

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-010245-
/O.UPG.KIND.WS.A.0002.110201T0000Z-110203T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KIND.WS.W.0001.110201T0000Z-110203T0000Z/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...BEDFORD...
SEYMOUR
138 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* MAIN IMPACT: ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO HEAVY
  SNOW OR ICING...BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY...TRAVEL
  WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR POTENTIALLY IMPOSSIBLE. ICE
  ACCUMULATIONS MAY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD...LONG DURATION POWER
  OUTAGES.

* ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW ACCUMULATION IN EXCESS OF 12 TO 16 INCHES IS
  POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST CENTRAL INDIANA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN
  EXCESS OF ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NEAR THE INTERSTATE 70
  CORRIDOR.

* TIMING: PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MONDAY EVENING AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* OTHER IMPACTS: WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
  IN COMBINATION WITH HEAVY ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY RESULT
  IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

NIELD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Indianapolis, IN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Jan 30, 2:43 AM EST, 1 hour 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 2:43 AM EST, 1 hour 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
243 AM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

.UPDATE...
THE SYNOPSIS...NEAR TERM AND SHORT TERM SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED BELOW

&&

.SYNOPSIS...SURFACE ANALYSIS EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWS POORLY
ORGANIZED HIGH PRESSURE OVER MICHIGAN. LOW PRESSURE WAS FOUND NEAR
TEXAS WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING NORTHEAST TO THE OHIO RIVER.
ALOFT...A WEAK SHORT WAVE WAS EXITING INDIANA AND WAS PRODUCING
SOME LIGHT MIXED PRECIP ACROSS THE NORTH AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE
FORECAST AREA.

AS THIS DISTURBANCE EXITS THIS MORNING...THE HIGH PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO BUILD SOUTH AND PROVIDE DRY BUT COLD WEATHER TO START
OFF THE NEW WEEK. HOWEVER...A VERY POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHING THE WEST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES IS POISED TO PUSH
ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA ON IN THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...SPREADING
HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN PARTS OF THE STATE AND FREEZING
PRECIPITATION ACROSS CENTRAL PARTS OF THE STATE. AS THE WEEK ENDS
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE
POWERFUL STORM...ENDING THE WEEK ON A DRY BUT VERY COLD NOTE.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...

RADAR TRENDS SHOW ONGOING LIGHT PRECIPITATION READY TO EXIT THE
AREA THIS MORNING. MODELS AGREE THAT THIS WAVE WILL QUICKLY EXIT
AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE SOUTH SAGS SOUTHWARD AS THE HIGH TO
THE NORTH ALSO BUILDS TO THE SOUTH. FURTHERMORE...TIME HEIGHT
SECTIONS SHOW VERTICAL FORCING COMING TO A HALT AND A LACK OF DEEP
MOISTURE. TIME HEIGHTS DO KEEP A THIN BAND OF SATURATION NEAR THE
SURFACE IN THE COLD NORTHEAST FLOW. 850MB SURFACE SHOW WEAK COLD
AIR ADVECTION THROUGH THE DAY. GIVEN THE ABOVE WILL AIM FOR MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 1-3 DEGREES COOLER THAN MAVMOS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM AND WILL USE
A BLEND. MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE THROUGH MONDAY WILL BE
TEMPERATURES...BUT THEN FOCUS WILL CHANGE TO THE MAJOR STORM
EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE
WEEK.

THE BROAD...COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP THE COLD
NORTHEAST FLOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. TIME
HEIGHT SECTIONS AND FORECAST SOUNDING SHOW GENERALLY A DRY COLUMN
WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF FORCING TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THUS AGAIN
EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH MONDAY ALONG WITH HIGHS COOLER
THAN THE MAVMOS AND LOWS SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN MAVMOS.

THE STRONG STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE WEST COAST OF
THE UNITED STATES WILL THEN BEGIN TO EFFECT THE AREA STARTING ON
MONDAY NIGHT AS THE GFS AND NAM SUGGEST A PRECURSOR TO THE MAJOR
WAVE THAT WILL PUSH THROUGH ON TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GFS 290K
ISENTROPIC SURFACE SHOWS STRONG LIFT ACROSS THE AREA AFTER 00Z
TUESDAY...WITH MIXING RATIOS NEAR 4 G/KG. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE
SATURATED AND BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTHWEST...WHILE MUCH OF THE
REST OF CENTRAL INDIANA REVEALS A CLASSIC FREEZING RAIN TYPE
SOUNDING. THUS WILL RAISE POPS DURING THIS TIME FRAME...BUT LEAN
WARMER THAN MAVMOS ON LOWS GIVEN THE EXPECTED PRECIPITATION.

THE NEXT AND MORE POWERFUL PART OF THE STORM SYSTEM LOOKS TO
ARRIVE ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND WILL CONTINUE TO LAST INTO
WEDNESDAY. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM A STRONG SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
THERMAL GRADIENT WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA. THE
NORTH SIDE OF THIS BOUNDARY...LAF...KOKOMO...WILL MAINLY BE SEE
SNOW AS FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWS THEIR PROFILES TO REMAIN BELOW
ZERO. MEANWHILE TO THE SOUTH...IND...HUF...MIE...BMG...FORECAST
SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW A CLASSIC FREEZING RAIN SOUNDING. MANY
FORCING MECHANISMS WITH THIS SYSTEM. FIRST...UPPER JET SHOWS
COUPLING. 300MB HEIGHTS SHOW RIGHT REAR REGION ACROSS WISCONSIN
AND AN APPROACHING LEFT ENTRANCE ACROSS MISSOURI. THIS SHOULD
RESULT IN STRONG LIFT ACROSS ILLINOIS...POISED TO PUSH THROUGH
CENTRAL INDIANA. SECOND...VERY STRONG VORTICITY ADVECTION SEEN AT
500MB AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES AND PASSES ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA.
THIRD...POTENTIAL VORTICITY ALSO SHOWS STRATOSPHERIC INTRUSION
DOWN TO NEARLY 450-500MB DEPENDING UPON YOUR MODEL CHOICE. THIS IS
INDICATIVE OF VERY STRONG FORCING. THIRD...VERY STRONG Q VECTOR
DIVERGENCE ALOFT ACROSS INDIANA ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
FOURTH...THE 700MB CLOSED LOW IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN INDIANA ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. TYPICALLY
THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL FALL ALONG THE PATH OF A 700 MB
CLOSED LOW. FIFTH...THE GFS 290K ISENTROPIC SURFACE SHOWS VERY
STRONG UPGLIDE ESTABLISHING ITSELF ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
LASTING UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. PLENTY OF MOISTURE IS
AVAILABLE ALONG THIS SURFACE AS MIXING RATIOS REACH 5 TO 6 G/KG.
SIXTH...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A DEEPLY SATURATED COLUMN WITH
STRONG LIFT. SEVENTH...THE SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
INDIANA FROM WESTERN TENNESSEE ON TUESDAY NIGHT...PUSHING
NORTHEAST ALONG THE OHIO RIVER ON TUESDAY NIGHT. AGAIN...THIS IS A
FAVORABLE TRACK FOR HEAVY SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA.
HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A VERY
STRONG...LOW LEVEL JET LATE ON TUESDAY NIGHT. GFS HINTS AT 70-80
KNTS ACROSS KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA. THIS KIND OF WARM AND
MOIST TRANSPORT CERTAINLY WILL OVERRUN COLDER AIR...EXPECTED TO BE
IN THE 20S...AT THE SURFACE. GIVEN THIS...NAM POTENTIAL
TEMPERATURE SURFACE AT 650MB ALSO SUGGEST TROWAL DEVELOPMENT LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT. FINALLY...BUFKIT SHOWS WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH IN
THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IF SIGNIFICANT
FREEZING RAIN DOES OCCUR...THESE WINDS IN COMBINATION WITH THAT
ICE WILL RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

I REST MY CASE.

GIVEN THIS WILL ISSUE WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THIS TIME
FRAME...STARTING ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH 00Z
THURSDAY. GIVEN WE ARE STILL A FEW DAYS OUT ON THIS
SYSTEM...PRECISE TRACKING OF THE STORM IS NOT YET
AVAILABLE...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT A STRONG SYSTEM WILL
BE PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA DURING THIS TIME FRAME. SOME AREAS
WILL SEE HEAVY SNOW AND OTHERS WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN
OR ICE. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AND ICE
STORM DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK...WHICH COULD RESULT IN
VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITION...HEAVY SNOW AND EVEN DOWNED TREES
AND POWER LINES. VERY COLD AIR IS EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THIS
SYSTEM AND A QUICK THAW IS NOT EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY/...

WILL KEEP POPS GOING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS SYSTEM MAY STILL BE
CLOSE ENOUGH TO AFFECT THE AREA. WILL GO DRY FROM THURSDAY ON...AS
VERY COLD ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR THE 300600Z TAFS/...
WEAK IMPULSE MOVING INTO NORTHWEST INDIANA CAUSING SOME SPOTTY LIGHT
MIXED PRECIPITATION. MAY BE SOME BRIEF PERIODS OF VERY LIGHT MIXED
PRECIPITATION IN THE VICINITY OF KLAF/KIND TIL ABOUT 300900Z.

OTHERWISE...LOW CLOUD DECK DROPPING SOUTH INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS IN
THE WAKE OF THE IMPULSE. EXTRAPOLATION OF THE LEADING EDGE SUGGEST
CEILINGS 010-020 WILL SPREAD BACK OVER THE TAF SITES DURING THE PRE
DAWN HOURS ON SUNDAY...AND WILL PROBABLY LINGER BEYOND 301800Z AS A
LOW LEVEL INVERSION HOLDS. AREAS OF MAINLY MVFR VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS
IN LIGHT FOG SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE MID MORNING
HOURS ON SUNDAY AS MIXING SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED UNDER THE INVERSION.

NO WIND ISSUES EXPECTED ACROSS THE TAF SITES THROUGH 301800Z.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL INDIANA...18Z TUESDAY
THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JP
NEAR TERM...JP
SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM....JAS/JP
AVIATION...JAS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 29, 4:22 AM EST, 23 hours 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
422 AM EST SAT JAN 29 2011

INZ021-028>031-035>049-054>057-300930-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-
422 AM EST SAT JAN 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WINTER
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE MIDWEST LATE MONDAY INTO LATE WEDNESDAY.
SIGNIFICANT ICE AND OR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WINTER WEATHER SPOTTERS HELP WILL BE NEEDED NEXT WEEK.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ051>053-060>065-067>072-300930-
VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-
KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
422 AM EST SAT JAN 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WINTER
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE MIDWEST LATE MONDAY INTO LATE WEDNESDAY.
SIGNIFICANT ICE AND OR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE
POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WINTER WEATHER SPOTTERS HELP WILL BE NEEDED NEXT WEEK.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

TUCEK

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Indiana, 2011Every winter storm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.