Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 262, NWS Wichita, KS

June 18, 2011Elk County, Greenwood County, Wilson County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 18, 2011, 6:39 PM CDT for Elk County, Greenwood County, Wilson County, Kansas. It was in force for 66 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 18, 2011, 6:39 PM CDT (23:39 UTC)
Expired: Jun 18, 2011, 7:45 PM CDT
In force: 66 min
Issued by: NWS Wichita, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.5 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Wilson County, KS

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 18, 7:02 PM CDT	HAIL 1	8 Ssw Fall River, KS
Jun 18, 7:22 PM CDT	HAIL 1.25	1 W New Albany, KS
Jun 18, 7:31 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	1 Se Fredonia, KS	TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS A POSSIBLE WALL CLOUD TRYING TO FORM BUT NOW VERY PRONOUNCED AT THIS TIME.
Jun 18, 7:33 PM CDT	FUNNEL CLOUD	1 Se Fredonia, KS	TRAINED SPOTTER IS LOOKING TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST AND SEES A FUNNEL CLOUD.
Jun 18, 7:46 PM CDT	HAIL 1.25	Fredonia, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 23 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 18, 6:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -487 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1381 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -203 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

195 
WUUS53 KICT 182339
SVRICT
KSC049-073-205-190045-
/O.NEW.KICT.SV.W.0262.110618T2339Z-110619T0045Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
639 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN ELK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
  WESTERN WILSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT

* AT 638 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL
  SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
  LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF HOWARD...OR 21 MILES SOUTH OF
  EUREKA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FALL RIVER...FREDONIA...BUXTON...NEW ALBANY...COYVILLE AND
  BENEDICT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3766 9634 3780 9597 3773 9595 3773 9580
      3744 9564 3742 9623
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 247DEG 13KT 3753 9616
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.50IN

$$

BILLINGS

4 follow-up statements

369 
WWUS53 KICT 182352
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
652 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

KSC049-073-205-190045-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0262.000000T0000Z-110619T0045Z/
GREENWOOD KS-ELK KS-WILSON KS-
652 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
WILSON...NORTHEASTERN ELK AND SOUTHEASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL
745 PM CDT...

AT 647 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF HOWARD...OR 23 MILES SOUTH OF EUREKA...
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FALL RIVER...FREDONIA...BUXTON...NEW ALBANY AND COYVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3766 9627 3780 9597 3773 9595 3773 9580
      3744 9564 3742 9623
TIME...MOT...LOC 2352Z 256DEG 12KT 3752 9611
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.50IN

$$

JAKUB

296 
WWUS53 KICT 190007
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
707 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

KSC049-073-205-190045-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0262.000000T0000Z-110619T0045Z/
GREENWOOD KS-ELK KS-WILSON KS-
707 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
WILSON...NORTHEASTERN ELK AND SOUTHEASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL
745 PM CDT...

AT 706 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF FALL RIVER...OR 24 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
EUREKA...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FALL RIVER...FREDONIA...BUXTON...NEW ALBANY AND COYVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3744 9615 3763 9618 3773 9595 3773 9580
      3744 9564
TIME...MOT...LOC 0008Z 256DEG 12KT 3753 9604
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.50IN

$$

JAKUB

742 
WWUS53 KICT 190021
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
721 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

KSC049-073-205-190045-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0262.000000T0000Z-110619T0045Z/
GREENWOOD KS-ELK KS-WILSON KS-
721 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
WILSON...NORTHEASTERN ELK AND SOUTHEASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL
745 PM CDT...

AT 719 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FALL RIVER...OR 26 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
YATES CENTER...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FREDONIA...NEW ALBANY AND COYVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3744 9607 3765 9614 3773 9595 3773 9580
      3744 9564
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 255DEG 16KT 3755 9596
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.50IN

$$

JAKUB

004 
WWUS53 KICT 190037
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
737 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

KSC049-073-190046-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0262.000000T0000Z-110619T0045Z/
GREENWOOD KS-ELK KS-
737 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ELK AND
SOUTHEASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3763 9596 3773 9595 3773 9580 3744 9564
      3744 9595 3744 9596
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 266DEG 18KT 3754 9587

$$

KSC205-190045-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0262.000000T0000Z-110619T0045Z/
WILSON KS-
737 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN WILSON
COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 733 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR FREDONIA...OR 24 MILES SOUTH OF YATES CENTER...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FREDONIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3763 9596 3773 9595 3773 9580 3744 9564
      3744 9595 3744 9596
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 266DEG 18KT 3754 9587
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.50IN

$$

JAKUB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 18, 3:15 PM CDT, 3 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 18, 3:15 PM CDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
315 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS ARE THE REPEAT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT...TOMORROW AND INTO MONDAY.

SYNOPSIS:
SATELLITE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE UPPER RIDGE BREAKING DOWN AND SLIDING
EAST...WITH THE CENTRAL PLAINS IN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.  A DISTURBANCE
THAT MOVED ACROSS THE AREA LAST NIGHT HAS PUSHED INTO MISSOURI...BUT
ANOTHER DISTURBANCE EXPECTED TO IMPACT KANSAS TODAY WILL MOVE
EASTWARD FROM EASTERN COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON. AT THE SURFACE A
SURFACE LOW IS SITUATED OVER WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...WITH A BOUNDARY
DRAPED NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.  THERE ARE ALSO
MULTIPLE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ACROSS NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.  SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE LOW TO MID 90S
OVER THIS AREA...WITH LOW 70S DEWPOINTS.  LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE IS
PLENTIFUL AND THE CAP LOOKS TO BE WEAKENING WITH A CU FIELD VISIBLE
ON THE VISIBLE SATELLITE.  ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL KANSAS
AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE 80S WITH COLD AIR
ADVECTION WITH NORTHEASTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE BOUNDARY.

TONIGHT:
CONVECTIVE INITIATION PLACEMENT WILL AGAIN BE TRICKY TODAY...LIKE
YESTERDAY.  THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS AND MODEL
GUIDANCE...HRRR/RUC SHOW DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN 21-00Z IN NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA/SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.  THIS AREA HAS THE DEEPEST MOISTURE
PROFILE AND THE CAP IS ALREADY WEAKENING AS VISIBLE FROM CU
DEVELOPING ON SATELLITE.  WITH THIS ANALYSIS...EXPECTING DEVELOPMENT
ANYWHERE FROM NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA NORTHWARD INTO EAST-CENTRAL
KANSAS.  THERE EVEN COULD BE SOME DEVELOPMENT IN EXTREME EASTERN
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...BUTLER COUNTY AND WEST.

ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY
BECOME SEVERE...WITH 3000-4000 J/KG CAPE AND 40-50 KTS BULK SHEAR.
THE MAIN THREATS FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS...ESPECIALLY AS THE COLD POOLS DEVELOP AS THE EVENT MATURES.

GUIDANCE ALSO INDICATES THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE HIGH
PLAINS AND MOVE EASTWARD TOWARD 00-06Z.  THIS ACTIVITY COULD IMPACT
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AS IT TRANSLATES EASTWARD.  THIS
HAS OCCURRED THE PAST FEW NIGHTS AND FEEL THAT IT IS VERY POSSIBLE
AGAIN TONIGHT.

SUNDAY:
THERE IS A WEAK SIGNAL FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TOWARDS DAYBREAK
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL KANSAS AS THIS AREA SITS ON THE
NOSE OF A LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT.  THIS ACTIVITY IS MARGINAL
AND CONFIDENCE IS NOT OVERLY HIGH THAT IT WILL OCCUR...BUT FEEL
SLIGHT CHANCES ARE WARRANTED FOR THE MORNING HOURS.

THERE WILL BE A LULL IN ACTIVITY DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AS THE
ATMOSPHERE RECOVERS AND THE LOW OVER SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS
DEEPENS...AND THE WARM FRONT STREAMS NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL KANSAS.
WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS THE REGION AND THE DRY
LINE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST.

THE DRY LINE WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR DEVELOPMENT FOR LATE AFTERNOON.
THERE WILL BE SOME MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRYLINE...AND BY
00Z/MON 2500-3000 J/KG CAPE AND 40-50 KTS BULK SHEAR WILL BE SET UP
IN THE WARM SECTOR.  FEEL THAT WITH THE EASTERLY SHEAR VECTORS AND
THE PLENTIFUL CAPE AND SHEAR AND SOME CONVERGENCE SOME SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS -SUPERCELLS- COULD DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE EVENING.

TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL VERY HOT WEST OF THE DRY LINE WITH DEEP
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW MIXING OUT.  THE DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO STAY WEST
OF THE FORECAST AREA (PRATT AND MEDICINE LODGE WEST) AND WINDS LOOK
TO STAY MORE SOUTHERLY IN A MORE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER EAST OF THE
DRYLINE.  THUS HAVE KEPT TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S WITH SOME LOCATIONS
NEAR THE KANSAS/OKLAHOMA BORDER REACHING TRIPLE DIGITS...IF THE
DRYLINE PUSHES FURTHER EAST...TEMPERATURES COULD SOAR INTO THE LOW
TO MID 100S.

MONDAY - TUESDAY:
THE NEXT POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH EARLY MONDAY
AND WILL HELP PUSH THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS
PERIOD.  THE WAVE WILL PROVIDE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WHILE THE WARM
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN THE WARM SECTOR WILL PROVIDE AMPLE
OPPORTUNITIES FOR SEVERE WEATHER AGAIN LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

THE FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS BY TUESDAY.  WITH
MUCH OF THE AREA IN A COLD AIR ADVECTION REGIME BEHIND THE
FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL TAKE A BIG BREAK WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
80S THROUGHOUT THE AREA BY TUESDAY.

WEDNESDAY - SATURDAY:
THE EXPECTATION IS FOR THE FRONT TO PUSH EAST OF THE AREA BY
WEDNESDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FOR THE DAY WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE COOLER...MORE NORMAL 80S WITH
DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.  BY LATE THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE LARGE DISCREPANCIES AMONG
THEMSELVES.  THE ECMWF DEVELOPS A LOW AND LIFTS A WARM FRONT FURTHER
NORTH THAN THE GFS...WHICH IS A DRASTIC DIFFERENCE IN MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES FOR THE PERIOD.  HAVE GONE WITH CONSENSUS FOR
TEMPERATURES AND BACKED OFF ON POPS SOME...TO SLIGHTS.  SPECIFIC
FEATURES ARE DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN AND WHILE THERE MAY BE A CHANCE
FOR POPS...FEEL THAT POPS ABOVE SLIGHT CHANCE ARE NOT WARRANTED
UNTIL THERE IS BETTER CONSENSUS.

BILLINGS

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
MAIN HAZARDS: POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. MAINLY A LIGHT WIND/VFR
FORECAST OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LATE THIS PM INTO
TONIGHT. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SEPARATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS PM WITH STRONG INSTABILITY AND A FEW
REMNANT BOUNDARIES. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS KANSAS THIS EVENING WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME
INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE. FOR NOW...HAVE KEPT WITH VCTS STRATEGY
IN TAF SITES AFTER 22Z THROUGH ABOUT 07Z-08Z TONIGHT. CAN UPDATE
TO TEMPO TSRA WHEN CONFIDENCE INCREASES ON STORM
LOCATION/COVERAGE. LARGE HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE WITH ANY
STORMS.

JMC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    70  97  75  99 /  40  30  30  30
HUTCHINSON      68  96  74  96 /  50  30  10  30
NEWTON          68  96  74  96 /  50  30  30  30
ELDORADO        68  95  75  96 /  60  20  40  30
WINFIELD-KWLD   70  97  77  98 /  50  20  40  20
RUSSELL         65  93  70  90 /  50  30  10  30
GREAT BEND      66  96  70  92 /  60  30  10  30
SALINA          68  95  76  94 /  60  30  20  20
MCPHERSON       67  96  74  95 /  60  30  10  30
COFFEYVILLE     72  94  76  94 /  50  20  30  10
CHANUTE         69  93  76  93 /  60  20  30  20
IOLA            69  93  75  92 /  60  20  30  20
PARSONS-KPPF    71  94  76  94 /  60  20  30  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 18, 3:42 PM CDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
342 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-192045-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
342 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

MORE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE REGION
AGAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. INITIAL INITIATION WILL
BE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. THE MAIN THREATS
WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...A FEW TORNADOES AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN ARE THE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORMS. ANOTHER AREA OF
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS
AS STORMS MOVE IN FROM THE HIGH PLAINS AFTER THE SUN SETS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF
HIGHWAY 14. ONCE AGAIN LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES WILL CLIMB TO THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE
ALONG THE KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA BORDER BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE
TUESDAY MAINLY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
THE AREA.

SCATTERED STORMS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY...MAINLY THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS AS THE NEXT
STORMS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE AREA. ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THE KANSAS TURNPIKE.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

BILLINGS/ADK/RHE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 18, 5:53 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
553 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0552 PM     HAIL             ARKANSAS CITY           37.07N 97.04W
06/18/2011  E0.25 INCH       COWLEY             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SGS

Local storm report, Jun 18, 6:05 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
605 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0603 PM     HAIL             ARKANSAS CITY           37.07N 97.04W
06/18/2011  E1.75 INCH       COWLEY             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AT THE
            WASTE WATER PLANT SOUTHEAST SIDE OF ARKANSAS CITY.

&&

SGS

Local storm report, Jun 18, 6:10 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
610 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             ARKANSAS CITY           37.07N 97.04W
06/18/2011  E0.88 INCH       COWLEY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SGS

Local storm report, Jun 18, 6:17 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
617 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     HAIL             2 W MAPLE CITY          37.05N 96.82W
06/18/2011  E1.00 INCH       COWLEY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SGS

Local storm report, Jun 18, 6:34 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
634 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0633 PM     HAIL             6 W MAPLE CITY          37.05N 96.88W
06/18/2011  E0.50 INCH       COWLEY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SGS

Local storm report, Jun 18, 6:37 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
637 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0636 PM     HAIL             4 WNW BURDEN            37.34N 96.82W
06/18/2011  E1.00 INCH       COWLEY             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SGS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 17, 8:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	McPherson, Marion, Saline	59 min
Jun 17, 8:27 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ICT	McPherson, Rice	22 min
Jun 17, 8:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Harvey, McPherson, Marion, Reno	56 min
Jun 17, 8:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	McPherson, Marion, Saline	64 min
Jun 17, 9:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Saline	55 min
Jun 17, 9:15 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	ICT	McPherson, Saline	5 hr
Jun 17, 9:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Reno, Rice	56 min
Jun 17, 9:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Harvey, McPherson, Marion, Reno, Sedgwick	57 min
Jun 17, 9:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chase, Marion	64 min
Jun 17, 10:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	McPherson, Reno, Rice	53 min
Jun 17, 10:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Harvey, McPherson, Marion, Sedgwick	66 min
Jun 17, 10:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chase	67 min
Jun 17, 10:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chase, Marion	66 min
Jun 17, 10:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Greenwood	61 min
Jun 17, 11:12 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	ICT	Marion	5 hr
Jun 17, 11:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Harvey, Sedgwick	43 min
Jun 17, 11:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Marion	58 min
Jun 17, 11:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chase	39 min
Jun 18, 12:18 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler	43 min
Jun 18, 12:20 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Lincoln	55 min
Jun 18, 12:49 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Greenwood	49 min
Jun 18, 1:00 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Barton, Russell	60 min
Jun 18, 1:40 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Ellsworth, Lincoln, Reno, Rice	65 min
Jun 18, 1:56 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Barton, Russell	39 min
Jun 18, 2:50 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	McPherson, Saline	44 min
Jun 18, 3:10 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chase, Marion	39 min
Jun 18, 4:16 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chase, Marion	29 min
Jun 18, 6:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Cowley	60 min
Jun 18, 6:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Cowley	62 min
Jun 18, 6:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chautauqua, Cowley	65 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2011 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.