Special Weather Statement, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
812 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA OVER THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
LINE OF STORMS HAS MOVED INTO THE FORECAST AREA. THIS MAY STILL
FILL IN FURTHER AS IT CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
EVENING. THERE IS SOME QUESTION HOW FAR SOUTH THIS WILL FORM. BUT
SOUTHERN BORDER COUNTIES WARRANT AT LEAST A CHANCE. ONCE THIS
MOVES THROUGH EXPECT SKIES TO BECOME MAINLY CLEAR.

HAVE USED A BLEND OF GUIDANCE TEMPS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE REGION DURING THE
PERIOD. MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION
BEHIND THE FRONT. THERE COULD BE SOME MORNING COLD AIR
ADVECTION CLOUDS...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH. BY MIDDAY THERE SHOULD
BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE. BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE
QUIET. HAVE USED A BLEND OF GUIDANCE BOTH PERIODS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MODELS COMING INTO A LITTLE BIT BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE LONG
TERM PERIOD. A LONG WAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS DURING THE PERIOD. A POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
AFFECT THE OHIO VALLEY OVER THE WEEKEND. A SURFACE OCCLUDED FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL CROSS THE AREA SATURDAY. PRECIP
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL ARRIVE SATURDAY AND LINGER INTO
SUNDAY. FOR NOW WILL STICK WITH CHANCE WORDING BUT EXPECT LATER
SHIFTS WILL NEED TO RAISE CHANCES CONSIDERABLY. ANOTHER HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE OHIO VALLEY FOR
THE START OF THE NEW WORKWEEK. HAVE USED A BLEND OF GUIDANCE TEMPS
THE ENTIRE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE
TERMINALS IN THE FIRST SEVERAL HOURS OF THE FORECAST. EXPECT SKIES
TO CLEAR BEHIND THIS WITH JUST A FEW STRATOCUMULUS LEFTOVER
THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT. COULD BE SOME GROUND FOG AT KLUK
LATE TONIGHT. ONLY EXPECT SCATTERED STRATOCUMULUS DURING THE DAY.
WINDS WILL BECOME WEST NORTHWEST AT SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 KT.

OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
350 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

INZ050-058-059-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051-052-060-102000-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-
UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-PREBLE-
350 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 753 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD ACTIVATE AND REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

INZ066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ053>056-061>065-070>074-077>082-088-
102000-
FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-
KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-
CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-
PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
350 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF
OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
TODAY WILL BE FROM LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. THE
GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO BE TO THE WEST
AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 71 CORRIDOR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD ACTIVATE AND REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
741 PM EDT TUE AUG 09 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     HAIL             CRIDERSVILLE            40.65N 84.15W
08/09/2011  E1.00 INCH       AUGLAIZE           OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

0730 PM     HAIL             CRIDERSVILLE            40.65N 84.15W
08/09/2011  E1.00 INCH       AUGLAIZE           OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SNIVELY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
745 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

OHZ042-043-051-052-100015-
CHAMPAIGN OH-DARKE OH-MIAMI OH-SHELBY OH-
745 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN SHELBY...NORTHERN
MIAMI...EASTERN DARKE AND WESTERN CHAMPAIGN COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM
EDT...

AT 741 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR RUSSIA...
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...PIQUA...SIDNEY AND ST.
PARIS.

ALSO...HOUSTON...POLO...HARDIN...NEWBERN...LOCKINGTON...FLETCHER...
PLATTSVILLE AND BALLOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4029 8401 4027 8401 4027 8390 4026 8383
      4004 8397 4019 8452 4035 8441

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