River Flood Warning 77, NWS Wilmington, OH

082 
WGUS81 KILN 281401
FLSILN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1001 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

  SCIOTO RIVER AT CIRCLEVILLE

OHC129-282201-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-110529T0019Z/
/CRCO1.1.ER.110528T1640Z.000000T0000Z.110528T1819Z.NO/
1001 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER AT CIRCLEVILLE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 9 AM THE STAGE WAS JUST BELOW 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE TO 14.0 FEET BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT STAGES NEAR 14.0 FEET, FLOODING OF BOTTOM LAND AREAS BEGINS NEAR 
  CIRCLEVILLE AND THROUGHOUT PICKAWAY COUNTY NEAR THE SCIOTO RIVER. 
  WATER APPROACHES PORTIONS OF CANAL ROAD.
  

$$

587 
WGUS81 KILN 281737
FLSILN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
137 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

  SCIOTO RIVER AT CIRCLEVILLE

OHC129-281807-
/O.CAN.KILN.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-110529T0019Z/
/CRCO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
137 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER AT CIRCLEVILLE
* AT 12 PM THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 13.97 FEET.  THE RIVER WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO 12.6 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT STAGES NEAR 14.0 FEET, FLOODING OF BOTTOM LAND AREAS BEGINS NEAR 
  CIRCLEVILLE AND THROUGHOUT PICKAWAY COUNTY NEAR THE SCIOTO RIVER. 
  WATER APPROACHES PORTIONS OF CANAL ROAD.
  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
128 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
BREAKS IN THE EAST NOW OCCURRING OVER A LARGER AREA.
VSBY RESTRICTIONS ARE NOW BEGINNING IN THE WEST. STILL A FAIR
AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY...BUT THE TRENDS IN THE WEST STILL APPEAR
THAT THERE WILL ONLY BE BRIEF IF ANY CLEARING. GIVEN CURRENT
SLIGHTLY LOWERED VISIBILITY IN SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WEST...HAVE
BROUGHT PATCHY FOG BACK INTO THE FORECAST OVERNIGHT. HAVE
GENERALLY LEFT THE PREVIOUS TEMPS AS THE THOUGHT IS STILL FOR FEW
BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS ESPECIALLY IN THE WEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL DIMINISH IN THE MORNING BEFORE A SHORT
WAVE TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION. SO ONLY EXPECT SOME MID CLOUDS TO
COME WITH THAT FEATURE. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND TRACK
ALONG A FRONT TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. BUT CANNOT
COMPLETELY RULE OUT A FEW OF THESE STORMS CLIPPING THE FAR
NORTHWEST ZONES SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. WARMING
TREND WILL COMMENCE WITH READINGS RISING ABOVE NORMAL. HIGHS WILL
BE 10 TO 20 DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY WITH LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT
ABOUT 10 DEGREES WARMER.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
WILL START THE EXTENDED FORECAST DRY. ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH A
SHORTWAVE WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES...BUT
BUILDING RIDGING SHOULD PUSH THIS FAR ENOUGH NORTH TO KEEP THE
FORECAST AREA DRY BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THE STRONG STACKED HIGH WILL BE IN
CONTROL OF THE WEATHER FOR MUCH OF THE OHIO VALLEY AND THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY RISE ON SUNDAY...AND MAY
GAIN A DEGREE OR TWO ON MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY. HAVE CONTINUED
TO DISCOUNT THE GFS SOLUTION DEVELOPING CONVECTION UNDER THE HIGH ON
MONDAY AND EVEN MORE ON TUESDAY...OPTING TO KEEP THE FORECAST DRY AT
THIS TIME. THE ECMWF AND CMC OFFER SUPPORT TO THE DRY SOLUTION.

A COLD FRONT WILL DROP INTO THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY. AT THE
LEAST...THIS WILL SUPPRESS TEMPERATURES AND INTRODUCE SOME CLOUDS TO
THE REGION. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WITH THIS FEATURE ARE SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN...WITH MOISTURE LOOKING A LITTLE BIT LIMITED. RIGHT NOW
WILL KEEP THE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION SOUTH OF THE FRONT (IN THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA) DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED IN LATER FORECASTS...BUT
OVERALL THE SIGNAL IS NOT ONE FOR HEAVY OR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL.

AFTER THE RIDGE BEGINS TO RETROGRADE INTO THE CENTRAL STATES...THE
FORECAST AREA WILL ENTER MORE OF A TRANSITIONAL ZONE...WITH LOWER
TEMPERATURES AND A BIT OF A TIGHTER TEMPERATURE GRADIENT. MID TO
UPPER FLOW WILL BE NORTHWESTERLY...AND IT LOOKS LIKE THE CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE. THIS FAR OUT...IT IS
OBVIOUS THAT TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF CONVECTION IS VERY INCONSISTENT
FROM MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN. INCLUDED A 20-POP FOR FRIDAY AND
WILL HAVE TO LET IT GET A LITTLE CLOSER TO SEE HOW THINGS EVOLVE.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
IR SATELLITE INDICATES THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF LOW LEVEL CLOUD DECK
MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW SKIES TO BECOME
SCATTERED TO CLEAR AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. LATER TONIGHT...PATCHY FOG IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WHERE CLEARING IS OCCURRING WITH MVFR
VISIBILITIES FORECAST AT MOST LOCATIONS. SOME AREAS MAY SEE
VISIBILITIES REDUCES EVEN FURTHER IF DENSER FOG DEVELOPS.

AFTER 14Z...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH GRADUALLY CLEARING
SKIES.

OUTLOOK...LINGERING LL MOISTURE AFTER 00Z SUNDAY COULD BRING MVFR
VSBYS OVERNIGHT IN FOG/MIST.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...JDR
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...HATZOS
AVIATION...LATTO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
439 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-280845-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
439 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.