Red Flag Warning 31, NWS Goodland, KS

064 
WWUS83 KGLD 301818
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1218 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2011

KSZ004-016-010230-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0021.000000T0000Z-110701T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KGLD.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-110701T0300Z/
NORTON-GRAHAM-
118 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 004 AND
016...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM.

* WINDS...SOUTH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL
  RESULT IN EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ252>254-KSZ001>003-013>015-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-010230-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-110701T0300Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-SHERMAN-
THOMAS-SHERIDAN-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-
HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1218 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2011 /118 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 001...002...003...013...014...015...027...028...029...041...
042...079...080...081...252...253 AND 254...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE KS... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  014 THOMAS... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 029 GOVE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 042 WICHITA. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED 
  WILLOW. 

* WINDS...SOUTH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL
  RESULT IN EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
220 AM MDT THU JUN 30 2011

.DISCUSSION...
200 AM MDT THU JUN 30 2011

ONE MORE DAY OF TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES TODAY BEFORE A COLD
FRONT AND ITS ASSOCIATED UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT
COOLING FRIDAYS TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 85-90 DEGREE
RANGE...EXCEPT MID 90S FROM NORTON THROUGH GOVE TO TRIBUNE AND
POINTS SOUTH. BROAD UPPER HIGH REBUILDS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY
WITH GFS/UKMET SHOWING WARMER 850 TEMPERATURES AND HIGHS IN THE
LOW TO MID 90S.

AS FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES...MAY SEE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
FAR EASTERN COLORADO LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON ALONG PERIPHERY OF
700-300MB MOISTURE AND AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH. A FEW
STORMS MAY SURVIVE INTO WESTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEAST AND OUT OF THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE
NEXT CHANCE APPEARS TO BE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

SUNDAY-WEDNESDAY...LARGE UPPER RIDGE STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE AREA
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM BACK UP INTO THE 90S AND POSSIBLY
CLOSE TO 100 DEGREES.

007

&&

.AVIATION...
952 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

FOR THE 06Z TAF...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL FOR BOTH KGLD AND
KMCK THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM CONVECTION
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN COLORADO MAY CAUSE A PERIOD OF VARIABLE WINDS
AT KGLD BETWEEN 06Z AND 08Z WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 20KTS POSSIBLE.
BEYOND THAT...WINDS WILL BE ESSENTIALLY FROM THE SOUTH THROUGH THE
EFFECTIVE PERIOD WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 30KTS DURING THE DAY THURSDAY.

FOLTZ

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
200 AM MDT THU JUN 30 2011

WILL GO AHEAD AND UPGRADE TO RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL BUT NORTON
AND GRAHAM COUNTIES...FUELS PAGE SAYS THOSE 2 COUNTIES WONT HAVE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH. SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS AND RH VALUES AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT WILL BE COMMON ACROSS
THE AREA. WILL ALSO EXTEND THE WARNING TIL 03Z.

007

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ TODAY TO 9 PM MDT /10
     PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR KSZ001>003-013>015-027>029-041-042.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
     EVENING FOR KSZ004-016.

NE...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ TODAY TO 9 PM MDT /10
     PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR NEZ079>081.

CO...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
     COZ252>254.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1050 AM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-301230-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1050 AM MDT WED JUN 29 2011 /1150 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

TEMPERATURES OF OVER 100 DEGREES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. ALONG AND EAST OF A LEOTI KANSAS TO STRATTON
NEBRASKA LINE HEAT INDEX READINGS WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 107 DEGREES.

THE HOT TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH VERY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
AREA MAY LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
WHILE WIND SPEEDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO BE WITHIN RED FLAG
CRITERIA...THOSE WITH OUTDOOR BURNING INTERESTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF
THE LATEST FORECASTS IN THE EVENT A RED FLAG WARNING BECOMES
NECESSARY.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM BURLINGTON COLORADO TO
LEOTI KANSAS. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH STRONG WINDS THE
PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. WHILE NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER EPISODES ARE
EXPECTED...AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

VERY HOT CONDITIONS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA ON THURSDAY...WHEN TEMPERATURES MAY APPROACH RECORD LEVELS
OF
105 TO 110. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY ALSO BE MET WITH
LOW HUMIDITY AND BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
915 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

COZ090-300415-
YUMA COUNTY-
915 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR YUMA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO...

AT 914 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ECKLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3990 10241 4005 10272 4044 10252 4045 10209
      4044 10208
TIME...MOT...LOC 0315Z 204DEG 20KT 4015 10248

LOCKHART