Alert archive / Kansas / High Wind Watches in 2011

High Wind Watch 2, NWS Goodland, KS

May 28, 201113 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Hitchcock County, Red Willow County, Nebraska; Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado

NWS Goodland, KS issued this high wind watch at May 28, 2011, 3:01 PM CDT for 13 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Hitchcock County, Red Willow County, Nebraska; Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado. It took effect at May 30, 2011, 7:00 AM CDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2011, 3:01 PM CDT (20:01 UTC)
In effect from
May 30, 2011, 7:00 AM CDT
Expired
May 30, 2011, 4:21 AM CDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Goodland, KS

Counties Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Logan County, KS, Norton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Dundy County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 265 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1593 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
86 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
265 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
293 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

970 
WWUS73 KGLD 282001
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
201 PM MDT SAT MAY 28 2011

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY...

.A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE TRI-STATE
REGION ON MONDAY. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEEPEN...STRONG WINDS
WILL QUICKLY DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS MONDAY
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30TO
45 MPH WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-291215-
/O.NEW.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...
GOODLAND...COLBY...HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...
QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
201 PM MDT SAT MAY 28 2011 /301 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011/

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING. 

* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE MONDAY MORNING AND
  

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS
  APPROACHING 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES TRAVELING
  ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO IMPACTS FROM
  THESE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS WIND
CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR GREATER. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS NOW AND STAY TUNED
FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
384 
WWUS73 KGLD 291204
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
604 AM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY...

.A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE TRI-STATE
REGION ON MONDAY. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEEPEN...STRONG
WINDS WILL QUICKLY DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS MONDAY
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF
30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-292100-
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...
GOODLAND...COLBY...HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...
QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
604 AM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011 /704 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2011/

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE MONDAY MORNING AND
  PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  APPROACHING 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES 
  TRAVELING ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO 
  IMPACTS FROM THESE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS WIND
CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR GREATER. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS NOW AND STAY TUNED
FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

&&

$$
535 
WWUS73 KGLD 291216
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
616 AM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011

COZ091-092-KSZ013-014-027>029-041-042-292030-
/O.NEW.KGLD.FG.Y.0010.110529T1216Z-110529T1600Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-SHERMAN-THOMAS-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-
WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...CHEYENNE WELLS...
GOODLAND...COLBY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...QUINTER...TRIBUNE...
LEOTI
616 AM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011 /716 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2011/

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ THIS
MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ THIS
MORNING. 

* TIMING/DURATION...FOG WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING.

* VISIBILITY INFO...VISIBILITY WILL FREQUENTLY FALL TO ONE QUARTER
  MILE OR LESS.

* OTHER IMPACTS...THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN FLAGLER
  COLORADO AND OAKLEY KANSAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS WIND
CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR GREATER. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS NOW AND STAY TUNED
FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITY WILL FREQUENTLY BE ONE
QUARTER MILE OR LESS IN FOG. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN AND BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN DROPS IN VISIBILITY...ESPECIALLY NEAR
RIVERS...CREEKS AND LOW LYING AREAS. USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS ON LOW
BEAMS AND DRIVE DEFENSIVELY.

&&

$$

COZ090-KSZ001>004-015-016-NEZ079>081-292030-
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
YUMA-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-DUNDY-
HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...
OBERLIN...NORTON...HOXIE...HILL CITY...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...
MCCOOK
616 AM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011 /716 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2011/

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE MONDAY MORNING 
  AND PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  APPROACHING 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES 
  TRAVELING ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO 
  IMPACTS FROM THESE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS WIND
CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR GREATER. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS NOW AND STAY TUNED
FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

&&

$$
546 
WWUS73 KGLD 291322
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
722 AM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011

KSZ015-016-292130-
/O.EXA.KGLD.FG.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-110529T1600Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOXIE...HILL CITY
822 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2011

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING. 

* TIMING/DURATION...FOG WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING.

* VISIBILITY INFO...VISIBILITY WILL FREQUENTLY FALL TO ONE 
  QUARTER MILE OR LESS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITY WILL FREQUENTLY BE ONE
QUARTER MILE OR LESS IN FOG. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN AND BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN DROPS IN VISIBILITY...ESPECIALLY NEAR
RIVERS...CREEKS AND LOW LYING AREAS. USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS ON LOW
BEAMS AND DRIVE DEFENSIVELY.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS WIND
CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR GREATER. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS NOW AND STAY TUNED
FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ091-092-KSZ013-014-027>029-041-042-292130-
/O.CON.KGLD.FG.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-110529T1600Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-SHERMAN-THOMAS-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-
WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...CHEYENNE WELLS...
GOODLAND...COLBY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...QUINTER...TRIBUNE...
LEOTI
722 AM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011 /822 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2011/

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM MDT /11 AM
CDT/ THIS MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* TIMING/DURATION...FOG WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING.

* VISIBILITY INFO...VISIBILITY WILL FREQUENTLY FALL TO ONE 
  QUARTER MILE OR LESS. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN FLAGLER 
  COLORADO AND OAKLEY KANSAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITY WILL FREQUENTLY BE ONE
QUARTER MILE OR LESS IN FOG. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN AND BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN DROPS IN VISIBILITY...ESPECIALLY NEAR
RIVERS...CREEKS AND LOW LYING AREAS. USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS ON LOW
BEAMS AND DRIVE DEFENSIVELY.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS WIND
CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR GREATER. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS NOW AND STAY TUNED
FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ090-KSZ001>004-NEZ079>081-292130-
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
YUMA-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-
RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...
OBERLIN...NORTON...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
722 AM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011 /822 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2011/

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE MONDAY MORNING 
  AND PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  APPROACHING 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES 
  TRAVELING ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO 
  IMPACTS FROM THESE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS WIND
CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR GREATER. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS NOW AND STAY TUNED
FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

&&

$$
353 
WWUS73 KGLD 291608
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1008 AM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011

COZ091-092-KSZ013>016-027>029-041-042-300015-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FG.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-110529T1600Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-
LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...CHEYENNE WELLS...
GOODLAND...COLBY...HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...
QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI
1008 AM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011 /1108 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2011/

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* TIMING/DURATION...FOG WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE THROUGH THE
  REST OF THE MORNING HOURS.

* VISIBILITY INFO...OCCASIONAL REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AS LOW AS
  ONE MILE WILL CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO...MAINLY NORTH OF
  INTERSTATE 70...BEFORE IMPROVING BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY FOR SOUTH WINDS
  INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS WIND
CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR GREATER. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS NOW AND STAY TUNED
FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ090-KSZ001>004-NEZ079>081-300015-
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
YUMA-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-
RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...
OBERLIN...NORTON...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
1008 AM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011 /1108 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2011/

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE MONDAY MORNING 
  AND PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  APPROACHING 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES 
  TRAVELING ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO 
  IMPACTS FROM THESE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS WIND
CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR GREATER. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS NOW AND STAY TUNED
FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

&&

$$
540 
WWUS73 KGLD 292128
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
328 PM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-301200-
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...
GOODLAND...COLBY...HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...
QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
328 PM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011 /428 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2011/

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE MONDAY MORNING 
  AND PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  APPROACHING 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES 
  TRAVELING ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO 
  IMPACTS FROM THESE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS WIND
CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR GREATER. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS NOW AND STAY TUNED
FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

&&

$$
370 
WWUS73 KGLD 300526
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1126 PM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011

KSZ002>004-014>016-028-029-042-301330-
/O.NEW.KGLD.WI.Y.0018.110530T0526Z-110530T1200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-LOGAN-GOVE-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...COLBY...
HOXIE...HILL CITY...OAKLEY...QUINTER...LEOTI
1226 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING. 

* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 40 MPH.
  WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE MONDAY MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH
  THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS
  APPROACHING 45 WILL OCCUR TONIGHT. HIGHER SPEEDS AND GUSTS ARE
  POSSIBLE MONDAY. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES 
  TRAVELING ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO 
  IMPACTS FROM THESE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS WIND
CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR GREATER. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS NOW AND STAY TUNED
FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

&&

$$

COZ090>092-KSZ001-013-027-041-NEZ079>081-301330-
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN-WALLACE-GREELEY-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...GOODLAND...SHARON SPRINGS...
TRIBUNE...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
1126 PM MDT SUN MAY 29 2011 /1226 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2011/

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MDT /7 AM CDT/
MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE MONDAY MORNING 
  AND PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  APPROACHING 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES 
  TRAVELING ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO 
  IMPACTS FROM THESE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS WIND
CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR GREATER. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS NOW AND STAY TUNED
FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE HIGH WIND WARNINGS.

&&

$$
024 
WWUS73 KGLD 300921
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
321 AM MDT MON MAY 30 2011

KSZ003-004-014>016-028-029-042-301730-
/O.UPG.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.HW.W.0005.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
/O.EXT.KGLD.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-110530T1000Z/
DECATUR-NORTON-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-LOGAN-GOVE-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OBERLIN...NORTON...COLBY...HOXIE...
HILL CITY...OAKLEY...QUINTER...LEOTI
421 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2011

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM CDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE
HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE AND
  PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY. THERE MAY BE A FEW PERIODS OF LIGHTER
  WINDS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WITH WINDS BECOMING MORE
  WIDESPREAD IN THE AFTERNOON.

* PEAK WINDS...SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45
  MPH WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 60 MPH.

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES TRAVELING
  ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO IMPACTS FROM
  THESE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS STRONG WINDS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT WHICH COULD LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE...REDUCED VISIBILITY
IN BLOWING DUST...AND LOSS OF VEHICLE CONTROL. A HIGH WIND
WARNING IS ISSUED FOR SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR
GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

&&

$$

KSZ013-027-041-NEZ081-301730-
/O.UPG.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.HW.W.0005.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
SHERMAN-WALLACE-GREELEY-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOODLAND...SHARON SPRINGS...TRIBUNE...
MCCOOK
321 AM MDT MON MAY 30 2011 /421 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2011/

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE AND
  PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY. THERE MAY BE A FEW PERIODS OF LIGHTER
  WINDS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WITH WINDS BECOMING MORE
  WIDESPREAD IN THE AFTERNOON.

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS
  APPROACHING 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES TRAVELING
  ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO IMPACTS FROM
  THESE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS STRONG WINDS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT WHICH COULD LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE...REDUCED VISIBILITY
IN BLOWING DUST...AND LOSS OF VEHICLE CONTROL. A HIGH WIND
WARNING IS ISSUED FOR SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR
GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE.

&&

$$

KSZ002-301730-
/O.UPG.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.WI.Y.0019.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
/O.EXT.KGLD.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-110530T1000Z/
RAWLINS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ATWOOD
421 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2011

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM CDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE
HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE AND
  WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH THE DAY. THERE MAY BE A FEW PERIODS
  OF LIGHTER WINDS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WITH WINDS BECOMING
  MORE WIDESPREAD IN THE AFTERNOON.

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
  APPROACHING 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES TRAVELING
  ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO IMPACTS FROM
  THESE STRONG WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

&&

$$

COZ090>092-KSZ001-NEZ079-301730-
/O.UPG.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.WI.Y.0019.110530T1700Z-110531T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-DUNDY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...BENKELMAN
321 AM MDT MON MAY 30 2011 /421 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2011/

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ THIS MORNING
TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. THE HIGH WIND WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING
  AND WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH THE DAY.

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50
  MPH ARE EXPECTED.

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES TRAVELING
  ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO IMPACTS FROM
  THESE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

&&

$$

NEZ080-301730-
/O.UPG.KGLD.HW.A.0002.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
/O.EXB.KGLD.WI.Y.0018.110530T1200Z-110531T0200Z/
HITCHCOCK-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TRENTON
421 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE
HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING/DURATION...WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE AND
  WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH THE DAY. THERE MAY BE A FEW PERIODS
  OF LIGHTER WINDS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WITH WINDS BECOMING
  MORE WIDESPREAD IN THE AFTERNOON.

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
  APPROACHING 50 MPH WILL ARE EXPECTED.

* OTHER IMPACTS...HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHTWEIGHT VEHICLES TRAVELING
  ON EAST/WEST ROADS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO IMPACTS FROM
  THESE STRONG WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind watch went out at May 28, 12:18 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 12:18 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1118 AM MDT SAT MAY 28 2011

.DISCUSSION...
240 AM MDT SAT MAY 28 2011

03Z WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED FAIRLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE
CWA ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
CONUS. 00Z RAOBS AROUND THE AREA INDICATED MUCH WARMER/MORE STABLE
AIRMASS WAS IN PLACE TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA WITH H7 TEMPS ABOUT
10C WARMER AT DDC THAN LBF. WHILE SOUNDINGS WERE ALL DRY AND
RELATIVELY STABLE...SOME STEEP LAPSE RATES WERE NOTED BETWEEN H6 AND
H5 AT KDNR. AT THE SFC...RIDGE WAS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA
WITH FRONTAL ZONE WELL TO THE SOUTH ALONG OK/TX BORDER. SHARP
MOISTURE CONTRAST NOTED FROM WEST TO EAST...WITH TDS IN THE 40S
ALONG CO/KS STATE LINE INCREASING TO THE UPPER 50S LOW 60S ACROSS
EASTERN KANSAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE ALSO NOTED ACROSS EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN CWA IN AREA OF BROAD UPGLIDE AND PERSISTENT
FRONTOGENESIS.

MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS WILL BE PRECIP CHANCES/TEMPS AND FIRE WX
POTENTIAL BY MEMORIAL DAY.

TODAY-TONIGHT...INITIAL CONCERN FOR THE DAY WILL BE ONGOING SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHERN CWA. AS MENTIONED BEFORE..AREA SEEMS TIED TO LARGER
AREA OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND WAA...WHICH IS ALSO AIDED SOMEWHAT BY
FRONTAL SCALE FORCING CENTERED AROUND H6. FORCING INCREASES THROUGH
THE NIGHT...BUT FLOW QUICKLY BECOMES PARALLEL TO ISOTHERMS DURING
THE MORNING HOURS SO EXPECT A LULL IN PRECIP CHANCES TO DEVELOP
BETWEEN 15 AND 21Z. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR HOW THINGS DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN ZONES WHERE BETTER MOISTURE
ADVECTION AND DESTABILIZATION POSSIBLE PRIOR TO 15Z. ALTHOUGH WEAK
SHORT WAVE RIDGING WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE DAY...BEGIN TO SEE
LARGE SCALE ASCENT REDEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS
NORTHWESTERN CWA...WHICH MAY BE ENOUGH TO SPARK AN ELEVATED STORM OR
TWO. CURRENT DATA INDICATES MAIN AXIS OF INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN
JUST TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF CWA THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY...SO PLAN
ON KEEPING POPS ON THE LOWER SIDE OF THINGS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
THINGS BEGIN TO CHANGE OVERNIGHT HOWEVER...AS H5 TROUGH BEGINS TO
DIG INTO THE SW CONUS AND WARM FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH IN
RESPONSE TO DEVELOPING LOW. BOTH 305K AND 310K ISENTROPIC SURFACES
INDICATE STRONG MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL TAKE PLACE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH MIXING RATIOS CLIMBING TO OVER 10 G/KG. WITH
THE INCREASED MOISTURE...LOOKS LIKE THINGS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
UNSTABLE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND WITH ELEVATED SHEAR
PROFILES...WOULD NOT BE SHOCKED TO SEE A FEW HAIL STORMS DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT. WITH BROAD ISENTROPIC ASCENT EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD...HARD TO PINPOINT AN EXACT AREA THAT HAS THE BEST CHANCES
THROUGH THE OVER AREA...BUT WITH STRONG H7 THERMAL RIDGE ALSO
SHIFTING NORTH...THINK BEST CHANCES WILL BE WHERE CINH WILL BE
WEAKEST AROUND PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE AND WILL PLACE HIGHEST POPS
HERE. GUIDANCE ACTUALLY BECOMING FAIRLY AGGRESSIVE WITH POPS FOR THE
PERIOD...BUT GIVEN CINH CONCERNS DO NOT THINK GOING MUCH ABOVE THE
40-60 RANGE WARRANTED ATTM.

SUNDAY-SUNDAY NIGHT...WARM FRONT AND ITS IMPACTS ON BOTH TEMPS AND
WX WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY CONCERN THROUGH THE PERIOD. NAM APPEARS
TO BE THE MOST AGGRESSIVE OF THE MODELS DRIVING THE FRONT TO THE
SOUTH THROUGH MUCH OF THE AREA...WHILE OTHER MODELS MUCH LESS
AGGRESSIVE WITH HOW FAR SOUTH THE FRONTAL ZONE PUSHES THROUGH THE
DAY. WHILE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING OUTFLOW FROM ELEVATED CONVECTION
COULD FAIRLY EASILY PUSH FRONTAL ZONE SOUTH...WITH DEEP SOUTHERLY
FLOW ALOFT AND DEEPENING TROUGH TO THE WEST...THINK GOING WITH THE
MORE NORTHERLY GFS/SREF AND GEM SOLUTIONS THE WAY TO GO FOR THE TIME
BEING. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOOK TO BE SLIMMER DURING THIS PERIOD
THAN THE PREVIOUS PERIOD. WHILE FRONTAL ZONE WOULD PROVIDE A DECENT
FOCUS FOR CONVECTION...TEMPS ALOFT CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH THE
PERIOD MAKING CINH MORE OF AN ISSUE. THAT BEING SAID...CANNOT
TOTALLY RULE OUT A STORM OR TWO...ESPECIALLY IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
AS STRONG LLJ DEVELOPS BUT CAPPING CONCERNS WILL KEEP POPS LOW.
WHILE THE FRONTAL POSITION WILL HAVE A LARGE IMPACT ON TEMPS AND
WITH POTENTIALLY LARGE GRADIENT ACROSS IT...COULD HAVE LARGE
IMPLICATIONS FOR ANY GIVEN POINT. FRONT WILL ALSO DELINEATE AREA
WHERE CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...AS VERY WARM/WINDY
AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO THE SOUTH OF FRONT. WITH
AFOREMENTIONED ISSUES SURROUNDING FRONTAL POSITION...CONFIDENCE NOT
HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT A WATCH...BUT FIRE WX PROBLEMS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION.

MONDAY-TUESDAY...H5 TROUGH WILL RAPIDLY LIFT ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE PERIOD...FORCING DRYLINE AND THEN COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY. EXPECTED POSITION OF DRYLINE ACROSS THE
FAR EASTERN ZONES SEEMS TO HAVE A LOT OF AGREEMENT...AND WITH UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH IN THE MORNING HOURS...THINK PRESSURE
FALLS WILL NOT DO A LOT TO HOLD BACK FRONT. GIVEN THE POSITION OF
DRYLINE...THINK MUCH OF THE CWA WILL SEE MORE OF FIRE WX THREAT THAN
A PRECIP THREAT AS WARM...DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS OVERSPREAD THE
AREA BEHIND DRYLINE AND HEAD OF FRONT. FOR THE TIME BEING...WILL
LIMIT POPS TO AREA NEAR DRYLINE POSITION AND ACROSS NW CWA THAT WILL
BE NEAR ACTUAL H5 TROUGH POSITION. WHILE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE VERY
DRY...CANNOT RULE OUT SOME HIGHBASED/DRY THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN
THIS AREA. ONCE COLD FRONT SETTLES OVER THE AREA EXPECT AN END TO
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH WILL
HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR NOCTURNAL
CONVECTION POSSIBILITIES.

WHILE THERE CERTAINLY WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG STORMS ON
MONDAY...THINK THE MORE LIKELY THREAT WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS. MIXED LAYER PROGS SUGGEST A
SHARP DROP OFF IN TDS POSSIBLE TO THE WEST OF DRY LINE...AND LOOKS
LIKE THINGS WILL BE ON THE BREEZY/WINDY SIDE OF THINGS FOR A BULK OF
THE AREA. WHILE RECENT RAINFALL AND ASSOCIATED GREEN UP MAY
COMPLICATE THINGS...CONFIDENCE INCREASING ON POTENTIAL RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST CWA. CONSIDERED ISSUING A
WATCH...BUT WITH SMALL POTENTIAL FOR FIRE WX TOMORROW AND
COORDINATING WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES DECIDED TO WAIT A BIT.

WED-FRIDAY...NO CHANGES PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

JRM
&&

.AVIATION...
1118 AM MDT SAT MAY 28 2011

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT THEN STRATUS AND FOG OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. LOW
LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING WITH ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE. LATEST MODEL RUNS HAVE TRENDED DOWN WITH COVERAGE...SO
CONFIDENCE IN EITHER TERMINAL BEING DIRECTLY IMPACTED IS LOW. WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS...AREAS OF FOG AND STRATUS
EXPECTED TOWARDS SUNRISE. GIVEN BREEZY WINDS...STRATUS WOULD BE
PREFERRED MODE.

024
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 9:29 AM CDT, 5 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
829 AM MDT SAT MAY 28 2011

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-291315-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
829 AM MDT SAT MAY 28 2011 /929 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT.
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL BEING THE
PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING NORTH OF A
BENKELMAN NEBRASKA TO HILL CITY KANSAS LINE. SOME SMALL HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE NEAR STRONGER STORMS.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EXTREME
SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE TRI STATE AREA ON SUNDAY...AND ACROSS A
LARGER PORTION OF THE AREA ON MONDAY. THOSE WITH OUTDOOR BURNING
PLANS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

024

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 3:04 PM CDTFire Weather WatchGLDGreeley, Logan, Wallace, Wichita14 hr

Nearby

High Wind Watches in Kansas, 2011High Wind Watches in Nebraska, 2011High Wind Watches in Colorado, 2011Every high wind watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.