Severe Thunderstorm Warning 138, NWS Lincoln, IL

369 
WWUS53 KILX 042307
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
607 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

ILC169-042345-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-110604T2345Z/
SCHUYLER IL-
607 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SCHUYLER
COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

AT 602 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
BROOKLYN...OR 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF RUSHVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RUSHVILLE...BROOKLYN...LITTLETON...CAMDEN AND RAY.

THOSE ATTENDING THE EVENT AT THE SCHUYLER COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS NORTH 
OF RUSHVILLE ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM AND SHOULD PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS 
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4029 9091 4028 9045 4022 9045 3997 9058
      3999 9061 4002 9062 4005 9068 4007 9068
      4008 9071 4010 9071 4010 9086 4013 9092
      4024 9092
TIME...MOT...LOC 2306Z 287DEG 24KT 4022 9081
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.75IN

$$

BARNES

214 
WWUS53 KILX 042330
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
630 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

ILC169-042345-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-110604T2345Z/
SCHUYLER IL-
630 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SCHUYLER
COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

AT 627 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
LITTLETON...OR 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF RUSHVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RUSHVILLE AND RAY.

THOSE ATTENDING THE EVENT AT THE SCHUYLER COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS NORTH 
OF RUSHVILLE ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM AND SHOULD PREPARE FOR 
DANGEROUS WEATHER CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4029 9091 4028 9045 4022 9045 3997 9058
      3999 9061 4002 9062 4005 9068 4007 9068
      4008 9071 4010 9071 4010 9086 4013 9092
      4024 9092
TIME...MOT...LOC 2330Z 287DEG 24KT 4018 9061
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.75IN

$$

469 
WWUS53 KILX 042343
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
643 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

ILC169-042353-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-110604T2345Z/
SCHUYLER IL-
643 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SCHUYLER COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
645 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAR 
EASTERN SCHUYLER COUNTY UNTIL 730 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 4029 9091 4028 9045 4022 9045 3997 9058
      3999 9061 4002 9062 4005 9068 4007 9068
      4008 9071 4010 9071 4010 9086 4013 9092
      4024 9092
TIME...MOT...LOC 2343Z 287DEG 24KT 4015 9050

$$

BARNES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TYPO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
302 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 302 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

ANOTHER HOT/HUMID DAY UNFOLDING ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS. AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN ONTARIO
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS FRONT WILL SINK INTO THE FORECAST
AREA LATER TODAY...REMAINING IN THE VICINITY UNTIL MONDAY. THIS
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE THE FOCUS FOR PERIODIC SHOWER/STORM
CHANCES WHILE IT IS AROUND. ANOTHER FRONT...FOLLOWING A SIMILAR
TRACK TO THIS ONE...SHOULD ARRIVE BY THURSDAY/FRIDAY WITH A
RENEWED THREAT FOR SHOWERS/STORMS. MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS REVOLVE
AROUND PRECIPITATION CHANCES WITH THESE FRONTS AND ANY NOCTURNAL
MCS/S...AS WELL AS HOW HOT IT WILL BE FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK.

12Z MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN SURPRISINGLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
RESPECT TO MOST FEATURES EXPECTED TO IMPACT FORECAST AREA OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. DIFFERENCES PERSIST WITH THE MESOSCALE
CONVECTIVE DETAILS...AND THESE INDIVIDUAL DETAILS WILL STILL NEED
TO BE FINE TUNED AS THEY BECOME VERY SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERNS.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE OVER THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES/NORTHERN ONTARIO WILL HELP DRIVE A COLD FRONT
INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. ONCE THE FRONT ARRIVES...IT WILL TEND TO
STALL OUT IN THE VICINITY UNTIL MONDAY AS IT BECOMES MORE PARALLEL
TO THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW. THE FRONT WILL SHIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM
FRONT ON MONDAY AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING STARTS TO BUILD INTO THE
AREA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS AT LEAST NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA BY THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT DRAWS
CLOSER. AN 18Z ILX SPECIAL SOUNDING SHOWED THE LOCAL AIRMASS WAS
STILL CAPPED...BUT THIS SHOULD BE ABLE TO BE BROKEN AS THE FRONT
PUSHES IN. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SHOULD BE MUCH LOWER AS YOU HEAD
SOUTH TOWARD THE I-70 CORRIDOR AS THE FRONT WILL BE ARRIVING AT A
LESS FAVORABLE TIME OF DAY...AND THE CAPPING IS MUCH STRONGER AS
IS SUGGESTED BY THE MUCH MORE MIXED OUT SURFACE DEW POINTS. MCS
DEVELOPMENT IS SUGGESTED BY MANY MODEL SOLUTIONS LATER TONIGHT IN
THE VICINITY OF THE MO/IA BORDER AND THIS COMPLEX WOULD TEND TO
TRACK SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE FORECAST AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING.
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THIS COMPLEX AND THE STALLED FRONT SHOULD
SERVE AS THE FOCUS FOR DIURNAL SHOWER/STORM DEVELOPMENT AGAIN
SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING IN NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA GIVEN CAPE VALUES OF 3-4K J/KG ONCE THE CAP
BREAKS...THOUGH SHEAR PROFILES ARE NOT THAT GREAT. ECHO TRAINING
ON THE WEST/EAST ORIENTED FRONT ALSO SUGGESTS A HEAVY RAIN THREAT.
INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO BE SIMILAR SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING...
BUT SHEAR PROFILES ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER.

THE PRECIPITATION RISK SHOULD TAPER OFF MONDAY AS THE FRONT SHIFTS
BACK NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND HEAT/HUMIDITY RE INTENSIFY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...UPPER/SURFACE RIDGING BUILD
SIGNIFICANTLY FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS SUPPORTS QUIET
WEATHER BUT INCREASINGLY OPPRESSIVE HEAT/HUMIDITY. A STRONG WAVE
TOPPING THE RIDGE WILL PUSH ANOTHER SLOW MOVING FRONT INTO THE
AREA FOR THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY...PROVIDING ANOTHER PERIOD OF
UNSETTLED WEATHER. WELL ABOVE NORMAL HEAT/HUMIDITY WILL PERSIST.

BAK
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 1237 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTHWARD INTO NORTH-CENTRAL
ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY...MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND W/SW WINDS GUSTING UP TO 20KT WILL PREVAIL AT THE KILX
TAF SITES. BASED ON 12Z NAM AND LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY...THINK
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT BETWEEN 22Z AND 01Z AT
KPIA...THEN FURTHER SOUTH TO THE I-72 TERMINALS BETWEEN 00Z AND
03Z. ONCE STORMS MOVE FURTHER EAST AND WEAKEN...WINDS WILL VEER TO
THE N/NW AND A MID-LEVEL OVERCAST AT AROUND 8000FT WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. GIVEN MOIST
AIRMASS AND LIGHT WINDS...PATCHY FOG WILL ALSO BE A POSSIBILITY.
CONVECTIVE PICTURE IS A BIT MORE UNCLEAR FOR SUNDAY...AS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE AREA. NAM SUGGESTS A
POSSIBLE MCS DEVELOPING ACROSS IOWA/NORTHERN MISSOURI LATE
TONIGHT...THEN SLIDING E/SE ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS SUNDAY
MORNING. DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES...HAVE HANDLED THIS POTENTIAL WITH A
VCTS GROUP AT THIS TIME.

BARNES
&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
342 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>043-047>053-051100-
CASS-CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MACON-MARSHALL-MASON-
MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-PEORIA-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-STARK-
TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
342 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME
SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL BEING
THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN MISSOURI
INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WILL SERVE AS THE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ON SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH SOME OF THE STORMS POTENTIALLY PRODUCING DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

THE FRONT WILL REMAIN IN THE VICINITY ON MONDAY...CONTINUING
THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER IN THE WEEK...WITH AN
INCREASING THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS BY THURSDAY.

FOR INTERESTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER BASIN...MINOR TO MODERATE
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING.

ILZ044>046-054>057-061-051100-
CHAMPAIGN-COLES-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SHELBY-VERMILION-
342 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME
SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL BEING
THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN MISSOURI
INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WILL SERVE AS THE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ON SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH SOME OF THE STORMS POTENTIALLY PRODUCING DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

THE FRONT WILL REMAIN IN THE VICINITY ON MONDAY...CONTINUING
THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER IN THE WEEK...WITH AN
INCREASING THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS BY THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-051100-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
342 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN MISSOURI
INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WILL SERVE AS THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ON SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH SOME
OF THE STORMS POTENTIALLY PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE
HAIL.

THE FRONT WILL REMAIN IN THE VICINITY ON MONDAY...CONTINUING
THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER IN THE WEEK...WITH AN
INCREASING THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS BY THURSDAY.

FOR INTERESTS ALONG THE WABASH RIVER BASIN...FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

BARNES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
451 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0447 PM     HAIL             4 E GOODFIELD           40.63N 89.19W
06/04/2011  M0.75 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   MESONET

&&

JRP