Alert archive / Illinois / Special Weather Statements in 2011
Special Weather Statement, NWS Lincoln, IL
NWS Lincoln, IL issued this special weather statement at May 11, 2011, 3:31 PM CDT for Fulton County, Knox County, Illinois. It was in force for 59 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 11, 2011, 3:31 PM CDT (20:31 UTC)
- Expired
- May 11, 2011, 4:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 59 min
- Issued by
- NWS Lincoln, IL
Counties Fulton County, IL, Knox County, IL
The radar
The Lincoln radar (KILX), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2842 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -105 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 931 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -17 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 93 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 2.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 11, 2:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 11, 2:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 224 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011 .DISCUSSION... ISSUED 215 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011 SHORTWAVE OVER NORTH CENTRAL MO HAS BROUGHT ABOUT AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE REGION EARLY THIS AFTN. UNLIKE YESTERDAY... MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED SEVERAL DEGREES WITH VIRTUALLY NO SFC BASED CIN. COMBINATION OF MIXED LAYER CAPES OF BETWEEN 2500 TO 3000 J/KG AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN ADVANCE OF THE MID LEVEL WAVE WILL BRING ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING FROM LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT UPPER LEVEL WAVE PUSHING ACRS THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING SHOULD TAKE THE BULK OF THE CONVECTION WITH IT BY LATE TONIGHT. HIGHEST POPS WILL BE THIS EVENING AND WILL TAPER OFF RAIN CHANCES AFTER MIDNIGHT. MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THIS PERIOD AS STRONG UPPER LEVEL WAVE OVER THE PLAINS SHIFTS EAST AND THEN SOUTHEAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AS ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE ENERGY IN THE NORTHERN STREAM DROPS SOUTH ACRS THE NRN PLAINS. THIS SHOULD BRING ABOUT DAMP AND GRADUALLY COOLER WEATHER TO THE FORECAST AREA ONCE THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT FINALLY PUSHES THRU CENTRAL ILLINOIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WILL SEE ANOTHER THREAT FOR CONVECTION TOMORROW AS THE FRONT DRAWS CLOSER BUT 0-6KM SHEAR VALUES STILL NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE DURING THE DAY AND INTO EARLY IN THE EVENING. STEEP LAPSE RATES AND CAPES OF 2000-2500 J/KG MAY ONCE AGAIN LEAD TO PULSE TYPE SEVERE STORMS DURING THE AFTN OR EARLY EVENING. THE STRONGER WIND FIELDS HOLD OFF UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING AS THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE DRAWS CLOSER TO THE MIDWEST. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...COLD FRONT TO PUSH ACRS THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE BOUNDARY. SFC WAVE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO SHIFT OFF TO OUR EAST LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING OFF ALONG WITH PERIODIC SHOWERS INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS BROAD LOW LEVEL CYCLONI FLOW PREVAILS OVER THE MIDWEST. LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY BLOCKED UPPER PATTERN TO HOLD THRU THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM ACRS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC FORECAST TO FINALLY DRIFT OFF TO THE EAST ON MONDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL WAVE FORECAST TO DROP SE INTO THE MIDWEST UNDERNEATH A DEVELOPING REX BLOCK OVER SOUTHERN CANADA BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY MONDAY AS INITIAL UPPER WAVE SHIFTS OFF TO OUR EAST. WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WITH THE NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EDGING CLOSER TO OUR AREA LATE NEXT WEEK. SMITH && .AVIATION... ISSUED 1208 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011 MAIN CONCERN REMAINS WITH CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. CLOSEST THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY GOING THROUGH KIRKSVILLE MO AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST. 14Z HRRR AND 12Z NAM12 MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS FURTHER EAST...AND SOME CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT IS BEING NOTED IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE LESS THAN WIDESPREAD NATURE OF THESE STORMS...WILL HANG ON TO VCTS MENTION AT THE WESTERN TAF SITES UNTIL DEVELOPMENT IS SUFFICIENT ENOUGH TO BETTER TIME THE ARRIVAL OF ANY STORMS. STORM DEVELOPMENT AT THE EASTERN TAF SITES NOT CLEAR ENOUGH EVEN FOR VCTS MENTION...BUT CANNOT RULE OUT SOME ISOLATED STORMS. WITH NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE ATMOSPHERE...SOME MVFR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY AGAIN LATE TONIGHT AS WAS THE CASE EARLIER TODAY. MODELS ARE MIXED ON ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD...SO WILL NOT INCLUDE ANY MENTION AT THIS TIME. GEELHART && .ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 11, 3:20 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 320 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011 ILZ027>031-036-037-040-041-047>050-122030- CASS-FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MASON-MENARD-MORGAN-PEORIA-SCHUYLER- SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD- 320 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LIFTING NORTHEAST FROM MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON WILL CAUSE SOME STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF THE ILLINOIS RIVER VALLEY. THE ILLINOIS RIVER WILL REMAIN IN FLOOD DOWNSTREAM OF PEORIA THROUGH THE WEEK. THE ILLINOIS RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT PEORIA ON THURSDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY A SERIES OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. ILZ038-042>046-051>053-122030- CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-LOGAN-MACON-MCLEAN-PIATT-SANGAMON- VERMILION- 320 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS MISSOURI. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. THE ILLINOIS RIVER WILL REMAIN IN FLOOD DOWNSTREAM OF PEORIA THROUGH THE WEEK. THE ILLINOIS RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT PEORIA ON THURSDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY A SERIES OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. ILZ054>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-122030- CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM- JASPER-LAWRENCE-MOULTRIE-RICHLAND-SHELBY- 320 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY A SERIES OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 11, 3:31 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
331 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011
ILZ027>029-036-112130-
FULTON-KNOX-PEORIA-STARK-
331 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FULTON...KNOX...SOUTHWESTERN
STARK AND WESTERN PEORIA COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...
AT 329 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM GALESBURG TO
FAIRVIEW TO IPAVA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WATAGA...
MAQUON...
GILSON...
CUBA...
ONEIDA...
LEWISTOWN...
OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...DELONG...ELLISVILLE...TABLE
GROVE...MARIETTA...SMITHFIELD AND BERNADOTTE.
PEOPLE NEAR THESE LOCATIONS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.
LAT...LON 4116 8987 4063 8973 4043 8997 4031 9045
4041 9046 4115 9045
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 264DEG 26KT 4101 9038 4064 9023
4035 9034
GOETSCHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 3:38 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | ILX | Cass | 67 min |
| May 11, 4:24 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | ILX | Mason | 66 min |
| May 11, 4:34 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | ILX | Marshall, Stark, Tazewell, Woodford | 56 min |
| May 11, 4:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Logan, McLean, Mason, Menard, Tazewell | 57 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Illinois, 2011Every special weather statement in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.