Severe Thunderstorm Warning 262, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

352 
WWUS52 KGSP 052243
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
643 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

SCC073-077-052300-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0262.000000T0000Z-110605T2300Z/
OCONEE SC-PICKENS SC-
643 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN PICKENS AND EAST CENTRAL OCONEE COUNTIES...

AT 644 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR SIX MILE...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF CLEMSON...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
NORRIS...LIBERTY AND CENTRAL.

LAT...LON 3479 8305 3490 8288 3477 8259 3467 8279
      3456 8292
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 319DEG 15KT 3474 8285

$$

HG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
508 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS FROM THE
WEST TONIGHT. WARM UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL STRENGTHEN FROM THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO MID WEEK. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE NORTH NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 2100 UTC...CONVECTION HAS REALLY TAKEN OFF ACRS OUR NC ZONES.
STILL NOT ORGANIZED...BUT MOST CELLS ARE REACHING SEVERE CRITERIA
FOR DOWNBURSTS AND LARGE HAIL. MEANWHILE...MCS OVER ERN TN HAS
TRENDED MORE OF A SWD MOVEMENT. MAIN AREA OF FOCUS SEEMS TO BE FROM
NRN NC BLUE RIDGE TO SW OF CLT ON A SUBTLE BNDRY. HAVE UPDATED THE
POPS/WX TO REFLECT TRENDS...BUT ANOTHER UPDATE MAY BE NEEDED WITHIN
NEXT COUPLE HOURS DUE TO QUICK EVOLUTION OF COVERAGE/INTENSITY.
OTHERWISE...ALL OTHER CHANGES TO FCST WERE MINOR.

CONVECTIVE TRENDS STILL UNCERTAIN EVEN AT THIS HOUR. GUIDANCE STILL
SUGGESTING A WAVE DROPS ACROSS OUR CWFA IN THE NLY FLOW PROVIDING
SCT COVERAGE NORTH AND EAST...AND ISOLATED AT BEST SW. HOWEVER...
MCS NEAR THE KY/TN BORDER HAS TAKEN A SOUTHWARD TURN. THE MCS COULD
TAKE A SOUTH OR SE TRACK. A SE TRACK WOULD BRING ORGANIZED
CONVECTION OVER THE WRN CWFA WHILE A S TRACK WOULD TAKE IT TO OUR
WEST. TAKING A LOOK AT CURRENT SYSTEM MOVEMENT...CORFIDI VECTORS AND
MEAN H85-H3 WIND...SHOWS THE WRN CWFA MAY BE UNDER THE GUN FROM THIS
SYSTEM. THEREFORE...WILL ADD SCT POP TO THE WESTERN CWFA. LATER
SHIFT HAS A COUPLE OF HOURS TO REFINE THE FCST AND GO WITH HIGHER
POP SHOULD THE SITUATION WARRANT. SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY...
ESPECIALLY IF THE MCS MOVES IN TO HELP ORGANIZE THE STORMS.
ATMOSPHERE IS VERY UNSTABLE WITH DCAPE OVER 1000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE
SHEAR IN THE 20 TO 40 KT RANGE. THE CONVECTION MAY LINGER THRU THE
EVENING AND FINALLY DISSIPATE/MOVE OUT NEAR MIDNIGHT. EXPECT QUITE A
BIT OF DEBRIS CLOUD MUCH OF THE NITE...WITH LOWS AGAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE ATMOS BECOMES UNSTABLE ONCE AGAIN MONDAY
AFTERNOON AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERS ACROSS THE AREA. WITH COOLER
TEMPS IN PLACE...ATMOS APPEARS TO BE CAPPED ACROSS THE NRN CWFA.
HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE SOME WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW AND DIFFERENTIAL
HEATING TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TSRA OVER THE NE GA...UPSTATE AND THE
WRN MTNS. HAVE INCLUDED SLIGHT CHC POP FOR THESE AREAS. HIGHS WILL
BE COOLER...BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 155 PM SUNDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REASSERTS ITSELF ACROSS
THE SE CONUS DURING THE SHORT RANGE. MODELS AGREE WELL WITH
MAINTAINING A CLOSED 588 DM HIGH ACROSS MIDDLE TN SHIFTING SLOWLY
EAST TO THE TN/NC BORDER BEGINNING MID DAY TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT.
THERE IS TOO MUCH DIFFERENCE IN THE OP MODELS WRT TO A SE/WARD
DIVING S/W ON THE FRONT END OF THE ANTICYCLONE TO WARRANT MUCH
CONCERN....BUT SOME ENHANCEMENT OF DIURNAL MOUNTAIN CONVEC IS
CERTAINLY POSSIBLE LATER TUE WITH COLD POOL ORGANIZATION PUSHING
TSTMS INTO THE PIEDMONT INTO THE LATE EVENING. SOUNDINGS REMAIN
RATHER BENIGN OUTSIDE THE NC MTNS WITH THE MLVLS REMAINING TOO
WARM...HOWEVER HIGH AMOUNTS OF ELCAPE COULD BE REALIZED IF AN
ORGANIZED MCS GETS GOING ACROSS THE NC MTNS. POPS HAVE BEEN KEPT IN
THE ISOL RANGE FOR TUE EVENING...BUT THIS COULD BE SITUATION TO
WATCH FOR STRONG TO SEVERE POTENTIAL. ON WED...THE UPPER HIGH AND
STRONG NVA WILL HAVE MORE INFLUENCE OVER THE CWFA AND IT WILL BE
LESS LIKELY FOR ANYTHING BUT DIFFERENTIAL HEATING OR MOUNTAIN TOP
CONVECTION FIRING UP. POPS WERE MAINTAINED RIGHT AROUND CLIMO
FOR WED AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPS AGAIN WILL REACH WELL ABOVE
NORMAL...ABOUT 10 ABOVE FOR TUE AND EVEN A COUPLE MORE DEGREES
HOTTER ON WED. MINS WILL AVERAGE ABOUT 10-12 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT 2 PM EDT SUNDAY...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL EXIST OVER THE EASTERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE NATION FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS RIDGE WILL
FLATTEN OVER THE WEEKEND. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER OUR
AREA. A COLD FRONT SETTLES INTO THE POTOMAC RIVER VALLEY BY SUNDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL...WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE AS
HEIGHTS FALL ALOFT OVER THE WEEKEND. SMALL POPS WILL BE CARRIED
THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE DURING DAYTIME
HEATING.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...CONVECTIVE TRENDS STILL UNCERTAIN ATTM. MCS
NEAR KY/TN BORDER TAKING A SRN JOG AND MAY MISS THE CWFA ENTIRELY.
STILL EXPECTING SOME WAVE TO DIVE INTO THE AREA AND PROVIDE FOCUS
FOR CONVECTION. ATMOS ALREADY VERY UNSTABLE...SO ANY FORCING SHOULD
SET OFF ORGANIZED CONVECTION. THE NC SITES STILL THE MOST LIKELY
LOCATION TO SEE ANY TSRA...SO HAVE KEPT CB THERE. LESS CHC OVER SC
SO NO CB. HAVE ADJUSTED TIMING SLIGHTLY TO LATEST THINKING. N TO NW
WIND OVER NC WITH W TO NW OVER SC THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMES LIGHT NLY
TO NELY THIS EVENING. CONVECTION COULD LINGER THRU MIDNIGHT OR SO...
THEN MAINLY HIGH VFR CIGS EXPECTED. MTN VALLEY FOG EXPECTED ONCE
AGAIN. LIGHT NE WIND WITH DEVELOPING CU EXPECTED THRU THE MORNING
MONDAY.

OUTLOOK...A RETURN TO AN ISOLATED DIURNAL TSTM THREAT MON AFT THRU
THU WITH RIDGING ALOFT. MTN VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...ARK/RWH
SHORT TERM...SBK
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...RWH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
353 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-062000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
353 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST
OF THE FRONT AND ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER WILL DEVELOP WITH THESE
STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

KRENTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
536 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0448 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE BLACKSBURG         35.16N 81.47W
06/05/2011                   CHEROKEE           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ACROSS THE ROADWAY AT 590 ANTIOCH ROAD.

0505 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE BLACKSBURG         35.13N 81.51W
06/05/2011                   CHEROKEE           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ACROSS THE ROADWAY NEAR MILE MARKER 102 ON
            I-85.

&&

BSH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
547 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

NCZ056-069-504-052230-
CATAWBA-GREATER BURKE-LINCOLN-
547 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN BURKE...WESTERN
CATAWBA AND WESTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM EDT...

AT 542 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HILDEBRAN...OR 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HICKORY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO VALE...
  MAIDEN...LONGVIEW...LINCOLNTON...ICARD...HILDEBRAN...CROUSE...
  COOKSVILLE...CONNELLY SPRINGS AND BOGER CITY.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3576 8140 3577 8136 3549 8111 3541 8127
      3542 8141 3571 8158 3578 8144

07

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
552 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

GAZ010-NCZ062-063-SCZ001-052230-
MACON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-RABUN-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
552 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN RABUN...NORTHERN
OCONEE...SOUTHEASTERN MACON AND SOUTHERN JACKSON COUNTIES THROUGH 630
PM EDT...

AT 552 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HIGHLANDS...OR 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
FRANKLIN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CASHIERS...
  PINE MOUNTAIN...
  MOUNTAIN REST...
  SALEM...

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3519 8316 3506 8305 3505 8305 3505 8304
      3490 8290 3487 8290 3473 8326 3508 8334

HG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
555 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

NCZ051-052-059-052245-
HAYWOOD-NORTHERN JACKSON-SWAIN-
555 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN SWAIN...
NORTHWESTERN JACKSON AND WESTERN HAYWOOD COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM
EDT...

AT 555 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PITTMAN CENTER...OR 12 MILES
EAST OF GATLINBURG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  SMOKEMONT...
  MAGGIE VALLEY...

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3557 8298 3540 8328 3564 8339 3567 8334
      3566 8330 3572 8326 3573 8324 3573 8321
      3575 8317

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
557 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0556 PM     HAIL             TAYLORS                 34.92N 82.31W
06/05/2011  E1.50 INCH       GREENVILLE         SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
604 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SPARTANBURG             34.94N 81.93W
06/05/2011                   SPARTANBURG        SC   911 CALL CENTER

            SPARTANBURG COUNTY REPORTS ONE TREE DOWN AT THE
            INTERSECTION OF OAKVIEW DRIVE AND PINENEEDLE DRIVE.

&&

BSH