Winter Storm Warning 6, NWS Hastings, NE

218 
WWUS43 KGID 191741
WSWGID

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1141 AM CST MON DEC 19 2011

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON....

.SNOWFALL WILL OVERTAKE THE AREA BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE INTO THE DAY TUESDAY. SNOWFALL MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...WITH STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ON THE ORDER OF 5 TO 12 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF ROOKS...OSBORNE AND MITCHELL COUNTIES. FARTHER
NORTH...ACROSS PORTIONS OF PHILLIPS...SMITH AND JEWELL
COUNTIES...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 5 INCHES ARE
FORECAST. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE
ALSO EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO
25 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH...WILL CREATE
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS IN BLOWING SNOW.

KSZ017>019-200200-
/O.CON.KGID.WS.W.0006.111220T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...
BELOIT
1141 AM CST MON DEC 19 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY...


* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS
  OF 5 TO 12 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED.

* TIMING...SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. MUCH OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL WILL
  END BY NOON TUESDAY...HOWEVER LIGHT SNOW MAY STILL BE OBSERVED
  THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS
  TO NEAR 35 MPH...ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...THUS
  RESULTING IN RESTRICTED VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW.

* UNCERTAINTY...A TIGHT GRADIENT IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH
  THIS STORM SYSTEM. EVEN A MINOR SHIFT NORTH OR SOUTH IN THE
  TRAJECTORY OF THIS WINTER STORM WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON
  SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ005>007-200200-
/O.CON.KGID.WW.Y.0019.111220T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO
1141 AM CST MON DEC 19 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY...


* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS
  OF 1 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED.

* TIMING...SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. MUCH OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL WILL
  END BY NOON TUESDAY...HOWEVER LIGHT SNOW MAY STILL BE OBSERVED
  THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS
  TO NEAR 35 MPH...ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...THUS
  RESULTING IN RESTRICTED VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW.

* UNCERTAINTY...A TIGHT GRADIENT IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH
  THIS STORM SYSTEM. EVEN A MINOR SHIFT NORTH OR SOUTH IN THE
  TRAJECTORY OF THIS WINTER STORM WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON
  SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

BRYANT

036 
WWUS43 KGID 192123
WSWGID

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
323 PM CST MON DEC 19 2011

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON....

.SNOWFALL WILL OVERTAKE THE AREA AND CONTINUE INTO THE DAY
TUESDAY. SNOWFALL MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS...WITH STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ON THE ORDER OF 5
TO 12 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF ROOKS...OSBORNE AND
MITCHELL COUNTIES. FARTHER NORTH...ACROSS PORTIONS OF
PHILLIPS...SMITH AND JEWELL COUNTIES... STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 5 INCHES ARE FORECAST. IN ADDITION TO THE
SNOWFALL...STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY
GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH...WILL CREATE VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS IN
BLOWING SNOW.

KSZ017>019-200600-
/O.EXT.KGID.WS.W.0006.111219T2123Z-111221T0000Z/
ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...
BELOIT
323 PM CST MON DEC 19 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY...


* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 12 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. 

* TIMING...SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. MUCH OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL 
  WILL END BY NOON TUESDAY...HOWEVER LIGHT SNOW MAY STILL BE 
  OBSERVED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS 
  TO NEAR 35 MPH...ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...THUS 
  RESULTING IN RESTRICTED VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW. 

* UNCERTAINTY...A TIGHT GRADIENT IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED 
  WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM. EVEN A MINOR SHIFT NORTH OR SOUTH IN 
  THE TRAJECTORY OF THIS WINTER STORM WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT 
  IMPACT ON SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ005>007-200600-
/O.CON.KGID.WW.Y.0019.111220T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO
323 PM CST MON DEC 19 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...


* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. 

* TIMING...SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. MUCH OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL 
  WILL END BY NOON TUESDAY...HOWEVER LIGHT SNOW MAY STILL BE 
  OBSERVED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS 
  TO NEAR 35 MPH...ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...THUS 
  RESULTING IN RESTRICTED VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW. 

* UNCERTAINTY...A TIGHT GRADIENT IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED 
  WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM. EVEN A MINOR SHIFT NORTH OR SOUTH IN 
  THE TRAJECTORY OF THIS WINTER STORM WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT 
  IMPACT ON SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

BRYANT

837 
WWUS43 KGID 200439
WSWGID

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1039 PM CST MON DEC 19 2011

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON....

.SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TO OVERTAKE THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND 
CONTINUE INTO THE DAY TUESDAY. SNOWFALL MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...WITH STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ON THE ORDER OF 5 TO 12 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF ROOKS...OSBORNE AND MITCHELL COUNTIES. FARTHER
NORTH...ACROSS PORTIONS OF PHILLIPS... SMITH AND JEWELL
COUNTIES... STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 5 INCHES ARE
FORECAST. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...STRONG NORTH WINDS ARE
ALSO EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO
25 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH...WILL CREATE
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS IN BLOWING SNOW.

KSZ017>019-201245-
/O.CON.KGID.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...
BELOIT
1039 PM CST MON DEC 19 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. 

* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 12 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. 

* TIMING...SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH OVERNIGHT AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. MUCH OF THE ACCUMULATING
  SNOWFALL WILL END BY NOON TUESDAY...HOWEVER LIGHT SNOW MAY STILL
  BE OBSERVED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO
  NEAR 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...THUS RESULTING IN RESTRICTED 
  VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW.

* UNCERTAINTY...A TIGHT GRADIENT IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED 
  WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM. EVEN A MINOR SHIFT NORTH OR SOUTH IN 
  THE TRAJECTORY OF THIS WINTER STORM WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT 
  IMPACT ON SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ005>007-201245-
/O.CON.KGID.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO
1039 PM CST MON DEC 19 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY. 

* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. 

* TIMING...SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN MAINLY OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. MUCH OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL WILL
  END BY NOON TUESDAY...HOWEVER LIGHT SNOW MAY STILL BE OBSERVED
  THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO
  NEAR 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...THUS RESULTING IN RESTRICTED 
  VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW.

* UNCERTAINTY...A TIGHT GRADIENT IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED 
  WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM. EVEN A MINOR SHIFT NORTH OR SOUTH IN 
  THE TRAJECTORY OF THIS WINTER STORM WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT 
  IMPACT ON SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

HEINLEIN

834 
WWUS43 KGID 201021
WSWGID

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
421 AM CST TUE DEC 20 2011

KSZ017>019-201830-
/O.CON.KGID.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...
BELOIT
421 AM CST TUE DEC 20 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING... 

* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS
  OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
  TODAY...WITH MUCH OF THE HEAVIER ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TAPERING
  OFF TO AN END BY NOON. HOWEVER...LIGHT SNOW MAY STILL BE
  OBSERVED THIS AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO
  NEAR 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...THUS RESULTING IN
  RESTRICTED VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
  DIMINISH BY LATE MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ005>007-201830-
/O.CON.KGID.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO
421 AM CST TUE DEC 20 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS
  OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
  TODAY...WITH MUCH OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TAPERING OFF TO
  AN END BY NOON. HOWEVER..LIGHT SNOW MAY STILL BE OBSERVED THIS
  AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO
  NEAR 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...THUS RESULTING IN
  RESTRICTED VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
  DIMINISH BY LATE MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

895 
WWUS43 KGID 201743
WSWGID

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1143 AM CST TUE DEC 20 2011


KSZ017>019-201845-
/O.CAN.KGID.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON...OSBORNE...
BELOIT
1143 AM CST TUE DEC 20 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

SNOW IS COMING TO AN END ACROSS THE AREA. ALTHOUGH SNOW FLURRIES
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED AND THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED AS A RESULT.

$$

KSZ005>007-201845-
/O.CAN.KGID.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-111221T0000Z/
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...SMITH CENTER...MANKATO
1143 AM CST TUE DEC 20 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

SNOW IS COMING TO AN END ACROSS THE AREA. ALTHOUGH SNOW FLURRIES
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED AND THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED AS A RESULT.

$$

BRYANT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1050 PM CST SUN DEC 18 2011

.AVIATION...06Z KGRI TAF. THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THE TAF PERIOD WILL
BE THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND
SUBSEQUENT INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS MONDAY MORNING BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT. GUSTS WILL BE QUITE STRONG BY MID-MORNING MONDAY AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST THEREAFTER. ALSO...IFR
CEILINGS COULD OCCUR FOR A SHORT TIME BEHIND THE FRONT BEFORE
IMPROVING BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. CONFIDENCE IS LOW WITH CEILING
HEIGHTS AND TIMING.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 404 PM CST SUN DEC 18 2011/

SHORT TERM...THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. FOREMOST FOCUS IS ON THE
BEGINNING STAGES OF A FAIRLY MAJOR WINTER STORM THAT WILL BE
IMPACTING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.

IN THE MEANTIME...THE WEEKEND CONTINUES TO END ON A QUITE
SEASONABLY MILD NOTE. 21Z OBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS AND AUTOMATED
OBS REVEAL A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH AXIS DRAPED FROM NORTH-SOUTH
ACROSS THE CWA...EXTENDING WELL SOUTHWARD FROM A 1000MB LOW
CENTERED OVER FAR NORTHWEST MN. AS EXPECTED...SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST
BREEZES HAVE BEEN WEAKEST ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
CWA...TYPICALLY NO MORE THAN 5-10 MPH...WHILE HIGHER SUSTAINED
SPEEDS WITH GUSTS TO 20-25 MPH ARE EVIDENT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.
ONLY THIN PATCHES OF HIGH CIRRUS ARE STREAMING OVERHEAD THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH ANY SUBSTANTIAL LOWER STRATUS HOLDING TO THE
SOUTH IN PARTS SOUTH CENTRAL/EASTERN KANSAS. MADE VERY FEW CHANGES
EARLIER TO INHERITED HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR THIS
AFTERNOON...AND OVERALL THINGS ARE AGAIN WORKING OUT QUITE
WELL...WITH LOW 50S COMMON ACROSS MOST NEB ZONES...AND LOW-MID 50S
COMMON IN KS. SHOULDN/T BE ANY COMPLAINTS WITH READINGS 13+
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE DATE. ALOFT...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND
SHORT TERM MODEL DATA CURRENTLY REVEAL UNEVENTFUL WESTERLY FLOW
OVERHEAD...WELL DOWNSTREAM FROM THE WELL-DEFINED...CHURNING CLOSED
LOW JUST STARTING TO MAKE ITS WAY EAST ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN AZ. TO
THE NORTH...BROAD MID LEVEL WAVE CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHEAST
ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA AND THE FAR NORTHERN CONUS.

FOR THIS EVENING/TONIGHT...DRY WEATHER WITH NO PRECIP CONCERNS
ANTICIPATED. ONLY REAL ISSUE IS INVADING COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH
BEHIND THE NORTHERN WAVE. MAIN PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS ARRIVES
IN THE NORTH MAINLY AFTER 08Z TONIGHT...WITH FRONT THROUGH MOST
OF THE CWA BY SUNRISE WITH SUSTAINED NORTHERLY SPEEDS TO AROUND 20
MPH AND GUSTS 25-30 MPH. WHILE SOME LOW STRATUS SHOULD BE EVIDENT
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LATE TONIGHT...NOT ANTICIPATING ANY PRECIP
THROUGH SUNRISE. FOR LOW TEMPS TONIGHT...NUDGED UP 1-2 DEGREES
MOST AREAS RANGING FROM LOW 20S NORTHWEST TO AROUND 30 FAR
SOUTHEAST.

ISSUES START TO INCREASE ON MONDAY...AS THE SOUTHWEST CONUS CLOSED
LOW STARTS TO EJECT TOWARD THE MID-CONUS...WITH MODELS SUCH AS
NAM/GFS/ECMWF IN DECENT AGREEMENT PLACING THE CENTER OF THE 500MB
CIRCULATION OVER THE TX PANHANDLE AT 00Z EARLY MONDAY EVENING.
INITIAL CONCERN IN THE MORNING IS WHETHER STRATUS DECK MIGHT BE
JUST DEEP ENOUGH TO GENERATE A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING
DRIZZLE IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. GOING BY 18Z NAM 0-0.5 KM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY PROGS...ALONG WITH NAM BLOTCHY QPF
SIGNATURE...ONLY FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA COULD HAVE DEEP
ENOUGH MOISTURE TO ALLOW -FZDZ PRODUCTION...AND HAVE INTRODUCED
THIS INTO THE FORECAST IN THE MORNING GENERALLY WEST OF A
LEXINGTON-OSBORNE LINE. ALTHOUGH IT DOESN/T TAKE MUCH FREEZING
DRIZZLE TO CAUSE PROBLEMS...THIS SHOULD BE A VERY MINOR ICING
SITUATION...IF IT EVEN OCCURS AT ALL. CERTAINLY THE MONDAY
AFTERNOON PERIOD...MAINLY AFTER 21Z...IS WHEN THINGS START TO GET
MORE INTERESTING...AS LARGE SCALE FORCING/UPPER JET DIVERGENCE/MID
LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING LOW SATURATE
THE MID LAYERS AND ACCUMULATING SNOW STARTS TO OVERSPREAD THE
STATE OF KS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. FOR KS PORTIONS OF OUR
CWA...HAVE LIKELY POPS INTO ROOKS/OSBORNE/MITCHELL COUNTIES IN THE
AFTERNOON...WITH LESSER CHANCES NORTH TOWARD THE STATE LINE AND
ESSENTIALLY NO RISK FOR AFTERNOON PRECIP ACROSS THE VAST MAJORITY
OF NEB ZONES. AS FOR SNOW BEFORE SUNSET...ONLY HAVE UP TO ONE HALF
INCH IN THE FAR SOUTHERN CWA...AS SURFACE/NEAR SURFACE TEMPS COULD
ACTUALLY BE JUST WARM ENOUGH TO START THINGS OUT AS RAIN BEFORE A
SWITCH OVER OCCURS. BY FAR THE MAIN EVENT HOLDS OFF UNTIL AFTER
SUNSET...AS COVERED BELOW.

AS FOR HIGH TEMPS MONDAY...DEBATED USING A NON-DIURNAL TEMP
CURVE...AS TEMPS WILL LIKELY FALL IN MANY AREAS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. ENDED UP LEAVING SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECAST BUT
ACTUALLY WARMED SOUTH A BIT...WITH HIGHS NOW RANGING FROM AROUND
32 IN THE NORTH...TO 36-38 IN THE SOUTH. WIND-WISE DURING THE
DAY...SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 25 TO NEAR 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AT
LEAST 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE CWA-WIDE...BUT THESE SPEEDS CONTINUE TO
FALL AT LEAST SLIGHTLY SHORT OF NEEDING A WIND ADVISORY. NO
MATTER...WILL CERTAINLY FEEL LIKE WINTER AGAIN.

LONG TERM...00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MAIN FOCUS REMAINS THE
FIRST FEW PERIODS OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST WHEN THE LOCAL AREA
WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY TRACKING ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.

THIS CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
ACROSS THE STATE OF KANSAS ON TUESDAY...WITH A GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT TAKING THE TRACK WELL SOUTH OF THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA.
EVEN SO...LATEST GUIDANCE HAS NUDGED THIS FORECAST TRACK JUST A
BIT FURTHER NORTH...AND DUE TO THE VERY TIGHT PRECIPITATION
GRADIENT EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM...NOW EXPECT AT LEAST SOME
LIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS AREAS SOUTH OF THE PLATTE RIVER
BEGINNING LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS KANSAS...AND SPREADING
NORTHWARD DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO TUESDAY. AS A
RESULT OF THE SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN TRACK AND THE PROFOUND IMPACT
THIS WILL HAVE ON ACTUAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS...WENT AHEAD AND
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS...ALTHOUGH ADMITTEDLY AT THIS TIME...CURRENT FORECAST
SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE JUST BELOW WARNING CRITERIA ACROSS OUR AREA.

WHILE THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE INITIAL PASSAGE OF
THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...EXPECT A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT TO CONTINUE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS KANSAS...AND FOR
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE DURATION OF THE
APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL LOW. AS A RESULT...ADDITIONALLY
HIGHLIGHTED POTENTIAL FOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IN BOTH THE
UPDATED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AS WELL AS WELL AS IN THE ACTUAL
WINTER STORM WATCH.

BEYOND TUESDAY...SEVERAL THINGS TO HIGHLIGHT THIS AFTERNOON. FIRST
OFF...DEPENDING ON ACTUAL SNOW COVER...TEMPERATURES MAY NEED TO BE
ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SOME...ESPECIALLY ACROSS KANSAS WHERE SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS WITH APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM ARE FORECAST TO BE THE
GREATEST...BUT DUE TO INHERENT UNCERTAINTIES...STUCK VERY CLOSE TO
GUIDANCE AT THIS TIME. IN ADDITION TO ADMITTED UNCERTAINTIES IN
TEMPS...IT NOW APPEARS THAT THE NEXT COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO CROSS
THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING OR THURSDAY...LOOKS TO HAVE
ENOUGH AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO GENERATE SOME LIGHT
SNOWFALL OR AT LEAST SOME SNOW FLURRIES ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA...AND WENT AHEAD AND INTRODUCED THIS TO FORECAST. NO OTHER
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO NOTE IN CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR KSZ007-017>019.

&&

SHORT TERM...PFANNKUCH
LONG TERM...ROSSI
AVIATION...HEINLEIN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
240 PM CST SUN DEC 18 2011

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
191200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
240 PM CST SUN DEC 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ON MONDAY MORNING...A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE IS
POSSIBLE BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT FOR LOCATIONS GENERALLY WEST
OF A LINE FROM LEXINGTON NEBRASKA TO OSBORNE KANSAS. VERY
LITTLE...IF ANY ICING IS ANTICIPATED.

THEREAFTER...A POTENT WINTER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT
PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA BEGINNING LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY. WHILE THERE IS A CHANCE FOR LIGHT ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL GENERALLY SOUTH OF THE PLATTE RIVER...THE HEAVIEST
SNOWFALL TOTALS...BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...WHERE A WINTER STORM WATCH IS
IN EFFECT. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...RESULTING IN AREAS
OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH THE EVENT. PLEASE REFER TO
THE WINTER STORM WATCH PRODUCT FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

ROSSI/PFANNKUCH