Alert archive / North Carolina / Flood Watches in 2011
Flood Watch 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flood watch at Mar 8, 2011, 2:57 AM EST for 27 counties in North Carolina; Anderson County, Cherokee County, South Carolina; 5 counties in Georgia. It took effect at Mar 9, 2011, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 30 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 8, 2011, 2:57 AM EST (07:57 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 9, 2011, 7:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Mar 10, 2011, 1:00 PM EST
- In force
- 30 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Flood severity
- None
All 34 counties
Franklin County, GA, Habersham County, GA, Hart County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Alexander County, NC, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davie County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2443 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -21 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 56 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
421 WGUS62 KGSP 080757 FFAGSP URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 257 AM EST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL TRANSPORT MOISTURE INTO THE ELEVATED TERRAIN OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE...WHERE UP TO FIVE INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. WITH SOIL STILL MOIST FROM RECENT RAINFALL...FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510- SCZ001>007-010-082100- /O.NEW.KGSP.FA.A.0002.110309T1200Z-110310T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY- MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS- GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD- POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS- GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA... HARTWELL...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...BRYSON CITY... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE... RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...ANDERSON 257 AM EST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FRANKLIN...HABERSHAM...HART... RABUN AND STEPHENS. IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...AVERY...BURKE MOUNTAINS...BUNCOMBE...CALDWELL MOUNTAINS...EASTERN MCDOWELL...EASTERN POLK...GREATER BURKE...GREATER CALDWELL... GREATER RUTHERFORD...GRAHAM...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS...MACON...MADISON...MITCHELL...NORTHERN JACKSON... POLK MOUNTAINS...RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN JACKSON... SWAIN...TRANSYLVANIA AND YANCEY. IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA... ANDERSON...GREATER GREENVILLE...GREATER OCONEE...GREATER PICKENS...GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS...OCONEE MOUNTAINS...PICKENS MOUNTAINS AND SPARTANBURG. * FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY SATURATE ALREADY MOIST SOIL...CAUSING RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND CREEKS. * STREAMS AND CREEKS NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE WILL BE THE FIRST TO FLOOD. AFTER PROLONGED RAINFALL...MAIN STEM RIVERS WILL BE PRONE TO FLOODING AS WELL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ 07
7 follow-up statements
691 WGUS62 KGSP 081945 FFAGSP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 245 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL TRANSPORT MOISTURE INTO THE ELEVATED TERRAIN OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE...WHERE UP TO FIVE INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. WITH SOIL STILL MOIST FROM RECENT RAINFALL...FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510- SCZ001>007-010-090400- /O.CON.KGSP.FA.A.0002.110309T1200Z-110310T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY- MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS- GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD- POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS- GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA... HARTWELL...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...BRYSON CITY... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE... RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...ANDERSON 245 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FRANKLIN...HABERSHAM...HART...RABUN AND STEPHENS. IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...AVERY...BURKE MOUNTAINS...BUNCOMBE...CALDWELL MOUNTAINS...EASTERN MCDOWELL...EASTERN POLK...GREATER BURKE...GREATER CALDWELL... GREATER RUTHERFORD...GRAHAM...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS...MACON...MADISON...MITCHELL...NORTHERN JACKSON... POLK MOUNTAINS...RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN JACKSON... SWAIN...TRANSYLVANIA AND YANCEY. IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA... ANDERSON...GREATER GREENVILLE...GREATER OCONEE...GREATER PICKENS...GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS...OCONEE MOUNTAINS...PICKENS MOUNTAINS AND SPARTANBURG. * FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY SATURATE ALREADY MOIST SOIL... CAUSING RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND CREEKS. * STREAMS AND CREEKS NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE WILL BE THE FIRST TO FLOOD. AFTER PROLONGED RAINFALL...MAIN STEM RIVERS WILL BE PRONE TO FLOODING AS WELL. * THE HEAVY RAINFALL IN CONJUNCTION WITH WET SOILS FROM LAST WEEKEND'S HEAVY RAIN COULD CONTRIBUTE TO ISOLATED MUDSLIDES OR DEBRIS FLOWS ON UNSTABLE SLOPES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ LG
523 WGUS62 KGSP 090252 FFAGSP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 952 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL TRANSPORT MOISTURE OVER THE ELEVATED TERRAIN OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE WHERE UP TO FIVE INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. WITH THE GROUND STILL MOIST FROM RECENT RAINFALL...EXCESSIVE RUNOFF IS LIKELY. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510- SCZ001>007-010-091100- /O.CON.KGSP.FA.A.0002.110309T1200Z-110310T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY- MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS- GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD- POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS- GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA... HARTWELL...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...BRYSON CITY... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE... RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...ANDERSON 952 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FRANKLIN...HABERSHAM...HART...RABUN AND STEPHENS. IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...AVERY...BURKE MOUNTAINS...BUNCOMBE...CALDWELL MOUNTAINS...EASTERN MCDOWELL...EASTERN POLK...GREATER BURKE...GREATER CALDWELL... GREATER RUTHERFORD...GRAHAM...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS...MACON...MADISON...MITCHELL...NORTHERN JACKSON... POLK MOUNTAINS...RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN JACKSON... SWAIN...TRANSYLVANIA AND YANCEY. IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA... ANDERSON...GREATER GREENVILLE...GREATER OCONEE...GREATER PICKENS...GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS...OCONEE MOUNTAINS...PICKENS MOUNTAINS AND SPARTANBURG. * FROM 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY SATURATE ALREADY MOIST SOIL... CAUSING SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND CREEKS. * STREAMS AND CREEKS NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE WILL BE THE FIRST TO FLOOD. AFTER PROLONGED RAINFALL...MAIN STEM RIVERS WILL BE PRONE TO FLOODING AS WELL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
247 WGUS62 KGSP 090836 FFAGSP URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 336 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT... .SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL TRANSPORT MOISTURE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MUCH OF THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN. PARTS OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND ADJACENT FOOTHILL LOCATIONS MAY SEE UP TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN. WITH THE GROUND STILL MOIST FROM RECENT RAINFALL...EXCESSIVE RUNOFF IS LIKELY. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF THURSDAY MORNING. NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-SCZ008-092100- /O.EXA.KGSP.FA.A.0002.110309T1200Z-110310T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON- MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-CHEROKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY... SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE... CONCORD...GAFFNEY 336 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS EXPANDED THE * FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CAROLINA...ALEXANDER...CABARRUS...CATAWBA...CLEVELAND... DAVIE...GASTON...IREDELL...LINCOLN...MECKLENBURG AND ROWAN. IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...CHEROKEE. * FROM 7 AM EST THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY SATURATE ALREADY MOIST SOIL... CAUSING SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND CREEKS. * STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE WESTERN PIEDMONT WILL BE THE FIRST TO FLOOD. AFTER PROLONGED RAINFALL...MAIN STEM RIVERS WILL BE PRONE TO FLOODING AS WELL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ GAZ010-017-018-026-028-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510- SCZ001>007-010-092100- /O.CON.KGSP.FA.A.0002.110309T1200Z-110310T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY- MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS- GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD- POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS- GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA... HARTWELL...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...BRYSON CITY... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE... RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...ANDERSON 336 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FRANKLIN...HABERSHAM...HART...RABUN AND STEPHENS. IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...AVERY...BURKE MOUNTAINS...BUNCOMBE...CALDWELL MOUNTAINS...EASTERN MCDOWELL...EASTERN POLK...GREATER BURKE...GREATER CALDWELL... GREATER RUTHERFORD...GRAHAM...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS...MACON...MADISON...MITCHELL...NORTHERN JACKSON... POLK MOUNTAINS...RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN JACKSON... SWAIN...TRANSYLVANIA AND YANCEY. IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA... ANDERSON...GREATER GREENVILLE...GREATER OCONEE...GREATER PICKENS...GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS...OCONEE MOUNTAINS...PICKENS MOUNTAINS AND SPARTANBURG. * FROM 7 AM EST THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY SATURATE ALREADY MOIST SOIL... CAUSING SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND CREEKS. * STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND THE FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA WILL BE THE FIRST TO FLOOD. AFTER PROLONGED RAINFALL...MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY AS WELL...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE FRENCH BROAD...TUCKASEGEE AND SALUDA RIVER SYSTEMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ MCAVOY
708 WGUS62 KGSP 091624 FFAGSP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1124 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT... .SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL TRANSPORT MOISTURE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MUCH OF THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN. PARTS OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND ADJACENT FOOTHILL LOCATIONS MAY SEE UP TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN. WITH THE GROUND STILL MOIST FROM RECENT RAINFALL...EXCESSIVE RUNOFF IS LIKELY. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF THURSDAY MORNING. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>072-501>510-SCZ001>008-010-100030- /O.CON.KGSP.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110310T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL- DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA... HARTWELL...NEWLAND...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE... CHEROKEE...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...HICKORY... SALISBURY...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE... SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...LENOIR... MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS... GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ANDERSON 1124 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FRANKLIN...HABERSHAM...HART...RABUN AND STEPHENS. IN NORTH CAROLINA...ALEXANDER...AVERY...BURKE MOUNTAINS... BUNCOMBE...CALDWELL MOUNTAINS...CABARRUS...CATAWBA... CLEVELAND...DAVIE...EASTERN MCDOWELL...EASTERN POLK...GREATER BURKE...GREATER CALDWELL...GREATER RUTHERFORD...GASTON... GRAHAM...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...IREDELL...LINCOLN...MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS...MACON...MADISON...MECKLENBURG...MITCHELL... NORTHERN JACKSON...POLK MOUNTAINS...RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS... ROWAN...SOUTHERN JACKSON...SWAIN...TRANSYLVANIA AND YANCEY. IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...ANDERSON...CHEROKEE...GREATER GREENVILLE...GREATER OCONEE...GREATER PICKENS...GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS...OCONEE MOUNTAINS...PICKENS MOUNTAINS AND SPARTANBURG. * THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY SATURATE ALREADY MOIST SOIL... CAUSING SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND CREEKS. * STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND THE FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA WILL BE THE FIRST TO FLOOD. AFTER PROLONGED RAINFALL...MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY AS WELL... ESPECIALLY ALONG THE FRENCH BROAD...TUCKASEGEE AND SALUDA RIVER SYSTEMS. * THE HEAVY RAINFALL IN CONJUNCTION WITH WET SOILS FROM LAST WEEKENDS HEAVY RAIN COULD CONTRIBUTE TO ISOLATED MUDSLIDES OR DEBRIS FLOWS ON UNSTABLE SLOPES ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND BLUE RIDGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ MOORE
076 WGUS62 KGSP 092252 FFAGSP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 552 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL REMAINS POSSIBLE AT TIMES OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... .VERY MOIST AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT AND STRONG UPPER DISTURBANCE SLOWLY APPROACH FROM THE WEST. RAIN SHOWERS...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES...COULD REDEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS FRONT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. FLOODING WILL LIKELY LINGER IN SPOTS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...AND ADDITIONAL FLOODING MAY DEVELOP THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>072-501>510-SCZ001>008-010-101100- /O.CON.KGSP.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110310T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL- DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA... HARTWELL...NEWLAND...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE... CHEROKEE...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...HICKORY... SALISBURY...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE... SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...LENOIR... MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS... GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ANDERSON 552 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FRANKLIN...HABERSHAM...HART...RABUN AND STEPHENS. IN NORTH CAROLINA...ALEXANDER...AVERY...BURKE MOUNTAINS... BUNCOMBE...CALDWELL MOUNTAINS...CABARRUS...CATAWBA... CLEVELAND...DAVIE...EASTERN MCDOWELL...EASTERN POLK...GREATER BURKE...GREATER CALDWELL...GREATER RUTHERFORD...GASTON... GRAHAM...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...IREDELL...LINCOLN...MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS...MACON...MADISON...MECKLENBURG...MITCHELL... NORTHERN JACKSON...POLK MOUNTAINS...RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS... ROWAN...SOUTHERN JACKSON...SWAIN...TRANSYLVANIA AND YANCEY. IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...ANDERSON...CHEROKEE...GREATER GREENVILLE...GREATER OCONEE...GREATER PICKENS...GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS...OCONEE MOUNTAINS...PICKENS MOUNTAINS AND SPARTANBURG. * THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE RAINFALL WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF THE CAROLINAS THIS EVENING...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS REDEVELOPING BEHIND IT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. AS A COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE SLOWLY APPROACH FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT...THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WILL LIKELY INCREASE ONCE AGAIN. RAINFALL AT RATES UP TO ONE HALF INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST DOWNPOURS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL ON SATURATED SOIL...CAUSING IMMEDIATE RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND CREEKS. * STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA ARE ALREADY RUNNING AT OR NEAR BANKFULL...WITH ISOLATED FLOODING OCCURRING IN A FEW FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. ISOLATED FLOODING MAY STILL DEVELOP ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS IN THE PIEDMONT OF THE CAROLINAS THIS EVENING...WITH FURTHER FLOODING POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAIN AND FOOTHILL LOCATIONS THURSDAY MORNING AS THE NEXT LINE OF SHOWERS MOVES THROUGH. MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER...AND POSSIBLE ALONG THE PIGEON RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ GERAPETRITIS
273 WGUS62 KGSP 100851 FFAGSP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 351 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011 ...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN STILL POSSIBLE THIS MORNING... .LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS DURING THE DAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS THE LOW APPROACHES. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>072-501>510-SCZ001>008-010-101700- /O.CON.KGSP.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110310T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL- DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA... HARTWELL...NEWLAND...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE... CHEROKEE...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...HICKORY... SALISBURY...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE... SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...LENOIR... MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS... GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ANDERSON 351 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FRANKLIN...HABERSHAM...HART...RABUN AND STEPHENS. IN NORTH CAROLINA...ALEXANDER...AVERY...BURKE MOUNTAINS... BUNCOMBE...CALDWELL MOUNTAINS...CABARRUS...CATAWBA... CLEVELAND...DAVIE...EASTERN MCDOWELL...EASTERN POLK...GREATER BURKE...GREATER CALDWELL...GREATER RUTHERFORD...GASTON... GRAHAM...HAYWOOD...HENDERSON...IREDELL...LINCOLN...MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS...MACON...MADISON...MECKLENBURG...MITCHELL... NORTHERN JACKSON...POLK MOUNTAINS...RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS... ROWAN...SOUTHERN JACKSON...SWAIN...TRANSYLVANIA AND YANCEY. IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...ANDERSON...CHEROKEE...GREATER GREENVILLE...GREATER OCONEE...GREATER PICKENS...GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS...OCONEE MOUNTAINS...PICKENS MOUNTAINS AND SPARTANBURG. * UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON * AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS EARLY THIS MORNING...AND THEN INTO THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA BY LATE MORNING. WHILE THE SHOWERS WILL NOT BRING WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN...THEY WILL HAVE A TENDENCY TO FALL ONE BEHIND THE OTHER...A PROCESS KNOWN AS TRAINING. THIS COULD DROP UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. THE GROUND IS ALREADY VERY MOIST FRONT RECENT HEAVY RAIN...THIS WOULD RESULT IN LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. * STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA ARE ALREADY RUNNING AT OR NEAR BANKFULL...WITH ISOLATED FLOODING OCCURRING IN A FEW FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN MAY BRING MORE STREAMS OUT OF THEIR BANKS OR AT LEAST PROLONG EXISTING FLOODING. THE SPOTTY NATURE OF THE RAIN SHOULD HAVE LITTLE EFFECT ON MAIN STEM RIVERS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ MCAVOY
276 WGUS62 KGSP 101803 FFAGSP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 103 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>072-501>510-SCZ001>008-010-101915- /O.EXP.KGSP.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110310T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL- DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA... HARTWELL...NEWLAND...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE... CHEROKEE...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...HICKORY... SALISBURY...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE... SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...LENOIR... MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS... GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ANDERSON 103 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA HAS EXPIRED. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA AND THE EASTERN UPSTATE. HOWEVER...ANY RAINFALL SHOULD BE LIGHT WITH NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING EXPECTED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Mar 8, 2:47 AM EST, 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 2:47 AM EST, 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
247 AM EST TUE MAR 8 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE DOWN FROM CANADA THROUGH
TONIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN FORM NEAR OKLAHOMA AND
MOVE TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT REACHING
OUR AREA BY THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL AGAIN BUILD OVER OUR AREA
TO START THE WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION
TODAY AS THE FA WILL BE ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
JET. OVERNIGHT...RETURN FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS FA WITH INCREASING
ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE SUPPORTING WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS. AFTER MIDNIGHT
SHOWERS WILL START TO DEVELOP ALONG AND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE. HEAVY
RAIN SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON WED...AND NO FLOOD
WATCHES WILL BE NEEDED FOR THIS PART OF THE FORECAST.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AT 2 AM EST TUESDAY...A UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST
WEDNESDAY WHILE AN UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE MS RIVER VALLEY. THIS
TROUGH BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED AND REACHES THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS ON THURSDAY...CROSSING THE MOUNTAINS ON THURSDAY
NIGHT...AT WHICH TIME THE GFS CLOSES OFF AN UPPER LOW WELL TO OUR
NORTH.
A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED ALONG THE EAST COAST ON WEDNESDAY...
WITH ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE OVER IS SOUTHWEST EDGE ONGOING WEDNESDAY
MORNING...WITH UPSLOPE FLOW INTO THE BLUE RIDGE ESCARPMENT. UPGLIDE
WILL STRENGTHEN AND SPREAD EAST DURING THE DAY...SUPPORTING HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER AREAS THAT WILL NOT HAVE DRIED OUT SINCE THE LAST BIG
EVENT SEVERAL DAYS AGO. A FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH LAKE IND
ADVISORY CRITERIA WEDNESDAY IN PORTIONS OF THE NC MOUNTAINS...WITH
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. LAKE WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BE REACHED IN PORTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
WEAK INSTABILITY AND STRONG HELICITY CROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY
EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT UPSLOPE FLOW SHOWERS ALONG TN
BORDER WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS ON
THURSDAY...WHICH WILL LOWER INTO THE VALLEYS THURSDAY NIGHT.
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE RATHER LIMITED DUE TO RELATIVELY WARM
TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT 2 AM EST TUESDAY...A CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL BE IN THE VICINITY OF
THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES FRIDAY MORNING...WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING
SOUTH TO THE CAROLINAS. THE TROUGH MOVES OFFSHORE ON
SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY WEAK UPPER RIDGING ALONG THE EAST COAST. A
WEAK UPPER LOW CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH A
LESS AMPLIFIED TROUGH CROSSING THE SOUTHEAST. BY MONDAY ANOTHER
UPPER RIDGE REACHES THE OH AND TN VALLEYS IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW
AMPLITUDE TROUGH.
DRY HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA ON FRIDAY...ENDING THE SNOW
EVENT IN THE NC MOUNTAINS. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE
SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE INTO MONDAY. ISENTROPIC
UPGLIDE WILL BEGIN TO FORM CLOUDS MONDAY ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
SURFACE HIGH. TEMPERATURES WARM FORM NEAR NORMAL FRIDAY TO ABOVE
NORMAL AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL IN DOWNSLOPE
FLOW ON SUNDAY BEHIND THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES MODERATE TO NEAR
NORMAL BY MONDAY.
THE NEWEST RUN OF THE ECMWF HAS JUST COME OUT WITH A MUCH WEAKER
SYSTEM EARLY NEXT WEEK. AT 12Z TUESDAY...THAT SYSTEM IS STILL SHOWN
TO BE WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI. ALTHOUGH THIS IS A BIG CHANGE...I
WILL KEEP THE SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE LAST PERIOD FOR THE WESTERN NC
MOUNTAINS.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...RETURN FLOW WILL START TO LOWER CIGS TOWARD
THE END OF THE VALID PERIOD OF THE TAFS. CIGS SHOULD LOWER FIRST
OVER THE WESTERN UPSTATE...AND LAST OVER THE NC PIEDMONT...INCLUDING
KCLT...WHERE DRIER AIR WILL REMAIN THE LONGEST IN THE HEART OF A DRY
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE MTNS. SHRA WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BLUE RIDGE STARTING AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND
I/VE INCLUDED VCSH AT KAVL TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.
WINDS LOOK BE ALMOST DUE EAST MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
THE NC PIEDMONT AND THE UPSTATE. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 8 TO
10 KTS LATER IN THE DAY.
OUTLOOK...CIGS WILL LOWER INTO THE IFR OR LOWER RANGE ON WED AS
WIDESPREAD RAIN DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. HIGH
PRES BUILDS IN FROM THE W FRI AND A DRY FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
THIS WEEKEND.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028.
NC...FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510.
SC...FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SCZ001>007-010.
&&
SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...MCAVOY
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...MCAVOYHazardous weather outlook, Mar 7, 3:26 PM EST, 11 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 326 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-053-056-057-059-063>065- 068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-082030- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL- DAVIE-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-NORTHERN JACKSON-SOUTHERN JACKSON- TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS- UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS- GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 326 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. DUE TO WET SOIL FROM THE RAIN LAST WEEKEND...THERE IS AN INCREASED THREAT FOR FLOODING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. NCZ033-048>052-058-062-082030- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-MACON- 326 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. DUE TO WET SOIL FROM THE RAIN LAST WEEKEND...THERE IS AN INCREASED THREAT FOR FLOODING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. ALSO...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH EVEN GREATER WIND SPEEDS AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE.
Nearby
Flood Watches in North Carolina, 2011Flood Watches in Georgia, 2011Flood Watches in South Carolina, 2011Every flood watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.