Severe Thunderstorm Warning 277, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

667 
WWUS52 KGSP 080017
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
817 PM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

NCC121-080026-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0277.000000T0000Z-110608T0045Z/
MITCHELL NC-
817 PM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF MITCHELL COUNTY...SO THE WARNING 
FOR MITCHELL COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3585 8180 3565 8186 3567 8226 3581 8220
      3583 8215 3582 8214 3585 8209 3585 8205
      3587 8203 3588 8200 3587 8200 3588 8198
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 002DEG 12KT 3577 8202

$$

NCC023-111-199-080045-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0277.000000T0000Z-110608T0045Z/
YANCEY NC-MCDOWELL NC-BURKE NC-
817 PM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL BURKE...NORTHERN MCDOWELL AND SOUTHEASTERN YANCEY
COUNTIES...

AT 812 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR WOODLAWN...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF MARION...MOVING SOUTH AT
15 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LAKE
JAMES AND NEBO

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN OCCUR
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND
DOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL PRODUCE WIND SPEEDS STRONG ENOUGH TO 
CAPSIZE EVEN LARGE BOATS. BOATERS ON LAKE JAMES SHOULD MOVE TO SHORE 
IMMEDIATELY!

&&

LAT...LON 3585 8180 3565 8186 3567 8226 3581 8220
      3583 8215 3582 8214 3585 8209 3585 8205
      3587 8203 3588 8200 3587 8200 3588 8198
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 002DEG 12KT 3577 8202

$$

MOORE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
546 PM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...THEN
MOVE GRADUALLY EAST OVER THE ATLANTIC BY THE END OF THE WEEK. A WEAK
FRONT WILL APPROACH DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 2130Z...SO FAR ONE LONE STORM HAS DEVELOPED IN GRAHAM
COUNTY...WHILE AN MCS CONTINUES TO DROP SOUTH ACRS THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS. THE MCS HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN...BUT SOME NEW
DEVELOPMENT ALONG LEADING GUST FRONT HAS BEGUN ACRS SWRN VA. AT THE
MOMENT...STILL THINK THIS IS HANDLED WELL IN GRIDS WITH SCATTERED
TSTM WORDING ACRS NC MTNS THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...MAY NEED ANOTHER
UPDATE HERE IN AN HOUR OR SO IF COVERAGE RAMPS UP ALONG VA/NC
BORDER. OTHERWISE...JUST TWEAKS TO T/TD/SKY GRIDS FOR NEXT 3 HOURS
TO REFLECT OBS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
AT 1830Z...UPPER HIGH WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION THROUGH WED. EVEN
SO...THE FORECAST IS NOT WITHOUT A COUPLE COMPLICATIONS. WE HAVE
BEEN MONITORING THE MCS THAT MOVED SOUTH OFF OF LAKE ERIE THIS
MORNING...AND IS NOW OVER WV. ALL MODELS FOR THE MOST PART FAILED TO
INITIALIZE THIS FEATURE...AND THEREFORE GUIDANCE DOES NOT TAKE INTO
ACCOUNT THE POSSIBLE IMPACT ON THE FORECAST OUR AREA. WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR AND AM LEANING TOWARD BUMPING UP POPS ANOTHER NOTCH INTO
HIGH CHANCE CATEGORY FOR THIS EVENING OVER THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN NC
MOUNTAINS. STILL EXPECT SOME MOUNTAIN VALLEY FOG EARLY WED...BUT
WITH MORE CLOUD COVER TONIGHT THE EXTENT MAY NOT BE AS MUCH AS THIS
MORNING. LITTLE TN VALLEY APPEARS TO HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
SIGNIFICANT FOG.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT A CIRRUS CANOPY FROM THE MCS TO OVERSPREAD THE
AREA FROM THE NORTH THIS EVENING WHICH SHOULD LOCK IN WARM/MUGGY
CONDITIONS FOR THE OVERNIGHT. HAVE ELECTED TO CONTINUE THE IDEA OF
LOWERING POPS AFTER MIDNIGHT. ON WED...EXPECT PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE
AND CONTINUED HOT TEMPS. YOU WOULD THINK UNDER THE UPPER HIGH THAT
CONVECTIVE CHANCES WOULD BE SUPPRESSED. HOWEVER LOOKING AT MODEL
SOUNDINGS...IT APPEARS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIN WILL BE OVERCOME
DURING THE AFTERNOON IN THE MOUNTAINS WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AS CAPES WILL BE IN THE 1500-2000J RANGE.
OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS...CONVECTIVE CHANCES APPEAR MUCH LESS AS
CIN LOOKS MORE DIFFICULT TO OVERCOME. EXPECT MAX TEMPS IN THE MID-
UPPER 90S OUTSIDE THE MOUNTAINS AND NEAR 90 MANY MOUNTAIN VALLEYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 130 PM TUESDAY...WHILE IT UNDERGOES SOME DEAMPLIFICATION IN
RESPONSE TO HEIGHT FALLS OVER ERN CANADA...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL
REMAIN OVER THE FA WED NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SCT AFTN TSTMS WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE MTNS BOTH THU AND FRI AFTNS. WITH A LITTLE MORE WLY
FLOW OVER THE REGION ON FRI...AND WITH SOME WEAKENING OF THE
RIDGE...CONVECTIVE COVERAGE SHOULD BE A LITTLE BETTER THAN ON THU.
THOUGH WITH THE LACK OF FORCING...POPS ONLY MAX OUT AROUND 30 TO 35
PERCENT OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN ABOUT
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BOTH DAYS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 1230 PM EDT TUESDAY...THE MID TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE WILL CONTINUE
TO SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE REGION ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL STILL BE
LIGHT WITH THE RIDGE OVERHEAD...THOUGH THERE WILL BE WESTERLY
COMPONENT TO THE FLOW. THE GFS DEVELOPS A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF
CONVECTION OVER THE MTNS...WHILE THE EC IS DRIER. THE FORCING
DOESN/T LOOK TO BE THERE FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION...AND LOW CHANCE
POPS OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE ELSEWHERE IS WHAT I/VE
CARRIED. A TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO DIG ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON
SUNDAY...WHICH SHOULD PUSH A FRONT THROUGH THE REGION SOMETIME
SUNDAY NIGHT. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BE A LITTLE
MORE WIDESPREAD AHEAD OF OF THE FRONT. A DRIER AIRMASS SHOULD ENTER
THE REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE TROUGH STRENGTHENS AND DIGS
ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD...PUSHING THE SFC FRONT SOUTH OF THE FA.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...GENERALLY A VFR FORECAST FOR ALL AIR FIELDS.
THE EXCEPTION WILL BE KAVL EARLY WED MORNING WHERE AT LEAST MVFR FOG
RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY...AND CAN'T RULE OUT A COUPLE HOURS OF
LIFR. HOWEVER...HAVE LECTED NOT TO INCLUDE LIFR WITH THIS TAF
ISSUANCE AS EXPECT AN INCREASE OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT
WHICH MAY CURTAIL THE AMOUNT OF MOUNTAIN VALLEY FOG. WINDS WILL BE
GENERALLY LIGHT SW TO CALM.

OUTLOOK...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH SAT WITH
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS...EXCEPT FOR IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS WHERE
EARLY MORNING FOG WILL CAUSE RESTRICTIONS. ALSO EXPECT ISOLD DIURNAL
TSTM THREAT TO CONTINUE THRU SAT...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TJB
NEAR TERM...ARK/LG
SHORT TERM...MCAVOY
LONG TERM...MCAVOY
AVIATION...LG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
546 AM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-081000-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
546 AM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF
THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS NEAR THE GROUND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

JPT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
616 PM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

NCZ051-058-072315-
GRAHAM-SWAIN-
616 PM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT GRAHAM AND WESTERN SWAIN
COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT...

AT 614 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ROBBINSVILLE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY
STATIONARY. OTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORM CELLS WERE LOCATED OVER
FONTANA LAKE AND OVER SOUTHWESTERN GRAHAM COUNTY.

PEOPLE IN GRAHAM AND WESTERN SWAIN COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...

ROBBINSVILLE...SANTEETLAH LAKE...AND FONTANA VILLAGE...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

BOATERS ON FONTANA LAKE SHOULD MOVE TO SHORE TO AVOID
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AS STORMS MOVE SLOWLY ALONG THE LAKE.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE...THEREFORE SEEK
HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

LAT...LON 3537 8401 3541 8403 3545 8399 3548 8392
      3552 8388 3550 8361 3525 8379 3525 8384
      3521 8397 3524 8401 3533 8404 3536 8404

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
652 PM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

NCZ053-072345-
BUNCOMBE-
652 PM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BUNCOMBE COUNTY THROUGH 745 PM
EDT...

AT 648 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ASHEVILLE MALL...OR 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
DOWNTOWN ASHEVILLE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

PEOPLE IN BUNCOMBE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...

DOWNTOWN ASHEVILLE...UNC ASHEVILLE...BILTMORE FOREST...AND AVERY
CREEK...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3575 8234 3567 8228 3561 8228 3559 8229
      3557 8228 3544 8257 3550 8271 3563 8271

MOORE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
738 PM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

NCZ033-049-050-503-505-506-080045-
AVERY-BURKE MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-MCDOWELL
MOUNTAINS-MITCHELL-YANCEY-
738 PM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN MCDOWELL...NORTHWESTERN
BURKE...SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL...SOUTHEASTERN YANCEY AND SOUTHWESTERN
AVERY COUNTIES THROUGH 845 PM EDT...

AT 734 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SPRUCE PINE...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHERN MCDOWELL...NORTHWESTERN BURKE...SOUTHEASTERN
MITCHELL...SOUTHEASTERN YANCEY AND SOUTHWESTERN AVERY COUNTIES...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...

SPRUCE PINE...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3599 8194 3594 8184 3581 8187 3577 8193
      3573 8188 3569 8189 3570 8225 3600 8215

MOORE