Severe Thunderstorm Warning 208, NWS Hastings, NE

518 
WWUS53 KGID 270615
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
115 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

NEC121-125-143-270630-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0208.000000T0000Z-110627T0630Z/
MERRICK NE-NANCE NE-POLK NE-
115 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
POLK...EAST CENTRAL NANCE AND EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MERRICK COUNTIES
UNTIL 130 AM CDT...

AT 115 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SILVER CREEK...OR 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
COLUMBUS...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN POLK COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4122 9768 4126 9775 4141 9775 4141 9770
      4140 9770 4140 9760 4134 9759 4137 9751
      4137 9747 4140 9737 4138 9736 4121 9736
TIME...MOT...LOC 0616Z 269DEG 42KT 4133 9753
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.00IN

$$

600 
WWUS53 KGID 270628
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
128 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

NEC121-125-143-270638-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0208.000000T0000Z-110627T0630Z/
MERRICK NE-NANCE NE-POLK NE-
128 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN POLK...EAST CENTRAL
NANCE AND EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MERRICK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 130 AM
CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 4122 9768 4126 9775 4141 9775 4141 9770
      4140 9770 4140 9760 4134 9759 4137 9751
      4137 9747 4140 9737 4138 9736 4121 9736
TIME...MOT...LOC 0628Z 269DEG 42KT 4133 9734

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
633 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

.AVIATION...00Z KGRI TAF. LOW LEVEL STRATUS AND IFR VSBYS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY IMPROVE JUST AFT 27/00Z...AS A LINE OF TSRAS
MOVES ACROSS THE TAF SITE FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS SHOULD HELP TO
MIX OUT LOW MVFR CIGS AND IMPROVE VSBYS TO AT LEAST MVFR BETWEEN
27/00Z AND 27/03Z...IN ADDITION TO MARKING AN ABRUPT CHANGE TO
NORTHERLY WINDS AT THE SITE. AFT 27/03Z...KGRI WILL LIKELY ENJOY A
FEW HOURS OF VFR CONDS BEFORE AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM THE
NORTHWEST BRINGS A CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY
CONCERNS. ONCE THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT IS EAST OF THE TAF SITE BY
27/12Z...EXPECT VFR CONDS TO RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD WITH GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED BY LATE MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY. MAJOR CONCERN IN THE
SHORT TERM INVOLVES THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS.  CONVECTION HAS STARTED
UP OVER THE CWA WITH THE FIRST THUNDERSTORMS POPPING SHORTLY AFTER
NOON. COVERAGE UP TO 19Z HAS MAINLY BEEN IN THE NORTHEAST PART OF
THE CWA.

BACKING UP TO LOOK AT THE BIG PICTURE...THE CANADIAN UPPER LOW HAS
PUSHED EAST INTO MANITOBA WITH A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH BACK INTO
MONTANA.  AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE OVER SW KANSAS WITH A WARM
FRONT STRETCHED INTO NE KANSAS IS SLOWLY LIFTING NORTH.  TO OUR
NORTH...A SURFACE LOW IS ALSO SITUATED OVER NE SOUTH DAKOTA WITH A
COLD FRONT STRETCHING SW AND JUST GETTING READY TO PUSH INTO NW NEB.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALREADY IN PROGRESS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN
NORTHERN NEB. SO FAR THESE HAVE BEEN RIDING EAST BUT WILL HAVE TO BE
WATCHED FOR ANY RIGHT TURNING IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

STRATUS HAS BEEN SLOW TO ERODE OVER OUR REGION TODAY BUT IS SLOWLY
DISSIPATING/ERODING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER/MID 70S
ACROSS THE CWA. EARLY LOOK AT MODELS SHOWED PLENTY OF INSTABILITY
AND SHEAR WITH CAPE VALUES OF 2000 NORTH TO OVER 4000 SOUTH...WHICH
LOOKS TO BE REAL AFTER A QUICK CHECK OF THE SPC MESOANALYSIS PAGE.
0-6 KM BULK SHEAR NUMBERS IMPRESSIVE WITH 40-60 KTS NORTH AND JUST A
BIT LESS IN THE SOUTH. 0-1 KM BULK SHEAR ALSO PROGGED TO BE 15-20
KTS IN A FEW HRS IN THE NORTH. OBVIOUSLY STORMS WILL HAVE TO BE
MONITORED FOR ROTATION.  FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AREAS SOUTH
OF I-80 MAY NOT SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION WITH VERY STRONG
CAPPING INVERSION ACROSS THE SOUTH. WITH ATMOSPHERE WARMING...IT
WILL TAKE SOME PRETTY TALL STORMS TO PRODUCE HAIL.

ANOTHER CHANCE FOR STORMS LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CWA...ALTHOUGH THE NE WILL HAVE HIGHER CHANCES THAN IN
THE SW...AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND MOVES ACROSS THE CWA FROM
THE NORTH. SEVERE WEATHER STILL POSSIBLE WITH OVERNIGHT WEATHER AND
HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
QUITE HIGH.

NEED TO PUT FINAL TOUCHES ON GRIDS AND MONITOR RADAR TRENDS SO WILL
END THIS DISCUSSION HERE EXCEPT TO SAY THAT THE WEATHER SHOULD BE
QUIET MONDAY BEHIND FRONTAL PASSAGE.

LONG TERM...12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.  AN UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO
TAKE HOLD OF THE REGION STARTING ON TUESDAY WHICH SHOULD KEEP IT
MAINLY DRY THROUGH THE DAY.  TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO
WARM UP AS THE RIDGE EXERTS ITS INFLUENCE ON THE AREA...AND WILL GO
WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 80S TO AROUND 90.  INCREASING H85 WARM
AIR ADVECTION ALONG WITH A 40 TO 50 KT LOW LEVEL JET MAY HELP A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT...THOUGH WARMING H7
TEMPERATURES COULD ALSO TRY TO LIMIT THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SINCE THERE ARE STILL UNCERTAINTIES TO RESOLVE...WILL HOLD ONTO THE
CURRENT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH
WARM H7 TEMPERATURES HELPING KEEP ANY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AT BAY.
HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE HOT...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN
PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE READINGS COULD TOP OUT IN THE 100
TO 105 RANGE FOR BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  HEAT INDEX VALUES
WILL ALSO PUSH TO AROUND 100...AND WILL CONTINUE TO COVER THAT IN
THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK THIS AFTERNOON.  A TROUGH ACROSS THE
WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARDS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
ON THURSDAY WHICH COULD ALSO HELP BEGIN TO KNOCK DOWN THE RIDGE.  IT
WILL ALSO BRING A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO THE FORECAST AREA BY
LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THAT WILL PERSIST INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.  THE
FRONT COULD HELP GENERATE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT
H7 TEMPERATURES REMAIN QUITE WARM AND THAT COULD AGAIN HELP LIMIT
THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

CONFIDENCE IN THE FRONTAL POSITION FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND
BEGINS TO WANE...THOUGH IT APPEARS THE BOUNDARY SHOULD BE SOMEPLACE
CLOSE BY THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY...AND MAY EVEN INTO SUNDAY.  THE
GFS AND ECMWF SHOW THE BOUNDARY MAINLY IMPACTING THE SOUTHEAST PART
OF THE FORECAST AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT...AND THEN FRONT APPEARS TO
STALL SOMEWHERE NEAR NORTHERN KANSAS OR SOUTHERN NEBRASKA FOR
SATURDAY.  WILL HOLD ONTO AT LEAST SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE FRONT IN THE AREA.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...EWALD
LONG TERM...KING
AVIATION...ROSSI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
254 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
271200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
254 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH GREATER CHANCES
EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY...WITH THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS FROM THE STORMS BEING VERY LARGE HAIL IN EXCESS OF
GOLF BALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 MPH. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES MAY LEAD TO AREAS OF
LOWLAND FLOODING. THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL FAVORS LOCATIONS IN
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA NORTH OF A LINE FROM ELWOOD TO RED CLOUD.

HEAT INDICES ARE FORECAST NEAR 100 DEGREES IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

INTERMITTENT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS EXIST ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...AND AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. SEVERE WEATHER CANNOT BE RULED OUT DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD.

HEAT INDICES ARE FORECAST NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES ACROSS SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT FOR
AREAS GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80...AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION
MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1120 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

NEZ039-046-270445-
SHERMAN NE-VALLEY NE-
1120 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR VALLEY AND NORTHERN SHERMAN
COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM CDT...

AT 1116 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES NORTHWEST
OF TAYLOR TO 6 MILES EAST OF GATES TO MERNA...AND MOVING EAST AT 50
MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  ORD...
  FORT HARTSUFF STATE PARK...
  ELYRIA...
  ARCADIA...
  NORTH LOUP...

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4140 9875 4139 9874 4131 9875 4130 9921
      4174 9921 4174 9875
TIME...MOT...LOC 0420Z 285DEG 51KT 4190 9943 4164 9946
          4146 9969

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1154 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

NEZ046-047-270530-
HOWARD NE-SHERMAN NE-
1154 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SHERMAN AND HOWARD COUNTIES UNTIL
1230 AM CDT...

AT 1148 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WOLBACH TO 6 MILES
NORTH OF LITCHFIELD...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  HAZARD...
  ELBA...
  ASHTON...
  CUSHING...
  ROCKVILLE...
  FARWELL...
  ST. PAUL...
  DANNEBROG...

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4140 9919 4140 9849 4139 9831 4110 9830
      4108 9919
TIME...MOT...LOC 0454Z 276DEG 31KT 4135 9836 4124 9910

FAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1202 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ORD                     41.60N 98.93W
06/27/2011                   VALLEY             NE   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            WINDOWS BLOWN OUT AT THE CASEYS GAS STATION IN TOWN

&&

GUERRERO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1224 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1154 PM     HAIL             3 E ORD                 41.60N 98.87W
06/26/2011  E1.00 INCH       VALLEY             NE   COUNTY OFFICIAL

&&

GUERRERO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1225 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1159 PM     HAIL             6 E ORD                 41.60N 98.81W
06/26/2011  E1.00 INCH       VALLEY             NE   COUNTY OFFICIAL

&&

GUERRERO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1251 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 AM     HAIL             FULLERTON               41.36N 97.97W
06/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       NANCE              NE   PUBLIC

&&

FAY