Small Craft Advisory 41, NWS Green Bay, WI

696 
WHUS73 KGRB 251511
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1011 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

...NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...

.NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM SLOWLY TRACKS OVER THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION.
THE GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE
DIMINISHING THURSDAY NIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-252315-
/O.EXT.KGRB.SC.Y.0041.110525T1800Z-110527T0900Z/
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY WI TO TWO RIVERS WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS WI TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
1011 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS 
  AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. 

* WAVES: WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR WAVES
GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

994 
WHUS73 KGRB 252132
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
432 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

...NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...

.NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM SLOWLY TRACKS OVER THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION.
THE GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE
DIMINISHING THURSDAY NIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-260545-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110527T0900Z/
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY WI TO TWO RIVERS WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS WI TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
432 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS 
  AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. 

* WAVES: WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MPC

027 
WHUS73 KGRB 252147
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
447 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

...NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...

.NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM SLOWLY TRACKS OVER THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION.
THE GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE
DIMINISHING THURSDAY NIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-260600-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110527T0900Z/
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY WI TO TWO RIVERS WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS WI TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
447 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS 
  AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. 

* WAVES: WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

638 
WHUS73 KGRB 260247
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
947 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

...NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASE INTO TONIGHT...

.NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLOWLY
TRACKS OVER THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. THE GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING
THURSDAY NIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-261100-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110527T0900Z/
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY WI TO TWO RIVERS WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS WI TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
947 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
  TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

* WAVES: WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

814 
WHUS73 KGRB 260858
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
358 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...

.GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY BEFORE DIMINISHING
TONIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-261700-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110527T0900Z/
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY WI TO TWO RIVERS WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS WI TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
358 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WIND 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS
  TODAY INTO THIS EVENING THEN DIMINISHING LATE TONIGHT.

* WAVES: WAVES 4 TO 7 FEET TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

170 
WHUS73 KGRB 261500
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1000 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...

.GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
DIMINISHING TONIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-262300-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110527T0900Z/
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY WI TO TWO RIVERS WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS WI TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
1000 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WIND 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS THIS
  AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING LATE TONIGHT.

* WAVES: WAVES 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR WAVES
GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

072 
WHUS73 KGRB 262028
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
328 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...

.A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES
THIS EVENING. WINDS AND WAVES WILL DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT AS THIS
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.

LMZ521-522-541>543-270430-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110527T0900Z/
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY WI TO TWO RIVERS WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS WI TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
328 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY. 

* NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 30 KTS THIS
  EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING LATE TONIGHT.

* WAVES: WAVES 3 TO 6 FEET THIS EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING LATE
  TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
BERSCH

382 
WHUS73 KGRB 270217
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
917 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES SUBSIDING TONIGHT...

.THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
WILL CONTINUE WEAKEN TONIGHT...ALLOWING WINDS AND WAVES TO
CONTINUE DIMINISHING LATE TONIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541-270330-
/O.CAN.KGRB.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110527T0900Z/
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE
STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
917 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS. 

$$

LMZ542-543-270900-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110527T0900Z/
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY WI TO TWO RIVERS WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS WI TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
917 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY. 

* NORTHEAST WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET LATE THIS EVENING...DIMINISHING TO 2 TO 4 FT
  LATE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
BERSCH

880 
WHUS73 KGRB 270822
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
322 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...WINDS DECREASING EARLY THIS MORNING...

.A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM DRIFTING OVER THE REGION THIS MORNING 
WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH WINDS. 

LMZ542-543-270930-
/O.CAN.KGRB.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110527T0900Z/
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY WI TO TWO RIVERS WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS WI TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
322 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
305 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

.SHORT TERM...TODAY/TONIGHT/THURSDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
CHURNING OVER THE MIDWEST TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD RAIN NORTHWARD INTO THE STATE TODAY. AT 2 AM...THE LEADING
EDGE OF THE INITIAL BAND OF RAIN WAS ALREADY WORKING INTO PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. QUESTION IS HOW FAR NORTH THE
RAIN WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD AS IT ENCOUNTERS A DRIER FEED OF AIR
FROM A COOL DRY CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. MODEL DEFORMATION
REGION EXTENDS ROUGHLY FROM PBH TO AROUND CRIVITZ SO WILL DRAW A
LINE IN THE SAND ALONG THIS LINE FOR THE NORTHERN EXTENT AND THEN
TIER POPS SOUTHWARD AS NEEDED. WILL ALSO CONTINUE A SMALL TSRA
THREAT OVER THE FAR SOUTH DUE TO SMALL POTENTIAL OF ELEVATED
INSTABILITY FROM THE ISENT LIFT FROM A MORE UNSTABLE AIR MASS
SOURCE TO THE SOUTH.

NORTHERN MOVEMENT OF THE AREA OF RAIN WILL HALT EARLY THIS EVENING
BEFORE MAKING A SLOW RETREAT TO THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.
ALL MODEL RUNS SHIFT THE RAIN EDGE EAST OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

MAX TEMPS TODAY UNDER THE MORE EXTENSIVE RAIN AREA WILL NOT MOVE
MUCH FROM AROUND THE 50 DEGREE MARK EARLY THIS MORNING DUE TO
EVAP COOLING AFFECTS WITH THE INITIALLY DRIER NORTHEAST SURFACE
FLOW. THE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AND
CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY.

FOR TONIGHT MIN TEMPS...CLOUDS, WINDS AND LINGERING PCPN WILL
PREVENT TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH OVER MOST LOCATIONS. THEIR IS A
POTENTIAL FOR THE NORTH TO CLEAR OUT LATER TONIGHT AS THE UPPER
RIDGE BEGIN TO NUDGE INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION...BUT
ANTICIPATE THE NORTHEAST WIND TO BE SUFFICIENT ENOUGH TO PREVENT
TEMPS FROM FREE FALLING.

.LONG TERM...THU NGT THRU NXT TUE. MAIN FCST ISSUE REMAIN
TIMING/EXTENT OF PCPN THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND...AND CONTINUING INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS ACTIVE WEATHER PATN TO PERSIST ACROSS THE WRN
GREAT LKS. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO ABV NORMAL VALUES EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS WARMER AIR SURGES INTO THE REGION.

RDG OF HI PRES TO EXTEND FROM JAMES BAY SWWD INTO THE WRN GREAT
LKS RGN THU NGT...BRINGING COOL/DRY AIR INTO NE WI ON N-NE WINDS.
DEW PTS RESIDING IN THE 20S TO MID 30S...COMBINED WITH DECOUPLING
SFC WINDS AND MOSTLY CLR SKIES...WL BRING A CHILLY NGT TO THE
AREA. MIN TEMPS COULD EASILY SLIP INTO THE UPR 20S OVER THE
TYPICALLY COLD SPOTS OF NRN WI WHILE 30S WL BE COMMONPLACE FOR
LOCATIONS AWAY FROM THE BAY AND LK MI. HAVE MENTIONED THE FROST/
FREEZE POTENTIAL IN THE HWO WITH HEADLINES EVENTUALLY NEEDED AS WE
GET CLOSER TO THE EVENT.

A SHRTWV TROF IS FCST TO SWING E-NE THRU THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS ON
FRI ACCOMPANIED BY SOME WAA AND LIFT FROM THE LEFT EXIT RGN OF THE
UPR JET. EXPECT TO SEE SOME SHWRS/TSTMS BREAK OUT OVER THE UPR MS
VALLEY AND MAKE A PUSH TOWARD WRN WI BY 00Z SAT. FOR NE WI...WE
SHOULD SEE AFTERNOON VANGUARD MID/HI CLDS ON THE INCREASE ESP OVER
CNTRL WI. PREVAILING E-SE WINDS WL AGAIN KEEP LKSHR AREAS COOLER
(IN THE 50S) COMPARED TO WELL INLAND LOCATIONS (IN THE LWR 60S).

THIS SHRTWV TROF TO THEN LIFT NE THRU WI FRI NGT PROVIDING
FAVORABLE FORCING AND LIFT TO GENERATE SHWRS/FEW TSTMS ACROSS THE
FCST AREA. MDLS ALSO SHOW A FNTL BNDRY STRETCHING FROM A SFC LOW
IN ND SEWD INTO THE WRN GREAT LKS. THIS BNDRY WL ACT AS A FOCUS
FOR PCPN DEVELOPMENT. HAVE KEPT POPS IN THE CHC CATEGORY FOR NOW
SINCE LOCATION OF BEST QPF AMTS ARE STILL DEBATABLE AMONG THE
MDLS. NEEDLESS TO SAY...MIN TEMPS TO BE MORE MILD FRI NGT WITH
THICKENING CLDS AND PCPN IN THE VICINITY. TOUCH CALL FOR PCP
TIMING HEADED INTO SAT AS THE SHRTWV TROF DEPARTS INTO SRN ONTARIO
AND A SFC WRMFNT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH INTO THE MIDWEST. IT IS
CONCEIVABLE FOR ANY SHWRS TO END SAT MORNING (SHRTWV TROF
DEPARTURE) AND THEN NOT RETURN TIL LATE SAT AFTERNOON AS ISEN LIFT
INCREASE NORTH OF THE WRMFNT. HAVE TRIED TO INCORPORATE THIS
THINKING INTO THE FCST WITH SLIGHT HIGHER POS NORTH SAT MORNING...
THEN SLIGHTLY HIGHER POPS CNTRL/E-CNTRL WI SAT AFTERNOON.

AN INCREASING S-SW LOW-LVL JET (UP TO 50-60 MPH) WL QUICKLY BRING
GULF MSTR NWD...AS WELL AS LIFT THE WRMFNT QUICKLY NORTH INTO
CNTRL SECTIONS OF WI. EXPECT ELEVATED CONVECTION TO OVERRUN MOST
OF NE WI SAT NGT...THUS HAVE RAISED POPS A BIT MORE TO COMPENSATE.
MDLS INDICATE A WEAK SFC WAVE MOVING ALONG THIS WRMFNT WL TEND TO
STALL THE NWD PROGRESS OF THE FNT WITH THE ATM TO THE SOUTH BECMG
INCREASINGLY WARM/HUMID/CAPPED. PCPN CHCS FOR SUNDAY TO BE
DETEMINED BY THE LOCATION OF THIS WRMFNT AND SINCE THIS IS IN
DOUBT ATTM...PREFER TO RUN WITH LOW END POP (20S OR 30S).
UNSETTLED WEATHER APRS TO CONT INTO THE START OF THE WORK WEEK AS
A WEST COAST UPR TROF LIFTS NE THRU THE ROCKIES ON MON AND EVENTALLY
REACHES SW ONTARIO BY 00Z WED. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD HELP PULL THE
WRMFNT FARTHER NORTH MON WITH BETTER PCPN CHCS ACROSS NRN WI. THE
PASSAGE OF A CDFNT ON TUE COULD ALSO PRODUCE SOME SHWR/TSTM
ACTIVITY...BUT TIMING HERE IS FAR FROM CERTAIN. IF THIS CDFNT IS
DELAYED IN ANY WAY...MAX TEMPS COULD EASILY SOAR INTO THE 80S.
&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS THEN IFR CIGS WITH MVFR
VSBYS TO DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WISCONSIN
TODAY AND CONTINUE TONIGHT AS RAIN OVERSPREADS THE AREA. MAINLY
VFR CIGS WITH PATCHY MVFR CIGS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER NORTH CENTRAL
WISCONSIN TODAY INTO TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL
INCREASE TODAY AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY.
&&

.MARINE...INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS TODAY WILL BRING HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO
THURSDAY.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

TDH/AK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
941 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-260245-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-LINCOLN-LANGLADE-
MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-
WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-
MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN OCONTO-
941 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER FAR NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

FROST IS AGAIN POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT OVER NORTH CENTRAL
WISCONSIN.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF A STURGEON BAY TO
WAUSAU LINE ON WEDNESDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM TIME TO TIME FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE SEVERITY OF ANY
THUNDERSTORMS AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-260245-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
941 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WEDNESDAY
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM TIME TO TIME FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY.

MPC