Areal Flood Warning 13, NWS Lincoln, IL

159 
WGUS43 KILX 040048
FLWILX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
748 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

ILC033-041300-
/O.EXT.KILX.FA.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110504T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CRAWFORD IL-
748 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 800 AM CDT WEDNESDAY

* AT 746 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED FLOODING
  IN EASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY EAST OF ROUTE 1 ESPECIALLY FROM HIGHWAY
  33 EAST TO THE WABASH RIVER INCLUDING PALESTINE. SOME SECONDARY 
  LOW LYING ROADS FROM HIGHWAY 33 EAST ARE COVERED WITH WATER TODAY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...FLAT ROCK...
  HUTSONVILLE AND PALESTINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...
COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND
OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3890 8752 3889 8754 3885 8755 3886 8769
      3917 8769 3917 8766 3911 8763 3910 8761
      3909 8762 3908 8759 3906 8757 3900 8757
      3896 8751

$$

HJS

650 
WGUS43 KILX 041113
FLWILX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
613 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2011

ILC033-041900-
/O.EXT.KILX.FA.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110504T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CRAWFORD IL-
613 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 200 PM CDT WEDNESDAY

* AT 605 AM CDT......LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED FLOODING
  CONTINUED OVER PARTS OF EASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY...EAST OF ROUTE 1...
  ESPECIALLY FROM HIGHWAY 33 EAST TO THE WABASH RIVER INCLUDING PALESTINE.
  SOME SECONDARY LOW LYING ROADS FROM HIGHWAY 33 EAST WERE COVERED WITH
  WATER.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...FLAT
  ROCK...HUTSONVILLE AND PALESTINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE
FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES.
ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...
STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3890 8752 3889 8754 3885 8755 3886 8769
      3917 8769 3917 8766 3911 8763 3910 8761
      3909 8762 3908 8759 3906 8757 3900 8757
      3896 8751

$$

SMITH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1241 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 1045 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

MADE SOME ADJUSTMENT TO THE SKY COVER TRENDS TODAY AS MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES BECOME PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING MID AND LATE AFTERNOON. NW WINDS TO
INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH WIGH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. COOL HIGHS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORMAL HIGHS FOR EARLY MAY ARE AROUND 70F.

LATE MORNING SURFACE MAP SHOWS ELONGATED 1013 MB LOW P0RESSURE
OVER WV WITH ITS COLD FRONT ALONG THE APPALACHIANS INTO CENTRAL AL.
THE NW EDGE OF ITS CLOUDS WAS NEAR LAWERNCEVILLE AND DECREASING TO
THE SE. MEANWHILE A BATCH OF LOW CLOUDS WAS MOVING INTO NW IL OVER
KNOX AND STARK COUNTIES FROM EASTERN IA AND WI. THESE CLOUDS
ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROF FROM WI INTO MO. THIS
STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROF TO PIVOT EAST OVER IL THIS AFTERNOON
GIVING STEEP LAPSE RATES AND INCREASING LOW CLOUDS SE ACROSS IL
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE FROM MID
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNSET. TEMPS CURRENTLY IN THE UPPER 40S AND
LOWER 50S...EXCEPT COOLER 43F AT GALESBURG WHERE ITS NOW MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S EXCEPT LOWER 50S BY GALESBURG.

1029 MB CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE FROM MN TO ALONG THE IA/NE BORDER
TO MOVE EAST INTO THE MS VALLEY BY DAWN WED. THIS TO DECREASE NW
WINDS AND LOW CLOUDS DURING TONIGHT SETTING UP ANOTHER COOL NIGHT
IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. AREAS FROM I-55 WEST HAVE A FROST ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FROM 3-8 AM WED WITH LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HUETTL

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 1245 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ILLINOIS
TERMINAL AIRPORTS THROUGH WED. BROKEN CEILINGS FROM 4-6K FT THAT
DEVELOPED AND MOVED INTO CENTRAL IL BY MIDDAY...WILL OCCUR THROUGH
THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVING EAST ACROSS IL.
ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE FROM MID AFTERNOON UNTIL SUNSET MAINLY
FROM I-74 NE BUT NOT ENOUGH COVERAGE TO INCLUDE IN TAFS. STRONG
UPPER LEVEL TROF SHIFTS EAST OF IL BY WED MORNING AS 1029 MB
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE FROM MN TO THE KS/MO BORDER SHIFTS EAST
INTO THE MS VALLEY. DELAYED THE CLEARING OF THE STRATOCUMULUS
CLOUDS BY A FEW HOURS...HAPPENING OUT WEST AT PIA AND SPI LATE THIS
EVENING AND EAST AT CMI LATE TONIGHT. 12Z NAM MODEL AND ASSOCIATED
MET GUIDANCE KEEPS THESE CLOUDS IN THE LONGEST TONIGHT ESPECIALLY
OVER EASTERN IL. W/NW WINDS 10-15 KTS AND GUSTS NEAR 20 KTS THIS
AFTERNOON TO DIMINISH TO 5-10 KTS AFTER SUNSET AND BE N/NE WED AND
A FEW KNOTS STRONGER ESPECIALLY AT CMI.

HUETTL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 250 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

LAST OF THE HEAVY RAIN HAS FINALLY PUSHED EAST OF THE AREA...
ALTHOUGH SOME LIGHT RAIN WILL LINGER SOUTH OF I-70 FOR A COUPLE
MORE HOURS. LAWRENCEVILLE HAS SEEN 2.6 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE LAST
TWO DAYS. CURRENT FLOODING THREAT IS PRIMARILY ALONG THE WABASH
RIVER DUE TO LEVEE OVERTOPPING FROM RIVER FLOODING. THUS...HAVE
CANCELLED THE EARLIER FLOOD WATCH WHICH WAS ISSUED DUE TO THE
HEAVY RAIN THREAT. REMAINDER OF CWA IS LARGELY CLOUDY...ALTHOUGH
CLEARING LINE WAS EDGING INTO AREAS WEST OF THE ILLINOIS RIVER.

PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERNS INVOLVE FROST POTENTIAL OVERNIGHT...AS
WELL AS TIMING OF NEXT SHORTWAVE IN THE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT TIME FRAME.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

DEEP UPPER TROUGH TO CONTINUE SLOWLY PUSHING ACROSS THE STATE.
COLD AIR ALOFT WILL SETTLE INTO THE AREA...WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES
CAPABLE OF TRIGGERING A FEW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERN
IS TONIGHT...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. WILL BE ISSUING A FROST ADVISORY FOR AREAS ALONG AND WEST
OF I-55 FOR LATE TONIGHT...AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE MID 30S
AND WINDS LIGHTEN UNDER THE RIDGE. FROST THREAT IN THE EASTERN CWA
IS LESS CLEAR...AS CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY LINGER LONGER
UNDERNEATH THE TROUGH. WILL ONLY MENTION PATCHY FROST ACROSS THE
EAST FOR NOW...AND LET THE DAY SHIFT EXPAND THE ADVISORY IF
NECESSARY.

UPPER TROUGH WILL EXIT THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...WITH NARROW RIDGING
HELPING TO BOOST TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 60S. NEXT TROUGH WILL
APPROACH THE AREA ON THURSDAY. 00Z MODELS FAIRLY SIMILAR WITH THIS
FEATURE...SPREADING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TO
EAST BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND TIMING ITS PASSAGE ACROSS
THE STATE TOWARD LATE EVENING.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES...ALBEIT WEAKER...IS EXPECTED
TO TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN CONUS FRIDAY...AND CROSS ILLINOIS ON
SATURDAY. HAVE MADE NO CHANGES TO EXISTING RAIN CHANCES FOR FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...ALTHOUGH LATEST ECMWF WOULD SUGGEST
MUCH OF THE RAIN SHOULD BE OUT OF THE AREA BY LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

LONGER RANGE MODELS INDICATING UPPER RIDGING TO BUILD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL UNITED STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A SIGNIFICANT WARMING
TREND SETTING UP OVER OUR AREA.

GEELHART

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR ILZ027>031-
036>038-040>042-047>051.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1035 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>042-047>051-041100-
CASS-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-PEORIA-
SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
1035 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE MIDDLE 30S LATE TONIGHT...FROST
WILL BE POSSIBLE TOWARDS DAWN WEDNESDAY.

FOR INTERESTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER...FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SERIES OF FAST-MOVING DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODIC CHANCES
FOR THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL
TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY...WHILE A SECOND
BRINGS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR STORMS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ043-052-053-041100-
CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-MACON-
1035 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 30S...PATCHY FROST
WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SERIES OF FAST-MOVING DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODIC CHANCES
FOR THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL
TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY...WHILE A SECOND
BRINGS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR STORMS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ044>046-054>057-061>063-041100-
CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-COLES-CUMBERLAND-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-MOULTRIE-PIATT-
SHELBY-VERMILION-
1035 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOME PATCHY FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE TOWARDS DAWN WEDNESDAY AS
TEMPERATURES SETTLE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SERIES OF FAST-MOVING DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODIC CHANCES
FOR THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL
TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY...WHILE A SECOND
BRINGS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR STORMS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ066>068-071-072-041100-
CLAY-CRAWFORD-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-RICHLAND-
1035 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS NEED TO BE
AWARE OF ONGOING FLOODING OCCURRING ALONG MANY OF THE RIVERS AND
STREAMS AND BE ALERT FOR WATER COVERED ROADWAYS ESPECIALLY OVER
EASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SERIES OF FAST-MOVING DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODIC CHANCES
FOR THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL
TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY...WHILE A SECOND
BRINGS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR STORMS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ073-041100-
LAWRENCE-
1035 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT TODAY...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS SOUTHEAST LAWRENCE COUNTY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 AND EAST OF
ROUTE 1 AS CROSS LEVEE IS OVERTOPPING WITH WATER. THE LEVEE HAS
NOT YET BREACHED AND MANY AREA ROADS ARE CLOSED. DO NOT DRIVE
ACROSS WATER COVERED ROADS.

FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES CONTINUE FOR MANY LOCATIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS DUE TO RIVERS EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE AND
RESIDUAL STANDING WATER ON ROADS. THE RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ALONG THE WABASH...LITTLE WABASH AND
EMBARRAS BASINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SERIES OF FAST-MOVING DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODIC CHANCES
FOR THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL
TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY...WHILE A SECOND
BRINGS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR STORMS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

KH