Special Weather Statement, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
314 PM MDT MON AUG 8 2011

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-WEDNESDAY)...
312 PM MDT MON AUG 8 2011

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE HIGH
PLAINS.  CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CUMULUS CLOUDS DEVELOPING
ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE OVER
NORTHERN COLORADO AND WYOMING.  A FEW STORMS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO
DEVELOP AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH.

TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CWA
DURING THE EVENING HOURS.  THE STORMS WILL BE MORE LIKELY EAST OF
THE COLORADO BORDER DUE TO SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND MORE CAPE AND MID
LEVEL MOISTURE IN THAT AREA.  AS DAY TIME HEATING AND THE SURFACE
CONVERGENCE SUBSIDE...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE.
OVERNIGHT SOME AREAS MAY SEE PATCHY FOG THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING AS
WINDS TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST.

TUESDAY A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE THROUGH THE CWA DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON.  A 700MB SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AS IT
MOVES THROUGH...HELPING TO ENHANCE THE LIFTING ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONT.  DURING THE AFTERNOON THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME
UNSTABLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT...CREATING AN ENVIRONMENT CAPABLE OF
SUPPORTING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  WITH SLOW STORM MOTIONS AND
PLENTIFUL MOISTURE...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES
THROUGH.  DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT THE LOW LEVEL JET
DEVELOPS...WHICH WILL HELP FUEL THE THUNDERSTORMS.  AS THE NIGHT
PROGRESSES THE 700MB SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND STRONGER 850 WINDS SHIFT
EASTWARD.  MODELS ALSO SHOW STRONG 700MB TO 500MB FRONTOGENESIS IN
THAT AREA OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AM THINKING THE
RAINFALL WILL BEGIN TO END OVER THE FAR WESTERN CWA OVERNIGHT AS THE
700MB SHORT WAVE TROUGH SHIFTS EAST.  WITH THE PROLONGED RAINFALL
OVER THE FAR EASTERN CWA...FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN SOME AREAS.  WILL
HOLD OFF ON ISSUING A WATCH FOR NOW AS THERE HAS NOT BEEN A LOT OF
RAINFALL OVER THOSE AREAS FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS.

WEDNESDAY RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...COMING TO AN
END BY THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE
SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES EAST.  KEPT IN THE SLIGHT CHANCES IN THE
WESTERN CWA AS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON...AS A 700MB SHORT WAVE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER EASTERN
COLORADO.  KEPT IN ISOLATED CHANCES FOR THE EVENING FOR ANY
LINGERING CONVECTION THAT MOVES EAST DURING THAT TIME.

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY-MONDAY)...
312 PM MDT MON AUG 8 2011

WESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL START OUT THE LONG TERM...AS THE UPPER
LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN CONUS.  HAVE CHANCES
FOR RAINFALL EVERY DAY AS A MINOR DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER ALL OR
PART OF THE CWA ALMOST EVERY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  FRIDAY A SHORT
WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW NORTH OF THE
CWA.  THIS WILL BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE CWA...BRINGING WITH
IT THE BEST CHANCES FOR WIDE SPREAD RAINFALL DURING THE PERIOD.
CURRENTLY THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO STALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST BORDER
OF THE CWA FRIDAY EVENING...BEFORE CONTINUING SOUTH SATURDAY.
DURING THE WEEKEND THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE GREAT
BASIN...CAUSING THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW TO BECOME NORTHWEST.  MONDAY
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN...BRINGING THE UPPER LEVEL
FLOW OVER THE CWA ONCE AGAIN.

JTL
&&

.AVIATION...
1118 AM MDT MON AUG 8 2011

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...WINDS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO SHIFT TO NORTHERLY BUT
ARE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO NORTHERLY...THEN NORTHEASTERLY...AS A
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENS TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION.
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
BETTER CHANCES NEAR KMCK THAN KGLD. WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT...AND HIGH SOIL MOISTURE GIVEN RECENT
RAINFALL...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR FOG DURING THE MORNING HOURS.
CONSIDERING MODEL GUIDANCE AND SOUNDINGS...HAVE BROUGHT BOTH
TERMINALS DOWN TO MVFR DURING THE MORNING...BUT FOG SHOULD BE FAIRLY
SHALLOW. ANY FOG WILL DISSIPATE AS MIXING INCREASES AFTER SUNRISE.

CJS
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1026 AM MDT MON AUG 8 2011

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-091200-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1026 AM MDT MON AUG 8 2011 /1126 AM CDT MON AUG 8 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH LARGE
HAIL....DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEK...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS NEARLY EVERY DAY. A
FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
648 PM MDT MON AUG 8 2011

KSZ029-090115-
GOVE-
748 PM CDT MON AUG 8 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GOVE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

AT 745 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GOVE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
35 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3888 10071 3899 10053 3870 10023 3869 10024
      3870 10056
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 324DEG 29KT 3886 10055

THEDE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
650 PM MDT MON AUG 08 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             8 NNW STRATTON NE       40.26N 101.29W
08/08/2011  E2.00 INCH       HITCHCOCK          NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MBULLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
654 PM MDT MON AUG 08 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N BIRD CITY           39.79N 101.53W
08/08/2011                   CHEYENNE           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALONG HWY 161 A COUPLE OF TREES UPROOTED. ONE OF THOSE
            TREES WAS 40 FEET TALL AND 1.5 FT IN DIAMETER. OTHER
            TREES HAD 10 INCH DIAMETER LIMBS TORN OFF THE TOP. METAL
            ROOF OF BUILDING WAS ALSO TORN OFF.

&&

MBULLER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
701 PM MDT MON AUG 8 2011

KSZ003-004-NEZ081-090200-
DECATUR-NORTON-RED WILLOW-
801 PM CDT MON AUG 8 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...DECATUR
COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS AND RED WILLOW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...

AT 800 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CAMBRIDGE TO
MCCOOK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3986 10017 4020 10076 4031 10019 4001 10018
      4001 9963 3993 9962
TIME...MOT...LOC 0101Z 307DEG 24KT 4025 10015 4019 10061

THEDE

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>