Red Flag Warning 29, NWS Goodland, KS

371 
WWUS83 KGLD 071514
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
914 AM MDT TUE JUN 7 2011

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER FAR SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE TRI-STATE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...

.A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE MORNING HOURS
BRINGING A PERIOD OF NORTHERLY WINDS TO THE AREA AND SLIGHTLY
HIGHER HUMIDITIES. THIS FRONT WILL RETREAT TO THE NORTH DURING THE
AFTERNOON...BRINGING GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AND VERY DRY AIR BACK
TO THE AREA.

KSZ027-028-080200-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0019.110607T2100Z-110608T0200Z/
/O.EXB.KGLD.FW.W.0029.110607T1800Z-110608T0200Z/
WALLACE-LOGAN-
914 AM MDT TUE JUN 7 2011 /1014 AM CDT TUE JUN 7 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
027 AND 028...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 



* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 027 WALLACE... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN. 

* WIND...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE MORNING
  HOURS BRINGING LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS. WINDS WILL BECOME
  SOUTHERLY AROUND 15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE FRONT
  RETREATS TO THE NORTH. GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

* HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 5 TO 10 PERCENT
  EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ254-KSZ041-042-080200-
/O.EXT.KGLD.FW.W.0029.110607T1800Z-110608T0200Z/
CHEYENNE CO-GREELEY-WICHITA-
914 AM MDT TUE JUN 7 2011 /1014 AM CDT TUE JUN 7 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
041...042 AND 254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 CHEYENNE 
  CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 042 WICHITA. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
  ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 
  10 PERCENT. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GOODLAND

116 
WWUS83 KGLD 080204
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
804 PM MDT TUE JUN 7 2011


COZ254-KSZ027-028-041-042-080315-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FW.W.0029.000000T0000Z-110608T0200Z/
CHEYENNE CO-WALLACE-LOGAN-GREELEY-WICHITA-
804 PM MDT TUE JUN 7 2011 /904 PM CDT TUE JUN 7 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 027...028...041...042 AND 254...

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE RISEN ABOVE 15 PERCENT FOR MOST
LOCATIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY UNDER 15 MPH. THEREFORE...THE
RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GOODLAND

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
230 AM MDT TUE JUN 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
230 AM MDT TUE JUN 7 2011

A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THE NEXT FEW
DAYS PUTTING AN END TO THE LATEST HEAT WAVE. TODAY WILL BE THE
WARMEST OF THE NEXT SEVERAL WITH READINGS IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR
90 ACROSS THE NORTH...100-103 ACROSS THE FAR EAST AND SOUTH. 850
TEMPS WOULD SUPPORT READINGS IN THE TRIBUNE AND HILL CITY AREAS IN
THE 103-105 RANGE...HOWEVER PROXIMITY TO FRONT PUTS A DENT IN
CONFIDENCE IN GOING SO HIGH BUT ITS SOMETHING TO WATCH FOR.
RECORDS IN JEOPARDY TODAY INCLUDE TRIBUNE AT 102 AND HILL CITY AT
103.

FOR WEDNESDAY HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S ACROSS THE NORTH
TO MID/UPPER 80S ACROSS THE EAST AND SOUTH. WILL ALSO KEEP A
MENTION OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A
DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

ON THURSDAY MODELS HAVE A VARIETY OF SOLUTIONS AS TO JUST HOW MUCH
COOLER IT WILL BE. NAM THE BOLDEST FOLLOWED BY THE GFS WHILE THE
ECMWF/UKMET THE WARMEST. PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT AMONGST SURROUNDING
OFFICES IN THE GFS SOLUTION SUPPORTED BY JUST ABOUT ALL OF THE
BETTER PERFORMING BIAS CORRECTED GRIDS...SO WILL AIM FOR 70-75 FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THURSDAY NIGHT
LEADING TO A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

FRIDAY-MONDAY...NO CHANGES MADE.

007

&&

.AVIATION...
1049 PM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

FOR 06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER BOTH KGLD
AND KMCK THROUGH THE EFFECTIVE PERIOD. LLWS ASSOCIATED WITH 50KT LOW
LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED OVER BOTH TERMINALS THROUGH AROUND 11Z.
SURFACE TROUGH AXIS IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR BY
MIDDAY TUE WHICH WILL LEAD TO VARIABLE WINDS GENERALLY BELOW 10KT. A
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH LATER TUE EVENING WITH POST-FRONTAL
WINDS SHIFTING TO THE E-NE AT BOTH TERMINALS.

DR

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
230 AM MDT TUE JUN 7 2011

WILL GO WITH A FIRE WEATHER WATCH TODAY FOR WALLACE AND LOGAN
COUNTIES OF KANSAS WITH A RED FLAG WARNING FOR CHEYENNE
COLORADO...GREELEY AND WICHITA COUNTIES OF KANSAS. WARNING AREA
HAS THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF SOUTHWEST WINDS MEETING CRITERIA WITH A
BIT MORE UNCERTAINTY ONE ROW OF COUNTIES TO THE NORTH. RH VALUES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA BELOW 10 PERCENT.

007

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 3 PM MDT /4 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
     MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR KSZ041-042.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
     KSZ027-028.

NE...NONE.
CO...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM MDT THIS
     EVENING FOR COZ254.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1008 AM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-071345-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1008 AM MDT MON JUN 6 2011 /1108 AM CDT MON JUN 6 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 AS VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES...DRY CONDITIONS AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS SPREAD
OVER THE AREA. ALL OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING...MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WOULD BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA
ON TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN COLORADO.

A FEW SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO REMAIN POSSIBLE
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS CURRENTLY NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.