Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 10, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

April 28, 2011Gratiot County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this river flood warning at Apr 28, 2011, 10:28 AM EDT for Gratiot County, Michigan. It took effect at Apr 28, 2011, 12:32 PM EDT. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 28, 2011, 10:28 AM EDT (14:28 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 28, 2011, 12:32 PM EDT
Expired
Apr 29, 2011, 12:12 PM EDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Flood severity
Minor

County Gratiot County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Pine River at Alma (ALMM4).

Action stage
7 ft
Minor stage
8 ft
Moderate stage
10 ft
Major stage
12 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04155000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

936 
WGUS43 KGRR 281428
FLWGRR


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1028 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG AFFECTING KALAMAZOO COUNTY
  PINE RIVER AT ALMA AFFECTING GRATIOT COUNTY

.SHOWERS ARE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT
PRECIPITATION IN THIS TIME FRAME WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN
INCH. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR FRIDAY.  THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS
BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...EVEN 6 INCHES OF FAST-MOVING FLOOD WATER CAN KNOCK 
YOU OFF YOUR FEET... AND A DEPTH OF 2 FEET WILL FLOAT YOUR CAR.  
NEVER TRY TO WALK... SWIM... OR DRIVE THROUGH SUCH SWIFT WATER.  IF 
YOU COME UPON FLOOD WATERS... STOP... TURN AROUND AND GO ANOTHER WAY.

THIS WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL THE RIVER FALLS BELOW ITS FLOOD 
STAGE.  

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR HOMEPAGE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR.  

&&

MIC077-291628-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.W.0009.110428T1428Z-110430T1200Z/
/VCKM4.1.ER.110428T1236Z.110428T1800Z.110429T1200Z.NR/
1028 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 5.1 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT OVERFLOWS INTO WOODED AREAS AND 
  FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER 
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 5.1 FEET 
  ON APR 1 1949.  

$$

MIC057-291628-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.W.0010.110428T2100Z-110429T1800Z/
/ALMM4.1.ER.110428T2100Z.110429T0000Z.110429T0600Z.NO/
1028 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE PINE RIVER AT ALMA.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 8.1 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...EXPECT SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.2 FEET 
  ON MAR 13 2006.  

$$

WALTON
4 follow-up statements
503 
WGUS83 KGRR 281523
FLSGRR


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1123 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST 
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER AT EVART AFFECTING OSCEOLA COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON AFFECTING NEWAYGO COUNTY
  CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT AFFECTING ISABELLA COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT ROBINSON TOWNSHIP AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG AFFECTING KALAMAZOO COUNTY
  PINE RIVER AT ALMA AFFECTING GRATIOT COUNTY

.SHOWERS ARE FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... BUT
PRECIPITATION IN THIS TIME FRAME WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN
INCH. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR FRIDAY.  THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS
BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE AROUND 
BARRICADES OR DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR HOMEPAGE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR.  

&&

MIC081-291723-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CMPM4.1.ER.110428T1202Z.110501T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:02 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.3 FEET BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...ABRIGADOR TRAIL IS UNDERWATER AND MINOR 
  FLOODING OF HOMES OCCURS ALONG ABRIGADOR TRAIL AND WILLOW DRIVE
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.4 FEET
  ON MAR 13 2009.  

$$

MIC139-291723-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0011.110429T1404Z-110505T1200Z/
/RBNM4.1.ER.110429T1404Z.110501T1800Z.110504T1200Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT ROBINSON TOWNSHIP.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY MAY 05.
* AT 10:23 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.9 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.9 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES IN VANLOPIK SUBDIVISION ARE 
  SURROUNDED BY WATER
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.6 FEET
  ON MAR 14 2009.  

$$

MIC037-291723-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0012.110428T1800Z-110504T0600Z/
/MRPM4.1.ER.110428T1800Z.110430T0000Z.110503T1800Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 9.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.1 FEET 
  ON FEB 14 2009.  

$$

MIC077-291723-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110430T1200Z/
/VCKM4.1.ER.110428T1236Z.110428T1800Z.110429T1200Z.NR/
1123 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 5.1 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT OVERFLOWS INTO WOODED AREAS AND 
  FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER 
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 5.5 FEET 
  ON MAR 13 2009.  

$$

MIC133-291723-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0008.110428T1800Z-110502T1800Z/
/EVRM4.1.ER.110428T1800Z.110430T0000Z.110502T0600Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER AT EVART.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 12.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF HOMES IN LOW LYING
  AREAS ALONG RIVER ROAD BETWEEN 80TH AVENUE AND M66.  MINOR FLOODING
  ALSO OCCURS IN THE JEFFERY SUBDIVISION AND IMPACTS HOMES ALONG 
  LINDEN ROAD...RIVERSIDE ROAD...AND MUSKEGON TRAIL
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.1 FEET
  ON MAR 15 2006.  

$$

MIC123-291723-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110504T0000Z/
/CROM4.1.ER.110427T1145Z.110430T0600Z.110503T1200Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON.
* AT  8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.2 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COTTAGES AND 
  CABINS UPSTREAM OF NEWAYGO IN THE DEVILS HOLE AREA AND DOWNSTREAM 
  OF NEWAYGO AT OLD WOMAND BEND...ANDERSON FLATS...AND LOWER 
  BRIDGETON AREA
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.4 FEET
  ON MAY 24 2004.  

$$

MIC073-291722-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110430T1800Z/
/MPTM4.1.ER.110428T0830Z.110428T1800Z.110430T0600Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.9 FEET BY THIS 
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF THE GOLF COURSE...
  ISLAND PARK AND NELSON PARK IN WESTERN MT. PLEASANT
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.1 FEET 
  ON MAR 6 2004.  

$$

MIC057-291722-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0010.110428T2100Z-110429T1800Z/
/ALMM4.1.ER.110428T2100Z.110429T0000Z.110429T0600Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PINE RIVER AT ALMA.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 8.1 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...EXPECT SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.2 FEET 
  ON MAR 13 2006.  

$$
651 
WGUS83 KGRR 281636
FLSGRR


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1236 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST 
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  PINE RIVER AT ALMA AFFECTING GRATIOT COUNTY

.CREST FORECAST WAS RECENTLY UPDATED AND RAISED TO 9.0 FEET...WAS
PREVIOUSLY AT 8.1 FEET.  THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED
AND FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE AROUND 
BARRICADES OR DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR HOMEPAGE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR.  

&&

MIC057-291836-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0010.110428T1632Z-110501T0600Z/
/ALMM4.1.ER.110428T1512Z.110429T0000Z.110430T1800Z.NO/
1236 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PINE RIVER AT ALMA.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 12:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.0 FEET BY THIS 
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...EXPECT FLOODING IN BASEMENTS IN RESIDENCES 
  ALONG DOWNIE AND RIVER STREETS
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.3 FEET 
  ON APR 26 2009.  

$$

WALTON
522 
WGUS83 KGRR 290310
FLSGRR


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1110 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST 
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT ROBINSON TOWNSHIP AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY
  PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG AFFECTING KALAMAZOO COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON AFFECTING NEWAYGO COUNTY
  CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT AFFECTING ISABELLA COUNTY
  PINE RIVER AT ALMA AFFECTING GRATIOT COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST 
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER AT EVART AFFECTING OSCEOLA COUNTY

.THE CURRENT WEATHER IS DOMINATED BY LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL PRODUCE
LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WHICH WILL NOT BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO AFFECT
RIVER LEVELS MUCH. THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED 
AND FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE AROUND 
BARRICADES OR DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR HOMEPAGE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR.  

&&

MIC081-300510-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110506T0000Z/
/CMPM4.1.ER.110428T1202Z.110501T0600Z.110505T0000Z.NO/
1110 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MAY 05.
* AT  7:33 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.4 FEET BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...ABRIGADOR TRAIL IS UNDERWATER AND MINOR 
  FLOODING OF HOMES OCCURS ALONG ABRIGADOR TRAIL AND WILLOW DRIVE
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.4 FEET
  ON MAR 13 2009.  

$$

MIC139-300510-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0011.110429T0744Z-110505T0600Z/
/RBNM4.1.ER.110429T0744Z.110502T0000Z.110504T0600Z.NO/
1110 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT ROBINSON TOWNSHIP.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY MAY 05.
* AT  5:02 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.9 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES IN VANLOPIK SUBDIVISION ARE 
  SURROUNDED BY WATER
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.6 FEET
  ON MAR 14 2009.  

$$

MIC037-300509-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110504T0600Z/
/MRPM4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110430T0600Z.110503T1800Z.NO/
1110 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.5 FEET BY EARLY
  SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.1 FEET 
  ON FEB 14 2009.  

$$

MIC077-300509-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110430T1800Z/
/VCKM4.1.ER.110428T1523Z.110429T0600Z.110429T1800Z.NR/
1110 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT OVERFLOWS INTO WOODED AREAS AND 
  FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER 
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 5.5 FEET 
  ON MAR 13 2009.  

$$

MIC133-300509-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110502T1800Z/
/EVRM4.1.ER.110428T1745Z.110429T1800Z.110502T0600Z.NO/
1110 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER AT EVART.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.4 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF HOMES IN LOW LYING
  AREAS ALONG RIVER ROAD BETWEEN 80TH AVENUE AND M66.  MINOR FLOODING
  ALSO OCCURS IN THE JEFFERY SUBDIVISION AND IMPACTS HOMES ALONG 
  LINDEN ROAD...RIVERSIDE ROAD...AND MUSKEGON TRAIL
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.1 FEET
  ON MAR 15 2006.  

$$

MIC123-300509-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110504T0300Z/
/CROM4.1.ER.110427T1145Z.110429T1800Z.110503T1500Z.NO/
1110 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON.
* AT  8:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.7 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...EXPECT MODERATE FLOODING OF COTTAGES AND 
  HOMES UPSTREAM OF NEWAYGO IN THE DEVISL HOLE AREA AND DOWNSTREAM OF
  NEWAYGO IN THE OLD WOMANS BEND...ANDERSON FLATS...AND LOWER 
  BRIDGETON AREA
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.4 FEET
  ON MAY 24 2004.  

$$

MIC073-300509-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110430T2000Z/
/MPTM4.1.ER.110428T0830Z.110429T0215Z.110430T0800Z.NO/
1110 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF THE GOLF COURSE...
  ISLAND PARK AND NELSON PARK IN WESTERN MT. PLEASANT
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.1 FEET 
  ON MAR 6 2004.  

$$

MIC057-300509-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110430T1800Z/
/ALMM4.1.ER.110428T1512Z.110428T2015Z.110430T0600Z.NO/
1110 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PINE RIVER AT ALMA.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.4 FEET BY AFTER
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.4 FEET...RESIDENCES AT JUNCTION OF RIVER AND DOWNIE 
  STREETS BEGIN TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.2 FEET 
  ON MAR 13 2006.  

$$
348 
WGUS83 KGRR 291612
FLSGRR


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1212 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

 ...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED AND DOWNGRADED TO A FLOOD 
ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  PINE RIVER AT ALMA AFFECTING GRATIOT COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST 
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT ROBINSON TOWNSHIP AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY
  PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG AFFECTING KALAMAZOO COUNTY
  CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT AFFECTING ISABELLA COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER AT EVART AFFECTING OSCEOLA COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON AFFECTING NEWAYGO COUNTY

.THE CURRENT WEATHER IS DOMINATED BY HIGH PRESSURE. NO ADDITIONAL
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS FORECASTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE FOLLOWING
FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE AROUND 
BARRICADES OR DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR HOMEPAGE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR.  

&&

MIC081-301812-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110506T0600Z/
/CMPM4.1.ER.110428T1202Z.110501T1200Z.110505T0600Z.NO/
1212 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MAY 06.
* AT 10:51 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.6 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...HOMES ALONG WILLOW DRIVE AND ABRIGADOR 
  TRAIL HAVE FLOODED BASEMENTS AND ABRIGADOR TRAIL IS CLOSED.  
  RIVERBANK STREET NORTHEAST IN PLAINFIELD TOWNSHIP IS FLOODED AND 
  HOMES ALONG RIVERBANK STREET HAVE FLOODED BASEMENTS.  KONKLE DRIVE 
  NORTHEAST IN PLAINFIELD TOWNSHIP IS FLOODED
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.4 FEET
  ON MAR 13 2009.  

$$

MIC139-301812-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110505T1200Z/
/RBNM4.1.ER.110429T0826Z.110501T0000Z.110504T1200Z.NO/
1212 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT ROBINSON TOWNSHIP.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:18 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.9 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES IN VANLOPIK SUBDIVISION ARE 
  SURROUNDED BY WATER
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.6 FEET
  ON MAR 14 2009.  

$$

MIC037-301812-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110504T0600Z/
/MRPM4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110430T0600Z.110503T1800Z.NO/
1212 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.5 FEET BY AFTER
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.1 FEET 
  ON FEB 14 2009.  

$$

MIC077-301812-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110501T2245Z/
/VCKM4.1.ER.110428T1447Z.110429T1800Z.110430T2245Z.NR/
1212 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 5.2 FEET BY THIS 
  AFTERNOON.  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT OVERFLOWS INTO WOODED AREAS AND 
  FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER 
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 5.5 FEET 
  ON MAR 13 2009.  

$$

MIC133-301812-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110502T1800Z/
/EVRM4.1.ER.110428T1745Z.110430T0000Z.110502T0600Z.NO/
1212 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER AT EVART.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.7 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...EXPECT SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN THE AREA OF 
  M66 AND 9 MILE...IMPACTING HOMES IN THE JEFFERIES...DOC AND TOM...
  AND WILDLIFE SHORES SUBDIVISIONS.  ROADS BECOME UN-NAVIGABLE IN THE
  JEFFERIES...DOC AND TOM...AND WILDLIFE SHORES SUBDIVISIONS.  
  EVACUATION OF HOMES IN THE FLOODED AREA MAY BE NECESSARY.  
  SIGNIFICANT ROAD CLOSURES ALONG RIVER ROAD BETWEEN 80TH AVENUE AND 
  M66.  FLOODING OF HOMES IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG RIVER ROAD BETWEEN
  80TH AVENUE AND M66 ALSO OCCURS.  
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.6 FEET
  ON NOV 1 1992.  

$$

MIC123-301812-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110504T0300Z/
/CROM4.1.ER.110427T1145Z.110429T1045Z.110503T1500Z.NO/
1212 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AT 10.6 FEET THIS
  AFTERNOON.  THE RIVER WILL THEN FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...EXPECT MODERATE FLOODING OF COTTAGES AND 
  HOMES UPSTREAM OF NEWAYGO IN THE DEVISL HOLE AREA AND DOWNSTREAM OF
  NEWAYGO IN THE OLD WOMANS BEND...ANDERSON FLATS...AND LOWER 
  BRIDGETON AREA
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.4 FEET
  ON MAY 24 2004.  

$$

MIC073-301812-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110430T2100Z/
/MPTM4.1.ER.110428T0830Z.110429T0845Z.110430T0900Z.NO/
1212 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF THE GOLF COURSE...
  ISLAND PARK AND NELSON PARK IN WESTERN MT. PLEASANT
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.1 FEET 
  ON MAR 6 2004.  

$$

MIC057-291642-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110430T1800Z/
/ALMM4.1.ER.110428T1512Z.110428T2015Z.110429T0622Z.NO/
1212 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PINE RIVER AT ALMA.
  AND HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A FLOOD ADVISORY.
* AT 11:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  2:22 AM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 7.7 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 28, 7:49 AM EDT, 2 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 28, 7:49 AM EDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
749 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

LATEST UPDATE...AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...(450 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011)
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA TODAY AND THE RAIN SHOWERS
WILL BECOME LIGHTER AND MORE SCATTERED.  THE LIGHT SHOWERS WILL
LINGER INTO TONIGHT AND COULD MIX WITH SOME SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL
LOWER MICHIGAN.  BY FRIDAY ALL THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE OUT OF THE
AREA AND SKIES WILL CLEAR.  THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL HOLD OFF
FOR MOST AREAS UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(450 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011)
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WAS MOVING NE OVER FAR EASTERN MICHIGAN EARLY
THIS MORNING.  THE LAST AREA OF STEADY RAINS WILL BE LIFTING OUT OF
THE NE CWA WITH THE DEPARTING LOW LATER THIS MORNING.  AS THIS
OCCURS...WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WILL BE QUITE GUSTY OVER
THE EASTERN CWA THIS MORNING.  HAVE GUSTS TO 40 MPH...AND THERE
COULD BE A FEW PEAK WINDS A BIT HIGHER.  THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD
BE THIS MORNING...BUT IT WILL REMAIN BRISK INTO THE AFTERNOON.

THE UPPER TROUGH WILL BE SWINGING THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
KEEP A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS IN THE AREA.  THE RAIN COULD EVEN MIX
WITH A BIT OF SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA BY LATE IN
THE DAY AND INTO TONIGHT.  HIGHS ONLY IN THE 40S OVER THE NW
CWA...AND INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S ALONG I-94.  THE PRECIPITATION
WILL COME TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT AS THE UPPER
TROUGH PASSES BY.

FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT CONTINUES TO LOOK DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN.  TEMPS SHOULD WARM TO AROUND 60 FRIDAY WITH INCREASING
SUNSHINE THROUGH THE DAY...ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE COOLER NEAR THE LAKE.

HAVE TRIMMED BACK ON THE POPS FOR SATURDAY AS THE COLD FRONT DOES
NOT ARRIVE UNTIL OVERNIGHT.  THE NW CWA MAY SEE A FEW SHOWERS MOVE
IN LATE IN THE DAY...BUT THE BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ARRIVES AFTER
00Z.  OVERALL SATURDAY SHOULD BE A PARTLY SUNNY DAY WITH A BREEZY
SOUTHERLY WIND...PUSHING TEMPS TOWARD 70 DEGREES.

&&

.LONG TERM...(450 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011)
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
DID NOT MAKE MUCH IN THE WAY OF CHANGES TO THE GOING LONG TERM
FORECAST. STILL LOOKS LIKE A BAND OF RAIN...WITH SOME EMBEDDED
STORMS WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN SATURDAY NIGHT.
THREAT FOR STORMS LOOKS LOW THOUGH...AS BOTH THE EUROPEAN AND THE
GFS ARE INDICATED LIMITED INSTABILITY (850MB LI/S ZERO TO +3 C).

THE RAIN SHOULD LINGER INTO SUNDAY...BUT DISCREPANCIES EXIST BETWEEN
THE MORE PROGRESSIVE GFS AND THE SLOWER EUROPEAN. THE DIFFERENCES
RESULT FROM A MORE ZONAL...OPEN LOOK AT 500MB/S VIA THE GFS AS
COMPARED TO A SHARPER TROUGH VIA THE EUROPEAN. FOLLOWING THE EURO
FOR GUIDANCE ONCE AGAIN AND HAVE A 40 PCT CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY.
KEPT SHOWERS INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS PERIOD IS BEGINNING TO
LOOK A BIT DRIER AS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS RUNS. WITH THE UPPER TROUGH
OVERHEAD ON MONDAY MAINTAINED THE LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS...BUT DRY
AIR AND RIDGING MAY WIN OUT.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE
PREVAILS. DIFFERENCES REMAIN THOUGH IN THIS TIME FRAME IN THE
EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER PATTERN...SO CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH. DIFFERENCES
WILL PRIMARILY BE RELATED TO TEMPERATURES THOUGH.

&&

.AVIATION...(749 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011)
RAIN AND DRIZZLE ARE LIFTING NORTH AND EAST OF THE TAF SITES AT 12Z.
VISIBILITIES AT MOST TAF SITES SHOULD BE VFR OR TRENDING TOWARD VFR
BY 14-15Z. CEILINGS ARE EVEN TRENDING TOWARD VFR THIS MORNING FROM
THE SOUTH AND WEST...BUT MVFR CEILINGS SHOULD PUSH BACK IN THIS
AFTERNOON. LOWER CEILINGS (IFR) ARE EXPECTED TO DRIFT IN FROM THE
WEST THIS EVENING. OVERNIGHT AN IMPROVEMENT BACK TOWARD VFR IS
EXPECTED AFTER 08Z-10Z. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST
TODAY AT 12-25 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...(450 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011)
HAVE POSTED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS TODAY AS
COLD ADVECTION AND BRISK WEST WINDS KICK UP THE WAVES.  WINDS AND
WAVES WILL DIMINISH INTO TONIGHT OR BY FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...(450 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011)
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AFTER 12Z TODAY WILL BE RATHER LIGHT...UNDER A
QUARTER OF AN INCH.  HOWEVER WITH THE PROLONG EXCESSIVE RAIN OVER
THE PAST FEW DAYS RIVER AND STREAMS REMAIN HIGH...WITH SOME OUTSIDE
OF THEIR BANKS.  THE FLOOD WATCH IS MAINTAINED FOR TODAY DUE TO LAST
NIGHT/S RAINS WHICH COULD LEAD TO MORE RISING WATERS AND FLOOD
WARNINGS.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...FLOOD WATCH ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING.
     FLOOD ADVISORY ENTIRE AREA THROUGH 130 PM THIS AFTERNOON.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ENTIRE NEARSHORE BY 1 PM INTO TONIGHT.

&&

SYNOPSIS:    JK
SHORT TERM:  JK
LONG TERM:   DUKE
AVIATION:    DUKE
MARINE:      JK
HYDROLOGY:   JK
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 28, 7:07 AM EDT, 3 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
707 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-291115-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
707 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MORE RAIN THAT OCCURRED OVERNIGHT WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL RISES
ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS TODAY. LOCAL CREEKS AND STREAMS SHOULD
BEGIN RECEDING FRIDAY. MAIN STEM LARGER RIVERS LIKE THE MUSKEGON
AND GRAND WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND HOWEVER.
PONDING OF WATER IN FIELDS...FLOODED DITCHES AND LOW SPOTS CAN BE
EXPECTED BOTH TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FLOODING WILL REMAIN A CONCERN RIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND AS DAYS OF
RAINFALL WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO RECEDE. SOME LOCATIONS HAVE
RECEIVED OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LMZ844>849-291115-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
707 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALLER CRAFT ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

DUKE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 28, 8:02 AM EDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
802 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E CUTLERVILLE         42.84N 85.64W
04/28/2011  M1.47 INCH       KENT               MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

NJJ
Local storm report, Apr 28, 8:08 AM EDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
808 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0802 AM     FLOOD            5 SE WEIDMAN            43.64N 84.89W
04/28/2011                   ISABELLA           MI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THE INTERSECTION OF W BASELINE RD AND S VANDECAR RD IS
            FLOODED.

0802 AM     FLOOD            3 ENE MOUNT PLEASANT    43.62N 84.71W
04/28/2011                   ISABELLA           MI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER IS OVER THE ROADWAY NEAR E AIRPORT RD AND S LEATON
            RD.

&&

HOVING
Local storm report, Apr 28, 8:24 AM EDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
824 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0814 AM     FLOOD            LANSING                 42.74N 84.55W
04/28/2011                   INGHAM             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LOW AREA FLOODING AND MINOR STREET FLOODING IS OBSERVED
            IN THE LANSING AREA. MEASURED RAINFALL FROM 9PM LAST
            NIGHT TO 730AM IS 0.98 INCHES.

&&

HOVING
Local storm report, Apr 28, 8:27 AM EDT, 2 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
827 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0802 AM     FLOOD            1 NW MOUNT PLEASANT     43.61N 84.78W
04/28/2011                   ISABELLA           MI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THE EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS THAT ISLAND PARK IS
            FLOODED.

&&

HOVING
Local storm report, Apr 28, 8:55 AM EDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
855 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SE WILLIAMSTON        42.66N 84.24W
04/28/2011  M0.81 INCH       INGHAM             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HR TOTAL.

&&

HOVING
Local storm report, Apr 28, 9:09 AM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
909 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GREENVILLE              43.18N 85.26W
04/28/2011  M0.83 INCH       MONTCALM           MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL SINCE MIDNIGHT. THREE DAY TOTAL IS 3.10 INCHES.

&&

HOVING

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 9:30 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningGRROsceola5 days
Apr 27, 9:41 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRNewaygo3 hr
Apr 27, 9:41 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRIngham62 hr
Apr 27, 9:41 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRCalhoun71 hr
Apr 27, 9:41 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRKalamazoo13 hr
Apr 28, 4:30 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryGRR24 hr
Apr 28, 10:28 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningGRRKalamazoo4 days
Apr 28, 11:06 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningGRROttawa6 days
Apr 28, 11:06 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningGRRClinton5 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.