Special Weather Statement, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
543 PM MDT SUN AUG 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
231 PM MDT SUN AUG 14 2011

WITH A CONVERGENT AREA IN THE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM SOUTHEAST WYOMING TO THE PANHANDLE REGION AND THE
UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH TOPPING THE UPPER RIDGE IN PLACE OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS...EXPECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING.

THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MAINLY THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE MONDAY AS THE RIDGE
REAMPLIFIES. BY LATE TUESDAY...THE RIDGE FLATTENS WITH ANOTHER
SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS...CREATING
ANOTHER POSSIBILITY FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

WITH A MORE ZONAL PATTERN OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE UNITED STATES
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...EXPECT SOMEWHAT COOLER...NEAR
NORMAL...TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE AGAIN BY LATE IN THE
WEEK AS ANOTHER RIDGE AMPLIFIES OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES AND
MOVES EAST OVER THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION BY NEXT
WEEKEND. DRY CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED AS THE RIDGE AMPLIFIES
AND MOVES OVER THE REGION.

LOCKHART
&&

.AVIATION...
543 PM MDT SUN AUG 14 2011

FOR THE 00Z TAFS...SHORTWAVE COMING THROUGH THE REGION IS FIRING
THUNDERSTORMS NEARBY BUT DUE TO SLOW STORM MOVEMENT IT BE A FEW
HOURS BEFORE STORMS MAKE IT TO KGLD AND KMCK. SOME LARGE HAIL WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH A FEW STORMS THIS EVENING. SOME MVFR CONDITIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS OVERHEAD OTHERWISE VFR EXPECTED THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD.

FS
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1045 AM MDT SUN AUG 14 2011

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-151645-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1045 AM MDT SUN AUG 14 2011 /1145 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON AND
SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREATS. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 70. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT
THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD.
HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

050

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
718 PM MDT SUN AUG 14 2011

NEZ079-080-150130-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-
818 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DUNDY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND HITCHCOCK
COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

AT 816 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THUNDERSTORMS WERE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING NEAR STRATTON NE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 4026 10091 4005 10128 4022 10150 4036 10133
      4035 10102
TIME...MOT...LOC 0118Z 237DEG 17KT 4021 10128

JLUNDQUI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
820 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2011

COZ090-NEZ079-150130-
DUNDY-YUMA COUNTY-
720 PM MDT SUN AUG 14 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR YUMA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO AND DUNDY
COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

AT 716 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THUNDERSTORMS WERE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING NEAR WRAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 4030 10204 4013 10190 3998 10222 4014 10235
TIME...MOT...LOC 0120Z 237DEG 17KT 4013 10215

JLUNDQUI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
721 PM MDT SUN AUG 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0716 PM     HAIL             12 NW ST. FRANCIS       39.89N 101.96W
08/14/2011  M0.88 INCH       CHEYENNE           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MLAMMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
730 PM MDT SUN AUG 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     HAIL             5 N ST. FRANCIS         39.84N 101.80W
08/14/2011  E2.00 INCH       CHEYENNE           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PUBLIC REPORT WAS RELAYED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.

&&

MLAMMERS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
737 PM MDT SUN AUG 14 2011

NEZ080-150145-
HITCHCOCK-
837 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HITCHCOCK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

AT 834 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR TRENTON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 4017 10076 4006 10076 4007 10117 4030 10117
      4030 10076
TIME...MOT...LOC 0137Z 270DEG 29KT 4019 10104

JLUNDQUI

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