Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS Wilmington, OH

702 
WGUS51 KILN 232147
FFWILN
KYC023-081-135-161-187-191-201-240130-
/O.EXT.KILN.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110424T0130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
547 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN LEWIS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...
  SOUTHERN BRACKEN COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
  SOUTHERN GRANT COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
  MASON COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
  OWEN COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
  SOUTHERN PENDLETON COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
  ROBERTSON COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 930 PM EDT.

* AT 545 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED THAT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAD 
  DIMINISHED ACROSS THE AREA TEMPORARILY. RADAR ESTIMATED THAT UP TO 
  2 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN DURING THE DAY. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND 
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OVER THE WARNED AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON   
  AND EARLY THIS EVENING. 

* HEAVY RAIN WILL REDEVELOP WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE
  THROUGH 930 PM EDT. RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE
  ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...FALMOUTH...
MAYSVILLE...WILLIAMSTOWN...BROOKSVILLE...LEWISBURG...OWENTON AND
WASHINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. ONLY A FEW INCHES
OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. FIND AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY NEAR STORM DRAINS OR FLOODED CREEKS AND
STREAMS. THEY CAN EASILY BE SWEPT AWAY OR PULLED UNDER BY FAST MOVING
WATER.

&&

LAT...LON 3837 8489 3842 8489 3842 8495 3851 8499
      3852 8503 3853 8503 3856 8501 3873 8423
      3868 8384 3863 8367 3862 8354 3851 8365
      3845 8385 3848 8394 3843 8399 3848 8416
      3855 8417 3858 8421 3856 8441 3833 8478

$$

966 
WGUS71 KILN 240124
FFSILN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
924 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

KYC023-081-135-161-187-191-201-240134-
/O.EXP.KILN.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110424T0130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEWIS KY-MASON KY-OWEN KY-PENDLETON KY-ROBERTSON KY-BRACKEN KY-
GRANT KY-
924 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHERN GRANT...SOUTHERN BRACKEN...
ROBERTSON...SOUTHERN PENDLETON...OWEN...MASON AND WESTERN LEWIS
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 930 PM EDT...

STREAMS AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING 
TO RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT FOR NOW. HOWEVER...A FLASH FLOOD 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT AND ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT. PEOPLE SHOULD REMAIN ALERT... 
ESPECIALLY IF THEY ARE IN A LOW LYING AREA...ALONG A CREEK...STREAM 
OR IN AN AREA EXPERIENCING FLOODING.

IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3837 8489 3842 8489 3842 8495 3851 8499
      3852 8503 3853 8503 3856 8501 3873 8423
      3868 8384 3863 8367 3862 8354 3851 8365
      3845 8385 3848 8394 3843 8399 3848 8416
      3855 8417 3858 8421 3856 8441 3833 8478

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1039 AM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY. THE
FRONT WILL STALL OUT ALONG THE OHIO RIVE AND THEN REMAIN DRAPED
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL
LEAD TO AN EXTENDED THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER IN PLACE AND ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WENT AHEAD AND
LOWERED TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL WORK INTO
THE AREA LATER TODAY. AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS PRESENT IN ADVANCE OF
THE BOUNDARY AND THEREFORE EXPECT ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WIND
GUSTS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL OUT ALONG THE OHIO RIVER TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY BEFORE BEGINNING TO LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY. WITH WEAK DISTURBANCES PUSHING EAST ALONG THE
BOUNDARY...THE THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. TIMING OF BEST
PCPN CHANCES REMAINS TRICKY SO WILL CONTINUE TO BROAD BRUSH
POPS...WHILE TRYING TO KEEP BEST CHANCES CLOSE TO THE BOUNDARY. AT
LEAST PARTS OF THE FFA WILL MOST LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED FOR
ANOTHER DAY OR TWO. TEMPERATURES WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE PCPN
TIMING AND CLOUDS AS WELL AS EXACTLY WHERE THE BOUNDARY IS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A SERIES OF WAVES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FOR THE LONG TERM.
THE FIRST ONE WILL MOVE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THERE
ARE SOME TIMING DISCREPANCIES WITH THIS SYSTEM HOWEVER THE LATEST
ECMWF SOLUTION HAS COME MORE IN LINE WITH THE GFS. ANOTHER LOW
WILL MOVE UP FROM THE SW TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. A LOT OF
MOISTURE WILL BE BROUGHT UP INTO THE AREA WITH THIS SYSTEM AND
THEREFORE HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN ON TOP OF
ALREADY SATURATED GROUND WILL ADD TO FLOODING ISSUES AROUND THE
AREA. THE LOW WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NE OF THE FA BY THURSDAY AND
THEREFORE PRECIP WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF ACROSS THE AREA. COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE AREA FOR FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO PLACE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY WITH A SERIES OF IMPULSES DEVELOPING ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CURRENT PRECIP HAS MOST ACTIVITY
SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS CONTINUING
MAINLY SOUTH OF I-71 UNTIL AROUND 14Z. THE NEXT DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN THE AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY.
THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH OF THE I-70
CORRIDOR....WITH IFR CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT WITH CONTINUING HIGH LIKELYHOOD OF
REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND LOW CEILINGS.

OUTLOOK...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SUNDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH MVFR/IFR CIGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR OHZ026-034-
     035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR KYZ089>100.
IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR INZ050-058-
     059-066-073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JGL
NEAR TERM...NOVAK
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...NOVAK
AVIATION...LATTO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1023 AM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-241430-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
1023 AM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

RIVERS THROUGHOUT THE AREA ARE RUNNING HIGH...WITH SEVERAL POINTS
IN FLOOD. PLEASE CHECK THE RIVER FLOOD PRODUCTS FOR DETAILS AND
THE LATEST FORECASTS.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY AND STALL OUT ALONG
THE OHIO RIVER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE BOUNDARY WILL THEN BEGIN
TO LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. OCCASIONAL
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE FIRST PART
OF NEXT WEEK. SOME OF THE RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. WITH
SATURATED SOILS...HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY RESULT IN TOTAL
RUNOFF...BRINGING THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. THIS RUNOFF WILL
ALSO CAUSE RAPID RISES ON CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

FUTURE FORECASTS INDICATE THAT A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL
AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST THE MID PART OF NEXT WEEK...
RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. THIS WILL KEEP THE FLOOD THREAT
HIGHLY ELEVATED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
938 AM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BLUE CREEK              38.78N 83.33W
04/23/2011                   ADAMS              OH   AMATEUR RADIO

            EMERGENCY RESPONDERS CALLED OUT FOR A VEHICLE STUCK IN
            HIGH WATER.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
941 AM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 W AURORA              39.07N 84.96W
04/22/2011                   DEARBORN           IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LOWER DILLSBORO ROAD WASHED AWAY BY HIGH WATER NEAR THE
            7700 BLOCK.

0340 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S GUILFORD            39.14N 84.91W
04/23/2011                   DEARBORN           IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            KAISER DRIVE IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER.

0418 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NW RISING SUN         38.98N 84.90W
04/23/2011                   OHIO               IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGH WATER OVER THE INTERSECTION OF HARTFORD PIKE AND
            HOLIDAY HILLS.

&&

KDEITSCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1001 AM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

KYZ094>100-OHZ088-231500-
LEWIS KY-MASON KY-OWEN KY-PENDLETON KY-ROBERTSON KY-BRACKEN KY-
GRANT KY-SCIOTO OH-
1001 AM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...WIND GUSTS UP 30 MPH POSSIBLE...

STRONG WINDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF AN AREA OF SHOWERS WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY THROUGH 11 AM. WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 11 AM.

THE WINDS WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF LEWIS...MASON...OWEN...
ROBERTSON...SOUTHERN BRACKEN...SOUTHERN GRANT...SOUTHERN PENDLETON
COUNTIES.

LAT...LON 3843 8358 3852 8364 3845 8385 3848 8394
      3843 8400 3848 8417 3856 8422 3858 8421
      3856 8441 3833 8480 3859 8507 3873 8411
      3873 8384 3863 8367 3870 8351 3860 8329
      3872 8326 3871 8304 3871 8303 3832 8328

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1042 AM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MAYS LICK               38.53N 83.84W
04/23/2011                   MASON              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER IN THE CENTRAL
            AND SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY INCLUDING MILLCREEK ROAD,
            SLACK PIKE AT CLARKS RUN, AND ROUTE 324 NEAR MAYS LICK.

&&

KDEITSCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1112 AM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

KYZ094-095-231615-
OWEN KY-GRANT KY-
1112 AM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN OWEN AND SOUTHEASTERN
GRANT COUNTIES THROUGH 1215 PM EDT...

AT 1106 AM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF GRATZ...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN GRANT AND SOUTHERN OWEN COUNTIES...INCLUDING GRATZ...
MONTEREY...BEECHWOOD...NATLEE...NEW COLUMBUS...KEEFER...CORINTH AND
CORDOVA.

LAT...LON 3837 8490 3839 8490 3842 8489 3842 8495
      3844 8497 3847 8496 3849 8500 3850 8499
      3856 8448 3854 8447 3851 8449 3849 8456
      3836 8471 3833 8478

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1200 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

KYZ094-095-231700-
OWEN KY-GRANT KY-
1200 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN GRANT AND OWEN COUNTIES
THROUGH 100 PM EDT...

AT NOON EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF GRATZ...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...OWENTON AND
WILLIAMSTOWN.

ALSO...SQUIRESVILLE...GRATZ...MONTEREY...LONG RIDGE...BEECHWOOD...
NEEDMORE...HOLBROOK AND NATLEE ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3835 8487 3838 8490 3842 8489 3844 8497
      3847 8496 3849 8500 3851 8499 3851 8503
      3855 8502 3866 8451 3866 8450 3852 8447
      3849 8456 3834 8474 3833 8480