Alert archive / Colorado / Blizzard Warnings in 2011

Blizzard Warning 1, NWS Grand Junction, CO

February 16, 201113 counties in Colorado; Grand County, San Juan County, Utah

NWS Grand Junction, CO issued this blizzard warning at Feb 16, 2011, 5:12 AM MST for 13 counties in Colorado; Grand County, San Juan County, Utah. It took effect at Feb 17, 2011, 12:00 AM MST. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 16, 2011, 5:12 AM MST (12:12 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 17, 2011, 12:00 AM MST
Expired
Feb 17, 2011, 4:00 AM MST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Junction, CO

Counties Archuleta County, CO, Delta County, CO, Dolores County, CO, Garfield County, CO, Gunnison County, CO, Hinsdale County, CO, La Plata County, CO, Mesa County, CO, Montezuma County, CO, Montrose County, CO, Ouray County, CO, San Juan County, CO, San Miguel County, CO, Grand County, UT, San Juan County, UT

The radar

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-02-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-02-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 115 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2997 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
81 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
278 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

834 
WWUS45 KGJT 161212
WSWGJT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
512 AM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...WIND AND SNOW RETURN TO THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY...

.A PACIFIC STORM NEAR THE WEST COAST THIS MORNING WILL CROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES TONIGHT AND THURSDAY BRINGING
STRONG WINDS AND SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO NORTHEAST UTAH AND NORTHWEST COLORADO LATE TONIGHT BUT THEN
SLOW OR STALL. THIS WILL INCREASE SNOWFALL ACROSS THE REGION AND
DECREASE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 COMBINING WITH MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL TO PRODUCE
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS THERE.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE NEWS SOURCE FOR UPDATES IN THIS WINTER
STORM...OR VISIT THE GRAND JUNCTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/GJT.

COZ009-012-017>019-UTZ028-162015-
/O.UPG.KGJT.BZ.A.0001.110217T0700Z-110218T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.BZ.W.0001.110217T0700Z-110218T0400Z/
GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKYWAY...CRESTED BUTTE...TAYLOR PARK...
MARBLE...RIDGWAY...GLADE PARK...OURAY...TELLURIDE...LAKE CITY...
SILVERTON...RICO...HESPERUS...MONTICELLO AND VICINITY
512 AM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM MST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A
BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 PM MST THURSDAY. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY THROUGH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
  WITH THE PEAK TIME EXPECTED TO BE THURSDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 75 MPH OR MORE ARE
  POSSIBLE. STRONGEST WINDS GUSTS WILL BE ABOVE TREE LINE.

* VISIBILITY...MAY BE SEVERELY RESTRICTED AT TIMES IN SNOW AND
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...5 TO 10 INCHES.

* SNOW LEVEL...AROUND 8000 FEET MSL LOWERING BY THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CAUSE
  HAZARDOUS MOUNTAIN TRAVEL ALONG HIGHWAY 50 AND HIGHWAY 550.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR
VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...
MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

$$

COZ004-013-162015-
/O.UPG.KGJT.WS.A.0006.110217T0700Z-110218T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.WS.W.0006.110217T0700Z-110218T0700Z/
ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBINE...TOPONAS...BUFORD...
TRAPPERS LAKE
512 AM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT MST THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT MST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 16 INCHES.

* SNOW LEVEL...SNOW LEVEL AROUND 7000 FEET...LOWERING THURSDAY
  MORNING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 BECOMING WEST THURSDAY. GUSTS UP TO
  50 MPH ESPECIALLY ABOVE TREE LINE. WINDS DECREASING THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* VISIBILITY...WILL BE IMPACTED AT TIMES IN SNOW AND AREAS OF
  BLOWING SNOW.

* IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN TRAVEL MAY BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO SNOW
  AND BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

COZ010-UTZ023-162015-
/O.UPG.KGJT.WS.A.0006.110217T0700Z-110218T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.WW.Y.0008.110217T0700Z-110218T0700Z/
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASPEN...VAIL...SNOWMASS...MANILA...
DUTCH JOHN
512 AM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT MST THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT MST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE
WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...5 TO 10 INCHES.

* SNOW LEVEL...SNOW LEVEL AROUND 7000 FEET...LOWERING THURSDAY
  MORNING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...ESPECIALLY
  ABOVE TREE LINE.

* VISIBILITY...MAY BE IMPACTED AT TIMES IN SNOW SHOWERS AND 
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 

* IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN TRAVEL MAY BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO SNOW
  AND BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ005-162015-
/O.NEW.KGJT.WW.Y.0008.110217T0700Z-110218T0400Z/
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...STEAMBOAT SPRINGS AND VICINITY
512 AM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 PM MST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM MST THURSDAY.

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH TONIGHT BECOMING WEST 10 TO
  20 MPH ON THURSDAY. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITY...MAY BE IMPACTED AT TIMES IN SNOW SHOWERS AND AREAS
  OF BLOWING SNOW. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO SNOW AND
  BLOWING SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$
3 follow-up statements
430 
WWUS45 KGJT 161947
WSWGJT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1247 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...WIND AND SNOW RETURN TO THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY...

.A PACIFIC STORM OVER THE WEST COAST TODAY WILL CROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES TONIGHT AND THURSDAY BRINGING
STRONG WINDS AND SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO NORTHEAST UTAH AND NORTHWEST COLORADO LATE TONIGHT BUT THEN
SLOW OR STALL. THIS WILL INCREASE SNOWFALL ACROSS THE REGION AND
DECREASE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 COMBINING WITH MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL
TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS THERE.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE NEWS SOURCE FOR UPDATES IN THIS
WINTER STORM...OR VISIT THE GRAND JUNCTION NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/GJT.

COZ009-012-017>019-UTZ028-170500-
/O.CON.KGJT.BZ.W.0001.110217T0700Z-110218T0400Z/
GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKYWAY...CRESTED BUTTE...TAYLOR PARK...
MARBLE...RIDGWAY...GLADE PARK...OURAY...TELLURIDE...LAKE CITY...
SILVERTON...RICO...HESPERUS...MONTICELLO AND VICINITY
1247 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 PM MST THURSDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 PM MST THURSDAY. 

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY THROUGH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING 
  WITH THE PEAK TIME EXPECTED TO BE THURSDAY MORNING. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 75 MPH WILL
  BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. STRONGEST WINDS GUSTS
  WILL BE ABOVE TREE LINE. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY BY
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS DIMINISHING TO AROUND 45 MPH. 

* VISIBILITY...WIDESPREAD WHITEOUT CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND EARLY
  THURSDAY. AREAS OF RESTRICTED VISIBILITY IN SNOW AND BLOWING
  SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH DRIFTS 2 TO 4 FEET
  POSSIBLE.

* SNOW LEVEL...AROUND 8000 FEET MSL LOWERING BY THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CAUSE
  HAZARDOUS MOUNTAIN TRAVEL ALONG HIGHWAY 50 AND HIGHWAY 550.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR
VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...
MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

$$

COZ004-013-170500-
/O.CON.KGJT.WS.W.0006.110217T0700Z-110218T0700Z/
ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBINE...TOPONAS...BUFORD...
TRAPPERS LAKE
1247 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO MIDNIGHT MST THURSDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT MST THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 16 INCHES.

* SNOW LEVEL...SNOW LEVEL AROUND 7000 FEET...LOWERING THURSDAY 
  MORNING. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 BECOMING WEST THURSDAY AND
  DECREASING. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH MAINLY ABOVE TREE LINE. WINDS
  DECREASING THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* VISIBILITY...WILL BE IMPACTED AT TIMES IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO 
  SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

COZ010-UTZ023-170500-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0008.110217T0700Z-110218T0700Z/
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASPEN...VAIL...SNOWMASS...MANILA...
DUTCH JOHN
1247 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT MST THURSDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO MIDNIGHT MST THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...5 TO 10 INCHES.

* SNOW LEVEL...SNOW LEVEL AROUND 7000 FEET...LOWERING THURSDAY 
  MORNING. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...ESPECIALLY 
  ABOVE TREE LINE. 

* VISIBILITY...WILL BE IMPACTED AT TIMES IN SNOW SHOWERS AND 
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 

* IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO 
  SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ005-170500-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0008.110217T0700Z-110218T0400Z/
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...STEAMBOAT SPRINGS AND VICINITY
1247 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 9 PM MST THURSDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 9 PM MST THURSDAY. 

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH TONIGHT BECOMING WEST 10 TO
  20 MPH ON THURSDAY. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH MAINLY OVER EXPOSED
  TERRAIN.

* VISIBILITY...MAY BE IMPACTED AT TIMES IN SNOW SHOWERS AND 
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO SNOW AND 
  BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$
933 
WWUS45 KGJT 170451
WSWGJT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
951 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...WIND AND SNOW RETURN TO THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY...

.A PACIFIC STORM OVER THE WEST COAST TODAY WILL CROSS THE GREAT
BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES TONIGHT AND THURSDAY BRINGING STRONG
WINDS AND SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NORTHEAST UTAH AND NORTHWEST COLORADO LATE TONIGHT BUT THEN SLOW
OR STALL. THIS WILL INCREASE SNOWFALL ACROSS THE REGION AND
DECREASE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 COMBINING WITH MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL
TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE NEWS SOURCE FOR UPDATES IN THIS
WINTER STORM...OR VISIT THE GRAND JUNCTION NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/GJT.

COZ009-012-017>019-UTZ028-171600-
/O.CON.KGJT.BZ.W.0001.110217T0700Z-110218T0400Z/
GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKYWAY...CRESTED BUTTE...TAYLOR PARK...
MARBLE...RIDGWAY...GLADE PARK...OURAY...TELLURIDE...LAKE CITY...
SILVERTON...RICO...HESPERUS...MONTICELLO AND VICINITY
951 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THURSDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THURSDAY. 

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING WITH THE
  PEAK TIME EXPECTED TO BE THURSDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 75 MPH WILL
  BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. STRONGEST WIND GUSTS
  WILL BE ABOVE TREE LINE. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY BY
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS DIMINISHING TO AROUND 45 MPH.

* VISIBILITY...WIDESPREAD WHITEOUT CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND EARLY 
  THURSDAY. AREAS OF RESTRICTED VISIBILITY IN SNOW AND BLOWING 
  SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH DRIFTS OF 2 TO 4 FEET 
  POSSIBLE. 

* SNOW LEVEL...AROUND 8000 FEET MSL LOWERING BY THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CAUSE 
  HAZARDOUS MOUNTAIN TRAVEL ALONG HIGHWAY 50 AND HIGHWAY 550. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR
VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...
MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

$$

COZ004-013-171600-
/O.CON.KGJT.WS.W.0006.110217T0700Z-110218T0700Z/
ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBINE...TOPONAS...BUFORD...
TRAPPERS LAKE
951 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST
THURSDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 16 INCHES.

* SNOW LEVEL...SNOW LEVEL AROUND 7000 FEET...LOWERING TOMORROW 
  MORNING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 BECOMING WEST TOMORROW AND
  DECREASING. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH MAINLY ABOVE TREE LINE. WINDS
  DECREASING TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

* VISIBILITY...WILL BE IMPACTED AT TIMES IN SNOW AND BLOWING 
  SNOW.

* IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO 
  SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

COZ010-UTZ023-171600-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0008.110217T0700Z-110218T0700Z/
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASPEN...VAIL...SNOWMASS...MANILA...
DUTCH JOHN
951 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST
THURSDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...5 TO 10 INCHES.

* SNOW LEVEL...SNOW LEVEL AROUND 7000 FEET...LOWERING TOMORROW MORNING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...ESPECIALLY 
  ABOVE TREE LINE. 

* VISIBILITY...WILL BE IMPACTED AT TIMES IN SNOW SHOWERS AND 
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 

* IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO 
  SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ005-171600-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0008.110217T0700Z-110218T0400Z/
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...STEAMBOAT SPRINGS AND VICINITY
951 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST
THURSDAY. 

* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH TONIGHT BECOMING WEST 10 TO
  20 MPH TOMORROW. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH MAINLY OVER EXPOSED TERRAIN.

* VISIBILITY...MAY BE IMPACTED AT TIMES IN SNOW SHOWERS AND 
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO SNOW AND 
  BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$
350 
WWUS45 KGJT 171100
WSWGJT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
400 AM MST THU FEB 17 2011

...WIND AND SNOW CONTINUES FOR THE MOUNTAINS TODAY...

.A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WAS MAKING ITS WAY INTO WESTERN COLORADO
THIS MORNING. STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND A PERIOD OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL
ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF AND ALONG THE FRONT. WINDS WILL DECREASE
BEHIND THE FRONT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL HAMPER TRAVEL OVER
THE MOUNTAINS. THIS STORM WILL BE WINDING DOWN THIS EVENING.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE NEWS SOURCE FOR UPDATES 0N THIS WINTER
STORM...OR VISIT THE GRAND JUNCTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/GJT.

COZ009-012-171930-
/O.CAN.KGJT.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110218T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KGJT.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110218T0700Z/
GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKYWAY...CRESTED BUTTE...TAYLOR PARK...
MARBLE
400 AM MST THU FEB 17 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST TONIGHT...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST TONIGHT. THE BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* TIMING...NOW UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55 MPH WILL
  BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDDAY TODAY BEFORE DECREASING TO AROUND 45
  MPH THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ABOVE 10000 FEET

* VISIBILITY...BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY BELOW 1 MILE
  AT TIMES WITH LOCAL WHITEOUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. AREAS OF
  RESTRICTED VISIBILITY IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE
  THIS EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 ADDITIONAL INCHES EXPECTED TODAY WITH
  STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE FOOT. LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEST AND SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES.

* IMPACTS...BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS MOUNTAIN
  TRAVEL ALONG HIGHWAY 65 AND HIGHWAY 50.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE ALSO
EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

COZ017>019-171930-
/O.CAN.KGJT.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110218T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KGJT.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110218T0400Z/
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIDGWAY...GLADE PARK...OURAY...
TELLURIDE...LAKE CITY...SILVERTON...RICO...HESPERUS
400 AM MST THU FEB 17 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS
EVENING...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING. THE BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* TIMING...NOW UNTIL 900 PM THIS EVENING WITH THE PEAK TIME
  EXPECTED TO BE THIS MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55 MPH WILL
  BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING BEFORE DECREASING TO AROUND 40 MPH THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ABOVE 10000 FEET.

* VISIBILITY...AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO
  UNDER 1 MILE AT TIMES. LOCAL WHITEOUT CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
  ESPECIALLY ABOVE 10000 FEET.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAIN
  PASSES DUE TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

UTZ028-171930-
/O.CAN.KGJT.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110218T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KGJT.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110218T0400Z/
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MONTICELLO AND VICINITY
400 AM MST THU FEB 17 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS
EVENING...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING. THE BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* TIMING...NOW UNTIL 900 PM MST THIS EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES ABOVE 8500 FEET.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH MAINLY ABOVE
  10000 FEET.

* VISIBILITY...SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE
  VISIBILITY TO UNDER 1 MILE AT TIMES. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO SNOW AND
  BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ004-013-171930-
/O.CON.KGJT.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110218T0700Z/
ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBINE...TOPONAS...BUFORD...
TRAPPERS LAKE
400 AM MST THU FEB 17 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST
TONIGHT. 

* TIMING...NOW UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTAL OF 8 TO 16 INCHES AND GREATEST
  ON WEST FACING SLOPES.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 BECOMING WEST TOMORROW AND 
  DECREASING. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH MAINLY ABOVE TREE LINE. WINDS 
  DECREASING TOMORROW AFTERNOON. 

* VISIBILITY...AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO
  UNDER 1 MILE AT TIMES. LOCAL WHITEOUT CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
  ESPECIALLY ABOVE 10000 FEET.

* IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO 
  SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

COZ010-UTZ023-171930-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110218T0700Z/
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASPEN...VAIL...SNOWMASS...MANILA...
DUTCH JOHN
400 AM MST THU FEB 17 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST
TONIGHT. 

* TIMING...NOW UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...5 TO 10 INCHES.

* SNOW LEVEL...SNOW LEVEL AROUND 7000 FEET...LOWERING THIS MORNING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...ESPECIALLY 
  ABOVE TREE LINE. 

* VISIBILITY...WILL BE IMPACTED AT TIMES IN SNOW SHOWERS AND 
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 

* IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO 
  SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ005-171930-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110218T0400Z/
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...STEAMBOAT SPRINGS AND VICINITY
400 AM MST THU FEB 17 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS
EVENING. 

* TIMING...NOW UNTIL 900 PM THIS EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WINDS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING.

* VISIBILITY...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO
  UNDER 1 MILE AT MILES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO SNOW AND 
  BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this blizzard warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard warning went out at Feb 16, 4:55 AM MST, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 4:55 AM MST, 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
455 AM MST WED FEB 16 2011

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT

STRONG WINDS AND SNOW WILL HIT THE MOUNTAINS DURING THIS PERIOD...
WITH RAIN AND SNOW FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEYS NUMEROUS
WIND AND WINTER HIGHLIGHTS ARE IN EFFECT.

A PACIFIC STORM ALONG THE WEST COAST EARLY THIS MORNING WILL EJECT A
SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...WHILE THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH RELOADS AND REMAINS ALONG THE
WEST COAST. A COLD FRONT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE MOVES INTO NE UT/NW CO
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN SLOWS OR STALLS ACROSS SE UT AND WEST-
CENTRAL CO ON THU AS THE UPPER DISTURBANCE AND SFC LOW MOVE ACROSS
WY/MT/DAKOTAS.

SW WINDS STRENGTHEN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM IN A WARM ADVECTIVE PATTERN
TODAY. 700 MB WINDS FORECAST TO REACH 45-60 KTS ACROSS ERN UT AND NW
CO BY THIS EVENING...AS A 120-130 KT UPPER JET SETS UP FROM SRN UT
TO NW CO. HIGH WIND WARNING FOR GUSTS 75 MPH FOR THE MTNS IN ERN UT
AND NW CO LOOKS ON TRACK. BELIEVE ENOUGH MIXING COMBINED WITH A
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT GUSTIER WINDS SE UT AND NW
CO VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THAN MOS GUIDANCE PREDICTS...SO
WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING FOR GUSTS 45 MPH
FOR UT ZONES 27/29/22 AND CO ZONES 1/2. THINK THE GRAND VALLEY AND
ESPECIALLY THE ERN UINTA BASIN WILL NOT SEE QUITE AS STRONG. MODELS
SHOWING LESS WIND FROM VAIL/ASPEN TO THE SAN JUAN MTNS AND WILL
DOWNGRADE THE HIGH WIND WARNING THERE TO A WIND ADVISORY.

THE UPPER JET SHIFTS TO SW CO LATER TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
INTO THE NORTH. GOOD FRONTAL UPLIFT AND OROGRAPHIC FORCING WILL
BRING SNOW TO THE NORTH LATER TONIGHT INTO THU. WINDS TURN MORE
WESTERLY WHICH WILL FAVOR SNOW ACCUMS IN THE STEAMBOAT VALLEY.
UPGRADED THE WATCH TO A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE ELKHEAD/PARK/
FLATTOPS AREAS...AND TO A SNOW/BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE ELK MTNS
AROUND ASPEN AND VAIL...STEAMBOAT VALLEY...AND FOR THE EASTERN UINTA
MTNS. THE TAVAPUTS AND ROAN PLATEAUS LOOK SHY OF ADVISORY SNOW
AMOUNTS...BUT PERIODS OF SNOW/BLOWING SNOW WILL STILL CAUSE PROBLEMS
FOR DOUGLAS PASS EARLY THU MORNING. WILL ALSO HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON
THE NW CO VALLEYS WHERE OVERRUNNING COULD RESULT IN GREATER SNOW
ACCUMS...AND WIND FOR BLOWING SNOW.

00Z MODELS WERE RATHER STINGY WITH SNOW ACCUMS FOR THE SOUTHERN
MTNS...HOWEVER...WHERE SNOW LEVELS MAY START OFF 8000 FT OR
HIGHER THIS EVENING BEFORE LOWERING BY THU. BUT...EXPECT WIND WILL
BE PREVALENT WITH THE UPPER JET OVERHEAD THROUGH THU. GUSTS OVER 70
MPH EXPECTED ABOVE 10K FEET. THUS...DECIDED TO UPGRADE THE BLIZZARD
WATCH TO A BLIZZARD WARNING FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THU EVENING.
PEAK TIME FOR SNOW/WIND IN THE BLIZZARD WARNING LOOKS LIKE 300 AM TO
ABOUT NOON THU.

WEATHER WINDS DOWN THU NIGHT.

THANKS TO SLC/BOU/CYS/PUB FOR THE COORDINATION!

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND AS A MEAN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC DURING THE LATTER PART OF
THE WORK WEEK. NAM...GFS AND ECMWF WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT EARLY ON
THOUGH SOLUTIONS DIVERGE THIS WEEKEND WITH RESPECT TO PROPAGATION OF
A DEEP SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE WEST. HPC DISCUSSED A FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD
IN ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS ACROSS THE WEST DURING THE PERIOD...SO FORECAST
CONFIDENCE NOT GREAT THIS MORNING. CONSEQUENTLY...WILL ABSTAIN FROM
MAKING ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE GOING FORECAST.

FRIDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT: FLOW BACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST FRIDAY AS THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC DEEPENS. LIFT NEGLIGIBLE
BENEATH WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGE ALOFT AND MOISTURE LIMITED SO EXCEPT
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...
EXPECT MAINLY DRY WEATHER. DESPITE WARM AIR ADVECTION...DOUBTFUL
THERE WILL BE ENOUGH WIND ALOFT TO MIX WARMER AIR INTO THE VALLEYS
AND TEMPERATURES LIKELY TO ONLY REACH NORMAL LEVELS DURING THE
AFTERNOON...THOUGH INCREASING CLOUDS SHOULD HELP BUOY OVERNIGHT
LOWS.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY: WEATHER BECOMES MORE ACTIVE THIS WEEKEND AS THE
DEEP EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND ON SATURDAY. IN
RESPONSE...FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHERLY AND INCREASES AT RIDGE TOP
LEVEL DURING THE DAY. IMPRESSIVE DIFFLUENCE AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT
INDICATED WHILE SURGE OF DEEPER PACIFIC MOISTURE MAKES ITS WAY INTO
THE REGION. CONSEQUENTLY...EXPECT WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO DEVELOP
SATURDAY...FAVORING THE SOUTH. CONTINUED WAA PROMISES TO RAISE
SNOWLEVELS ABOVE MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS...EVEN INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. EC
AND GFS BEGIN TO DIVERGE FAIRLY SIGNIFICANTLY SATURDAY NIGHT AS MUCH
MORE PROGRESSIVE GFS CARRIES THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS OVER THE
CWFA BY SUNDAY MORNING WHILE THE EC HOLDS A MORE VERTICALLY STACKED
SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT BASIN. DESPITE MODEL DIFFERENCES...BOTH
INDICATED WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY.

MONDAY-TUESDAY: THE NEXT LOW DEVELOPS OFF THE COAST LATE MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. MODELS KEEP THIS FEATURE UPSTREAM THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD...BUT THE STRONG AND MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
KEEP CONDITIONS UNSETTLED.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THIS MORNING...
HOWEVER LOCAL HAZE OR FOG IN THE UINTAH BASIN WILL BRING MVFR VSBY
THROUGH MIDDAY. EXPECT GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS TO DEVELOP AROUND NOON
...ESPECIALLY ALONG 125 NM WIDE CORRIDOR CENTERED ON A KPGA TO 30W
KRWL LINE. RIDGE TOP WINDS WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR WILL FREQUENTLY GUST
IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH AND OCCASIONALLY ABOVE 75 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. IN ADDITION...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS WHICH WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL MVFR CIGS AND VSBY
IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. CONDITIONS DETERIORATE FURTHER TONIGHT AS
SNOW BECOMES WIDESPREAD WITH MVFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES BECOMING THE
NORMAL AND IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS COMMON DUE TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM MST TODAY FOR ZONES 01-02.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 5 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT MST TONIGHT
      FOR ZONES 003-004-009-013-17.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT MST TONIGHT FOR
      ZONES 10-12-18-19.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL 9 PM MST THURSDAY
      EVENING FOR ZONES 09-12-17-18-19.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
      THURSDAY NIGHT FOR ZONES 04-13.
     SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL
      MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT FOR ZONES 05-10.
UT...WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM MST TODAY FOR ZONES 22-27-29.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 5 PM TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MST TONIGHT FOR
      ZONES 023-025-028.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL 9 PM MST THURSDAY
      EVENING FOR ZONE 28.
     SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL
      MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT FOR ZONE 23.

&&

SHORT TERM...JAD
LONG TERM....NL/EH
AVIATION.....TGJT
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 5:45 AM MST, 23 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
545 AM MST TUE FEB 15 2011

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-161300-
ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GRAND VALLEY-LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-
SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-
545 AM MST TUE FEB 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CHANGE IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION HERALDING THE BEGINNING OF
UNSETTLED WEATHER WHICH IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
MOUNTAINS...BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...EXPECT UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH PERIODS OF
SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS...OCCASIONALLY DRIFTING OVER THE VALLEYS.
COOLER WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW SEASONAL NORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TGJT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Junction, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 16, 5:12 AM MSTWinter Storm WarningGJTDelta, Eagle, Garfield, Gunnison, Mesa, Moffat and 3 more39 hr
Feb 16, 5:12 AM MSTWinter Weather AdvisoryGJTArchuleta, Delta, Dolores, Eagle, Garfield, Gunnison and 10 more39 hr
Feb 16, 5:29 AM MSTWind AdvisoryGJTArchuleta, Delta, Dolores, Eagle, Garfield, Gunnison and 11 more19 hr

Nearby

Blizzard Warnings in Colorado, 2011Blizzard Warnings in Utah, 2011Every blizzard warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.