Winter Storm Warning 4, NWS Wilmington, OH

436 
WWUS41 KILN 241542
WSWILN

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1042 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

OHZ026-034-035-242345-
/O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0004.110225T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA
1042 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY. 

A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING AS RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW. A STRONG AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE OHIO RIVER WILL BRING WIDESPREAD
RAIN TO THE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING...BUT AS THE LOW PASSES AND
COLD AIR FILTERS IN...A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW IS EXPECTED.

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND TIMING OF THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES APPEAR
POSSIBLE BY NOON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS
IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM...WHICH MAY CAUSE DRIFTING SNOW AND
REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS.

HEAVY SNOW IS FORECAST TO ACCUMULATE IN THE WARNED AREA CAUSING
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.  THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE
WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE... OR
SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

$$

OHZ042>045-051-052-242345-
/O.CON.KILN.WW.Y.0008.110225T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...
MARYSVILLE...PIQUA...URBANA
1042 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY. 

A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING AS RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW. A STRONG AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE OHIO RIVER WILL BRING WIDESPREAD
RAIN TO THE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING...BUT AS THE LOW PASSES AND
COLD AIR FILTERS IN...A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW IS EXPECTED.

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND TIMING OF THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES APPEAR
POSSIBLE BY NOON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS
IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM...WHICH MAY CAUSE DRIFTING SNOW AND
REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

786 
WWUS41 KILN 242051
WSWILN

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
351 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011

OHZ026-034-035-250500-
/O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0004.110225T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA
351 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY. 

RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. AS THE LOW MOVES OFF
TO THE EAST...COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THIS
WILL ALLOW THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW LATE THIS EVENING. THE
SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. SNOW
WILL THEN CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES
LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. 

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND TIMING OF THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES APPEAR POSSIBLE BY
NOON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS IN THE WAKE
OF THE STORM...WHICH MAY CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG
WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS.

HEAVY SNOW IS FORECAST TO ACCUMULATE IN THE WARNED AREA CAUSING
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.  THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE
WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE... OR
SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

$$

OHZ046-250500-
/O.EXA.KILN.WW.Y.0008.110225T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
DELAWARE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...DELAWARE
351 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY.

RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. AS THE LOW MOVES OFF
TO THE EAST...COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THIS
WILL ALLOW THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE
SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW
WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING AND MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES.

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND TIMING OF THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES APPEAR POSSIBLE BY
NOON FRIDAY. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PART OF DELAWARE COUNTY. THE SNOW WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM...WHICH MAY
CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN
OPEN AREAS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

OHZ042>045-051-052-250500-
/O.CON.KILN.WW.Y.0008.110225T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...
MARYSVILLE...PIQUA...URBANA
351 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY. 

RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. AS THE LOW MOVES OFF
TO THE EAST...COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THIS
WILL ALLOW THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE
SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW
WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING AND MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES.

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND TIMING OF THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY NOON
FRIDAY. THE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS IN THE WAKE
OF THE STORM...WHICH MAY CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG
WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

511 
WWUS41 KILN 250215
WSWILN

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
915 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011

OHZ026-034-035-251015-
/O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA
915 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST FRIDAY. 

RAIN HAS OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. AS THE LOW MOVES OFF
TO THE EAST...COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THIS
WILL ALLOW THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL THEN
CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES LATE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND TIMING OF THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES APPEAR
POSSIBLE BY NOON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS
IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM...WHICH MAY CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW ALONG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS.

HEAVY SNOW IS FORECAST TO ACCUMULATE IN THE WARNED AREA CAUSING
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.  THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE
WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE... OR
SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

$$

OHZ042>046-051-052-251015-
/O.CON.KILN.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...
MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...PIQUA...URBANA
915 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

RAIN HAS OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. AS THE LOW MOVES OFF
TO THE EAST...COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THIS
WILL ALLOW THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE
SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. THE
SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING AND MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES.

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND TIMING OF THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE BY NOON FRIDAY. THE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG
WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM...WHICH MAY CAUSE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

495 
WWUS41 KILN 250908
WSWILN

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
408 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

OHZ026-034-035-251600-
/O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA
408 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW HAS DEVELOPED NORTHWEST OF A LOW PRESSURE
CENTER. THIS SNOW WILL AFFECT THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE
TAPERING OFF LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE FORECAST. THE
SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE
LOW...WHICH MAY CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH REDUCED
VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS.

HEAVY SNOW IS FORECAST TO ACCUMULATE IN THE WARNED AREA CAUSING
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.  THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE
WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE... OR
SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

$$

OHZ042>046-051-052-251600-
/O.CON.KILN.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...
MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...PIQUA...URBANA
408 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

AN AREA OF MIXTURE PRECIPITATION ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW LATER THIS MORNING. THIS SNOW
WILL AFFECT THE AREA BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE THIS MORNING INTO
THIS AFTERNOON.

STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE FORECAST. THE
SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE
LOW...WHICH MAY CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH REDUCED
VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$


SITES

912 
WWUS41 KILN 251317
WSWILN

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
817 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

OHZ026-034-035-251600-
/O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA
817 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE FORECAST. THE
SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW...
WHICH MAY CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH REDUCED
VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS.

HEAVY SNOW IS FORECAST TO ACCUMULATE IN THE WARNED AREA CAUSING
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.  THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE
WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE... OR
SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

$$

OHZ042>046-051-052-251600-
/O.CON.KILN.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...
MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...PIQUA...URBANA
817 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE FORECAST. THE
SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW...
WHICH MAY CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH REDUCED
VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

644 
WWUS41 KILN 251558
WSWILN

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1058 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011


OHZ026-034-035-251700-
/O.CAN.KILN.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA
1058 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING. 

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SINCE
ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS ENDED...THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.


$$

OHZ042>046-051-052-251700-
/O.CAN.KILN.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110225T1600Z/
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...
MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...PIQUA...URBANA
1058 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 


SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SINCE
ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS ENDED...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
105 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
PRECIPITATION TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN
ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...BUT SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL
BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN MIAMI VALLEY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
AREA OF SHOWERS WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS CONTINUING TO
TREK ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE NORTHERN EXTEND OF THIS SEEMS
TO BE WEAKENING. TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN NEAR FREEZING IN THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES ALTHOUGH SLOWLY RISING. SO SOME LIGHT GLAZE MAY
BE OCCURRING. AS THIS IS QUITE LIGHT AND FAST MOVING HAVE
CONTINUED TO HIGHLIGHT THIS WITH A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT.
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING JUST SOUTH OF I-70
SEEM A LITTLE MORE ROBUST AND MAY PERSIST ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
IT LOOKS LIKE TWO MAIN WAVES OF PCPN WILL AFFECT OUR FA THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
WILL LEAD TO DEVELOPING ISENTROPIC LIFT ACROSS THE REGION LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY. THE BEST LIFT
WILL GENERALLY SHIFT INTO ABOUT THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF OUR FA
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY AND THIS COULD LEAD TO A BIT OF
A LULL IN THE PCPN ACROSS OUR NORTHWEST LATER THURSDAY AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY THURSDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...BY THIS TIME THE MAIN
SURFACE LOW WILL BE MOVING OUT OF THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
PROGRESSING EAST TOWARD OUR AREA.

SOME MINOR BUT SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES STILL EXIST BETWEEN THE
12Z OPERATIONAL MODELS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW. THE
ECMWF REMAINS THE FARTHEST NORTH TAKING THE LOW INTO EASTERN OHIO
BY 12Z FRIDAY MORNING AND IT APPEARS THE GEM/CMC IS LINING UP A
LITTLE CLOSER TO THIS SOLUTION. MEANWHILE...THE GFS IS STILL THE
FARTHEST SOUTH WITH THE LOW OVER NORTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA BY FRIDAY
MORNING...WITH THE NAM MORE SIMILAR TO THIS. WILL GENERALLY TAKE
MORE OF A BLEND OF THESE...BUT ULTIMATE TRACK WILL OBVIOUSLY
DETERMINE HOW MUCH SNOW WE GET ACROSS OUR NORTHWEST. WITH THE 850
MB LOW TRACKING ALONG INTERSTATE 70...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
SOME SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE NORTHERN MIAMI
VALLEY/WEST CENTRAL OHIO. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT C25 INDICATE A
FAIRLY HIGH FAVORABLE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE BUT LIFT IS DEEP SO IT
WILL LIKELY GET INTO THIS ZONE FOR AT LEAST A PERIOD OF TIME LATER
THURSDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...THINK SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
HELPED BY THE FACT THAT THE BULK OF THE SNOW WILL BE FALLING AT
NIGHT TIME. WILL THEREFORE...NUDGE UP SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS
OUR FAR NORTHWEST INTO THE 4 TO 6 INCH RANGE AND ISSUE A WINTER
STORM WATCH FOR A FEW OF OUR FAR NORTHWEST COUNTIES.

MEANWHILE...WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL PERSIST ACROSS OUR SOUTH THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. SUPPOSE AN ISOLATED RUMBLE OF THUNDER IS NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION...BUT BETTER INSTABILITIES REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH SO
WILL KEEP MENTION OF THUNDER OUT OF THE FORECAST. WITH THE GROUND
ALREADY SATURATED FROM RAIN EARLIER THIS WEEK...FLOODING REMAINS A
CONCERN. CURRENT FLOOD WATCH LOOKS PRETTY GOOD. WILL JUST ADD A
FEW COUNTIES TO THE FLOOD WATCH ACROSS OUR EAST...AS IT LOOKS LIKE
HEAVIER RAIN MAY PIVOT UP THIS WAY THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WILL SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF SOUTHERLY FLOW ON SATURDAY AS SFC HIGH
PUSHES EAST OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...WEAK INVERTED TROUGH TO THE
SOUTH OF THE CWA WILL PREVENT A FULL SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO LOW
LEVEL FLOW...SO STAYED A BIT COOLER THAN GUIDANCE GOING CLOSER TO
COOLER ECMWF NUMBERS.

MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH 12Z GFS COMING BETTER IN LINE WITH ECMWF AND ECMWF
ENSEMBLE...WHICH WERE THE 2 PREFERRED SOLUTIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE EXTENDED. THIS BRINGS A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW INTO NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE OHIO VALLEY ON MONDAY WHICH WILL LIKELY LEAVE THE
CWA WARM SECTORED. CANNOT RULE OUT BRIEF PERIODS OF SNOW OR MIXED
PRECIP LATE SUNDAY AND EARLY MONDAY AS THE ONSET AS ISENTROPIC LIFT
ENCOUNTERS A COOL LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS...BUT DO NOT EXPECT ANY
APPRECIABLE ICE OR SNOW ACCUMS AS AIRMASS WILL BE QUICK TO WARM IN
STRONG WAA PATTERN. INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY GIVEN DEEP FRONTAL LIFT AND PLENTIFUL DEEP MOISTURE. GIVEN
PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM AND MOST OF THE AREA BEING
WARM-SECTORED...DO NOT EXPECT WIDESPREAD HYDRO ISSUES BUT CERTAINLY
CANT RULE OUT A FEW HIGH WATER PROBLEMS...ESPECIALLY IF THERE ARE
ANY LINGERING AREAS OF HIGH WATER LEFT OVER FROM THE THURS/FRI
RAINFALL.

DEPARTING LOW ON TUESDAY WILL BRING AND END TO PRECIP ACROSS THE
WILMINGTON AREA...THOUGH CANNOT RULE OUT SOME -SN ACROSS THE NORTH
SO LONG AS ANY DEFORMATION CAN BE REALIZED...AS HINTED AT BY GFS.
GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG MEDIUM RANGE MODELS FOR THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN
BYE MID WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AREA OF SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS MOST OF THE TERMINALS OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. COULD BRIEFLY DROP DOWN TO MVFR VISIBILITY. BUT
FOR THE MOST PART VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. APPEARS THAT MVFR
CEILINGS WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION TOWARDS 12Z AHEAD OF
DEVELOPING PRECIPITATION. RAIN WILL SPREAD IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST
DURING THE MORNING AND GRADUALLY SPREAD ACROSS ALL OF THE
TERMINALS. APPEARS THAT CEILINGS WILL QUICKLY FALL TO IFR BUT
PREVAILING VISIBILITY MAY STILL BE MVFR. AS RAIN CONTINUED AND
GETS HEAVIER AFTER 00Z CONDITIONS WILL DROP TO LIFR.

OUTLOOK...IFR/LIFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO FRIDAY
MORNING WITH MVFR TO IFR VISIBILITIES. A PERIOD OF STRONG NORTH
WINDS WILL OCCUR FRIDAY MORNING. MVFR CEILINGS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY ALONG WITH MVFR/IFR VISIBILITIES SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR OHZ026-034-035-043-044.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 AM EST THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR OHZ078.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON EST TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     OHZ064-065-073-074-079>082-088.
KY...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 AM EST THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR KYZ089>098.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON EST TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     KYZ099-100.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JGL
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...HAWBLITZEL
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
747 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

INZ050-OHZ042-045-046-051>053-060-061-250100-
WAYNE-DARKE-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-PREBLE-
MONTGOMERY-
747 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO AND MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

RAIN SHOWERS ARE LIKELY TO PUSH INTO PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATER
TONIGHT. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RISE SLOWLY THROUGH
THE UPPER 20S INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGHT...THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR A FEW HOURS OF LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS ON UNTREATED SURFACES AFTER MIDNIGHT
AND INTO THE MORNING COMMUTE HOURS ON THURSDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL
TRACK EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AS
IT DOES...RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THROUGH THE DAY ON
THURSDAY. COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...
ALLOWING THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW. SNOW WILL THEN CONTINUE
INTO FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

INZ058-059-066-073>075-080-OHZ054>056-062-063-070>072-077-250100-
FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-
MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-
HAMILTON-
747 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO
AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL
TRACK EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AS
IT DOES...RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THROUGH THE DAY ON
THURSDAY AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE
TO TWO INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...RESULTING IN RISES ON AREA
STREAMS AND RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ099-100-OHZ064-065-073-074-079>082-088-250100-
MASON-LEWIS-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-ROSS-HOCKING-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-
PIKE-SCIOTO-
747 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...CENTRAL
OHIO AND SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ089>098-OHZ078-250100-
CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-
ROBERTSON-CLERMONT-
747 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN KENTUCKY AND
SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ026-034-035-043-044-250100-
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-SHELBY-LOGAN-
747 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO AND WEST
CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

RAIN SHOWERS ARE LIKELY TO PUSH INTO PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATER
TONIGHT. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RISE THROUGH THE
UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT...THE
POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR A FEW HOURS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ON UNTREATED SURFACES LATE TONIGHT AND INTO THE
MORNING COMMUTE HOURS ON THURSDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

BINAU

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1017 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

OHZ026-034-035-042>044-240600-
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...
GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE
1017 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

...PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN LIKELY TONIGHT...

A BAND OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 11 PM AND
2 AM. DESPITE AIR TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RISING OVERNIGHT...SOME
AREAS WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING AS THE RAIN MOVES THROUGH. THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR SOME FREEZING RAIN...AND A THIN GLAZE OF ICE ON
UNTREATED SURFACES INCLUDING ROADS AND SIDEWALKS. TRAVEL MAY
BECOME SLIPPERY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE OVERNIGHT...GETTING ABOVE FREEZING IN MANY
AREAS BY SUNRISE.

BINAU

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1213 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

OHZ026-034-035-043>046-052-056-240715-
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-CHAMPAIGN-
LICKING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...SIDNEY...
BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...URBANA...NEWARK
1213 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

...PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN LIKELY...

A BAND OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY RISE TO
ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT HOWEVER AS THE RAIN MOVES THROUGH SOME
AREAS WILL STILL BE BELOW FREEZING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
FREEZING RAIN...AND A THIN GLAZE OF ICE ON UNTREATED SURFACES
INCLUDING ROADS AND SIDEWALKS. TRAVEL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE
SLIPPERY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
219 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

OHZ045-046-056-240930-
UNION OH-DELAWARE-LICKING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...NEWARK
219 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

...PATCHY FREEZING RAIN BEFORE DAYBREAK...

SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE
TO ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...AS THE RAIN MOVES THROUGH
SOME AREAS WILL STILL BE BELOW FREEZING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
FREEZING RAIN...AND A THIN GLAZE OF ICE ON UNTREATED SURFACES
INCLUDING ROADS AND SIDEWALKS. TRAVEL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE
SLIPPERY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.