Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2011

Red Flag Warning 20, NWS Grand Junction, CO

June 28, 20118 counties in Colorado

NWS Grand Junction, CO issued this red flag warning at Jun 28, 2011, 11:25 AM MDT for 8 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Jun 29, 2011, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 9 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 28, 2011, 11:25 AM MDT (17:25 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 29, 2011, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Jun 29, 2011, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Junction, CO

Counties Dolores County, CO, Garfield County, CO, La Plata County, CO, Mesa County, CO, Moffat County, CO, Montezuma County, CO, Rio Blanco County, CO, San Miguel County, CO

The radar

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 29, 7:08 PM MDTTSTM WND GST 591 S Meeker, CO

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-06-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-06-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 101 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
4629 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

597 
WWUS85 KGJT 281725
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1125 AM MDT TUE JUN 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM MDT TODAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
200...202 AND 203 BELOW 7000 FEET AND ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM WEDNESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...DRY FUELS...AND DRY LIGHTNING...FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW 7000 FEET AND ZONE 207
BELOW 8000 FEET...

.THE GRADIENT WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO AND
EASTERN UTAH AS THE NEXT WEATHER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. THESE GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH CONTINUED VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN AREAS WITH DRY
FUELS. IN ADDITION...AN ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM MAY DEVELOP LATE
THIS AFTERNOON OVER FAR SOUTHWEST COLORADO. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE
LITTLE RAIN WITH DRY LIGHTNING EXPECTED.

THE MAIN AREAS OF CONCERN WILL BE THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF
SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL COLORADO...AND FAR NORTHWEST
COLORADO...WHERE THE DRY FUELS WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO RAPID FIRE
GROWTH.

COZ200-202-203-290530-
/O.UPG.KGJT.FW.A.0015.110629T1800Z-110630T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0020.110629T1800Z-110630T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0019.110628T1800Z-110629T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
1125 AM MDT TUE JUN 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW 7000...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...DRY FUELS...AND FOR DRY LIGHTNING...
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW 7000 FEET...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...AND
DRY LIGHTNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY.
THIS HAS REPLACED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...BELOW 7000 FEET IN WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
  COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 THE LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST
  AREA...ZONE 202 THE WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...AND ZONE 203 THE
  GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 TO 13 PERCENT.

* THUNDERSTORMS...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
  DEVELOPING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...SOME DRY.

* LAL...LOCALLY 6 ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* HAINES INDEX...6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES 
  ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ207-290530-
/O.UPG.KGJT.FW.A.0015.110629T1800Z-110630T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0020.110629T1800Z-110630T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0019.110628T1800Z-110629T0300Z/
DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
1125 AM MDT TUE JUN 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...DRY FUELS...AND FOR DRY LIGHTNING...
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...DRY FUELS AND DRY 
LIGHTNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY.
THIS HAS REPLACED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO 
  FORECAST AREA BELOW 8000 FEET. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 TO 13 PERCENT.

* THUNDERSTORMS...AN ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME
  DRY... DEVELOPING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* LAL...LOCALLY 6 ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* HAINES INDEX...6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT
5 follow-up statements
958 
WWUS85 KGJT 290257
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
857 PM MDT TUE JUN 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN ZONES 200...202...203 AND 207 FOR THIS
EVENING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...DRY FUELS...AND DRY
LIGHTNING...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW 7000
FEET AND ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET...

.THE GRADIENT WINDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO
AND EASTERN UTAH AS THE NEXT WEATHER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST. THESE GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH CONTINUED HOT
TEMPERATURES AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN AREAS
WITH DRY FUELS. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

THE MAIN AREAS OF CONCERN WILL BE THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWEST
AND WEST CENTRAL COLORADO...AND FAR NORTHWEST COLORADO...WHERE THE
DRY FUELS WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO RAPID FIRE GROWTH.

COZ200-202-203-291500-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110629T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0020.110629T1800Z-110630T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
857 PM MDT TUE JUN 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW 7000...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY... DRY FUELS...AND FOR
DRY LIGHTNING... FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200... 202 AND 203 BELOW
7000 FEET...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. 

SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE DIMINISHING AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL SLOWLY RISE OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ207-291500-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110629T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0020.110629T1800Z-110630T0300Z/
DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
857 PM MDT TUE JUN 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET... 

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207
BELOW 8000 FEET... 

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 DURANGO 
  FORECAST AREA BELOW 8000 FEET. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 TO 13 PERCENT.

* THUNDERSTORMS...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...
  SOME DRY...DEVELOPING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* LAL...LOCALLY 6 ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* HAINES INDEX...6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT
237 
WWUS85 KGJT 291109
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
509 AM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...DRY FUELS...AND DRY
LIGHTNING...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW
7000 FEET AND ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET...

.GRADIENT WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO AND
EASTERN UTAH AS THE NEXT WEATHER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. STRONG...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS IN AREAS WITH DRY FUELS. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING COULD RESULT IN WILDFIRE.

THE MAIN AREAS OF CONCERN WILL BE THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWEST
AND WEST CENTRAL COLORADO...AND FAR NORTHWEST COLORADO...WHERE THE
DRY FUELS WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO RAPID FIRE GROWTH.

COZ200-202-203-292315-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0020.110629T1800Z-110630T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
509 AM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW 7000 FEET...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR
ELEVATIONS BELOW 7000 FEET.

* AFFECTED AREA...BELOW 7000 FEET IN WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
  COLORADO. FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 THE LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST
  AREA...ZONE 202 THE WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...AND ZONE 203 THE
  GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 TO 13 PERCENT.

* THUNDERSTORMS...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
  DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON...SOME DRY.

* LAL...LOCALLY 6 THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* HAINES INDEX...5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED
  FIRES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ207-292315-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0020.110629T1800Z-110630T0300Z/
DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
509 AM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR
ELEVATIONS BELOW 8000 FEET.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207...DURANGO
  FORECAST AREA BELOW 8000 FEET.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 TO 13 PERCENT.

* THUNDERSTORMS...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
  DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON...SOME DRY.

* LAL...LOCALLY 6 ON THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* HAINES INDEX...6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT
853 
WWUS85 KGJT 292010
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
210 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...DRY FUELS...AND DRY
LIGHTNING...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW
7000 FEET AND ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET...

.STRONG GRADIENT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
THURSDAY ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO AND EASTERN UTAH AS THE NEXT
WEATHER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE STRONG WINDS
HAVE COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN AREAS WITH DRY FUELS. WIDELY
SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING COULD RESULT IN
EXTREME WILDFIRE BEHAVIOR. THURSDAY...STRONG WINDS WILL REMAIN
WIDESPREAD BUT ONLY SOUTHWEST COLORADO WILL ALSO REMAIN VERY WARM
AND DRY.


COZ207-300815-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0021.110630T1800Z-110701T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110630T0300Z/
DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
210 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
207 BELOW 8000 FEET...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING BELOW 8000 FEET FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND
DRY FUELS... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY. A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207...DURANGO 
  FORECAST AREA BELOW 8000 FEET. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...11 TO 16 PERCENT.

* THUNDERSTORMS...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
  DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON...SOME DRY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  REDEVELOP THURSDAY.  

* LAL...LOCALLY 6 ON THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* HAINES INDEX...6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ200-202-203-300300-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110630T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
210 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW 7000 FEET...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...BELOW 7000 FEET IN WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST 
  COLORADO. FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 THE LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST 
  AREA...ZONE 202 THE WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...AND ZONE 203 
  THE GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...14 TO 19 PERCENT.

* THUNDERSTORMS...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 
  DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON...SOME DRY. 

* LAL...LOCALLY 6 THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* HAINES INDEX...5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED 
  FIRES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT
166 
WWUS85 KGJT 292050 AAA
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
250 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...DRY FUELS...AND DRY
LIGHTNING...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW 7000
FEET AND ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
207 BELOW 8000 FEET...

.STRONG GRADIENT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
THURSDAY ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO AND EASTERN UTAH AS THE NEXT
WEATHER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE STRONG WINDS
HAVE COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN AREAS WITH DRY FUELS. WIDELY
SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING COULD RESULT IN
EXTREME WILDFIRE BEHAVIOR. THURSDAY...STRONG WINDS WILL REMAIN
WIDESPREAD BUT ONLY SOUTHWEST COLORADO WILL ALSO REMAIN VERY WARM
AND DRY.

COZ207-300900-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110630T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0021.110630T1800Z-110701T0300Z/
DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
250 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM
NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND
DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT
FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...
AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
THURSDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207...DURANGO 
  FORECAST AREA BELOW 8000 FEET. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...11 TO 16 PERCENT.

* THUNDERSTORMS...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 
  DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON...SOME DRY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
  REDEVELOP THURSDAY. 

* LAL...LOCALLY 6 ON THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* HAINES INDEX...6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ200-202-203-300300-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110630T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
250 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW 7000 FEET...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...BELOW 7000 FEET IN WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST 
  COLORADO. FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 THE LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST 
  AREA...ZONE 202 THE WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA...AND ZONE 203 
  THE GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...14 TO 19 PERCENT.

* THUNDERSTORMS...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 
  DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON...SOME DRY. 

* LAL...LOCALLY 6 THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* HAINES INDEX...5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED 
  FIRES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT
859 
WWUS85 KGJT 300249
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
849 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS IN FIRE WEATHER ZONES
200...202 AND 203...207...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET...

.THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ROSE AS INITIALLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS STARTED
PRODUCING RAIN THIS EVENING. WINDS HAVE ALSO DIMINISHED SO THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT.

STRONG SURFACE WINDS WILL REDEVELOP THURSDAY ACROSS WESTERN
COLORADO AND EASTERN UTAH AS THE NEXT WEATHER DISTURBANCE
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS IN AREAS WITH DRY FUELS. ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS BUT NOT MUCH RAIN.

COZ207-301500-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110630T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0021.110630T1800Z-110701T0300Z/
DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
849 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 207...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
207...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207...DURANGO
  FORECAST AREA BELOW 8000 FEET.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...11 TO 16 PERCENT.

* THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  DEVELOP THURSDAY...SOME DRY.

* LAL...LOCALLY 6 THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* HAINES INDEX...6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ200-202-203-300400-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110630T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
849 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
200...202 AND 203...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ROSE AND WINDS DIMINISHED...WHICH WILL ALLOW
THE RED FLAG WARNING TO EXPIRE.

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jun 28, 4:10 AM MDT, 7 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 28, 4:10 AM MDT, 7 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
410 AM MDT TUE JUN 28 2011

.SHORT TERM DISCUSSION...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SUMMER HEAT WILL BE ARRIVING OVER THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND PLANS
ON STICKING AROUND THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE WEST
TEXAS RIDGE SHIFTS SLIGHTLY WEST IN RESPONSE TO DIGGING TROUGH
ALONG THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL KICK TEMPS UP A GOOD 5 TO 10 DEGREES
OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY...WITH THE FIRST REAL
RUN AT TRIPLE DIGITS EXPECTED ACROSS THE GRAND VALLEY.

THERE IS SOME MOISTURE WORKING NORTHWARD THIS MORNING...EVIDENT IN
SATELLITE IMAGERY. MODELS KICKING PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES UP
SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHICH SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO
TRIGGER A FEW HIGH BASED STORMS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. NOT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF RAINFALL EXPECTED...AND COVERAGE LOOKS ISOLATED AT BEST
TODAY.

THE WEST COAST TROUGH WILL CONTINUE DIGGING INTO THE GREAT BASIN
TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL TIGHTEN PRESSURE GRADIENTS
EVEN FURTHER...RESULTING IN LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER THE VALLEYS...EVEN
THOUGH WE ARE TAPPING A BRIEF SURGE OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE
SOUTH. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE BEST MOISTURE WILL BE ABOVE 550 MB
WITH INVERTED-V SIGNATURES IN PLAY. WITH LAPSE RATES STEEPENING AS
THE WESTERN TROUGH MOVES INLAND...SHOULD SEE SOME CELLS POPPING
DURING THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. CURRENT FIRE
WEATHER WATCH ADDRESSING FIRST ONSET OF LIGHTNING AFTER A PERIOD OF
NO WEATHER REMAINS SPOT ON AS STORMS WILL INITIALLY BE HIGH BASED
WITH STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS POSSIBLE. GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH NOT OUT
OF THE QUESTION. NARROW SLIVER OF DEEPER MOISTURE DOES EVENTUALLY
ARRIVE LATE IN THE DAY WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CLIMBING ABOVE
THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH...SO EXPECT THE DRY CONVECTION EVENT TO
EVENTUALLY EVOLVE INTO WETTING RAINS AS THE TROUGH SWEEPS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. IN ANY EVENT...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE
HEIGHTENED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING A GOOD 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

.LONG TERM DISCUSSION...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THURSDAY...UNSEASONABLY STRONG SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST DAMPENS VERY QUICKLY ONCE IT CROSSES THE WASATCH
MOUNTAINS.  THIS IS NOT SURPRISING AS THE STRONG SUBTROPICAL HIGH
PRESSURE MAKES IT VERY DIFFICULT FOR PACIFIC WAVES TO PUNCH INTO THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES THIS TIME OF YEAR.  HOW MUCH STRENGTH THIS SHORT
WAVE HAS ONCE IT CROSSES THE WESTERN SLOPE IS THE FORECAST QUESTION?
WHAT REMAINS OF THE COOL FRONT MAY BE NOTHING BUT A PUSH OF DRY
STABLE AIR THAT PERSISTS INTO FRIDAY.  MID LEVEL FLOW NEVER TURNS
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE TROUGH PASSAGE...SO ANY COOLING WILL NOT BE
PRONOUNCED BUT STILL SEVERAL DEGREES ACROSS THE NRN HALF.  THIS IS
REFLECTED IN THE LATEST GUIDANCE THAT DOES NOT HAVE TEMPERATURES
FALLING BELOW CLIMO.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...WESTERLIES RETREAT NORTHWARD...WITH THE
SUBTROPICAL HIGH EXPANDING AND COVERING THE ENTIRE SWRN CONUS BY
MONDAY.  STEEP AFTERNOON LAPSE RATES MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED LATE DAY
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SRN MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE HOT AND DRY.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH ONLY A FEW HIGH
BASED LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED...
MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN COLORADO AND EXTREME NORTHEAST
UTAH. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM ANY CONVECTION.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DROP DOWN THE WEST COAST TODAY
AND THEN MOVE INTO THE GREAT BASIN ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING A
RETURN TO THE GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS. THESE STRONGER WINDS IN
COMBINATION WITH THE CONTINUED HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
AND PROBABLY AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION MOISTURE WILL INCREASE
JUST ENOUGH ON WEDNESDAY...THAT SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP. IF
THESE STORMS DO DEVELOP...IT WOULD BE THE FIRST LIGHTNING AFTER A
PROLONGED DRY PERIOD. A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWEST...
WEST CENTRAL AND FAR NORTHWEST COLORADO...WHERE FUELS ARE CONSIDERED
CRITICALLY DRY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

HIGH TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THE SNOWMELT RUNOFF FROM HIGH ELEVATION
SNOWPACK. THEREFORE RIVER LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH THIS WEEK. MANY
RIVERS ARE ABOVE BANKFULL WITH SOME ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

SOME RIVER POINTS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
INCLUDING THE GREEN AT JENSEN...DUCHESNE AT RANDLETT...AND THE ELK
RIVER NEAR 42 ROAD. THE DUCHESNE RIVER WILL SEE SOME OF THE HIGHEST
PEAKS OF THE SEASON.

WATERWAYS REMAIN DANGEROUS DUE TO FAST MOVING COLD WATER AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR BANK EROSION.

CURRENT HIGHLIGHTS IN EFFECT INCLUDE...

...FLOOD WARNINGS...

IN EASTERN UTAH...

   GREEN RIVER...
...WESTERN GRAND AND EASTERN EMERY COUNTY UNTIL 900 AM WEDNESDAY.
...NEAR JENSEN UTAH UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

IN WESTERN COLORADO...

   ELK RIVER...
...NEAR ROUTT COUNTY ROAD 42 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
   COLORADO RIVER...
...NEAR CAMEO UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
...NEAR DOTSERO INCLUDING GLENWOOD CANYON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

...FLOOD ADVISORIES...

IN WESTERN COLORADO...

   COLORADO RIVER...
...NEAR THE COLORADO-UTAH STATELINE UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
   EAGLE RIVER...
...NEAR GYPSUM UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

IN EASTERN UTAH...

   FROM MELTING SNOW...
...NORTHWEST UINTAH COUNTY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
   GREEN RIVER...
...EASTERN DAGGETT COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM TUESDAY.
   COLORADO RIVER...
...NEAR THE COLORADO-UTAH STATELINE UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
       FOR FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW 7000
       FEET...AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON TO 9 PM WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER
      ZONES 200...202 AND 203 BELOW 7000 FEET...AND FIRE WEATHER
      ZONE 207 BELOW 8000 FEET.
UT...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM.....JDC
LONG TERM......PF
AVIATION.......TGJT
FIRE WEATHER...EH/JDC
HYDROLOGY......AS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 28, 5:45 AM MDT, 5 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
545 AM MDT TUE JUN 28 2011

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-291145-
ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GRAND VALLEY-LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-
SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-
545 AM MDT TUE JUN 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE VALLEYS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE VALLEYS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
COLORADO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO MELT OFF
HIGH MOUNTAIN SNOWPACK...WITH RIVERS CONTINUING TO RUN HIGH
AND FAST. NUMEROUS FLOOD ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
MUCH OF NORTHWEST COLORADO AND NORTHEAST UTAH.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL ALSO RETURN THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. THE
AREA OF GREATEST CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THE LOWER VALLEYS OF
WESTERN COLORADO...AND SOUTHEAST UTAH.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS. GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT WITH ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP.

PLEASE VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/GJT FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT AROUND 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL EACH
AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THESE SEASONALLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
KEEP THE HIGH MOUNTAIN SNOWPACK MELTING AT AN ACCELERATED RATE.
THEREFORE AREA RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN FAST
AND HIGH.

BREEZY AFTERNOON CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AS A STORM SYSTEM CROSSES THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN ALSO EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. DRY AND
HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LAST PART OF THE WEEK.

ON WEDNESDAY...THE INCREASING WINDS AND CONTINUED HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL MAKE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE LOWER VALLEYS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST COLORADO...ALONG WITH
MUCH OF SOUTHEAST UTAH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

TGJT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Junction, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 11:47 AM MDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGJTEagle, Garfield4 days

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.