Severe Thunderstorm Warning 272, NWS Hastings, NE

837 
WWUS53 KGID 070131
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
831 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011

NEC121-125-143-070145-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0272.000000T0000Z-110807T0145Z/
MERRICK NE-NANCE NE-POLK NE-
831 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
POLK...NANCE AND NORTHEASTERN MERRICK COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM CDT...

AT 828 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LEIGH TO MONROE TO BELGRADE...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE
DAMAGING WINDS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FULLERTON AND SILVER CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4126 9745 4132 9803 4148 9821 4149 9811
      4150 9805 4151 9804 4152 9796 4149 9771
      4140 9770 4140 9760 4134 9759 4140 9737
      4131 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 0131Z 322DEG 24KT 4161 9727 4142 9761
          4146 9807
WIND...HAIL 70MPH 0.75IN

$$

757 
WWUS53 KGID 070143
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
843 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011

NEC121-125-143-070151-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0272.000000T0000Z-110807T0145Z/
MERRICK NE-NANCE NE-POLK NE-
843 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN POLK...NANCE AND
NORTHEASTERN MERRICK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 845 PM CDT...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.

THESE STORMS ARE STILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 
MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF DIMES AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES FOR 
THE FULLERTON...GENOA AND SILVER CREEK AREAS THROUGH 930 PM.

LAT...LON 4126 9745 4132 9803 4148 9821 4149 9811
      4150 9805 4151 9804 4152 9796 4149 9771
      4140 9770 4140 9760 4134 9759 4140 9737
      4131 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 322DEG 24KT 4156 9722 4137 9756
          4145 9805

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
645 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.AVIATION...00Z TAF. THUNDERSTORMS JUST TO THE EAST OF THE KGRI
TERMINAL AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA. THERE IS A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE KGRI TERMINAL
AREA IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. AFTER THE BOUNDARY MOVES OUT OF
THE AREA THE CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE TO A CERTAIN EXTENT. BEHIND
THE FRONT THE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND WITH THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
EXPECT THERE COULD BE SOME FOG LATER TONIGHT. SOME OF THE MODELS
HAVE LOW VISIBILITIES WITH THIS BUT WILL KEEP JUST MVFR FOR NOW
AND WAIT TO SEE. WITH THE BOUNDARY THROUGH THE AREA THE WINDS MAY
HAVE A NORTHERLY DIRECTION AND FOG MAY HAVE A HARD TIME TO
DEVELOP. THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY
TOMORROW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH 12Z MONDAY. MAIN FORECAST CONCERN WILL
BE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

A FEW CUMULUS HAVE FORMED WHERE THE STRATUS WAS WITH THE FOG EARLIER
THIS MORNING. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK COLD FRONT STILL IN
WESTERN NEBRASKA AND KANSAS AT THIS TIME. THE FRONT HAS BEEN SLOW TO
MOVE DURING THE DAY BUT HAS GRADUALLY DRIFTED EAST.

MODELS HAVE RELATIVELY WEAK WAVES MOVING THROUGH ZONAL TO SLIGHT
NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT THEN STALL NEAR THE KANSAS/NEBRASKA BORDER
FOR SUNDAY BEFORE DRIFTING TO THE SOUTH SUNDAY NIGHT. EACH OF THE
MODELS HAVE SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE UPPER
WAVES WHICH MAKES THE FORECAST A CHALLENGE.

THE FIRST WAVE THAT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
MOVING THROUGH TONIGHT. WITH THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THERE
WILL BE SOME THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT TONIGHT. THERE IS PLENTY
OF CAPE TO WORK WITH. THE CIN IS GOOD ENOUGH EARLY THAT STORMS ARE
HAVING TROUBLE GETTING STARTED...BUT THE CIN DECREASES THIS EVENING
SO EXPECT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT THIS EVENING THEN
MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING THE NIGHT.

THERE COULD BE A SHORT BREAK SUNDAY MORNING BUT BY AFTERNOON THERE
IS ANOTHER WAVE MOVING INTO THE AREA AND THE CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS INCREASES AGAIN. THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE NEAR THE
BOUNDARY. BY SUNDAY NIGHT A REINFORCING AND STRONGER WAVE MOVES INTO
THE AREA. WITH ALL OF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THERE WILL BE
THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE AREA.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...A GENERALLY FAST MOVING
MAINLY ZONAL UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIODS OF THE
FORECAST. THIS WILL RESULT IN QUICK PASSING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
BRINGING PERIODIC CHANCES FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT SATURDAY...WHEN GLOBAL MODELS ARE INDICATING A
MORE AMPLIFIED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ATTEMPTING TO BUILD ACROSS THE
ROCKIES AND INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.

WHILE IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO PREDICT THE EXACT TIMING OF EACH OF
THESE DISTURBANCES...BOTH THE GFS AND EC IN AGREEMENT BRINGING A
PAIR OF FAIRLY POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ACROSS THE REGION LATE
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND AGAIN LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. TRIED TO INDICATE GREATER POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION
DURING THESE TIME PERIODS WITH SLIGHT CHANCES INCLUDED IN JUST ABOUT
EVERY OTHER FORECAST PERIOD THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. IN ADDITION...AT
THIS TIME...THERE APPEARS TO BE AT LEAST SOME STRONG TO SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL LATE MONDAY AND AGAIN LATE TUESDAY WITH THE
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
354 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
071200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
354 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY TONIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
QUARTERS...WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THERE WILL BE INTERMITTENT CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
ENTIRE PERIOD. STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. MORE STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT TIME HOURS FOR THE MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY TIME FRAME. THE
MAIN HAZARDS FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF
60 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
612 PM CDT SAT AUG 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             2 E CHAPMAN             41.02N 98.12W
08/06/2011  E1.75 INCH       MERRICK            NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

REED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
640 PM CDT SAT AUG 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     HAIL             MARQUETTE               41.01N 98.01W
08/06/2011  E1.00 INCH       HAMILTON           NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN MARQUETTE

&&

REED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
705 PM CDT SAT AUG 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     HAIL             YORK                    40.87N 97.60W
08/06/2011  E1.00 INCH       YORK               NE   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT THE FAIRGROUNDS IN YORK.

&&

REED