Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Goodland, KS

610 
WWUS43 KGLD 142308
WSWGLD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
508 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

...POWERFUL SPRING STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE AREA...

.A STRONG TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE TRI-
STATE REGION THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE
TO TRANSITION TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVENING WITH MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW POSSIBLE.

COZ090>092-150715-
/O.CON.KGLD.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110415T1200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS
508 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

* TIMING/DURATION...RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW TODAY AND WILL 
  CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL 
  DISSIPATE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS 
  STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
  WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER
  GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WHILE THE SNOW IS
  EXPECTED TO BE VERY WET...THE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS OF
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
  AT TIMES THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE NOW OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
FORECAST BEFORE VENTURING OUTSIDE.

&&

$$

KSZ013-027-150715-
/O.EXA.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-110415T1200Z/
SHERMAN-WALLACE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOODLAND...SHARON SPRINGS
508 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
6 AM MDT FRIDAY.

* TIMING/DURATION...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING BEFORE
  TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT.  

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER
  GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WHILE THE SNOW
  IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY WET...THE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS
  OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
  POSSIBLE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

KSZ002>004-NEZ080-081-150715-
/O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0009.110415T0000Z-110415T1200Z/
RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...TRENTON...
MCCOOK
608 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
FRIDAY...

* TIMING/DURATION...RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW TODAY AND WILL 
  CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL 
  DISSIPATE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS 
  STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 
  INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER
  GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WHILE THE SNOW
  IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY WET...THE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS
  OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
  POSSIBLE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

KSZ001-NEZ079-150715-
/O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-110415T1200Z/
CHEYENNE KS-DUNDY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. FRANCIS...BENKELMAN
508 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011 /608 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT /7 AM
CDT/ FRIDAY...

* TIMING/DURATION...RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW TODAY AND WILL 
  CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL 
  DISSIPATE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS 
  STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER
  GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WHILE THE SNOW
  IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY WET...THE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS
  OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
  POSSIBLE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

328 
WWUS43 KGLD 150147
WSWGLD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
747 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

...POWERFUL SPRING STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE AREA...

.A STRONG TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE TRI-
STATE REGION THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL
CONTINUE TO TRANSITION TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
REGION THIS EVENING WITH MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW POSSIBLE.

COZ090>092-150600-
/O.CAN.KGLD.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110415T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KGLD.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110415T0600Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS
747 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
  INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER
  GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WHILE THE SNOW
  IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY WET...THE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS
  OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH VISIBILITY FREQUENTLY FALLING
  TO LESS THAN ONE MILE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

KSZ002-NEZ080-150600-
/O.UPG.KGLD.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110415T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.BZ.W.0001.110415T0147Z-110415T0600Z/
RAWLINS-HITCHCOCK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWOOD...TRENTON
847 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT FRIDAY. THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5  
INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS IN
  EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL CAUSE VISIBILITY TO FALL TO ONE-QUARTER
  MILE OR LESS. NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS THE
  REGION AND ROAD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE THROUGH
  THE LATE EVENING HOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS STRONG WINDS AND FALLING OR BLOWING SNOW
WILL PRODUCE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES...WITH TRAVEL BECOMING
DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE. MONITOR LOCAL FORECASTS BEFORE DECIDING
TO VENTURE OUTSIDE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL AND YOU BECOME STRANDED...
STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES.

&&

$$

KSZ001-013-NEZ079-150600-
/O.UPG.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-110415T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.BZ.W.0001.110415T0147Z-110415T0600Z/
CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN-DUNDY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. FRANCIS...GOODLAND...BENKELMAN
747 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011 /847 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011/

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT /1 AM CDT/
TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT /1 AM CDT/
TONIGHT. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2
  INCHES IS POSSIBLE BEFORE SNOW DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER
  GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. VISIBILITY WILL
  FREQUENTLY FALL TO LESS THAN ONE-QUARTER MILE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS STRONG WINDS AND FALLING OR BLOWING SNOW
WILL PRODUCE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES...WITH TRAVEL BECOMING
DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE. MONITOR LOCAL FORECASTS BEFORE DECIDING
TO VENTURE OUTSIDE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL AND YOU BECOME STRANDED...
STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES.

&&

$$

KSZ014-150600-
/O.NEW.KGLD.BZ.W.0001.110415T0147Z-110415T0600Z/
THOMAS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...COLBY
847 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT FRIDAY. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS
  POSSIBLE BEFORE SNOW DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS IN
  EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
  VISIBILITY WILL FREQUENTLY FALL TO LESS THAN ONE-QUARTER MILE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS STRONG WINDS AND FALLING OR BLOWING SNOW
WILL PRODUCE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES...WITH TRAVEL BECOMING
DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE. MONITOR LOCAL FORECASTS BEFORE DECIDING
TO VENTURE OUTSIDE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL AND YOU BECOME STRANDED...
STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES.

&&

$$

KSZ028-150600-
/O.EXB.KGLD.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110415T0600Z/
LOGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OAKLEY
847 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1 AM CDT FRIDAY. 

* TIMING/DURATION...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSITION TO SNOW
  THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
  WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS IN
  EXCESS OF 50 MPH GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

KSZ015-016-029-151200-
/O.EXA.KGLD.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110415T1200Z/
SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-GOVE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOXIE...HILL CITY...QUINTER
847 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY. 

* TIMING/DURATION...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSITION TO SNOW
  THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
  WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS IN
  EXCESS OF 50 MPH GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

KSZ027-150600-
/O.EXT.KGLD.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-110415T0600Z/
WALLACE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SHARON SPRINGS
747 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

* TIMING/DURATION...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING BEFORE  TAPERING
  OFF OVERNIGHT.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 
  INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER
  GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

KSZ003-004-NEZ081-151200-
/O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110415T1200Z/
DECATUR-NORTON-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OBERLIN...NORTON...MCCOOK
847 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
FRIDAY...

* TIMING/DURATION...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO MIX WITH AND EVENTUALLY
 CHANGE OVER TO SNOW LATE THIS EVENING. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
  WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER 
  GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WHILE THE 
  SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY WET...THE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE 
  AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD 
  CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1220 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

.UPDATE...
1202 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

HAVE MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HIGHLIGHTS THAT WERE OUT PREVIOUSLY.
THE HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN CONVERTED TO A HIGH WIND WARNING AND
EXTENDED IN TIME BY A COUPLE OF HOURS INTO FRIDAY EVENING. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY START TIME HAS BEEN DELAYED TO 00Z AS IT
HAS BEEN SLOW TO START SNOWING AND ACCUMULATIONS WHERE IT HAS BEEN
SNOWING OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO HAVE BEEN HAMPERED BY WARM SOIL
TEMPERATURES AND TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND FREEZING. EXPECT THE
BEST FORCING OVERNIGHT TO BE OVER SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...SO HAVE
ADJUSTED THE SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IN THE WORDING OF THE WSW. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH LOOKS TO STILL BE ON TRACK FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING AS CONDITIONS DRY OUT AND REMAIN WINDY.

LOCKHART
&&

.DISCUSSION...
306 AM MDT THU APR 14 2011

315Z WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RUC PV ANALYSIS INDICATED STRONG SHORT
WAVE TROUGH RAPIDLY MOVING ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA. 00Z DNR
SOUNDINGS INDICATED ATMOSPHERE ALREADY BEGINNING TO SATURATE WITH
SOME WEAK INSTABILITY ALSO NOTED. WHILE BOTH DNR AND LBF ARE WELL
ABOVE FREEZING...WET BULB PROFILES SUGGEST RAPID COOLING IS
POSSIBLE ONCE PRECIPITATION STARTS...ALTHOUGH NOT QUITE ENOUGH
COOLING FOR A PHASE CHANGE BASED ON THE OBSERVED SOUNDINGS.

STRONG...RAPIDLY DEEPENING SYSTEM AND VARIETY OF ISSUES CAUSED BY IT
WILL BE PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERNS FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD.

TODAY-FRIDAY...MODELS HAVE SEEMINGLY COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH
OVERALL HANDING OF THIS SYSTEM...WITH LOW RAPIDLY DEVELOPING AND
OCCLUDING NEAR THE EASTERN CWA TODAY BEFORE GRADUALLY LIFTING OUT OF
THE AREA ON FRIDAY. THE BIGGEST CONCERNS FOR THE PERIOD WILL BE
POTENTIAL FOR PROLONGED VERY STRONG WINDS AND POTENTIAL FOR
ACCUMULATING AND BLOWING SNOW THROUGH THE NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY FIRE
WX POTENTIAL AS SYSTEM DEPARTS FRIDAY.

LOOKS LIKE THERE IS INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR SOME SIG AMOUNTS OF
PRECIPITATION AS LOW MOVES ONTO THE HIGH PLAINS AND BEGINS TO DEEPEN
OVER/NEAR THE AREA. PRECIPITABLE WATERS INCREASE TO 0.5-0.8 INCHES
WITH BOTH 300 AND 305K SFCS INDICATING SYSTEM TAPS INTO DECENT
MOISTURE WITH TROWAL APPARENTLY DEVELOPING BY 00Z WITH MIXING RATIOS
BTWN 5-6 G/KG ACROSS NORTHERN CWA. WITH STATIC STABILITY ALSO
LOOKING TO BE ON THE LOW SIDE...DO NOT SEE A LOT OF REASON WHY THERE
WILL NOT BE AT LEAST A FEW PERIODS OF INTENSE PRECIPITATION RATES.
QUESTION WILL BE IF THERE ARE ANY AREAS WHERE PRECIPITATION WILL
BECOME FOCUSED. MODELS STILL CONTINUING TO SUGGEST A PERSISTENT AREA
OF FRONTOGENESIS ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF LOW. WITH
INSTABILITY/WAA/MIXING RATIOS MAXIMIZED TO THE EAST OF THIS AREA
THINK THAT THIS LOCATION WILL LIKELY BE AREA OF GREATEST PRECIP
RATES...AND ALSO MARK AREA WHERE PRECIP AMOUNTS AND CHANCES BEGIN TO
DECREASE RAPIDLY ON ITS WEST SIDE WHERE DOWNGLIDE/CAA BECOME STRONG.
THIS AXIS GENERALLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST THROUGH THE NIGHT AND BECOMES
LESS DEFINED AFTER 06Z AS LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT BEGINS TO
WANE.

PRECIP TYPE WILL BE NEXT QUESTION AND THERE ARE SOME CONCERNS ABOUT
PRECIPITATION TYPES CHANGING A BIT SOONER THAN EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY
WITH TDS CURRENTLY ONLY HOVERING AROUND 32...SUGGESTING MORE
POTENTIAL FOR WET BULB COOLING. THUNDERSTORMS ALSO NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION DURING THE DAY EITHER...SPECIFICALLY IN VICINITY OF SFC
LOW. TREND IN SREF AT LEAST IS TO SPEED UP PRECIP CHANGE OVER ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA...AND BASED ON AFOREMENTIONED REASONS THIS APPEARS
REASONABLE. WITH A QUICKER CHANGE OVER MENTIONED AND PLENTY OF
INSTABILITY AM BECOMING INCREASINGLY CONCERNED ABOUT POTENTIAL FOR
MORE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...PARTICULARLY IN THE YUMA/DUNDY/CHEYENNE
KS AREA WHERE PERSISTENT AND DEEP FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING WILL BE IN
PLACE. HAVE INCREASED AMOUNTS INTO THE 3-6 RANGE IN THIS AREA. WITH
ACCUMULATING SNOW NOW MORE LIKELY...THINK SOME KIND OF WINTER
HIGHLIGHT IS NEEDED. STRONGLY CONSIDERED A BLIZZARD WATCH FOR THE
NORTH...BUT WITH PRECIP STARTING TO ACCUMULATE TODAY AND OVERALL
UNCERTAINTY WITH AMOUNTS AND WHETHER THE WINDS WILL BE THE STRONGEST
DECIDED TO START EVENT WITH A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...AS
NOT QUITE AT THE CONFIDENCE LEVEL NEEDED TO JUSTIFY A WARNING.

CONFIDENCE NOT AS HIGH AS YESTERDAY IN SEEING WARNING CRITERIA THIS
AFTERNOON AS STRONG H7 JET AND RAPID DEEPENING OF THE SFC LOW LOOKS
TO BE DELAYED UNTIL 00Z. WHILE THINK THE WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY
AFTER 21Z...AND THERE IS A DECENT CHANCE THERE WILL BE WARNING
CRITERIA OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE SFC LOW...THINK THAT BEST
CHANCE FOR WARNING CRITERIA WILL REMAIN ON FRIDAY AND NOT READY FOR
A THIRD PERIOD WARNING WHEN POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS
OF IT TO BE BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. WHILE THINK THERE WILL BE PERIOD
OF ADVISORY TYPE WINDS BEFORE 00Z...HAVE DECIDED TO HANDLE IT IN THE
FORECAST AND NOT ISSUE A SHORT WIND ADVISORY FOR THE FIRST PERIOD TO
SIMPLIFY PRODUCTS. AS MENTIONED EARLIER...STILL LOOKS VERY WINDY ON
FRIDAY AND WHILE CURRENT HUMIDITY FORECASTS MAY MAKE RFW CONDITIONS
DIFFICULT...THINK HOLDING ONTO FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS APPROPRIATE AT
THIS TIME DUE TO UNCERTAINTY.

FRIDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY...MUCH QUIETER WEATHER EXPECTED AS STRONG
SUBSIDENCE BUILDS BEHIND THE DEPARTING TROUGH BRINGING AN END TO
PRECIP CHANCES THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. STRONG RIDGING ALOFT DOES
NOT SEEM TO BUILD IN THROUGH THE PERIOD HOWEVER...AND WITH RATHER
FLAT FLOW ALOFT ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY AND HAVE INCLUDED SOME LOW POPS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.
OTHERWISE EXPECT TO SEE TEMPS REBOUND FAIRLY QUICKLY FROM THE
THURSDAY SYSTEM GIVEN THE INCREASING SOLAR ANGLES AND DO NOT EXPECT
SNOW COVER TO BE MUCH OF A FACTOR.

JRM
&&

.AVIATION...
1115 AM MDT THU APR 14 2011

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...COMPLEX SCENARIO ACROSS THE REGION AS A STRONG STORM
SYSTEM IMPACTS THE REGION WITH THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
PARTS OF AREA WHILE WESTERN AREAS EXPERIENCING SNOW. IN THE SHORT TERM...KGLD
MAY SEE A BRIEF LULL IN PRECIP AS DRIER AIR PUNCHES IN TEMPORARILY FROM
THE SOUTHEAST WHILE STORMS CURRENTLY TO THE SOUTH OF KMCK SHOULD BE
IN THE AREA AT THE TOP OF THE VALID PERIOD. IN GENERAL...RAIN WILL TRANSITION
TO SNOW DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS AS COLDER AIR AT ALL LEVELS FILTERS
INTO THE AREA. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY
AS A SFC LOW DEEPENS TO THE EAST. PRECIP SHOULD BEGIN TO WIND DOWN DURING
THE MORNING HOURS WITH KGLD SCATTERING TO VFR LATE IN THE PERIOD. WINDS
HOWEVER WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND DURING THE MORNING HOURS
GENERALLY BECOMING AROUND 40G50KTS.

50
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
335 AM MDT THU APR 14 2011

INITIALLY PLANNED TO LEAVE FIRE WX WATCH AS IS DUE TO THE VERY
STRONG WINDS ON FRIDAY. HOWEVER WITH SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION
POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF YUMA COUNTY TODAY...NO LONGER THINK FUELS
OR HUMIDITIES WILL BE DRY ENOUGH TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND HAVE REMOVED THEM FROM THE WATCH.

JRM
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
     MDT /9 PM CDT/ FRIDAY FOR KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-
     042.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CDT
     FRIDAY FOR KSZ001>003.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
     FOR KSZ013-027-028-041-042.

NE...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
     MDT /9 PM CDT/ FRIDAY FOR NEZ079>081.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO
     6 AM MDT /7 AM CDT/ FRIDAY FOR NEZ079>081.

CO...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
     COZ090>092.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM MDT
     FRIDAY FOR COZ090.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
     FOR COZ253-254.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
444 AM MDT THU APR 14 2011

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-151345-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
444 AM MDT THU APR 14 2011 /544 AM CDT THU APR 14 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY. WHILE
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...THERE IS A SMALL
THREAT FOR A BRIEF TORNADO ACROSS EASTERN NORTON AND GRAHAM
COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON.

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE GREATEST NEAR THE NEBRASKA...COLORADO AND
KANSAS BORDER WHERE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL INTENSIFY TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50
MPH THIS EVENING. WHILE THE WET NATURE OF THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
LIMIT THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD WHITE OUT CONDITIONS...SIGNIFICANT
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 60
MPH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THESE STRONG
WINDS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS SOUTHWEST OF A GOODLAND TO RUSSEL SPRINGS LINE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS NORTON AND GRAHAM
COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. ANY REPORTS OF ACCUMULATING SNOW OR
STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE APPRECIATED.

JRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1214 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

NEZ080-081-141900-
HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
114 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HITCHCOCK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND RED
WILLOW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

AT 113 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MCCOOK...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 25 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

&&

LAT...LON 4020 10043 4007 10060 4034 10102 4035 10102
      4034 10060
TIME...MOT...LOC 1815Z 134DEG 20KT 4020 10060

STASSER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1223 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1216 PM     HAIL             MCCOOK                  40.20N 100.62W
04/14/2011  E0.75 INCH       RED WILLOW         NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

FS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1224 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1222 PM     HAIL             1 N MCCOOK              40.22N 100.62W
04/14/2011  E0.75 INCH       RED WILLOW         NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

FS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1251 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1247 PM     HAIL             OBERLIN                 39.82N 100.53W
04/14/2011  E0.50 INCH       DECATUR            KS   PUBLIC

&&

FSTASSER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1253 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1223 PM     HAIL             MCCOOK                  40.20N 100.62W
04/14/2011  E0.50 INCH       RED WILLOW         NE   PUBLIC

&&

FSTASSER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1254 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1249 PM     HAIL             OBERLIN                 39.82N 100.53W
04/14/2011  E0.25 INCH       DECATUR            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

FSTASSER