Severe Thunderstorm Warning 152, NWS Hastings, NE

737 
WWUS53 KGID 160043
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
743 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

KSC147-160115-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0152.000000T0000Z-110616T0115Z/
PHILLIPS KS-
743 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PHILLIPS
COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

AT 739 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SPEED...OR 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
PHILLIPSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PHILLIPSBURG...GLADE...KIRWIN AND AGRA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3978 9963 3980 9958 3997 9919 3967 9910
      3959 9963
TIME...MOT...LOC 0043Z 264DEG 42KT 3972 9937
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.75IN

$$

HEINLEIN

250 
WWUS53 KGID 160051
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
751 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

KSC147-160115-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0152.000000T0000Z-110616T0115Z/
PHILLIPS KS-
751 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
PHILLIPS COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

AT 749 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PHILLIPSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 50
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  KIRWIN AND AGRA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3975 9949 3981 9937 3986 9916 3967 9910
      3962 9944
TIME...MOT...LOC 0051Z 264DEG 42KT 3973 9925
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.75IN

$$

HEINLEIN

148 
WWUS53 KGID 160057
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
757 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

KSC147-160115-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0152.000000T0000Z-110616T0115Z/
PHILLIPS KS-
757 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL
PHILLIPS COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

AT 753 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GLADE...OR 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
PHILLIPSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  KIRWIN AND AGRA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3977 9938 3979 9930 3981 9914 3967 9910
      3963 9936
TIME...MOT...LOC 0057Z 264DEG 42KT 3972 9917
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.75IN

$$

HEINLEIN

371 
WWUS53 KGID 160106
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
806 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

KSC147-160116-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0152.000000T0000Z-110616T0115Z/
PHILLIPS KS-
806 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL PHILLIPS COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 815 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3977 9938 3979 9930 3981 9914 3967 9910
      3963 9936
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 264DEG 42KT 3973 9903

$$

HEINLEIN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
613 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

.AVIATION...THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN KANSAS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST THIS EVENING...BUT MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS
KEEP THEM OUT OF KGRI. THE MAIN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AT KGRI
SHOULD COME LATE TONIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES ACROSS THE
REGION ALONG WITH H85 WARM AIR ADVECTION. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A
PROB30 GROUP FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT...AND THAT MAY NEED TO
BECOME A TEMPO GROUP IN LATER FORECASTS. OUTSIDE OF THE
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES...THINK THAT VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT
KGRI WITH MAINLY MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION. THERE COULD BE SOME CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...AND WILL SHOW A FEW CLOUDS AROUND 5KFT TO COVER THAT
POSSIBILITY. WESTERLY WINDS CURRENTLY IN PLACE AT KGRI WILL BECOME
SOUTHEASTERLY THIS EVENING AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OFF TO
THE EAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY. BIGGEST FORECAST CHALLENGES
INCLUDE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING AND ALSO DURING THE
OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN OF THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST LONGWAVE TROUGH
AND RIDGING OVER THE PLAINS HOLDS FOR THE SHORT TERM. THE TROUGH
CONTINUES TO KICK OFF PERTURBATIONS/SHORTWAVE TROUGHS INTO OUR
REGION.

THIS EVENING SHOULD BE DRY FOR THE MOST PART...BUT QUITE A FEW MODEL
OUTPUTS ARE DEVELOPING A SMALL MCS IN EASTERN COLORADO MOVING INTO
SOUTHERN NEBRASKA/NORTHERN KANSAS AND MOVE INTO AT LEAST THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE CWA. THIS SEEMS TO BE THE RESULT OF A RIDGE
RUNNER PERTURBATION. MID-LEVEL ALTO CU HAVE DEVELOPED IN EASTERN
COLORADO INTO SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA AND SHOWER/THUNDERSHOWER
ACTIVITY HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED IN EASTERN COLORADO. THE INHIBITING
FACTOR THIS EVENING IS CLEARLY CAPE. ALSO...THERE IS SOME CIN LEFT
IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...ALTHOUGH I AM NOT SURE HOW LONG THIS WILL
PARTICULARLY LAST. DEEP LAYER EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR IS WEAK ACROSS
OUR CWA...BUT SEEMS TO BE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. WE ARE NOT
REALIZING THE BULK SHEAR ADVERTISED BY MODELS AND I AM DOUBTFUL OF
MUCH OF A SEVERE THREAT THIS EVENING. DEWPOINTS ARE ON THE INCREASE
FROM THE SOUTHWEST...BUT IT SHOULD BE TOO LITTLE TOO LATE TO GIVE US
MUCH CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER FOR THE EVENING ACTIVITY...ALTHOUGH
SOME HAIL AND PERHAPS GUSTY WIND CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. THE LOW-LEVEL
JET DEVELOPS TONIGHT...WITH THE NOSE POTENTIALLY ENDING UP OVER OUR
CWA...WITH THE BEST LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE STILL LIKELY ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA. ANY ACTIVITY SHOULD SHIFT EAST BY EARLY MORNING
THURSDAY. THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY TO GIVE US A
SHOT AT SOME HAIL AND GUSTY WIND...BUT I AM STILL NOT ANTICIPATING
SEVERE WEATHER.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL PROBABLY BE A LULL BEFORE MORE ACTIVITY AS S
MID-LEVEL RIDGE TEMPORARILY CAUSES SOME SUBSIDENCE. THEN STORMS
POTENTIALLY ERUPT THURSDAY EVENING WITH THE RETURN OF A STRONGER
LOW-LEVEL JET. THE POTENTIAL IS HIGHER FOR SEVERE WEATHER IN THIS
CASE. MODELS SEEM TO GIVE THE BEST CONVERGENCE FARTHER NORTH AT
LOWER-LEVELS AND SHIFTING MOSTLY NORTH OF THE CWA NOT MUCH PAST
MIDNIGHT. THIS IS TRENDING A BIT SOONER AND FARTHER NORTH THAN
PREVIOUS RUNS.

STILL FOLLOWING ENSEMBLES CLOSER THAN OPERATIONAL RUNS AS
OPERATIONAL RUNS HAVE BEEN ABYSMAL WITH QPF FIELDS. STILL LOOKS A
BIT WARMER THE SEASONAL NORMALS WITH THE CURRENT PATTERN.

LONG TERM...STARTING 12Z FRIDAY. PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERNS CENTER
UPON CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AND POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER. LONG
TERM MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL
FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS
RIDGING PERSISTS OVER THE SOUTHERN CONUS AND TROUGHING PERSISTS
OVER THE WEST. SLIGHT CHANCE POPS CONTINUE IN THE FORECAST FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY AS SEVERAL SMALL SCALE MID LEVEL PERTURBATIONS
PUSH OVER THE AREA WITHIN THE MEAN MID LEVEL FLOW. ALTHOUGH
CHANCES OF ANY ONE LOCATION RECEIVING PRECIPITATION FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY ARE VERY LOW DUE THE PRESENCE OF A STRONG CAPPING
INVERSION BOTH DAYS...1500-3000J/KG 0-1KM MLCAPE WILL BE AVAILABLE
SHOULD CONVECTION BE REALIZED BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.
AS A RESULT...WILL CONTINUE WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AND A MENTION
OF ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A MORE SIGNIFICANT
MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE FROM THE MIDDLE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN RANGE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...BRINGING WITH IT INCREASED
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AND SEVERE WEATHER AS MID LEVEL WAA AND
DPVA OVERTAKE THE REGION AND AN ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC
ZONE CUTS ACROSS THE AREA. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION THEN DECREASE
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS CLEARS THE AREA
AND DECREASING VALUES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INFILTRATES THE REGION
POST-FROPA.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...HEINLEIN
LONG TERM...BRYANT
AVIATION...KING

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
333 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
161200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
333 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE OUTLOOK AREA
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT COULD BE
STRONG...WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA...WITH THE CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR SOME STORMS TO BE
STRONG. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE OUTLOOK
AREA...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH.

FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...AN ACTIVE PATTERN WITH PERIODIC
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA...AND
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. SHOULD
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND
WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

HEINLEIN/BRYANT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
303 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     TORNADO          9 WNW CLARKS            41.27N 98.00W
06/14/2011                   MERRICK            NE   PUBLIC

            BRIEF EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN NORTHERN MERRICK
            COUNTY. TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND FOR APPROXIMATELY 5 TO
            10 MINUTES.

&&

BRYANT