Wind Advisory 10, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

971 
WWUS72 KGSP 152152
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
552 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

NCZ033-048>052-058-160300-
/O.EXP.KGSP.LW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-110415T2200Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0010.110415T2200Z-110416T1200Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE
552 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A
WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAIN COUNTIES ALONG THE 
  TENNESSEE BORDER. 

* HAZARDS...GUSTY WINDS.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH. GUSTS OF
  40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER
  ELEVATIONS.

* IMPACTS...A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES MAY FALL LATER
  TONIGHT...WITH ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ053-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-160300-
/O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-110416T1200Z/
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
552 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH CHOP ON LAKES.

* TIMING...EARLY AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE 
  POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

$$

025 
WWUS72 KGSP 160232
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1032 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

NCZ033-048>052-058-161200-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-110416T1200Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE
1032 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAIN COUNTIES ALONG THE 
  TENNESSEE BORDER. 

* HAZARDS...GUSTY WINDS.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50
  MPH POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* IMPACTS...A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES MAY FALL LATER TONIGHT...
  WITH ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ053-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-161200-
/O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-110416T1200Z/
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
1032 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH CHOP ON LAKES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE 
  POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

$$

921 
WWUS72 KGSP 160911
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
511 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-161700-
/O.EXB.KGSP.LW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-110417T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...
SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...
CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...
ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...
GREENWOOD
511 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...ALONG WITH THE
  GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH CHOP ON LAKES.

* TIMING...THROUGH 8 PM EDT.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE 
  POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

$$

NCZ053-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-161700-
/O.EXT.KGSP.LW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-110417T0000Z/
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
511 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH CHOP ON LAKES.

* TIMING...UNTIL 8 PM EDT.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE 
  POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

$$

NCZ033-048>052-058-161200-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-110416T1200Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE
511 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAIN COUNTIES ALONG THE 
  TENNESSEE BORDER. 

* HAZARDS...GUSTY WINDS.

* TIMING...THROUGH 8 AM EDT.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 
  MPH POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 

* IMPACTS...A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES MAY FALL LATER TONIGHT...
   WITH ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

585 
WWUS72 KGSP 161223
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
823 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

NCZ033-048>052-058-162030-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-110416T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KGSP.LW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-110417T0000Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE
823 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAIN COUNTIES ALONG THE 
  TENNESSEE BORDER. 

* HAZARDS...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH CHOP ON LAKES.

* TIMING...THROUGH 8 PM EDT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. AN ISOLATED TREE
  OR POWER LINE COULD ALSO FALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-053-056-057-059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-162030-
/O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-110417T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...ASHEVILLE...
HICKORY...SALISBURY...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...
CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...
ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...
GREENWOOD
823 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...ALONG WITH THE
  MOUNTAINS OF GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS.

* HAZARDS...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH CHOP ON LAKES.

* TIMING...THROUGH 8 PM EDT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE 
  POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. AN ISOLATED TREE
  OR POWER LINE COULD ALSO FALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
325 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM WILL REACH OUR AREA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY...THEN MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY EVENING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION SUNDAY AND REMAIN THROUGH
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM...UPSLOPE-INDUCED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO MATERIALIZE
THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE /STRATIFORM PRECIP SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH
REMNANT MCS CONTINUES TO MOVE GRADUALLY ACROSS EAST TENN. FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...POPS WILL BE REORIENTED TO FAVOR THE
WESTERN MTNS TO CAPTURE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THIS ACTIVITY MOVING INTO
THE CWFA AFTER 21Z. HOWEVER...LIKELY POPS WILL BE CONTINUED IN THE
UPSLOPE AREAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AS MOISTURE PROFILES IMPROVE AND
SE FLOW STRENGTHENS. THE THREAT FOR STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING IS MINIMAL. DENSE CIRRUS SHIELD IS LIMITING
HEATING OVER THE TENN VALLEY/SOUTHERN APPS AND VCNY...AND DEWPOINTS
HAVE EVEN MIXED OUT TO THE UPPER 40S/LOWER 50S ACROSS MUCH OF THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS. THEREFORE...THE /MAIN SHOW/ IN TERMS OF SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL BE WITH COLD FRONTAL CONVECTION LATE TONIGHT/
EARLY SATURDAY.

SPEAKING OF THE LATE NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY SEVERE THREAT...THE
MAGNITUDE OF THE THREAT REMAINS QUITE UNCERTAIN. AS OF 18Z...THE
WARM SECTOR BETWEEN THE COLD FRONT AND THE BACK EDGE OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED REMNANT MCS WAS FREE OF CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH SOME
SHOWERS WERE BEGINNING TO POP JUST WEST OF THE MISS RIVER. THE
LATEST GUIDANCE FROM SPC AND SHORT TERM MODELS INDICATES CONVECTION
SHOULD DEVELOP/BLOSSOM ALONG THE COLD FRONT LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
HOW THIS WILL EVOLVE DOWNSTREAM OVER THE TENN/OHIO VALLEYS REMAINS
SOMEWHAT MYSTERIOUS TO ME...AS THE ONGOING RAIN/DENSE CIRRUS SHIELD
WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT DESTABILIZATION. WHILE FORCING/WIND SHEAR
WILL BE TREMENDOUS...I JUST CAN/T SEE HOW WE/RE GOING TO DEVELOP THE
TYPE OF INSTABILITY TO RESULT IN THE TYPE OF SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAKS
THAT WERE SEEN EARLIER THIS MONTH. CERTAINLY...THE THREAT IS
NON-ZERO...BUT BELIEVE IT SHOULD BE MORE LOCALIZED/ISOLATED IN
NATURE AND THE SPC SLIGHT RISK IS PROBABLY ABOUT RIGHT.

THE SEVERE THREAT REMAINS SOMEWHAT MUDDY DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS
SATURDAY. WE ARE FAVORING THE FASTER TIMING OF THE GFS. THIS IS
BASED UPON THE FACT THAT MODEL GUIDANCE HAS GENERALLY BEEN TOO SLOW
IN PUSHING ORGANIZED CONVECTION ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS IN
PREVIOUS EVENTS THIS SEASON...PROBABLY DUE TO CONVECTIVE COLD POOL
INTERACTIONS DOMINATING SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING. WITH THIS IN
MIND...WE ANTICIPATE MOST CONVECTION BEING EAST OF THE AREA BY NOON.
AGAIN...SPC PAINTING THE DAY 2 MODERATE RISK EAST OF OUR CWFA SEEMS
REASONABLE.

AS FAR AS ADDITIONAL THREATS...HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL
CONVECTION LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY. AREAS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE
MAY SEE A SOLID 2-3 INCHES BY THE TIME ALL IS SAID AND DONE.
HOWEVER...I DON/T THINK THIS WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE ANY
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION A HEAVY
RAIN THREAT IN THE HWO. THERE WILL ALSO BE HIGH ELEVATION WIND
CONCERNS...OWING TO 50-60 KT LLJ...AND POTENTIAL MTN WAVE
DEVELOPMENT. OF COURSE...THIS WILL MAINLY BE AN ISSUE WEST OF THE
MTNS...BUT THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE TENN BORDER COUNTIES COULD SEE
VERY GUSTY WINDS LATE TONIGHT...AND THE LWA WILL BE UPGRADED TO AN
ADVISORY FOR THOSE ZONES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 220 PM FRIDAY...UPPER TROF MOVES EAST OF THE AREA SAT NITE
WITH RISING HEIGHTS AND NEARLY ZONAL FLOW BY MONDAY. A COUPLE OF
WEAK SHORT WAVES BRUSH THE AREA OR MOVE THRU SUN AND MON. AT THE
SFC...COLD FRONT MOVES OFF SHORE SAT NITE WITH LINGERING MOISTURE
AND NW FLOW PRODUCING SOME SHOWERS OVER THE NC MTNS. BEST PRECIP CHC
WILL BE BEFORE MIDNIGHT WITH QUICKLY DIMINISHING CHC AFTER. H85
TEMPS AND PARTIAL THICKNESSES INDICATE SNOW COULD MIX WITH THE RAIN
BEFORE ENDING. HOWEVER...DO NOT EXPECT ANY ACCUMS GIVEN THE VERY
LIGHT QPF AND DIMINISHING PRECIP CHC AFTER MIDNIGHT. ANY FREEZING
TEMPS SHOULD BE RELEGATED TO THE HIGHEST PEAKS. ALTHOUGH FROSTY
TEMPS WILL DEVELOP IN SOME VALLEYS...THINK ANY FROST WILL BE PATCHY
GIVEN THE CONTINUED WINDY CONDITIONS. OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS EXPECT
DIMINISHING CLOUDS AND WINDS WITH LOWS UP TO 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AND MOVES EAST OF THE AREA
MONDAY AS A WARM FRONT DEVELOPS TO OUR NORTH. EXPECT CLEAR SKIES
SUNDAY WITH WAVES OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS MOVING OVER SUN NITE THRU
MON. NO PRECIP EXPECTED WITH LOW LEVELS REMAINING DRY EVEN WITH SLY
FLOW AND ANY SIGNIFICANT FORCING WELL TO OUR NORTH AND WEST. HIGHS
SUNDAY NEAR NORMAL EAST AND A LITTLE ABOVE WEST...WARMING AROUND 5
DEGREES MONDAY. LOWS NEAR NORMAL SUN NITE.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 210 PM FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER OUR REGION TO START
THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD MONDAY NIGHT.  SOME SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A
STORM COULD FORM MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS LATE TUESDAY. AS THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM REACHES THE GREAT LAKES...THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL SLOWLY CROSS TENNESSEE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  INCREASED
INSTABILITY WILL OCCUR SOUTHEAST OF THE FRONT.  MINOR LOWS ARE
LIKELY TO MOVE ALONG THE FRONT WITH THE BEST POPS FOR OUR REGION TO
BE ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN HOW THE GFS AND
ECMWF DEPICT THE EVOLUTION OF THE FRONT AND HOW LONG IT LINGERS IN
OUR AREA.  AT THIS POINT...HAVE DECREASED POPS GOING INTO FRIDAY AS
PERHAPS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM FORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE
RESULT OF THAT WOULD BE TO LIFT THE FRONT BACK NORTH AS A WARM
FRONT.  THE PREVIOUS GFS HAD INDICATED A COOL AIR WEDGE NOSING DOWN
THE EAST COAST FRIDAY. HOWEVER...THAT IS LOOKING LESS PROBABLE.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
WEEK...WARMEST ON WEDNESDAY WITH LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...GUSTY SE WINDS WILL ONLY STRENGTHEN DURING THE
AFTERNOON...AS STRONG STORM SYSTEM/COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
TENN VALLEY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE OVERNIGHT...
REMAINING IN THE 10 TO 15 KT RANGE. IN FACT...GUSTS IN THE LOWER 20S
MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT AS WELL. WINDS WILL TURN TOWARD THE SW
AND INCREASE BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. OTHERWISE...INCREASINGLY
MOIST SE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN LOWERING CIGS OVERNIGHT...
WITH MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AROUND MIDNIGHT. FURTHER LOWERING TO
IFR IS EXPECTED DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL INCREASE AROUND SUNRISE. THUNDER IS NOT A SLAM
DUNK...SO THE CONVECTIVE PORTION OF THE TAF HAS BEEN LIMITED TO CB.
REDUCTION TO AT LEAST MVFR VISBY CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...MOIST/STRONG SE FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT...WITH GUSTS IN THE 20S EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN MOST
AREAS. CLOUD HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO LOWER THIS EVENING...WITH MOST
LOCATIONS EXPECTED TO SEE MVFR CONDITIONS BEFORE MIDNIGHT...WITH IFR
CIGS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. IN THE INTERIM...TERRAIN INDUCED
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...PARTICULARLY
ALONG/NW OF THE BLUE RIDGE (KAVL). SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE TENN VALLEY. THUNDER IS NOT A SLAM DUNK...SO THE CONVECTIVE
PORTION OF THE TAF HAS BEEN LIMITED TO CB. REDUCTION TO AT LEAST
MVFR VISBY CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO IMPROVE
RAPIDLY FROM WEST TO EAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. HOWEVER...VERY
GUSTY SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT (BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD).

OUTLOOK...VERY GUSTY SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED SAT AFTERNOON...
DIMINISHING DURING THE EVENING. DRY HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR NCZ053-059-
     062>065-501-503-505-507-509.
     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ033-
     048>052-058.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR NCZ033-048>052-058.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...JDL
SHORT TERM...RWH
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...JDL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
441 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-160845-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
441 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS WITH SOME URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOODING POSSIBLE. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE
AREA SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-160845-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
441 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS WITH SOME URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOODING POSSIBLE. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE
AREA SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.