Severe Thunderstorm Warning 15, NWS Wilmington, OH

489 
WWUS51 KILN 231844
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
244 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

OHC027-047-057-071-129-141-231930-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110323T1930Z/
HIGHLAND OH-ROSS OH-CLINTON OH-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY OH-GREENE OH-
244 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN PICKAWAY AND FAYETTE COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO...AND
EASTERN CLINTON...NORTHWESTERN ROSS AND NORTHERN HIGHLAND COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST OHIO...AND SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL
OHIO...

QUARTER SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED IN WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE AT 244 PM.

AT 239 PM EDT...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BURTONVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SABINA...LEESBURG...GREENFIELD...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...
BLOOMINGBURG...NEW HOLLAND AND WILLIAMSPORT.

IN ADDITION...BLOOMINGTON...REESVILLE...HIGHLAND...PAINT CREEK STATE
PARK...MILLEDGEVILLE...EAST MONROE...JASPER MILLS AND NEW MARTINSBURG
ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS!

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3955 8390 3969 8309 3939 8300 3925 8383
TIME...MOT...LOC 1844Z 256DEG 50KT 3941 8371

$$


BINAU

340 
WWUS51 KILN 231850
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
250 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

OHC057-231859-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110323T1930Z/
GREENE OH-
250 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED...

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3939 8300 3930 8354 3931 8371 3952 8375
      3956 8370 3955 8368 3958 8367 3960 8364
      3969 8309
TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 257DEG 49KT 3939 8364

$$

OHC027-047-071-129-141-231930-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110323T1930Z/
HIGHLAND OH-ROSS OH-CLINTON OH-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY OH-
250 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN PICKAWAY AND FAYETTE COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO...AND
EASTERN CLINTON...NORTHWESTERN ROSS AND NORTHEASTERN HIGHLAND
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST OHIO...

AT 248 PM EDT...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HIGHLAND...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

QUARTER SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED IN WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE AT 244 PM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SABINA...LEESBURG...GREENFIELD...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...
BLOOMINGBURG...NEW HOLLAND AND WILLIAMSPORT.

IN ADDITION...HIGHLAND...MILLEDGEVILLE...PAINT CREEK STATE PARK...
EAST MONROE...JASPER MILLS...NEW MARTINSBURG...STAUNTON AND ROCK
MILLS ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS!

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3939 8300 3930 8354 3931 8371 3952 8375
      3956 8370 3955 8368 3958 8367 3960 8364
      3969 8309
TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 257DEG 49KT 3939 8364

$$


BINAU

880 
WWUS51 KILN 231855
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
255 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

OHC027-047-071-129-141-231930-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110323T1930Z/
HIGHLAND OH-ROSS OH-CLINTON OH-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY OH-
255 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN PICKAWAY AND FAYETTE COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO...AND
NORTHEASTERN CLINTON...NORTHWESTERN ROSS AND NORTHEASTERN HIGHLAND
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST OHIO...

AT 252 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAD
STRENGTHENED AND WAS NOW CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND
WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LEESBURG...MOVING EAST 
AT 55 MPH. THIS STORM HAS PRODUCED DIME TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL 
COVERING THE GROUND IN WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE BETWEEN 244 PM AND 255 
PM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREENFIELD...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...BLOOMINGBURG...NEW HOLLAND AND
WILLIAMSPORT.

IN ADDITION...JASPER MILLS...NEW MARTINSBURG...STAUNTON...ROCK
MILLS...GOOD HOPE...PANCOASTBURG...FRANKFORT AND DEER CREEK LAKE ARE
NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS!

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3939 8300 3932 8354 3935 8362 3952 8368
      3954 8365 3956 8362 3961 8357 3969 8309
TIME...MOT...LOC 1855Z 257DEG 49KT 3940 8351

$$


BINAU

958 
WWUS51 KILN 231858 RRA
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
258 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

OHC027-231909-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110323T1930Z/
CLINTON OH-
258 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CLINTON COUNTY
HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3939 8300 3934 8353 3936 8356 3942 8355
      3950 8358 3952 8358 3954 8357 3954 8358
      3959 8353 3969 8309
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 264DEG 59KT 3939 8340

$$

OHC047-071-129-141-231930-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110323T1930Z/
HIGHLAND OH-ROSS OH-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY OH-
258 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN PICKAWAY AND SOUTHERN FAYETTE COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO...
AND NORTHWESTERN ROSS AND NORTHEASTERN HIGHLAND COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST
OHIO...

AT 256 PM EDT...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NEW MARTINSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BLOOMINGBURG...NEW HOLLAND AND WILLIAMSPORT.

IN ADDITION...GOOD HOPE...PANCOASTBURG...DEER CREEK LAKE...STATE
ROUTE 207 AT US ROUTE 22...FRANKFORT AND CLARKSBURG ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS!

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3939 8300 3934 8353 3936 8356 3942 8355
      3950 8358 3952 8358 3954 8357 3954 8358
      3959 8353 3969 8309
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 264DEG 59KT 3939 8340

$$


BINAU

859 
WWUS51 KILN 231911
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
311 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

OHC071-231921-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110323T1930Z/
HIGHLAND OH-
311 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME NORTHEASTERN HIGHLAND
COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3939 8300 3935 8335 3935 8338 3937 8338
      3937 8343 3941 8345 3943 8344 3953 8345
      3957 8343 3969 8309
TIME...MOT...LOC 1911Z 264DEG 59KT 3939 8324

$$

OHC047-129-141-231930-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110323T1930Z/
ROSS OH-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY OH-
311 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN PICKAWAY AND SOUTHEASTERN FAYETTE COUNTIES IN CENTRAL
OHIO...AND NORTHWESTERN ROSS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OHIO...

AT 305 PM EDT...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A TWO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THESE 
STORMS WERE LOCATED NEAR GOOD HOPE AND WILLIAMSPORT...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILLIAMSPORT.

IN ADDITION...DEER CREEK LAKE...FRANKFORT...STATE ROUTE 207 AT US
ROUTE 22 AND CLARKSBURG ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS!

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3939 8300 3935 8335 3935 8338 3937 8338
      3937 8343 3941 8345 3943 8344 3953 8345
      3957 8343 3969 8309
TIME...MOT...LOC 1911Z 264DEG 59KT 3939 8324

$$

994 
WWUS51 KILN 231917
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
317 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

OHC047-231927-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110323T1930Z/
FAYETTE OH-
317 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN
CENTRAL OHIO HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3937 8332 3940 8331 3944 8329 3949 8328
      3955 8320 3964 8318 3969 8309 3939 8300
      3936 8331
TIME...MOT...LOC 1917Z 264DEG 59KT 3938 8311

$$

OHC129-141-231930-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110323T1930Z/
ROSS OH-PICKAWAY OH-
317 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL PICKAWAY AND NORTHERN ROSS COUNTIES...

QUARTER TO GOLF BALL HAIL AND WINDS TO 65 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED 
WITH THIS STORM.

AT 313 PM EDT...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 70
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FRANKFORT...MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL PICKAWAY AND
NORTHERN ROSS COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS!

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3937 8332 3940 8331 3944 8329 3949 8328
      3955 8320 3964 8318 3969 8309 3939 8300
      3936 8331
TIME...MOT...LOC 1917Z 264DEG 59KT 3938 8311

$$


BINAU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
140 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK EAST ALONG A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY. A TRAILING COLD FRONT FROM THE LOW WILL PUSH THROUGH
THIS EVENING. COLDER HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT
FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A DEEP UPR LVL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH E/SE TOWARD THE GREAT
LAKES TODAY/OHIO VALLEY REGION TODAY. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL RIPPLE
ACRS AN ADVANCING WARM FRONT ACRS NRN OHIO. FALLING HEIGHTS AHEAD
OF THE UPR LOW...ALONG WITH AN EMBEDDED DISTURBANCE ON THE EAST
SIDE OF THE UPR LOW...WILL PROVIDE LARGE SCALE ASCENT FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. IN THE LOW LEVELS...SFC LOW WILL AID IN THE INCREASE OF
THE LOW LEVEL JET...PROVIDING SOME LOW LEVEL FORCING/FOCUS.
STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES APCHING 8 C/KM WILL AID IN
DESTABILIZING THE ATMOSPHERE...ALONG WITH WARM SFC TEMPERATURES IN
THE 60S/70S AND DEWPOINTS CLIMBING INTO THE 50S. ALL IN
ALL...REGION REMAINS IN A SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE
WEATHER. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT CONVECTION WILL GET STARTED OVER
CNTRL/SRN INDIANA BY EARLY AFTN...QUICKLY SPREADING EAST AND
INCREASING IN COVERAGE AS IT PASS ACRS OUR REGION. BIGGEST SEVERE
THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL DUE TO STEEP LAPSE RATES AND FAT CAPE
LOCATED IN THE MID LVLS...FOLLOWED BY DAMAGING WINDS. ALTHOUGH 0-1
KM SRH IS NOT OVERLY HIGH...STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BECOMING
SUPERCELLULAR DUE TO UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW THAT MAY LEAD TO
SPLITTING CELLS. ANY RIGHT MOVING CELL FROM THE MEAN FLOW COULD
STILL POSE A TORNADO THREAT. ALL OF THE ABOVE IS MENTIONED IN THE
HWO. WILL MAKE UPDATES TO THE FORECAST AS CONDITIONS WARRANT
THROUGHOUT THE DAY...ESPECIALLY DEWPOINTS AND TEMPERATURES THAT
WILL BE INFLUX.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AFTER EVENING SHOWERS AND STORMS ACTIVITY SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH
WITH ONLY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO LIGHT
SNOW. DONT EXPECT ANY ACCUM AND SHOULD BE ENOUGH DRYING OUT TO
KEEP ANY ICY ROADS FROM OCCURRING. TEMPS AT OR JUST ABOVE GUID WITH
CLOUDS. AFTER A FEW MORNING FLURRIES OR SPRINKLES SHOULD SEE GOOD
DRYING AND AFTERNOON SUN. TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE BUT WITH THE
EXPECTATION OF SOME SUN DID NOT STRAY MUCH FROM GUIDANCE. THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY SHOULD BE DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE. SOME INCREASING
CLOUDS ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF NEXT SYSTEM. TEMPS NEAR GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE FOR THE LONG TERM PERIOD.  THE GFS HAS
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA FOR ALMOST THE ENTIRE WEEKEND WHEREAS
THE ECMWF KEEPS CONDITIONS DRY WITH A MORE SOUTHERN ECMWF STORM
TRACK. DUE TO MODEL RUN INCONSISTENCIES WENT WITH A BLEND AT THIS
POINT HOWEVER WENT CLOSER TO A SOUTHERN SOLUTION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL BE PRESENT FOR MONDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM IMPACTS THE AREA.
THE GFS IS FURTHER SOUTH WITH THIS SYSTEM WHILE THE ECMWF HAS A
MORE NORTHERN TRACK. WENT CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN ECMWF SOLUTION.
MODEL TRENDS HAVE BEEN FASTER WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THEREFORE SPED
UP TIMING WITH PRECIPITATION. TEMPERATURE PROFILES WILL BE ON THE
EDGE FOR PRECIPITATION TYPE AND THEREFORE BELIEVE THAT SOME
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH WILL MIX WITH SOME SNOW
WITH BOTH THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK SYSTEMS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES INTO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MOVE QUICKLY ESE THROUGH THE REGION DURING
THE TAF PERIOD. A SFC LOW NEAR KIND THIS AFTERNOON WILL RIPPLE
ALONG A WARM FRONT ACRS NRN OHIO THIS AFTN INTO EARLY EVENING. A
COLD FRONT/DRY LINE WILL ACCOMPANY THE LOW. WARM...MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE LOW AND FRONT...COMBINED WITH
INCREASING LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER LEVEL LIFT...WILL
RESULT IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE TAF SITES THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. WILL INCLUDE TEMPO -TSRA AT ALL TAF SITES THIS
AFTN. WILL AMEND TAFS IF NECESSARY TO INCLUDE HAIL AND OR STRONG
WINDS SHOULD STRONGER CORES MOVE TOWARD ANY TERMINAL. IT APPEARS
AS THIS ACTIVITY MOVES EAST BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
EVENING...THERE MAY BE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE PCPN THREAT.
THEREAFTER...ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL DROP FROM NW TO SE THROUGH
THE REGION OVERNIGHT. THERE COULD BE SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
EMBEDDED THUNDER AHEAD OF THE FRONT. AFTER FRONTAL
PASSAGE...COLDER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION. CIGS WILL LIKELY
DROP INTO THE MVFR CATEGORY BEHIND SECOND FRONT. THE JURY IS
STILL OUT AT THIS POINT WHETHER IFR CIGS WILL FORM. GIVEN WEAK LOW
LEVEL FORCING OVERNIGHT...AND A LACK OF MID LVL MOISTURE...SOME
PATCHY DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH FREEZING DRIZZLE WHERE
TEMPERATURES FALL TO OR LOWER THAN FREEZING.

ON THURSDAY...ANY THREAT OF DRIZZLE/FREEZING DRIZZLE SHOULD END
DURING THE MORNING HOURS. MVFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE MORNING...
WITH A CLEARING TREND STARTING CLOSE TO THE NORTHERN TAF SITES
AROUND 18Z AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR BUILD
SOUTHWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HICKMAN/PADGETT
NEAR TERM...HICKMAN
SHORT TERM...PADGETT
LONG TERM...NOVAK
AVIATION...HICKMAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
452 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-240900-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
452 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PUSH EAST TODAY ALONG A WARM FRONT
DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND CONTINUE
INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT SOME OF THE STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE
LATER TODAY...PRIMARILY AFTER 2 PM. THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WILL
BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...THE POTENTIAL FOR AN
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL ALSO EXIST. THE THUNDERSTORM AND SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1247 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-231915-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-
MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-
PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...
BROOKVILLE...VERSAILLES...LAWRENCEBURG...RISING SUN...VEVAY...
CARROLLTON...WARSAW...BURLINGTON...INDEPENDENCE...ALEXANDRIA...
OWENTON...WILLIAMSTOWN...FALMOUTH...BROOKSVILLE...MOUNT OLIVET...
MAYSVILLE...VANCEBURG...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...
GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...
PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...
EATON...DAYTON...XENIA...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...CIRCLEVILLE...
LANCASTER...HAMILTON...LEBANON...WILMINGTON...CHILLICOTHE...
LOGAN...CINCINNATI...MILFORD...GEORGETOWN...HILLSBORO...
WEST UNION...PIKETON...PORTSMOUTH
1247 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME OF THE STORMS BECOMING SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE
HAIL /GOLF BALL SIZED AND LARGER/ IS HIGHER THAN USUAL TODAY. A
FEW TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IN WESTERN
OHIO...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY...WITH THE THREAT
INCREASING AND SPREADING EAST FOR ALL AREAS THROUGH THE MIDDLE
AND LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

THIS IS A GOOD DAY TO HAVE A PLAN DEVELOPED FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO
SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER AFFECT YOUR AREA. MONITOR THE
WEATHER.GOV/ILN WEBSITE...NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE
INFORMATION SOURCE FOR THE LATEST ON THIS IMPENDING SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

BINAU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
204 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0153 PM     HAIL             1 W NORTHBROOK          39.25N 84.60W
03/23/2011  M0.50 INCH       HAMILTON           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED 2 TO 3 MINUTES OF DIME SIZE HAIL IN
            COLERAIN TOWNSHIP.

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
212 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0158 PM     HAIL             2 SSE MCGONIGLE         39.42N 84.67W
03/23/2011  M0.50 INCH       BUTLER             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SHOBE2

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
214 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     HAIL             MASON                   39.36N 84.31W
03/23/2011  E0.88 INCH       WARREN             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0204 PM     HAIL             MASON                   39.36N 84.31W
03/23/2011  M0.50 INCH       WARREN             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
215 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     HAIL             MASON                   39.36N 84.31W
03/23/2011  E0.88 INCH       WARREN             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0208 PM     HAIL             3 S MASON               39.32N 84.31W
03/23/2011  E0.50 INCH       WARREN             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

HUGHES