Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 50, NWS Lincoln, IL

December 15, 2011Clay County, Richland County, Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this river flood warning at Dec 15, 2011, 6:03 AM CST for Clay County, Richland County, Illinois. It took effect at Dec 15, 2011, 9:26 AM CST. It was in force for 12 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 15, 2011, 6:03 AM CST (12:03 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 15, 2011, 9:26 AM CST
Expired
Dec 27, 2011, 7:27 PM CST
In force
12 days
Issued by
NWS Lincoln, IL
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Clay County, IL, Richland County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Little Wabash River below Clay City (CLAI2). The gauge peaked at 20.13 ft at Dec 17, 2011, 1:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderate10152012/1512/1612/1712/1812/1912/2012/2112/2212/2312/2412/2512/2612/2712/2812/29
Action stage
15 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
22 ft
Major stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03379500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

077 
WGUS43 KILX 151203
FLWILX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
603 AM CST THU DEC 15 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS... 

  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES

.SYNOPSIS...THE HEAVY RAIN OF THE PAST 24 HOURS ARE DRAINING INTO THE
LITTLE WABASH RIVER THIS MORNING CAUSING RAPID RISES IN RIVER LEVELS.
THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THIS RIVER NEED TO PREPARE FOR FLOODING.
STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS FLOODING SITUATION. 

&&

ILC025-159-160203-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0050.111215T1751Z-111217T1617Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1751Z.111216T1800Z.111217T1017Z.NO/
603 AM CST THU DEC 15 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 1245 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD LEFT BANK FARMLAND.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16   8.6 THU 1 AM    16.9   15.8   13.6



$$
BARKER
28 follow-up statements
041 
WGUS83 KILX 151527
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
927 AM CST THU DEC 15 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-160527-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0050.111215T1526Z-111220T1630Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T1800Z.111220T1030Z.NO/
927 AM CST THU DEC 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.3 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  16.4 THU 8 AM    18.6   19.2   18.8

$$

07
332 
WGUS83 KILX 160206
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
806 PM CST THU DEC 15 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...
 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC101-161606-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0051.111216T0533Z-111220T2308Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.111216T0533Z.111217T1200Z.111220T1708Z.NO/
806 PM CST THU DEC 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* FROM THIS EVENING TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 745 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 32.9 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...LUMBER MILL ROAD IS INUNDATED

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  29.1 THU 8 PM    31.4   32.9   32.9



$$

ILC025-159-161605-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111220T2100Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0600Z.111220T1500Z.NO/
806 PM CST THU DEC 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* THE CURRENT STAGE WAS NOT AVAILABLE THIS EVENING. AT 1115 AM
  THIS MORNING...THE STAGE WAS 17.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.1 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  17.7 THU 11 AM   19.7   20.1   19.3


$$

SMITH
520 
WGUS83 KILX 160523
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1123 PM CST THU DEC 15 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-161923-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111220T2100Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0600Z.111220T1500Z.NO/
1123 PM CST THU DEC 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 945 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.1 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.1 THU 10 PM   19.7   20.1   19.3



$$

SMITH
010 
WGUS83 KILX 161433
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
833 AM CST FRI DEC 16 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-170433-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0600Z.111220T1800Z.NO/
833 AM CST FRI DEC 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 7 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.6 FRI 7 AM    20.0   19.5   18.7

$$

07
244 
WGUS83 KILX 170346
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
946 PM CST FRI DEC 16 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC101-171746-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-111220T2125Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.111216T0715Z.111218T1200Z.111220T1525Z.NO/
946 PM CST FRI DEC 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 845 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.5 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...LUMBER MILL ROAD IS INUNDATED

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  31.1 FRI 9 PM    32.1   32.5   32.0



$$

ILC025-159-171746-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0245Z.111220T1800Z.NO/
946 PM CST FRI DEC 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 845 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR ITS CREST AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  20.0 FRI 9 PM    20.0   19.5   18.7



$$
SMITH
492 
WGUS83 KILX 171519
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
919 AM CST SAT DEC 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-180519-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T1800Z.111220T1800Z.NO/
919 AM CST SAT DEC 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 8 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 20 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.1 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  20.0 SAT 8 AM    19.8   19.0   17.0

$$

07
960 
WGUS83 KILX 180348
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
948 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC101-181748-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-111220T0130Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.111216T0715Z.111218T0245Z.111219T1930Z.NO/
948 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 845 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  31.1 SAT 9 PM    31.1   30.5   28.5



$$

ILC025-159-181748-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.111220T1800Z.NO/
948 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 845 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER SHOULD CREST AROUND 19.8 FEET SUNDAY AND
  THEN BEGIN A SLOW FALL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. 
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.7 SAT 9 PM    19.8   19.0   17.0



$$
SMITH
151 
WGUS83 KILX 181531
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
931 AM CST SUN DEC 18 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-190531-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
931 AM CST SUN DEC 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 515 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 18.7 FEET 
  BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.5 SUN 5 AM    18.7   17.5   18.1

$$
099 
WGUS83 KILX 190431
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1031 PM CST SUN DEC 18 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC101-191831-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-111220T0600Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.111216T0715Z.111218T1045Z.111220T0000Z.NO/
1031 PM CST SUN DEC 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 945 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  31.0 SUN 10 PM   30.4   29.6   28.6



$$

ILC025-159-191831-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1031 PM CST SUN DEC 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 845 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO A STAGE OF 17.5 FEET BY
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.3 SUN 9 PM    18.7   17.5   18.1



$$
SMITH
675 
WGUS83 KILX 191417
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
817 AM CST MON DEC 19 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES.

.A SLOW FALL CONTINUES ON THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER. HOWEVER...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WILL
RESULT IN SOME RENEWED RISES FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-200417-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
817 AM CST MON DEC 19 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* THE STAGE AT 8 AM WAS ESTIMATED AT 18.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 17.4 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING...THEN RISE TO 18.7 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16 E18.8 MON 8 AM   17.4   17.9   18.5

$$
GEELHART
781 
WGUS83 KILX 191852
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1252 PM CST MON DEC 19 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...

  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES.

.RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL THROUGH TUESDAY 
MORNING...BEFORE BEGINNING A SLOW RISE IN RESPONSE TO THE RAIN THAT
WILL OCCUR THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-200852-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1252 PM CST MON DEC 19 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1145 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO AROUND 18.9 FEET BY TUESDAY 
  MORNING...THEN RISE BACK TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.2 MON 12 PM   19.0   19.3   19.7

$$
GEELHART
915 
WGUS83 KILX 200332
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
932 PM CST MON DEC 19 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC101-201732-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-111224T1800Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.111216T0715Z.111218T1045Z.111224T1200Z.NO/
932 PM CST MON DEC 19 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 845 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE BACK ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 30.4 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  28.4 MON 9 PM    27.9   28.0   29.7



$$

ILC025-159-201732-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 PM CST MON DEC 19 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 545 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.1 MON 6 PM    19.0   19.3   19.7



$$
SMITH
996 
WGUS83 KILX 201520
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
920 AM CST TUE DEC 20 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-210520-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
920 AM CST TUE DEC 20 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  745 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  18.9 TUE 8 AM    18.6   18.5   18.4



$$
249 
WGUS83 KILX 210615
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1215 AM CST WED DEC 21 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...

  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-212015-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1215 AM CST WED DEC 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1045 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  18.4 TUE 11 PM   18.6   18.5   18.4



$$
635 
WGUS83 KILX 211542
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
942 AM CST WED DEC 21 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-220542-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111224T1800Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.111224T1200Z.NO/
942 AM CST WED DEC 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  845 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  18.6 WED 9 AM    18.3   17.4   16.0



$$
794 
WGUS83 KILX 220308
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
908 PM CST WED DEC 21 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...

  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-221708-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111224T1800Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.111224T1200Z.NO/
908 PM CST WED DEC 21 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  745 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  18.9 WED 8 PM    18.8   17.4   16.0



$$
702 
WGUS83 KILX 221459
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
859 AM CST THU DEC 22 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-230459-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
859 AM CST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE HOLDING NEAR 19 FEET 
  THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.0 THU 7 AM    19.0   18.9   18.5

$$

07
869 
WGUS83 KILX 230508
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1108 PM CST THU DEC 22 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...

  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-231908-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1108 PM CST THU DEC 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  615 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  18.9 THU 6 PM    19.0   18.9   18.5



$$
038 
WGUS83 KILX 231556
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
956 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-240556-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
956 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 815 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL VERY SLOWLY TO A STAGE 
  OF 18.6 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  18.7 FRI 8 AM    18.6   18.4   17.8

$$

07
238 
WGUS83 KILX 240514
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1114 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...

  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-241914-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1114 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1245 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...A SLOW FALL IS ANTICIPATED.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  18.7 FRI 1 PM    18.6   18.4   17.8



$$
421 
WGUS83 KILX 241451
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
851 AM CST SAT DEC 24 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-250451-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111228T2100Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.111228T1500Z.NO/
851 AM CST SAT DEC 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 805 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  18.6 SAT 8 AM    18.4   17.8   16.9

$$

07
013 
WGUS83 KILX 250324
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
924 PM CST SAT DEC 24 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...

  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-251724-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111228T2100Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.111228T1500Z.NO/
924 PM CST SAT DEC 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  805 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  18.6 SAT 8 AM    18.4   17.8   16.9



$$
294 
WGUS83 KILX 251317
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
717 AM CST SUN DEC 25 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-260317-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
717 AM CST SUN DEC 25 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  805 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 17.8 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  18.6 SAT 8 AM    17.8   17.1   17.8



$$
603 
WGUS83 KILX 260329
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
929 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...

  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-261729-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
929 PM CST SUN DEC 25 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...A SLOW FALL IS FORECAST
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD LEFT BANK FARMLAND.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16          17.8   17.1   17.8



$$
024 
WGUS83 KILX 261318
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
718 AM CST MON DEC 26 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-270318-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
718 AM CST MON DEC 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 19.0 
  FEET WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16   MSG             17.5   18.6   19.0



$$
836 
WGUS83 KILX 262107
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
307 PM CST MON DEC 26 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-271107-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
307 PM CST MON DEC 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 19.0 
  FEET WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.8 FEET...BLUEFLOWER LANE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16   MSG             17.5   18.6   19.0

$$
849 
WGUS83 KILX 271439
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
839 AM CST TUE DEC 27 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES.

.SOME ADDITIONAL MINOR RISES ARE EXPECTED ON THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER
THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS...DUE TO RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED LAST NIGHT.  

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-280439-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-120101T1200Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.120101T0600Z.NO/
839 AM CST TUE DEC 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* THE STAGE AT 8 AM WAS ESTIMATED AT 17.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO AROUND 17.8 FEET 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD LEFT BANK FARMLAND.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  E17.1 TUE 8 AM   17.6   17.8   17.5

$$
GEELHART
443 
WGUS83 KILX 280127
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
727 PM CST TUE DEC 27 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-280157-
/O.CAN.KILX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-120101T1200Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.111215T1258Z.111217T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
727 PM CST TUE DEC 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY.
* AT 1000 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 10.9 FEET 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16   9.1 TUE 10 AM    9.7   10.9   10.1

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 15, 5:00 AM CST, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 5:00 AM CST, 1 hour 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
500 AM CST THU DEC 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 235 AM CST THU DEC 15 2011

COLD FRONT IS JUST MOVING INTO THE NORTHWEST TIP OF THE CWA EARLY
THIS MORNING. A NARROW BAND OF MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS WAS JUST
AHEAD OF THIS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER...WHILE SHOWERS WERE MORE
SCATTERED ACROSS AREAS FURTHER SOUTHEAST. TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF
THE FRONT ARE STILL IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S...WITH A 60 DEGREE
READING RECENTLY NOTED AT JACKSONVILLE.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST...ALONG WITH A PRONOUNCED VORT MAX COMING ONSHORE NEAR
THE CALIFORNIA/OREGON BORDER. THESE FEATURES WILL BE PLAYING A
SIGNIFICANT ROLE IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH
IS THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR THIS PACKAGE.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

COLD FRONT SHOULD BE NEAR THE I-55 CORRIDOR BY 6 AM...AND EXITING
THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE CWA AROUND 10 AM. TEMPERATURES PROGGED
TO STEADILY FALL POST-FRONT WITH STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND
IT. HIGHS WILL BE DURING THE MORNING -- IN SOME CASES BEFORE
SUNRISE. WILL EVALUATE RADAR TRENDS RIGHT BEFORE ISSUANCE TIME FOR
LAST MINUTE ADJUSTMENTS...BUT CURRENT THINKING IS TO ONLY INCLUDE
RAIN CHANCES EAST OF I-57 FOR A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE.
STRATOCUMULUS DECK IS QUITE EXPANSIVE...ALL THE WAY BACK INTO THE
EASTERN DAKOTAS...SO ANY CLEARING WILL BE LIKELY BE LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.

UPPER FEATURES PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. STILL
PROGGED TO FORM A CUTOFF LOW OVERNIGHT...WITH LITTLE MOVEMENT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. OUR WEATHER WILL BE COMING FROM THE NORTHERN
STREAM...WITH A TROUGH PROGGED TO SWING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
OR EARLY SATURDAY. LITTLE MORE THAN AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS IS
EXPECTED FOR ABOUT A 6-12 HOUR PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK
INTO THE 40S THIS WEEKEND...WITH SUNDAY LIKELY TO BE THE MILDEST.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

CUTOFF UPPER LOW SHOULD FINALLY GET KICKED OUT ON MONDAY AS
ANOTHER WAVE DROPS DOWN THE PACIFIC COAST. THE ECMWF...WHICH HAS
NOT SHOWN A LOT OF RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY...IS SWINGING MORE
TOWARD THE PERSISTENT GFS SOLUTION THAT TRACKS THE LOW INTO
MISSOURI OR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE CANADIAN
MODEL IS STILL TRACKING MUCH FURTHER NORTH. CURRENT GFS/ECMWF
CONSENSUS WOULD SUGGEST THE NORTHERN CWA WOULD LIKELY REMAIN DRY
THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT ENSEMBLE MODELS STILL PRETTY NOISY...
SUGGESTING CONFIDENCE IN ANY GIVEN SOLUTION IS LOWER THAN NORMAL.
WILL KEEP LOW CHANCE POPS GOING THERE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT FOR
NOW JUST IN CASE...WITH HIGHER POPS AROUND 40-50 PERCENT FURTHER
SOUTH. LARGE OVERRUNNING BAND OF PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN FORMING
TO OUR SOUTH ON MONDAY...BUT STRENGTH OF SURFACE HIGH TO ITS NORTH
WILL DICTATE HOW FAR NORTH THE PRECIPITATION CAN MAKE IT. THE GFS
ACCELERATES THE LOW WELL AHEAD OF THE ECMWF...BUT BOTH SOLUTIONS
WOULD SUGGEST DRY WEATHER BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

GEELHART

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 500 AM CST THU DEC 15 2011

COLD FRONT WITH ASSOCIATED BAND OF SHOWERS CURRENTLY APPROACHING
KDEC AND KCMI AS IT PROCEEDS SOUTHEAST. CIGS BRIEFLY CLIMB TO VFR
IN WAKE OF BOUNDARY BUT THEN FALL BACK INTO MVFR/IFR ABOUT 50
MILES BEHIND THE FRONT. THESE LOWERED CIGS ARE PART OF A LARGE
AREA OF STRATUS THAT COVERS MUCH OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
THIS MORNING AHEAD MAIN NORTHERN STREAM WAVE WHICH IS CURRENTLY OVER
THE NORTHERN PLAINS. ONCE THE WAVE MOVES ACROSS ILLINOIS THIS
AFTERNOON...CIGS SHOULD CLIMB AND DIMINISH BY SUNSET. UNTIL
THEN...CIGS IN THE 007-015 WILL LIKELY DOMINATE THE CENTRAL
ILLINOIS TERMINALS.

SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 25 KTS SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND DIMINISH TO 10-15 KTS WITH A
FURTHER DECREASE EXPECTED AFTER 16/06Z. WINDS AND DRY ADVECTION IN
BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO KEEP VSBYS FROM FALLING
TONIGHT.

BARKER
&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 3:06 PM CST, 14 hours 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
306 PM CST WED DEC 14 2011

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>053-151200-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MACON-MARSHALL-
MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-PEORIA-PIATT-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-
STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION-WOODFORD-
306 PM CST WED DEC 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS UP TO 35 TO 45
MPH. HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE SOME LOW LYING FLOODING AND PONDING OF
WATER ESPECIALLY IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF I-55
WHERE 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN FELL SINCE TUESDAY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION MONDAY AND
TUESDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION. THE RAIN COULD MIX
WITH SNOW TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ054>057-061-062-066-067-071-072-151200-
CLAY-COLES-CUMBERLAND-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-MOULTRIE-
RICHLAND-SHELBY-
306 PM CST WED DEC 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS
UP TO 35 TO 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION MONDAY AND
TUESDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN. AT THIS POINT THE CHANCE
OF MIXED PRECIPITATION SHOULD STAY NORTH OF I-72.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ063-068-073-151200-
CLARK-CRAWFORD-LAWRENCE-
306 PM CST WED DEC 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY
WINDS UP 35 TO 45 MPH.

THE WABASH RIVER REMAINS IN MINOR FLOOD FROM TERRE HAUTE THROUGH
VINCENNES. VINCENNES IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND
NOON FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE WABASH RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN MINOR FLOOD OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS FROM TERRE HAUTE TO RIVERTON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

KH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 15, 10:03 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningILXLawrence5 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.