Severe Thunderstorm Warning 321, NWS Hastings, NE

979 
WWUS53 KGID 080257
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
957 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

NEC019-079-093-163-080330-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0321.000000T0000Z-111008T0330Z/
BUFFALO NE-HALL NE-HOWARD NE-SHERMAN NE-
957 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
SHERMAN...WESTERN HOWARD...NORTHWESTERN HALL AND NORTHEASTERN BUFFALO
COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 955 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM BOELUS TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF POOLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BOELUS...FARWELL...CAIRO...DANNEBROG...ELBA AND ST. PAUL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4134 9846 4093 9842 4085 9894 4100 9893
      4120 9891
TIME...MOT...LOC 0257Z 231DEG 26KT 4109 9875 4104 9870
          4092 9880
WIND...HAIL 70MPH <.75IN

$$

FAY

376 
WWUS53 KGID 080307
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1007 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

NEC019-163-080317-
/O.CAN.KGID.SV.W.0321.000000T0000Z-111008T0330Z/
BUFFALO NE-SHERMAN NE-
1007 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHERMAN AND
NORTHEASTERN BUFFALO COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 4134 9846 4103 9843 4097 9872 4104 9872
      4105 9874 4125 9875
TIME...MOT...LOC 0307Z 221DEG 37KT 4120 9863 4115 9859
          4106 9864

$$

NEC079-093-080330-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0321.000000T0000Z-111008T0330Z/
HALL NE-HOWARD NE-
1007 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN HOWARD
AND NORTHWESTERN HALL COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 1005 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM FARWELL TO DANNEBROG TO BOELUS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FARWELL...DANNEBROG...ELBA AND ST. PAUL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4134 9846 4103 9843 4097 9872 4104 9872
      4105 9874 4125 9875
TIME...MOT...LOC 0307Z 221DEG 37KT 4120 9863 4115 9859
          4106 9864
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.75IN

$$

FAY

278 
WWUS53 KGID 080316
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1016 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

NEC079-080325-
/O.CAN.KGID.SV.W.0321.000000T0000Z-111008T0330Z/
HALL NE-
1016 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN HALL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 4134 9846 4105 9843 4105 9868 4127 9868
TIME...MOT...LOC 0315Z 223DEG 53KT 4130 9849 4124 9847
          4116 9850

$$

NEC093-080330-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0321.000000T0000Z-111008T0330Z/
HOWARD NE-
1016 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL HOWARD
COUNTY UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 1009 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM FARWELL TO DANNEBROG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ST. PAUL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4134 9846 4105 9843 4105 9868 4127 9868
TIME...MOT...LOC 0315Z 223DEG 50KT 4130 9849 4124 9847
          4116 9850
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.75IN

$$

FAY

283 
WWUS53 KGID 080327
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1027 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

NEC093-080337-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0321.000000T0000Z-111008T0330Z/
HOWARD NE-
1027 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL HOWARD COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 1030 PM CDT...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A TORNADO 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

LAT...LON 4134 9846 4105 9843 4105 9868 4127 9868
TIME...MOT...LOC 0327Z 223DEG 50KT 4142 9834 4136 9832
          4128 9835

$$

FAY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
858 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED THE FORECAST EARLIER FOR THE NEW TORNADO
WATCH IN THE NORTHWESTERN CWA AND ALSO EXPIRED WIND ADVISORY IN
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. TRIMMED BACK CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION IN THE
SOUTHEAST AS THE CORRIDOR OF PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
SHIFTING WEST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 642 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011/

AVIATION...00Z TAF. AN ACTIVE WEATHER PERIOD IS EXPECTED WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE TERMINAL LOCATION ALREADY. WILL
CARRY A BRIEF TEMPO GROUP FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS...BUT IT APPEARS THAT THE MAIN AREA OF RAIN SHOULD PUSH
BACK TO THE NORTHWEST FOR A WHILE TONIGHT BEFORE RETURNING TO THE
SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY. WILL CARRY CATEGORICAL RAIN CHANCES AFTER
16Z WITH SEVERAL MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGESTING SATURDAY COULD BE A
WET DAY. CEILINGS WILL START AT VFR...BUT THEY WILL GRADUALLY DROP
INTO AT LEAST MVFR LEVELS AS THE RAIN APPROACHES. THERE IS SOME
CHANCE CONDITIONS COULD DROP TO IFR LEVELS...BUT WAS NOT YET
CONFIDENT ENOUGH IN THAT TO CARRY IT IN THE FORECAST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 354 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011/

SHORT TERM...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH DAYTIME SATURDAY. THE
PARAMOUNT ISSUE IS THE THREAT FOR STRONG/SEVERE STORMS DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND THE FIRST OF POTENTIALLY SEVERAL ROUNDS OF
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

AS OF 2015Z...THE FIRST FAIRLY ISOLATED...FAST-MOVING STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS OF THE DAY HAD ALREADY FIRED UP ALONG A NARROW
CORRIDOR FROM FROM NEAR NEAR PHILLIPSBURG TO GRAND ISLAND...MOVING
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT AROUND 45 MPH. ALTHOUGH THIS CONVECTION HAS
FIRED EARLIER THAN ORIGINALLY THOUGHT...THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC AND
MESOSCALE STORY REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED. 20Z OBJECTIVE SFC
ANALYSIS PLACES A ROUGHLY 990MB LOW NEAR THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE
ND/MT BORDER...WITH THE EFFECTIVE SURFACE TROUGH/COLD FRONT
STRETCHING SOUTH ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL/WESTERN NEB...VERY CLOSE TO
THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE CWA. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS
NEARLY THE ENTIRE CWA IN THE TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT EAST OF
THE TROUGH AXIS...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS COMMONLY 20-25 MPH...AND
LOCALLY HIGHER. ALTHOUGH IT HAS BEEN FAIRLY MARGINAL THROUGH THE
DAY...STRUGGLING TO ACHIEVE 30 MPH SUSTAINED SPEEDS...WILL LET THE
WIND ADVISORY ACROSS 4 OF THE KS COUNTIES RIDE FOR NOW.
ALOFT...LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SHORT TERM MODEL DATA
DEPICTS A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS...WITH
ONE CLOSED LOW EXITING ND INTO CANADA...AND THE PRIMARY UPSTREAM
ONE OF INTEREST CENTERED NEAR THE 4 CORNERS REGION. IN BETWEEN A
ROUGHLY 110KT H3 JET EXTENDS BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS.

THE GENERAL SCENARIO IS FOR STORMS TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING INTO
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS MAINLY ALONG THE ALREADY-DEFINED
SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST CORRIDOR FOCUSED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CORRIDOR
OF THE CWA. PER THE 12Z 4KM WRF-NMM EXPLICIT REFLECTIVITY...STORMS
WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING AND RACING NORTHEAST...WITH THE PRIMARY
THREATS CONSISTING OF DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL. HOWEVER...ANY STORM
THAT CAN REMAIN DISCRETE FOR A MODEST PERIOD OF TIME COULD TRY
PUTTING DOWN A BRIEF TORNADO...ESPECIALLY TOWARD SUNSET AND
THEREAFTER AS LOW LEVEL 0-0.5 KM CONTINUES TO INCREASE INTO AT
LEAST THE 20-25KT RANGE. OTHERWISE...MULTIPLE STORM MERGERS SHOULD
RESULT IN A GRADUAL OR POTENTIALLY FAIRLY QUICK TRANSITION TO A
QUASI-LINEAR/LINEAR MODE GIVEN THAT DEEP LAYER SHEAR VECTORS ARE
ORIENTED LARGELY PARALLEL TO THE INITIATING LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY. AT
LEAST FOR THE FIRST SEVERAL HOURS...STORMS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
CLOSELY TIED TO THE NARROW INITIATING CORRIDOR...BUT WITH TIME
SHOULD EXPAND OFF TO ESPECIALLY THE NORTH AND WEST...POSSIBLE
DEVELOPING ALONG OUTFLOW. ALTHOUGH ISOLATED ACTIVITY COULD DEVELOP
EAST OF THE CURRENT CORRIDOR IN AN ENVIRONMENT FEATURING A WEAK
CAP AND 1000-1500 J/KG AT ANY TIME...THE OVERALL THINKING IS THAT
MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE CWA WILL REMAIN STORM
FREE...POTENTIALLY THROUGH THE NIGHT. THIS IS LARGELY IN RESPONSE
TO THE STEERING FLOW ALOFT TURNING MORE MERIDIONAL AS THE
SOUTHWEST CONUS CLOSED LOW LIFTS NORTHEAST TOWARD THE NM/CO
BORDER...FOCUSING CONVECTION FARTHER WEST.

AFTER DARK TONIGHT...THE LATEST TREND FROM THE 18Z NAM IS TO FOCUS
MOST OF THE CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHWEST 1/4 OF THE CWA...AND
EVEN WEST OF THE CWA ALTOGETHER. STAY TUNED...AS FUTURE UPDATES
THIS EVENING COULD NECESSITATE A CONSIDERABLE LOWERING OF POPS
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST 1/2.

FOR THE DAYTIME HOURS SATURDAY...MAINTAINED HIGH 70-80 POPS FROM
INHERITED FORECAST...WITH ONLY MINOR TWEAKING. HOWEVER..WANT TO
EMPHASIZE THAT THE DAY IS BY NO MEANS A SURE WASHOUT FOR ALL
AREAS...AS SHOWERS/STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY EXPAND EASTWARD ACROSS
THE CWA FROM WEST TO EAST...WHILE STREAMING SOUTH TO NORTH.
ALTHOUGH NOT ANTICIPATING A MAJOR SEVERE THREAT WITH INSTABILITY
STUNTED BY CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER...WILL HAVE TO MONITOR
ESPECIALLY SOUTHWEST ZONES IN THE AFTERNOON AS A MID LEVEL DRY
SLOT COULD TRY WORKING NORTH ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
MID LEVEL LOW TRACKING NORTH ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO.

BRIEFLY FOCUSING ON TEMPERATURES...RAISED LOWS TONIGHT A FEW
DEGREES...AND SEVERAL DEGREES IN THE NORTHWEST...TO ACCOUNT FOR
PERSISTENT SOUTH/SOUTHEAST FLOW AND WESTWARD SHIFT OF SYNOPTIC
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE. DESPITE RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...THE WARMER START AND POTENTIAL FOR
A FEW PEEKS OF AFTERNOON SUN SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FLAT-
LINING ALL DAY...AND ACTUALLY BUMPED UP HIGHS A BIT...AIMING FOR
MID 60S FAR WEST/NORTHWEST...TO MID 70S FAR EAST.

IN CLOSING...KEEP IN MIND THAT DESPITE THE HIGH POPS AND POTENTIAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...NOT EVERYBODY WILL SEE
STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL AT THE SAME TIME...WITH PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST CWA POSSIBLY REMAINING HIGH AND DRY UNTIL VERY LATE
TONIGHT OR EVEN WELL INTO THE DAY ON SATURDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL LIKELY VARY CONSIDERABLY OVER SMALL AREAS...AND SOME AREAS
ASSIGNED VERY HIGH POPS COULD GO DRY FOR HOURS. CERTAINLY OVER THE
COURSE OF THE ENTIRE WEEKEND THOUGH...PARTS OF THE CWA COULD TALLY
IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES OF RAIN...AND IT WILL RAIN AT SOME POINT.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.  THE MAIN CONCERN
WILL BE THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BEGIN WITH A LARGE
TROUGH/LOW AT H5 ACROSS THE ROCKIES WHILE HIGH PRESSURE SITS
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK LOW
WILL BE LOCATED IN WESTERN KANSAS/EASTERN COLORADO WITH A FRONT
STRETCHING NORTHWARD OUT OF THE LOW INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. THE H5 LOW/TROUGH WILL NOT MAKE MUCH PROGRESS EAST
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...BUT DOES BEGIN TO ACCELERATE SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY...HOWEVER TRYING TO NAIL DOWN THE
TIMES OF GREATER VERSUS LESSER CHANCES WILL BE THE CHALLENGE. THE
07.12Z NAM AND GFS DIFFER IN THEIR HANDLING OF THE SMALLER SCALE
PERTURBATIONS THAT PIVOT AROUND THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW...BUT THE
OVERALL MESSAGE FROM THE MAJORITY OF MODEL SOLUTIONS IS THAT THE
WEEKEND INTO MONDAY SHOULD BE FAIRLY WET. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY
HIGH CHANCE...TO AT TIME LIKELY POPS WHICH WILL PROBABLY NOT BE
HIGH ENOUGH AT TIMES...BUT WITHOUT GREATER CONFIDENCE IN THE
SMALLER SCALE WAVE PASSAGES DID NOT WANT TO BOOST INTO THE
CATEGORICAL POP RANGE YET. THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY IN
PLACE TO KEEP AT LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST
THROUGH THE MONDAY...HOWEVER DO NOT EXPECT THERE TO BE MUCH OF A
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. THINK THE MAIN ISSUE WILL BE THE
POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL...AND THAT IS ALREADY WELL COVERED
IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH/LOW LIFTS ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY...WITH
THE MAIN RAIN CHANCES SHIFTING EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR MONDAY
NIGHT.  ANOTHER MID LEVEL WAVE ARRIVES FOR TUESDAY WHICH WILL BRING
ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN...BUT THIS WAVE SHOULD BE A FAIRLY QUICK
HITTER.  AN H5 RIDGE BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES
AND SHIFTS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS FOR THE END OF THIS WEEK.  THAT
WILL KEEP IT DRY FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND.  REGARDING
TEMPERATURES...HIGHS SHOULD BE FAIRLY SEASONABLE MOST OF THE
PERIOD...THOUGH THEY WILL LIKELY START OFF A LITTLE ON THE COOL
SIDE...ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY WITH DUE TO THE RAIN AND CLOUDS THAT
WILL COVER THE REGION.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

UPDATED...HEINLEIN
AVIATION...KING
SHORT TERM...PFANNKUCH
LONG TERM...KING

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
715 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
081200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
715 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THIS EVENING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NORTHWEST
OF A LINE FROM FRANKLIN TO HASTINGS TO YORK NEBRASKA. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP WITHIN A SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST CORRIDOR...BUT WILL
EXPAND IN COVERAGE PRIMARILY FARTHER NORTHWEST WITH TIME. THE
MAIN HAZARDS FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ISOLATED
TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS UP TO AROUND 70 MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE
OF HALF DOLLARS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

INTERMITTENT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS EXIST ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA
FROM SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...A FEW STORMS ON SATURDAY COULD STILL BE
ON THE STRONG SIDE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH
AND HAIL TO AROUND PENNY SIZE.

IN ADDITION...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND MAY RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TOTALS FOR PARTS OF THE
AREA...POTENTIALLY IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PARTS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

HEINLEIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
737 PM CDT FRI OCT 07 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     HAIL             ATLANTA                 40.37N 99.47W
10/07/2011  E1.75 INCH       PHELPS             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GUERRERO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
747 PM CDT FRI OCT 07 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     TSTM WND GST     HOLDREGE AIRPORT        40.45N 99.34W
10/07/2011  M58 MPH          PHELPS             NE   AWOS

            MEASURED BY AWOS

&&

PFANNKUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
812 PM CDT FRI OCT 07 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     HAIL             2 SW PROSSER            40.67N 98.60W
10/07/2011  E1.00 INCH       ADAMS              NE   PUBLIC

            BRIEF NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

0355 PM     HAIL             GRAND ISLAND            40.92N 98.37W
10/07/2011  E0.50 INCH       HALL               NE   NWS EMPLOYEE

            HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ON SOUTHWEST SIDE OF GRAND
            ISLAND.

0355 PM     HAIL             GRAND ISLAND            40.92N 98.37W
10/07/2011  E0.75 INCH       HALL               NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ATLANTA                 40.37N 99.47W
10/07/2011                   PHELPS             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HALF OF A ROOF REMOVED FROM A GRAIN STORAGE BUILDING ON
            THE SOUTH EDGE OF ATLANTA

0535 PM     HAIL             KEARNEY                 40.70N 99.08W
10/07/2011  E1.00 INCH       BUFFALO            NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANGER RELAYED A REPORT FROM A DISPATCHER THAT
            QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS FALLING ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF
            KEARNEY.

0543 PM     TSTM WND GST     KEARNEY AIRPORT         40.73N 99.01W
10/07/2011  M59.00 MPH       BUFFALO            NE   AWOS

0550 PM     HAIL             6 NW GIBBON             40.81N 98.93W
10/07/2011  M0.88 INCH       BUFFALO            NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DRIFTS OF HAIL STILL ON GROUND 30 MINUTES AFTER PASSAGE
            OF STORM. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0613 PM     HAIL             CAIRO                   41.00N 98.61W
10/07/2011  E0.75 INCH       HALL               NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0622 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 E CAIRO               41.00N 98.59W
10/07/2011  E55.00 MPH       HALL               NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

0700 PM     HAIL             DANNEBROG               41.12N 98.55W
10/07/2011  E1.00 INCH       HOWARD             NE   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

0726 PM     HEAVY RAIN       DANNEBROG               41.12N 98.55W
10/07/2011  M2.00 INCH       HOWARD             NE   PUBLIC

            2 INCHES OF RAIN SO FAR FROM STORMS DURING LAST FEW HOURS

0730 PM     HAIL             ATLANTA                 40.37N 99.47W
10/07/2011  E1.75 INCH       PHELPS             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

0745 PM     TSTM WND GST     HOLDREGE AIRPORT        40.45N 99.34W
10/07/2011  M58.00 MPH       PHELPS             NE   AWOS

            MEASURED BY AWOS

&&

PFANNKUCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
835 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

NEZ060-061-073-074-080200-
BUFFALO NE-DAWSON NE-KEARNEY NE-PHELPS NE-
835 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PHELPS...NORTHWESTERN KEARNEY...
SOUTHEASTERN DAWSON AND BUFFALO COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 832 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF
RIVERDALE TO ATLANTA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  LOOMIS...
  RIVERDALE...
  ODESSA...
  POOLE...
  RAVENNA...
  PLEASANTON...
  ELM CREEK...
  AMHERST...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 253 AND 280.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY....AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS
WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS....FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 4104 9936 4104 9872 4038 9916 4036 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0135Z 205DEG 36KT 4087 9902 4044 9950

FAY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
907 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

NEZ039-040-080230-
GREELEY NE-VALLEY NE-
907 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN VALLEY AND NORTHWESTERN
GREELEY COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 904 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NORTH LOUP...OR 12 MILES
SOUTH OF ORD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  ORD...
  NORTH LOUP...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY....AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS
LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS....FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 4174 9852 4139 9877 4141 9907 4174 9884
TIME...MOT...LOC 0207Z 209DEG 36KT 4146 9889

FAY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
915 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

NEZ046-061-073-074-080245-
BUFFALO NE-KEARNEY NE-PHELPS NE-SHERMAN NE-
915 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN SHERMAN...NORTHEASTERN
PHELPS...NORTHWESTERN KEARNEY AND CENTRAL BUFFALO COUNTIES UNTIL 945
PM CDT...

AT 914 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PLEASANTON TO 8
MILES NORTHWEST OF AXTELL...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  KEARNEY...
  PLEASANTON...
  HAZARD...
  POOLE...
  RAVENNA...
  ROCKVILLE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 265 AND 284.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY....AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS
WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS....FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 4114 9882 4059 9889 4048 9928 4114 9919
TIME...MOT...LOC 0216Z 223DEG 34KT 4095 9906 4058 9919

FAY