Alert archive / Michigan / Special Weather Statements in 2011

Special Weather Statement, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

July 18, 2011Allegan County, Kent County, Ottawa County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this special weather statement at Jul 18, 2011, 3:13 AM EDT for Allegan County, Kent County, Ottawa County, Michigan. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2011, 3:13 AM EDT (07:13 UTC)
Expired
Jul 18, 2011, 5:15 AM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI

Counties Allegan County, MI, Kent County, MI, Ottawa County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 249 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2011-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3989 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2011-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 70 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3989 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1231 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
142 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.2
Supercell composite
17.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 18, 1:27 AM EDT, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 1:27 AM EDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 17, 1:47 PM EDT, 13 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
147 PM EDT SUN JUL 17 2011

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-180900-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
147 PM EDT SUN JUL 17 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN. THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES UPSTREAM OF LOWER MICHIGAN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST WITH TIME. THE STORMS WILL TRY TO CROSS LAKE MICHIGAN
OVERNIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY REACH STRONG TO SEVERE LEVELS WITH
TORRENTIAL RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREATS...
ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE
UPCOMING WORK WEEK. HIGHS WILL LIKELY PUSH INTO THE 90S EACH DAY
AWAY FROM LAKE MICHIGAN. MONDAY AND TUESDAY MAY BE AFFECTED BY
PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS THOUGH WHICH MAY ALLEVIATE THE HEAT DURING
THE AFTERNOON. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY CREST THE 100 DEGREE MARK THIS
WEEK...ESPECIALLY FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL OSCILLATE THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. SOME OF THE STORMS
MAY REACH SEVERE LEVELS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING DEPENDING ON
THE AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION AFFECTING THE AREA DURING THE
MORNING. THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS EARLY THIS WEEK WILL LIKELY BE
LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINS. A FLASH FLOOD THREAT EXISTS GIVEN A VERY
HUMID AIR MASS IN PLACE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM EARLY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
EVENING.

LMZ844>849-180900-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
147 PM EDT SUN JUL 17 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS THE THREAT FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. THE
STRONGEST OF STORMS MAY CONTAIN DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY HEAVY
RAIN. LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED IN AND NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A THREAT FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY MEANDERS ACROSS THE AREA.

AREAS OF DENSE FOG CAN BE EXPECTED OUT ON LAKE MICHIGAN FOR MUCH OF
THE UPCOMING WEEK AS A VERY MOIST AIR MASS MOVES OUT OVER THE
RELATIVELY COOLER WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM EARLY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
EVENING.

WDM/DUKE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 1:51 AM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 18, 1:54 AM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 18, 2:06 AM EDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 18, 2:13 AM EDT, 1 hour before
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Local storm report, Jul 18, 2:28 AM EDT, 45 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 18, 3:13 AM EDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 11:35 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningGRR115 min
Jul 18, 12:46 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRMason, Oceana67 min
Jul 18, 12:57 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRLake, Mecosta, Muskegon, Newaygo, Osceola, Ottawa2 hr
Jul 18, 1:03 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningGRR117 min
Jul 18, 1:51 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRClare, Isabella69 min
Jul 18, 2:06 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRAllegan, Barry, Gratiot, Ionia, Kent, Montcalm114 min
Jul 18, 2:56 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningGRR69 min
Jul 18, 3:55 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRAllegan65 min
Jul 18, 10:59 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clinton, Eaton, Ingham and 5 more9 hr
Jul 18, 12:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRLake, Mecosta, Newaygo79 min
Jul 18, 1:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRMecosta, Montcalm31 min
Jul 18, 1:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRClare, Isabella, Mecosta, Osceola53 min
Jul 18, 2:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRIngham, Jackson66 min
Jul 18, 4:07 PM EDTExcessive Heat WatchGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clare, Clinton, Eaton and 17 more12 hr
Jul 18, 5:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRIngham59 min
Jul 18, 5:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRClinton, Ingham67 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Michigan, 2011Every special weather statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.