Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 214, NWS Goodland, KS
NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 15, 2011, 8:58 PM CDT for Rawlins County, Kansas; Dundy County, Hitchcock County, Nebraska. It was in force for 35 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 15, 2011, 8:58 PM CDT (01:58 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 15, 2011, 9:33 PM CDT
- In force
- 35 min
- Issued by
- NWS Goodland, KS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.25 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Rawlins County, KS, Dundy County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE
The radar
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 9:20 PM CDT | HAIL 1 | 10 N Beardsley, KS |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 22 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2293 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -66 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1584 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -40 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 63 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
939 WUUS53 KGLD 160158 SVRGLD KSC153-NEC057-087-160300- /O.NEW.KGLD.SV.W.0214.110716T0158Z-110716T0300Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 858 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN RAWLINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN DUNDY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA... WESTERN HITCHCOCK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 1000 PM CDT/900 PM MDT/ * AT 851 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL... AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BEARDSLEY...AND MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... STRATTON NE. THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 34 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 41 AND 57. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND. && LAT...LON 4029 10141 4029 10106 3981 10115 3982 10133 TIME...MOT...LOC 0158Z 180DEG 17KT 3988 10124 WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.25IN $$ THEDE
2 follow-up statements
478 WWUS53 KGLD 160218 SVSGLD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 818 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011 KSC153-NEC057-087-160300- /O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-110716T0300Z/ RAWLINS KS-DUNDY NE-HITCHCOCK NE- 918 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2011 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN HITCHCOCK...SOUTHEASTERN DUNDY AND NORTH CENTRAL RAWLINS COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT/900 PM MDT/... AT 912 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTH OF BEARDSLEY...AND WAS MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... STRATTON NE. THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 34 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 41 AND 57. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. && LAT...LON 4029 10141 4029 10106 3992 10113 3994 10135 TIME...MOT...LOC 0218Z 176DEG 16KT 3998 10123 WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.25IN $$ THEDE
650 WWUS53 KGLD 160233 SVSGLD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 833 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011 KSC153-NEC057-087-160243- /O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-110716T0300Z/ RAWLINS KS-DUNDY NE-HITCHCOCK NE- 933 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2011 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN HITCHCOCK... SOUTHEASTERN DUNDY AND NORTH CENTRAL RAWLINS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. LAT...LON 4029 10141 4029 10106 3992 10113 3994 10135 TIME...MOT...LOC 0233Z 176DEG 16KT 4005 10124 $$ THEDE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 15, 6:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 6:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
530 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011
.SHORT TERM... (TONIGHT - MONDAY)
200 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011
AT 19Z VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWING CU FIELD DEVELOPING ACROSS
SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE CAP HAS BEEN BROKEN WITH
INTENSE SURFACE HEATING. SINCE THE FORECAST AREA IS STILL ON THE
NORTHWEST PERIMETER OF THE LARGE ANTICYCLONE CENTERED NEAR
TULSA...CANT DISCOUNT A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH RIDING THE RIDGE OUT
OF COLORADO AIDING IN SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT. THERE IS ALSO A WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH/CONVERGENCE LINE FROM MCCOOK TO CHEYENNE WELLS...WITH
ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS ACTUALLY KEEPING TEMPERATURES A BIT
COOLER IN THOSE AREAS. DESPITE VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TIER OF THE FORECAST AREA...PROXIMITY TO THE RIDGE IS
RESULTING IN -20C HEIGHTS NEAR 40KFT. WITHOUT STRONGER FORCING IT
WILL BE TOUGH TO GENERATE LARGE HAIL IN THAT ENVIRONMENT.
NONETHELESS...CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED STRONGER STORM THIS
EVENING WITH GUSTY WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME SMALL HAIL. SIMILAR TO
LAST NIGHT...30-40KT LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS AFTER 06Z WITH
ACCOMPANYING WAA/LIFT...SO A FEW ISOLATED STORMS WILL PROBABLY
LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
DURING THE PERIOD SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER
RIDGE WILL SLIDE WEST AND BE CENTERED NEAR THE FORECAST AREA. WARM
TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND SUBSIDENCE NEAR THE RIDGE WILL SUPPRESS MOST
IF NOT ALL AFTERNOON CONVECTION AND SO HAVE LEFT THOSE DAYS DRY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 100-105 RANGE EACH DAY WITH HIGHEST
TEMPERATURES IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES. HEAT WATCH LOOKS APPROPRIATE
SO NO CHANGES MADE TO THOSE HEADLINES ATTM.
.LONG TERM... (TUESDAY - FRIDAY)
200 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011
UPPER RIDGE WILL BE IN CONTROL TO START THE PERIOD WITH CONTINUED
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...THE RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT
EAST WITH TIME WHICH WILL REINTRODUCE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO THE
FORECAST. AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BE OVER MISSOURI
WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE ROCKIES. THAT PATTERN FAVORS
AFTERNOON CONVECTION DEVELOPING NEAR THE FRONT RANGE AND THEN MOVING
INTO THE PLAINS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL
ALSO SLOWLY MODERATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THOUGH STILL ABOVE
NORMAL.
024
&&
.AVIATION...
517 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011
FOR THE 00Z TAF...KGLD SHOULD REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE EFFECTIVE
PERIOD. HAVE A FEW CB SCATTERED AROUND BUT SO FAR...APPEARS
CONVECTION WILL NOT IMPACT THE TERMINAL OR VICINITY. WILL MONITOR
TRENDS AND AMEND IF NEEDED. WINDS AT KGLD REMAIN VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT BEFORE BECOMING ESTABLISHED FROM THE SOUTH DURING THE
DAY SATURDAY. FOR KMCK...CURRENT RADAR TRENDS/SHORT RANGE
GUIDANCE WOULD KEEP VAST MAJORITY OF CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF THE TERMINAL. SIMILAR TO KGLD...WILL JUST CARRY CB MENTION. A
BIT MORE COMPLEX FORECAST OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. A FEW
PIECES OF GUIDANCE WOULD SUPPORT FORMATION OF IFR STRATUS BETWEEN
ROUGHLY 10 AND 13Z. HAVE OPTED TO INSERT SCT007 TEMPO GROUP AND WILL
REASSESS THIS POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT TAF ISSUANCE.
FOLTZ
&&
.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR KSZ003-004-015-016.
NE...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR NEZ080-081.
CO...NONE.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 11:54 AM CDT, 9 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 1054 AM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-161645- YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON- SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA- DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW- 1054 AM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011 /1154 AM CDT FRI JUL 15 2011/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE DURING THE EVENING. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOT TEMPERATURES WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN EXCESS OF 100 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED...WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES APPROACHING 105. AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IS IN EFFECT SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...EAST OF A TRENTON TO HOXIE LINE. HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL ALSO INCREASE THE FIRE DANGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TRI STATE AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THOSE WITH OUTDOOR BURNING PLANS THIS WEEKEND SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 15, 6:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
530 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0515 PM HAIL 8 N GRAINFIELD 39.23N 100.48W
07/15/2011 E0.88 INCH SHERIDAN KS PUBLIC
&&
PMURRAYSpecial weather statement, Jul 15, 6:47 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 547 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011 KSZ014-160015- THOMAS- 647 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2011 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THOMAS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS... AT 642 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR COLBY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. && LAT...LON 3928 10092 3937 10112 3957 10100 3956 10071 TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 210DEG 16KT 3940 10096 THEDE
Special weather statement, Jul 15, 6:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 551 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011 KSZ003-004-015-016-160015- DECATUR-GRAHAM-NORTON-SHERIDAN- 651 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2011 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SHERIDAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...NORTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...DECATUR COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS AND GRAHAM COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS... AT 646 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF TASCO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. && LAT...LON 3975 10021 3958 9991 3929 10018 3939 10055 TIME...MOT...LOC 2352Z 214DEG 17KT 3944 10021 THEDE
Special weather statement, Jul 15, 7:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
620 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011
KSZ013-160045-
SHERMAN-
620 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SHERMAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...
AT 614 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTH OF RULETON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH.
WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.
&&
LAT...LON 3954 10181 3942 10157 3913 10180 3913 10203
3913 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0020Z 212DEG 19KT 3926 10187
THEDESpecial weather statement, Jul 15, 7:49 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
649 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011
KSZ002-014-160115-
RAWLINS-THOMAS-
749 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2011
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THOMAS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS AND RAWLINS
COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...
AT 741 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF LEVANT...MOVING NORTHWEST
AT 10 MPH.
PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM. RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR CAN ALSO BE
EXPECTED.
BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.
&&
LAT...LON 3955 10112 3947 10125 3961 10142 3975 10141
3977 10137
TIME...MOT...LOC 0049Z 143DEG 11KT 3957 10130
THEDELocal storm report, Jul 15, 8:25 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
725 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0720 PM HAIL 10 S BEARDSLEY 39.66N 101.24W
07/15/2011 E1.25 INCH RAWLINS KS PUBLIC
&&
PMURRAYThe office that day
Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 7:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Rawlins, Thomas | 60 min |
| Jul 15, 7:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Decatur, Graham, Norton, Sheridan | 52 min |
| Jul 15, 7:20 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Sherman | 25 min |
| Jul 15, 7:49 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Rawlins | 26 min |
| Jul 15, 8:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Rawlins | 55 min |
| Jul 16, 4:16 AM CDT | Excessive Heat Warning | GLD | Decatur, Graham, Norton, Sheridan | 5 days |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2011Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.