Red Flag Warning 14, NWS Goodland, KS

021 
WWUS83 KGLD 090236
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
836 PM MDT FRI APR 8 2011

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY...

.SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL
DEVELOP LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING. AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO UPPER 80S
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL QUICKLY FALL INTO THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT
RANGE CREATING A CRITICAL FIRE DANGER.

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-091200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0014.110409T1600Z-110410T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
836 PM MDT FRI APR 8 2011 /936 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...013...014...015...
016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080...081...252...
253 AND 254...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL
  BE COMMON BY MID TO LATE MORNING SATURDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  THE EARLY EVENING. 

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL QUICKLY FALL INTO THE
  10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY AND COULD
  BECOME OUT OF CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GOODLAND

284 
WWUS83 KGLD 091107
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
507 AM MDT SAT APR 9 2011

...RED FLAG CONDITIONS TODAY...

.SOUTHWEST WIND AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP
LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING. AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO UPPER 80S RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL QUICKLY FALL INTO THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE
CREATING CRITICAL FIRE DANGER.

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-092315-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0014.110409T1600Z-110410T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
507 AM MDT SAT APR 9 2011 /607 AM CDT SAT APR 9 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/
THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS
AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...
013...014...015...016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080...
081...252...253 AND 254...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WIND AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL
  BE COMMON LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL QUICKLY FALL INTO THE 10 TO
  15 PERCENT RANGE.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY AND COULD
  GET OUT OF CONTROL. ALL OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GOODLAND

222 
WWUS83 KGLD 100214
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
814 PM MDT SAT APR 9 2011

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-100315-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-110410T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
814 PM MDT SAT APR 9 2011 /914 PM CDT SAT APR 9 2011/

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004... 013...014...015...
016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080... 081...252...
253 AND 254...

EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER OCCURRING.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GOODLAND

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1150 AM MDT FRI APR 8 2011

.UPDATE...
1031 AM MDT FRI APR 8 2011

UPDATED GRIDS TO EXPIRE DENSE FOG ADVISORY.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
329 AM MDT FRI APR 8 2011

UPPER FLOW WILL BE SOUTHWEST TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. BY SATURDAY
NIGHT A TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS
SUNDAY. BY SUNDAY NIGHT THE TROUGH WILL MOVE FURTHER EAST ALLOWING
NORTHWEST FLOW EAST OF THE ROCKIES. A WARM FRONT WILL BE POSITIONED
FROM NORTHEAST COLORADO INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS TODAY. THIS FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN COLORADO SATURDAY AND MOVE NORTHEAST
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST OF
THE ROCKIES SUNDAY NIGHT.

CURRENT METARS REPORTING WIDESPREAD FOG ACROSS THE FA. NAM BOUNDARY
LAYER RH SHOWS 90+ PERCENT ACROSS THE FA LIFTING OVER ALL BUT THE
FAR NORTHEAST BY 18Z. PLAN TO GO WITH A DENSE FOG ADVISORY EARLY
THIS MORNING UNTIL 16Z.

POPS WILL BE NIL THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE ARE A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE
ADVERTISED BY MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS ARE LACKING SO WILL KEEP THE
FORECAST DRY. BY SATURDAY NIGHT THE UPPER TROUGH WILL BE APPROACHING
THE FA. MODIFIED POPS AND WEATHER SLIGHTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR A SLOWER
MOVEMENT INTO THE FA. DYNAMICS LOOK GOOD FOR MOST OF THE FA SUNDAY
AS THE TROUGH COMES THROUGH. PLAN TO KEEP CHANCE POPS IN THE GRIDS.
BY SUNDAY NIGHT THE TROUGH SHIFTS EAST OF THE FA. CONSEQUENTLY HAVE
KEPT THE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THAT ARE CURRENTLY IN THE GRIDS.
SUBSIDENCE MOVES INTO THE FA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

RED FLAG CONDITIONS TODAY ARE MOST CERTAIN ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO
AND THE FIRST TIER OF KANSAS COUNTIES. EAST OF THIS AREA RH VALUES
MAY BE TOO HIGH TO VERIFY. WINDS ARE ALSO UNCERTAIN BUT CLOSE ENOUGH
TO WARRANT THE WARNING ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE DRY FUELS. ALSO
CONTINUED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SATURDAY WITH MUCH MORE
CONFIDENCE IN BOTH THE WIND AND RH.

MAX TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE CHALLENGING DEPENDING ON HOW SOON THE
FOG AND STRATUS DISSIPATE. THE NORTHEAST ZONES WILL BE MOST
CHALLENGING. STRATUS AND FOG WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF
OF THE FA TONIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES SATURDAY WILL BE WARMER EVEN IN
THE NORTHEAST SINCE STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT BY 12Z.
PRECIPITATION AND CLOUDS WILL KEEP MAX TEMPERATURES DOWN IN THE 50S
ACROSS ALL BUT THE FAR EAST SUNDAY. MIN TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO
THE MID 40S TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT COOLING TO THE UPPER 30S
AND LOWER 40S SUNDAY NIGHT.

FS
&&

.AVIATION...
1150 AM MDT FRI APR 8 2011

FOR THE 18Z TAF...CURRENTLY IFR AT KMCK...AM EXPECTING CLOUDS TO
SCATTER OUT AND BECOME VFR BY 19Z. AFT 19Z...VFR CONDITIONS AT
BOTH LOCATIONS TILL LATE EVENING. WARM FRONT TO THE SOUTH WILL
LIFT NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT AND SAT MORNING. UPSLOPE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE WARM FRONT WILL CAUSE FOG AND STRATUS AREA-WIDE. CONFIDENCE
IS HIGH THAT KMCK WILL SEE AT LEAST LIFR CONDS...BASICALLY A
REPEAT OF THIS MORNING...AND THE TAF REFLECTS THIS. CONFIDENCE IS
LOWER THAT KGLD WILL SEE LIFR CONDS. NAM HAS BETTER MOISTURE OVER
KGLD WHEREAS GFS/RUC HAS BETTER MOISTURE EAST OF TERMINAL. WENT
AHEAD AND PLACED IFR CONDS AT KGLD AND WILL LET NEXT SHIFT NAIL
DOWN SPECIFICS.

BAS
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     EVENING FOR KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042.

     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
     KSZ001-013-014-027>029-041-042.

NE...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     EVENING FOR NEZ079>081.

CO...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     EVENING FOR COZ252>254.

     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ252>254.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
433 AM MDT FRI APR 8 2011

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-091330-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
433 AM MDT FRI APR 8 2011 /533 AM CDT FRI APR 8 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS 1/4 OF A MILE AT
TIMES THIS MORNING ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA. MOTORISTS SHOULD
ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH THEIR DESTINATION AND BE PREPARED FOR
SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY.

RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WEST OF LINE FROM WRAY
COLORADO TO GOVE KANSAS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL TO 15
PERCENT OR LOWER THIS AFTERNOON AND WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY.
OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS POSTED FOR SATURDAY DUE TO GUSTY WIND AND
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. SOUTHWEST WIND AT 20 TO 30 MPH AND HUMIDITY
FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS. ALL
OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

FS