Alert archive / Michigan / Heat Advisories in 2011

Heat Advisory 2, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

July 19, 201111 counties in Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this heat advisory at Jul 19, 2011, 4:00 AM EDT for 11 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Jul 19, 2011, 10:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2011, 4:00 AM EDT (08:00 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 19, 2011, 10:00 AM EDT
Expired
Jul 19, 2011, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI

Counties Clare County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Osceola County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2011-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1993 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2011-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 182 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1993 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1085 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
267 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.1
Supercell composite
12.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this heat advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this heat advisory went out at Jul 19, 12:35 AM EDT, 3 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 12:35 AM EDT, 3 hours 25 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 18, 8:00 PM EDT, 8 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
800 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2011

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-190900-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
800 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AHEAD OF A SOUTHWARD
MOVING WEAK COLD FRONT. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ANY STORM THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE
WEEK AND POTENTIALLY INTO NEXT WEEKEND. HIGHS WILL LIKELY PUSH INTO
THE 90S EACH DAY. THE WARMEST DAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR OR OVER 100 DEGREES ARE QUITE
POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON FOR THE NEXT 6 TO 7 DAYS.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM GETS CLOSE TO
THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

LMZ844>849-190900-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
800 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AHEAD OF A SOUTHWARD
MOVING WEAK COLD FRONT. WHILE SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...ANY
THUNDERSTORM THAT DOES DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS.

DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT AS VERY MOIST AIR MOVES OVER
THE COOLER WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

DENSE FOG WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH MOST OF THIS WEEK AS VERY
MOIST AIR REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE COOLER WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.
THERE IS THE CHANCE OF MORE THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

WDM/DUKE/93

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 11:32 PM EDT, 4 hours 28 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1132 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2011

MIZ071>074-190530-
CALHOUN-JACKSON-KALAMAZOO-VAN BUREN-
1132 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 1129 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO
BATTLE CREEK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS GREATER THAN 30 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.  LOCALLY
MORE THAN AN INCH OF RAIN COULD ACCOMPANY THE PASSAGE OF THESE
STORMS.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MENTHA AND NORTHWOOD BY 1140 PM EDT...
  WATTLES PARK BY 1145 PM EDT...
  BEADLE LAKE BY 1150 PM EDT...
  COMSTOCK BY 1155 PM EDT...
  PARTELLO AND ARMSTRONG CORNERS BY MIDNIGHT EDT...
  TOQUIN AND DUCK LAKE BY 1205 AM EDT...
  RICE CREEK AND ALMENA BY 1210 AM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 4207 8622 4224 8622 4225 8636 4242 8628
      4242 8472 4211 8471 4207 8466
TIME...MOT...LOC 0332Z 311DEG 18KT 4241 8634 4233 8516

MJS
Local storm report, Jul 19, 12:14 AM EDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 19, 12:16 AM EDT, 3 hours 44 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 19, 1:13 AM EDT, 2 hours 47 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 19, 1:16 AM EDT, 2 hours 44 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 11:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRCalhoun, Kalamazoo, Van Buren118 min
Jul 18, 11:51 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningGRR39 min
Jul 18, 11:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun, Kalamazoo, Van Buren69 min
Jul 19, 1:13 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRBarry62 min
Jul 19, 1:16 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRVan Buren44 min
Jul 19, 1:33 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGRRVan Buren5 hr
Jul 19, 4:00 AM EDTExcessive Heat WarningGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clinton, Eaton, Gratiot and 13 more65 hr
Jul 19, 4:12 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryGRR43 hr
Jul 19, 4:30 PM EDTExcessive Heat WatchGRRClare, Gratiot, Isabella, Lake, Mason, Mecosta and 5 more11 hr

Nearby

Heat Advisories in Michigan, 2011Every heat advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.