Severe Thunderstorm Warning 226, NWS Indianapolis, IN

631 
WWUS53 KIND 152248
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
648 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

INC027-083-153-152315-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0226.000000T0000Z-110615T2315Z/
DAVIESS-KNOX-SULLIVAN-
648 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
DAVIESS...NORTHEASTERN KNOX AND SOUTHERN SULLIVAN COUNTIES UNTIL 715
PM EDT...

AT 645 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF RUSSELLVILLE...OR 16 MILES
NORTHEAST OF VINCENNES...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BICKNELL AROUND 655 PM EDT...
  EDWARDSPORT AND SANDBORN AROUND 700 PM EDT...
  PLAINVILLE AND ELNORA AROUND 710 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3910 8759 3895 8724 3891 8724 3891 8714
      3883 8696 3862 8713 3886 8756 3889 8755
      3892 8752 3896 8752 3897 8753 3898 8758
      3906 8758 3908 8760
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 302DEG 28KT 3887 8734
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.00IN

$$

KOCH

078 
WWUS53 KIND 152303
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
703 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

INC027-083-153-152313-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0226.000000T0000Z-110615T2315Z/
DAVIESS-KNOX-SULLIVAN-
703 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN DAVIESS...
NORTHEASTERN KNOX AND SOUTHERN SULLIVAN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3910 8759 3895 8724 3891 8724 3891 8714
      3883 8696 3862 8713 3886 8756 3889 8755
      3892 8752 3896 8752 3897 8753 3898 8758
      3906 8758 3908 8760
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 302DEG 28KT 3881 8721

$$

KOCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
344 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

.UPDATE...

THE SYNOPSIS...AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...

A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING...WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW WILL SKIRT ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES TOMORROW...POSSIBLY BRINGING ADDITIONAL
PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF CENTRAL INDIANA. LATE IN
THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...A FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD BECOME
QUASISTATIONARY IN THE REGION...WITH LOW CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD WHILE THE FRONT IS IN THE AREA. ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL NUDGE EAST OUT OF THE PLAINS INTO THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK WITH ADDITIONAL STORM CHANCES ATTENDANT TO IT.

STRENGTHENING RIDGING ALOFT WILL LEAD TO A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S ACROSS ALL
OF CENTRAL INDIANA BY SUNDAY. AS THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED SYSTEM
PUSHES EAST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...TEMPERATURES
SHOULD RETURN TO NEARER SEASONAL NORMALS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...

FOCUS IS POPS. GUIDANCE IS SIMILAR AND A BLEND IS USED.

HAVE ALREADY SEEN SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN ILLINOIS...AND ALTHOUGH
ATMOSPHERE WAS WELL WORKED OVER THIS MORNING BY
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME CLEARING HAS BEEN OCCURRING ALLOWING FOR
RENEWED DESTABILIZATION...MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN
FORECAST AREA. EXPECT AT LEAST A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING...BUT HAVE CUT MAV POPS AS IT
APPEARS TO BE DRASTICALLY OVERDOING IT...AND AS STORMS SHOULD
GENERALLY WEAKEN WITH EASTWARD PROGRESS INTO OUR AREA AS THEY
ENCOUNTER LESSER INSTABILITY. WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING...FOCUS FOR PRECIP WILL SHIFT MORE TO THE NORTHERN
FORECAST AREA AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER LOW...ALTHOUGH EXPECT
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF PRECIP WITH THIS FEATURE BEFORE TOMORROW.

ON TEMPS...COOLER MAV PREFERRED AS HEATING WAS SIGNIFICANTLY
HINDERED BY MORNING CONVECTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...

FOCUS REMAINS ON POPS...AND WITH GUIDANCE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT A
BLEND IS USED.

LOW CHANCE POPS ARE CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA TOMORROW NEARER THE UPPER LOW. STILL...DO NOT EXPECT
SIGNIFICANT PRECIP WITH THIS FEATURE AS MAJORITY OF WIDESPREAD
PRECIP SHOULD BE CONCENTRATED FURTHER NORTH NEARER BETTER FORCING.

IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTURE OF THIS FEATURE TOMORROW
NIGHT...RIDGING STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE AREA. GFS APPEARS TO BE
SUFFERING SOME CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK ISSUES...AND AS SUCH HAVE
VIEWED ITS QPF WITH A SKEPTICAL EYE THURSDAY NIGHT.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TAKES SHAPE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT...WHICH MAY SERVE AS FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...WITH
LITTLE TO NO UPPER SUPPORT AND STRENGTHENING UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING...AM NOT COMFORTABLE GOING HIGHER THAN A CHANCE/30 POP.

ON TEMPS...MOS IS CLOSE AND A BLEND IS SUFFICIENT. EXPECT A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND AS RIDGING STRENGTHENS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

WARMING TREND FROM THE SHORT TERM WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED
AS RIDGING ALOFT CONTINUES TO BUILD. QUASISTATIONARY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL HANG AROUND THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND HAVE
CONTINUED LOW CHANCE POPS HERE...LOWER THAN HPC WITH LITTLE IN THE
WAY OF UPPER SUPPORT. A BRIEF DRY PERIOD IS ANTICIPATED EARLY NEXT
WEEK BEFORE ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM PUSHES EASTWARD INTO THE AREA
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...AND WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW
CHANCE POPS IN THIS TIME FRAME.

&&

.AVIATION.../DISCUSSION FOR 152100Z TAF UPDATES/...

CENTRAL INDIANA WAS THUNDERSTORM FREE AT 1945Z WITH NEAREST
SCATTERED STORMS JUST MOVING INTO EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. COVERAGE
DOES NOT LOOK TO BE ENOUGH TO WARRANT A TEMPO GROUP...SO WILL PULL
THAT BUT LEAVE IN VCTS AND CBS. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION.
MVFR VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE AT KBMG AND KLAF BETWEEN 06Z AND 14Z
THURSDAY.

WIDESPREAD CONVECTION FROM THIS MORNING HAD PUSHED EAST INTO
OHIO. AREA OF MODERATE RAINFALL WITH IFR/LIFR CEILINGS MOVING TO
THE EAST OF KBMG. CURRENT VISIBLE SATELLITE INDICATING THAT LOW
CEILINGS WILL BREAK AT KBMG BY 18Z. OCCLUDED FRONT MOVING EAST
ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL TRACK EAST INTO
INDIANA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH ATMOSPHERE
DESTABILIZING AHEAD OF THE FRONT...EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. APPEARS TIMING OF POTENTIAL
GREATEST IMPACT TO TERMINALS WILL BE BETWEEN 20Z AND 02Z AS THE
FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA. S/SE WINDS WILL VEER TO SW AS
THE FRONT APPROACHES WITH SUSTAINED AT 10-15KTS LIKELY. HIGHER
GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN HEAVIER CONVECTION.

WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY IN WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS
EVENING. SKIES WILL CLEAR ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT
AS WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING BUILDS IN. WITH WINDS
LIGHTENING AFTER 06Z...POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR MVFR VISIBILITIES TO
DEVELOP AT KBMG AND KLAF THROUGH DAYBREAK THURSDAY. CU FIELD
LIKELY TO DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY AT KLAF AS
AN UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. W/SW WINDS
GUSTING TO NEAR 20KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD AS PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NIELD
NEAR TERM...NIELD
SHORT TERM...NIELD
LONG TERM....NIELD
AVIATION...RYAN/MK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
408 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

INZ021-028>031-035>042-046>049-054>057-063>065-071-072-161000-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-HENDRICKS-MARION-
HANCOCK-HENRY-MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
408 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG
WITH GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AND
AGAIN ON TUESDAY. A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER WE ARE NOT
EXPECTING AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ043>045-051>053-060>062-067>070-161000-
VERMILLION-PARKE-PUTNAM-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-
KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-
408 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE
WITH GUSTY WINDS...LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING
POSSIBLE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN ALSO NOT BE RULED OUT.

LOW LAND FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE LOWER WHITE
AND WABASH RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY. A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER IT IS TOO EARLY TO
TELL WHETHER THERE WILL BE ANY OUTBREAKS OF SEVERE WEATHER.

LOW LAND FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON A FEW AREAS OF THE LOWER WHITE
AND LOWER WABASH UNTIL THIS WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

KOCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
555 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

INZ067-068-152245-
DAVIESS-KNOX-
555 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL DAVIESS AND CENTRAL KNOX
COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM EDT...

AT 553 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR VINCENNES...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
BRUCEVILLE AROUND 615 PM EDT...
MONROE CITY AND BICKNELL AROUND 625 PM EDT...
WHEATLAND AROUND 630 PM EDT...
WASHINGTON AROUND 645 PM EDT...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3867 8759 3868 8754 3869 8753 3871 8753
      3874 8751 3877 8752 3878 8750 3881 8752
      3878 8703 3853 8708 3861 8763 3864 8763
TIME...MOT...LOC 2156Z 278DEG 22KT 3872 8755

KOCH