River Flood Warning 32, NWS Wilmington, OH

337 
WGUS81 KILN 100248
FLSILN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
948 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
  GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT MIAMITOWN

OHC061-101048-
/O.CON.KILN.FL.W.0032.110310T1200Z-110312T0100Z/
/MIAO1.1.ER.110310T1200Z.110311T0600Z.110311T1900Z.NO/
948 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT MIAMITOWN
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 8 PM THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT STAGES NEAR 16.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLAND AREAS ALONG THE GREAT 
  MIAMI RIVER IN HAMILTON COUNTY CAN BE EXPECTED.
  

$$

635 
WGUS81 KILN 100814
FLSILN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
314 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
  GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT MIAMITOWN

OHC061-101614-
/O.CON.KILN.FL.W.0032.110310T1200Z-110312T0100Z/
/MIAO1.1.ER.110310T1200Z.110311T0600Z.110311T1900Z.NO/
314 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT MIAMITOWN
* FROM THIS MORNING TO FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 2 AM THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* AT STAGES NEAR 16.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLAND AREAS ALONG THE GREAT 
  MIAMI RIVER IN HAMILTON COUNTY CAN BE EXPECTED.
  
$$

063 
WGUS81 KILN 101426
FLSILN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
926 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

  GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT MIAMITOWN

OHC061-101456-
/O.CAN.KILN.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-110312T0100Z/
/MIAO1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
926 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT MIAMITOWN
* AT 8 AM THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 15.4 FEET.  THE RIVER WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO 13.3 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT STAGES NEAR 16.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLAND AREAS ALONG THE GREAT 
  MIAMI RIVER IN HAMILTON COUNTY CAN BE EXPECTED.
  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
824 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL SLIP EAST ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT...BRINGING A COLD FRONT WITH IT. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL COMBINE WITH THE LOW OVER THE APPALACHIANS TO KEEP RAIN OR
SNOW IN THE FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN BRIEFLY FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND AMOUNTS OVER MID AND EASTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FA AS RAIN SHOWERS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT HAVE BEEN
SLOW MOVING THIS EVENING. THIS RAIN WILL SLOWLY MOVE TO THE EAST
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
BECOME WESTERLY AS THE COLD FRONT WORKS INTO THE FA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
H5 TROF GOES NEGATIVE TILT THU OVER ERN KY INTO ERN OH. THIS
CAUSES THE SFC LOW TO HOLD UP IN THE APPALACHIANS AND FOR PCPN TO
REDEVELOP ACROSS THE FA. TROF CUTS OFF OVER WRN PA THU NGT AND
COLD AIR GETS WRAPPED INTO THE THE SYSTEM. THE NAM WAS THE OUTLIER
WITH ITS MORE SRN POSITION OF THE SFC LOW BY 00Z FRI...WHILE THE
GFS AND ECMWF TAKE THE LOW ON A MORE NRN PATH. PREFER THE
GFS/ECMWF SOLUTION. AS THE COLD AIR WORKS IN ON THE BACK SIDE OF
THE PCPN SHIELD THU NGT...THE EXTREME ERN COUNTIES SHOULD SEE A
BURST OF SNOW. HAVE A COUPLE OF INCHES FALLING E OF CMH...WITH
LESSER AMOUNTS TAPERING BACK TO THE W.

THE CLOSED H5 LOW STARTS TO GET KICKED OUT FRI IN RESPONSE TO A
S/W THAT IS DIVING OUT OF THE GREAT PLAINS. THE GFS IS THE
QUICKEST WITH THE PCPN FROM THIS SYSTEM.

WENT CLOSE TO THE WARMER GFS MOS FOR HIGHS THU AND FRI...BUT WENT
A LITTLE WARMER FOR LOWS THU NGT AND FRI NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MODELLERS ARE USING AN EQUAL BLEND OF GUIDANCE IN THE EXTENDED WITH
A HIGH VARIABILITY EXPECTED IN THE LOWER 48 INCREASING THROUGH TIME.
IMPULSES IN THE CONUS ARE BEING ROUTED W-E UNDER A FAIRLY STRONG LOW
IN THE CANADIEN NW TERRITORIES THAT PASSES NE FROM HUDSON BAY AND
LINGERS OVER GREENLAND IN THE LONG TERM. WESTERLY FLOW WILL LIKELY
NOT LET A VERY HIGH AMPLITUDE SYSTEM DEVELOP BUT THE TIMING WILL BE
ANYBODYS GUESS BEYOND DAY 5.

BEGINNING SATURDAY...W TO SW FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE DRY IN THE OHIO
VALLEY. A MUCH STRONGER LOW IS BEING PROGGED FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY BY THE GFS ON THIS DAY AND THE CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE
NOT AS HIGH AS THIS IS ADVERTISING THEM...BUT STILL CANT BE WHOLLY
DROPPED. HIGH PRESSURE IN THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL STRENGTHEN ON
SUNDAY AND BUILD INTO THE GREAT LAKES WITH A DRYING NORTHEAST FLOW
IN THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. A SURFACE LOW IN THE GULF
STATES MAY SEE ITS NORTHERN EXTENT NOSE IN TO THE SRN OHIO VALLEY...
PARTICULARLY KY LATER MONDAY AND OVERNIGHT. THE AXIS OF THE SURFACE
HIGH SHOULD TRAVERSE THE REGION INTO THE MID ATLANTIC ON TUESDAY AND
FLOW WILL TURN SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. WILL TRY TO LIMIT
NORTHERN EXTENT OF RAIN WITH THE SOUTHERN SYSTEM BUT GENERALLY STAY
CLOSE TO HPC GUIDANCE. WITH THE NORTHERLY FLOW...TEMPERATURES SHOULD
NOT RUN AWAY PAST THE 40S OR AROUND 50 THROUGH MONDAY. A TRULY SUNNY
DAY IN THIS TIME FRAME WILL BREAK THIS LINE OF THINKING HOWEVER AND
COULD GET PLEASANTLY MILD...ESPECIALLY AS FLOW TURNS BACK TO THE
SOUTH. THIS WILL BECOME A STRONGER POSSIBILITY FOR THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD...EVEN WITH AFOREMENTIONED UNCERTAINTY IN TIMING
LATER SYSTEMS. HAVE BUMPED TEMPERATURES INTO THE 50S TUES AND A
LITTLE HIGHER ON WED.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. AN AREA OF SHOWERS HAS BEEN PERSISTENT AND
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CINCINNATI TO COLUMBUS AREAS OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. VSBYS WILL BE DECREASED IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER SHOWER
ACTIVITY. THIS SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN TO MOVE TO THE EAST
LATER THIS EVENING HOWEVER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL STICK AROUND
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS KEEPING CIGS GENERALLY IN THE IFR
CATEGORY. A FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL CAUSE THE WINDS TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY.
MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE TRYING TO SHOW SOME IMPROVEMENT IN CIGS DURING
THE LATE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY AND THEREFORE
INCREASED CIGS INTO THE MVFR CATEGORY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
HOWEVER THAT WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN DEVELOPING ON THURSDAY THAT CIGS
MAY STAY IFR FOR LONGER THAN IS CURRENTLY INDICATED. WINDS WILL
BECOME GUSTY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON THURSDAY.

OUTLOOK...IFR CEILINGS AND MVFR VISIBILITIES WILL CONTINUE INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. MVFR CEILINGS LIKELY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR OHZ046-055-056-064-065-
     073-074-081-082-088.
KY...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR KYZ099-100.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SITES
NEAR TERM...NOVAK
SHORT TERM...SITES
LONG TERM...FRANKS
AVIATION...NOVAK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
830 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>091-094-095-OHZ034-035-042-043-
051-060-061-070-077-110130-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-OWEN-GRANT-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-MIAMI-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-BUTLER-HAMILTON-
830 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...MIAMI VALLEY OF
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT. RAIN WILL
FALL ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. WHILE
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...SOME IMPACTS TO
LOW LYING OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL
WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL RISES ON SOME AREA RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ092-093-096>098-OHZ026-044-045-052>054-062-063-071-072-078>080-
110130-
KENTON-CAMPBELL-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-HARDIN-LOGAN-UNION OH-
CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-WARREN-CLINTON-CLERMONT-
BROWN-HIGHLAND-
830 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL
OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO
AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT. RAIN WILL
FALL ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. WHILE
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...SOME IMPACTS TO
LOW LYING OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL
WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL RISES ON SOME AREA RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ099-100-OHZ046-055-056-064-065-073-074-081-082-088-110130-
MASON-LEWIS-DELAWARE-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-ROSS-
HOCKING-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
830 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...CENTRAL
OHIO AND SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
612 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

OHZ044-100115-
LOGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BELLEFONTAINE
612 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

...HIGH WATER AFFECTING SOME ROADS IN THE COUNTY...

THE LOGAN COUNTY EMA WAS REPORTING THAT SOME ROADS IN THE COUNTY
WERE BEING AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER THIS AFTERNOON. SPECIFICALLY
COUNTY ROAD 32 NEAR COUNTY ROAD 11...WEST OF BELLEFONTAINE HAD 6
TO 8 INCHES OF WATER ON THE EDGE OF THE ROAD. THE ROAD HAS NOT
BEEN CLOSED AT THIS TIME.

THE LIGHT RAINS THAT HAVE BEEN FALLING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
HAVE MOVED TO THE EAST FOR NOW. THIS WILL ALLOW WATER LEVELS TO
RECEDE.

USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. IF YOU DRIVE
UPON WATER CROSSING THE ROAD...DONT NOT DRIVE THROUGH IT. TURN
AROUND AND FIND ANOTHER ROUTE TO YOUR DESTINATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
754 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

OHZ044-100400-
LOGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BELLEFONTAINE
754 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

...HIGH WATER AFFECTING SOME ROADS IN THE COUNTY...

THE LOGAN COUNTY EMA WAS REPORTING THAT SOME ROADS IN THE COUNTY
WERE BEING AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL LIGHT
RAINFALL WILL ALLOW WATER LEVELS TO STAY HIGH THROUGH THE
EVENING.

USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. IF YOU DRIVE
UPON WATER CROSSING THE ROAD...DONT NOT DRIVE THROUGH IT. TURN
AROUND AND FIND ANOTHER ROUTE TO YOUR DESTINATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
758 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

OHZ044-100400-
LOGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BELLEFONTAINE
758 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

...HIGH WATER AFFECTING SOME ROADS IN THE COUNTY...

THE LOGAN COUNTY EMA WAS REPORTING THAT SOME ROADS IN THE COUNTY
WERE BEING AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL LIGHT
RAINFALL WILL ALLOW WATER LEVELS TO STAY HIGH THROUGH THE
EVENING.

USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. IF YOU DRIVE
UPON WATER CROSSING THE ROAD...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH IT. TURN
AROUND AND FIND ANOTHER ROUTE TO YOUR DESTINATION.