Severe Thunderstorm Warning 199, NWS Wilmington, OH

195 
WWUS51 KILN 050122
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
922 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

OHC045-073-129-141-050145-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0199.000000T0000Z-110605T0145Z/
FAIRFIELD OH-HOCKING OH-PICKAWAY OH-ROSS OH-
922 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN ROSS...SOUTHERN PICKAWAY...SOUTHWESTERN HOCKING AND
SOUTHWESTERN FAIRFIELD COUNTIES...

AT 921 PM EDT...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LOGAN ELM VILLAGE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KINGSTON...NORTH FORK VILLAGE AND CHILLICOTHE.

IN ADDITION...PICKAWAY COUNTY AIRPORT...STOUTSVILLE...
ANDERSONVILLE...TARLTON...WHISLER...MOORESVILLE...HALLSVILLE AND
LAURELVILLE ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3937 8256 3937 8263 3936 8264 3936 8274
      3929 8275 3931 8310 3951 8327 3969 8325
      3967 8281
TIME...MOT...LOC 0122Z 323DEG 21KT 3955 8296

$$

HATZOS

311 
WWUS51 KILN 050145
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
945 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

OHC045-073-129-141-050155-
/O.EXP.KILN.SV.W.0199.000000T0000Z-110605T0145Z/
FAIRFIELD OH-HOCKING OH-PICKAWAY OH-ROSS OH-
945 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ROSS...SOUTHERN
PICKAWAY...SOUTHWESTERN HOCKING AND SOUTHWESTERN FAIRFIELD COUNTIES
HAS EXPIRED...

AN ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR 
PORTIONS OF PICKAWAY...HOCKING...AND ROSS COUNTIES.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3937 8256 3937 8263 3936 8264 3936 8274
      3929 8275 3931 8310 3951 8327 3969 8325
      3967 8281
TIME...MOT...LOC 0145Z 323DEG 21KT 3944 8286

$$

HATZOS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
838 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH THIS
AFTERNOON...MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE REGION...AS THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS STALLED NEAR THE OHIO RIVER ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
ADJUSTED POPS SOUTHEAST OF CMH TO GO CATEGORICAL WITH THE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM DROPPING THROUGH THAT LOCATION. ALSO INCREASED
POPS ACROSS THE W WITH THE LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION MOVG OUT OF INDIANA.

KEPT LOW TEMPERATURES AS IS FOR NOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
THE SOMEWHAT-DIFFUSE BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN STRETCHED NEAR THE OHIO
RIVER AND THROUGH THE CINCINNATI AREA THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY.
CANNOT RULE OUT ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY AT ANY TIME...ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE CHANCES WILL BE
BETTER FOR SOME PRECIPITATION IN THE FAR SOUTH ON SUNDAY
MIDDAY INTO AFTERNOON...AS THE FRONT STARTS PUSHING SOUTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH CLOUD COVER IS
AROUND...INSTABILITY COULD BUILD ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR ISOLATED
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THIS THREAT WOULD BE LIMITED ONLY
TO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

CONDITIONS SHOULD DRY OUT ON SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER
DEWPOINTS AND DECREASING CLOUD COVER ALLOWING TEMPS TO FALL A BIT
FURTHER ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST OF THE AREA ON MONDAY
AS UPR LVL RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK TO THE NE TOWARD THE MIDDLE
OHIO VALLEY. THIS WILL BRING A WEAK WARM FRONT BACK TO THE NE AS WELL.
THIS FEATURE COULD TRIGGER AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM AS IT
ADVANCES SLOWLY NE AND HAVE THUS KEPT 20 POPS IN THE FORECAST FOR
THE AFTN AND EVENING HOURS...MAINLY WESTERN ZONES.

FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MUCH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS ON POTENTIAL
MCS DEVELOPMENT ACRS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND HOW IT WILL EVOLVE/
PROPAGATE SOUTHEAST. HAVE SIDED WITH THE GFS/CMC/ECMWF MODELS WHICH
BRUSH OUR NRN/NERN CWFA WITH A THREAT FOR SHOWERS/STORMS. GIVEN
UNCERTAINTY...WILL ONLY GO AS HIGH AS 30 PERCENT. UPR LVL RIDGE
SHOULD REACH ITS FARTHEST EXTENT NORTH TUESDAY NIGHT...AND WILL
BEGIN TO FLATTEN TO THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AS UPSTREAM ENERGY BEGINS
TO APPROACH THE NRN PLAINS/UPR MS RIVER VALLEY.

ON WEDNESDAY...REGION WILL BE IN A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN AT THE
SFC AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO SAG SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES/MIDDLE MS RIVER VALLEY. GIVEN HEAT AND HUMIDITY...CAN NOT RULE
OUT A POP UP SHOWER/STORM IN THE HEAT OF THE DAY INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS...SO HAVE CONTINUE TO KEEP 20 POPS IN THE FORECAST.

FOR THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...GFS/ECMWF ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT IN
SENDING AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. THIS WILL MOST
LIKELY BRING THE BEST THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EXTENDED PERIOD. AGAIN...GIVEN HOW HARD IT IS TO PINPOINT TIMING AND
AREAL EXTENT OF CONVECTION DURING THIS TIME OF THE YEAR...HAVE KEPT
POPS IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY ATTM.

FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...HAVE TAKEN A BLEND OF HPC AND THE 00Z
ECMWF WHICH KEEPS SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION ALONG WITH DRY
WEATHER.

TEMPERATURE WISE...IT WILL BE WARM TO HOT THROUGH MID WEEK...
FOLLOWED BY SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRIER AIR BY THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG BOUNDARY IN NRN OH/INDIANA. CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX SHOULD AFFECT CMH/LCK THROUGH 01Z. STORMS IN INDIANA ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WORK SE REACHING DAY AROUND 04Z AND ILN
06Z. NOT SURE IF THE STORMS WILL HOLD TOGETHER OR WILL HIT CVG/LUK
SO KEPT ONLY A CB MENTION THERE. TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
WEAKEN AS THEY PROGRESS SOUTHWARD AFTER SUNSET...AND THEY SHOULD
DIMINISH BY EARLY MORNING.

WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE W AND NW BEHIND THE BOUNDARY TONIGHT. WITH
ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND LIGHT WINDS POST
CONVECTION...EXPECT SOME MVFR FOG TO DEVELOP AT MOST LOCATIONS.

THE FRONT SHOULD PUSH TO NR THE OH RIVER BY SUNRISE SUNDAY. EXPECT
VFR CONDITIONS DURING THE MORNING...BUT THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF TSTMS ACROSS THE SRN TAFS DURING THE AFTN WITH THE FNT
TO PROVIDE SOME LIFT.

OUTLOOK...TSTMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HATZOS
NEAR TERM...SITES
SHORT TERM...HATZOS
LONG TERM...HICKMAN
AVIATION...SITES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
314 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-
051915-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-
314 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. SOME OF THESE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
LARGE HAIL AS THE PRIMARY THREATS. THIS THREAT SHOULD END BY LATE
EVENING...AS THE STORMS MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>082-088-051915-
RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-
CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
314 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST
OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP NORTH OF THE REGION THIS
EVENING...PUSHING SOUTH AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH.
WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...SOME OF THE
STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS DURING THE
EVENING TO EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AGAIN ON SUNDAY.
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME FAVORABLE FOR A FEW OF THESE STORMS TO
APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

HATZOS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
822 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

OHZ026-034-035-042>044-051-050100-
AUGLAIZE OH-DARKE OH-HARDIN OH-LOGAN OH-MERCER OH-MIAMI OH-SHELBY OH-
822 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SHELBY...NORTHWESTERN
MIAMI...SOUTHEASTERN MERCER...NORTHWESTERN LOGAN...WESTERN HARDIN...
NORTHERN DARKE AND AUGLAIZE COUNTIES THROUGH 900 PM EDT...

AT 817 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM CRIDERSVILLE TO SHARPS CROSSING...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...CRIDERSVILLE...
MINSTER...GREENVILLE...WAPAKONETA...FORT LORAMIE...VERSAILLES...
BOTKINS...BRADFORD...WAYNESFIELD...ANNA...COVINGTON AND SIDNEY.

ALSO...WILLOWDELL...DARKE COUNTY AIRPORT...ABBOTTSVILLE...LAKE
LORAMIE STATE PARK...PIKEVILLE...KETTLERSVILLE...UNIOPOLIS AND
WEBSTER ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THESE STORMS BECOME
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 4066 8422 4066 8411 4065 8410 4065 8389
      4067 8389 4066 8381 4003 8426 4005 8482
      4010 8481 4069 8426 4069 8422

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
841 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0803 PM     HAIL             CARROLL                 39.80N 82.70W
06/04/2011  E0.75 INCH       FAIRFIELD          OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SNYDER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
842 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

INZ050-058-OHZ042-050130-
FAYETTE IN-WAYNE IN-DARKE OH-
842 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN DARKE...
NORTHWESTERN WAYNE AND NORTHWESTERN FAYETTE COUNTIES THROUGH 930 PM
EDT...

AT 840 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF ECONOMY TO 19 MILES WEST OF DUBLIN...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...HAGERSTOWN...DUBLIN...
FOUNTAIN CITY AND CAMBRIDGE CITY.

ALSO...FRANKLIN...ECONOMY...WILLIAMSBURG...MOUNT AUBURN...
JACKSONBURG...BETHEL...WHITEWATER AND EAST GERMANTOWN ARE NEAR THE
PATH OF THIS LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THESE STORMS BECOME
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3979 8530 3980 8523 3987 8522 3988 8521
      4000 8521 4001 8520 4001 8482 4007 8481
      4005 8460 3976 8512 3976 8531

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
848 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NW WARRENSBURG        40.33N 83.19W
06/04/2011                   DELAWARE           OH   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            BARN ROOF BLOWN OFF. LRG TREE DOWN. 2X4 DRIVEN INTO
            SIDING OF HOUSE. DIME SIZE HAIL

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OSTRANDER               40.27N 83.21W
06/04/2011                   DELAWARE           OH   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE DOWN

0803 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ASHVILLE                39.72N 82.96W
06/04/2011                   PICKAWAY           OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN

&&

HUGHES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
855 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

OHZ064-065-050130-
FAIRFIELD OH-PICKAWAY OH-
855 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PICKAWAY AND SOUTHWESTERN
FAIRFIELD COUNTIES THROUGH 930 PM EDT...

AT 854 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
DARBYVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...SOUTH BLOOMFIELD AND
ASHVILLE.

ALSO...DERBY...ORIENT...FIVE POINTS...DARBYVILLE AND COMMERCIAL POINT
ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3958 8273 3947 8274 3963 8325 3980 8324
      3971 8265 3958 8262

HATZOS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
901 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

INZ050-OHZ042-043-051>053-060-061-050145-
WAYNE IN-CHAMPAIGN OH-CLARK OH-DARKE OH-MIAMI OH-MONTGOMERY OH-
PREBLE OH-SHELBY OH-
901 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY...
NORTHERN PREBLE...NORTHERN MONTGOMERY...MIAMI...SOUTHERN DARKE...
NORTHWESTERN CLARK...SOUTHERN CHAMPAIGN AND EASTERN WAYNE COUNTIES
THROUGH 945 PM EDT...

AT 858 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM FLETCHER TO MIDDLEBORO...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...PLEASANT HILL...TROY...
LEWISBURG...ST. PARIS...WEST MILTON...TIPP CITY...VANDALIA...
URBANA...TROTWOOD...NORTHRIDGE...NEW CARLISLE AND MECHANICSBURG.

ALSO...FARRINGTON...ELDORADO...CASTINE...PITSBURG...FLETCHER...WEST
MANCHESTER...ITHACA AND LAURA ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THESE STORMS BECOME
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3990 8491 4022 8418 4010 8351 4008 8351
      3976 8424