Alert archive / Nebraska / River Flood Warnings in 2011
River Flood Warning 3, NWS Hastings, NE
NWS Hastings, NE issued this river flood warning at Jan 9, 2011, 3:43 AM CST for Buffalo County, Kearney County, Nebraska. It was in force for 5 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 9, 2011, 3:43 AM CST (09:43 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 13, 2011, 4:18 PM CST
- In force
- 5 days
- Issued by
- NWS Hastings, NE
- Flood severity
- Major
Counties Buffalo County, NE, Kearney County, NE
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Platte River near Kearney (KEAN1).
- Action stage
- 6 ft
- Minor stage
- 7 ft
- Moderate stage
- 8 ft
- Major stage
- 9 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06770200, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
427 WGUS43 KGID 090943 FLWGID BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 343 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS...NE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-092143- /O.NEW.KGID.FL.W.0003.110109T0943Z-110111T1723Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110110T0600Z.110110T2323Z.NR/ 343 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS...NE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING..... * AT 3:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * AT 7.0 FEET...HOMES SOUTH OF THE RIVER MAY FLOOD. ROADS LEADING TO THE CITY WELL FIELDS ARE FLOODED AND THE CITY WELL FIELDS ARE THREATENED BY HIGH WATER LEVELS. A MOBILE HOME PARK THREE MILES EAST OF KEARNEY MAY FLOOD. $$
16 follow-up statements
476 WGUS83 KGID 091557 FLSGID FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 957 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-100357- /O.EXT.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110112T1942Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110110T0600Z.110112T0142Z.NR/ 957 AM CST SUN JAN 9 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 8:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER STAGE IS BEING IMPACTED BY BACKWATER FROM A DOWNSTREAM ICE JAM AND WILL CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE AROUND MAJOR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH LATER TODAY INTO MONDAY. THE RIVER STAGE FLUCTUATIONS WILL LIKELY BE BETWEEN 7.0 FEET AND 7.5 FEET DURING THIS TIME. THE RIVER COULD FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING. FLUCTUATIONS DUE TO ICE JAMS TEND TO BE DIFFICULT TO PREDICT AND THESE FLUCTUATIONS MAY CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED A FEW MILES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE AND THE JAM EXTENDS EAST THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY. THE AREAS MOST THREATEND BY BACKWATER FROM THIS ICE JAM WILL INITIALLY BE UPSTREAM OF THE JAM...BUT AREAS DOWNSTREAM ACROSS EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY COULD ALSO BE THREATENED SHOULD THE ICE JAM GIVE WAY RAPIDLY RELEASING THE UPSTREAM FLOOD WATERS. * AT 7.0 FEET...HOMES RIGHT ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIVER MAY BE THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS. ROADS LEADING TO THE CITY WELL FIELDS COULD BECOME FLOODED. HOMES ALONG SWEETWATER ROAD FOUR MILES EAST OF KEARNEY MAY ALSO BE THREATENED BY FLOOD WATER. MOST OF THESE IMPACT STATEMENTS LISTED ABOVE ARE FOR AREAS JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAUGE SITE WHERE THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED AND WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY SLIGHTLY LOWER. HOWEVER...THESE FLOOD IMPACTS COULD STILL BE REALIZED IF THE ICE JAM WERE TO RAPIDLY BREAK RELEASING THE HIGH WATER NEAR THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE TOWARDS DOWNSTREAM AREAS. $$
016 WGUS83 KGID 091801 FLSGID FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1201 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA.. PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-100601- /O.CON.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110112T1942Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110110T0600Z.110112T0142Z.NR/ 1201 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 11:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER STAGE IS BEING IMPACTED BY BACKWATER FROM A DOWNSTREAM ICE JAM AND WILL CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE AROUND MAJOR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH LATER TODAY INTO MONDAY. THE RIVER STAGE FLUCTUATIONS WILL LIKELY BE BETWEEN 7.0 FEET AND 7.5 FEET DURING THIS TIME. THE RIVER COULD FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING. FLUCTUATIONS DUE TO ICE JAMS TEND TO BE DIFFICULT TO PREDICT AND THESE FLUCTUATIONS MAY CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED A FEW MILES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE AND THE JAM EXTENDS EAST THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY. THE AREAS MOST THREATENED BY BACKWATER FROM THIS ICE JAM WILL INITIALLY BE UPSTREAM OF THE JAM...BUT AREAS DOWNSTREAM ACROSS EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY COULD ALSO BE THREATENED SHOULD THE ICE JAM GIVE WAY RAPIDLY RELEASING THE UPSTREAM FLOOD WATERS. * AT 7.0 FEET...HOMES RIGHT ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIVER MAY BE THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS. ROADS LEADING TO THE CITY WELL FIELDS COULD BECOME FLOODED. HOMES ALONG SWEETWATER ROAD FOUR MILES EAST OF KEARNEY MAY ALSO BE THREATENED BY FLOOD WATER. MOST OF THESE IMPACT STATEMENTS LISTED ABOVE ARE FOR AREAS JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAUGE SITE WHERE THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED AND WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY SLIGHTLY LOWER. HOWEVER...THESE FLOOD IMPACTS COULD STILL BE REALIZED IF THE ICE JAM WERE TO RAPIDLY BREAK RELEASING THE HIGH WATER NEAR THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE TOWARDS DOWNSTREAM AREAS. $$
584 WGUS43 KGID 100359 FLWGID BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 959 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011 ...OBSERVED FLOODING CHANGED FROM MAJOR TO MINOR SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... ...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MAJOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-101559- /O.EXT.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110112T2024Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110112T0224Z.NR/ 959 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 9:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER STAGE IS BEING IMPACTED BY BACKWATER FROM A DOWNSTREAM ICE JAM AND WILL CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE AROUND MODERATE FLOOD STAGE INTO MONDAY. THE RIVER COULD FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING. FLUCTUATIONS DUE TO ICE JAMS TEND TO BE DIFFICULT TO PREDICT AND THESE FLUCTUATIONS MAY CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED A FEW MILES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE AND THE JAM EXTENDS EAST THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY. THE AREAS MOST THREATENED BY BACKWATER FROM THIS ICE JAM WILL INITIALLY BE UPSTREAM OF THE JAM...BUT AREAS DOWNSTREAM ACROSS EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY COULD ALSO BE THREATENED SHOULD THE ICE JAM GIVE WAY RAPIDLY RELEASING THE UPSTREAM FLOOD WATERS. * AT 6.8 FEET...HOMES SOUTH OF KEARNEY AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 44 MAY BECOME THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS. $$
478 WGUS43 KGID 100404 CCA FLWGID BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 959 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011 ...OBSERVED FLOODING CHANGED FROM MAJOR TO MINOR SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... ...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MAJOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-101559- /O.COR.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110112T2024Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110112T0224Z.NR/ 959 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 9:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER STAGE IS BEING IMPACTED BY BACKWATER FROM A DOWNSTREAM ICE JAM AND WILL CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE AROUND MODERATE FLOOD STAGE INTO MONDAY. THE RIVER COULD FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING. FLUCTUATIONS DUE TO ICE JAMS TEND TO BE DIFFICULT TO PREDICT AND THESE FLUCTUATIONS MAY CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED A FEW MILES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE AND THE JAM EXTENDS EAST THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY. THE AREAS MOST THREATENED BY BACKWATER FROM THIS ICE JAM WILL INITIALLY BE UPSTREAM OF THE JAM...BUT AREAS DOWNSTREAM ACROSS EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY COULD ALSO BE THREATENED SHOULD THE ICE JAM GIVE WAY RAPIDLY RELEASING THE UPSTREAM FLOOD WATERS. * AT 6.8 FEET...HOMES SOUTH OF KEARNEY AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 44 MAY BECOME THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS. $$
566 WGUS43 KGID 101542 FLWGID BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 942 AM CST MON JAN 10 2011 ...OBSERVED FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... ...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-110342- /O.EXT.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110114T2100Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110114T0300Z.NR/ 942 AM CST MON JAN 10 2011 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 8:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER STAGE IS BEING IMPACTED BY BACKWATER FROM A DOWNSTREAM ICE JAM AND RIVER STAGE FLUCTUATIONS BETWEEN 6.2 FEET AND 7.2 ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED A FEW MILES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE...AND EXTENDS EAST THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY. BACKWATER FLOODING FROM THE ICE JAM WILL MOST LIKELY AFFECT AREAS UPSTREAM OF THE JAM. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.1 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER MAY FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT. * AT 7.0 FEET...HOMES SOUTH OF THE RIVER MAY FLOOD. ROADS LEADING TO THE CITY WELL FIELDS MAY FLOOD. THE CITY WELL FIELDS MAY BE THREATENED BY HIGH WATER LEVELS. A MOBILE HOME PARK THREE MILES EAST OF KEARNEY MAY FLOOD. $$
469 WGUS43 KGID 102204 CCA FLWGID BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 942 AM CST MON JAN 10 2011 ...OBSERVED FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... ...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-110342- /O.COR.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110114T2100Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110114T0300Z.NR/ 942 AM CST MON JAN 10 2011 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 8:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER STAGE IS BEING IMPACTED BY BACKWATER FROM A DOWNSTREAM ICE JAM AND RIVER STAGE FLUCTUATIONS BETWEEN 6.2 FEET AND 7.2 ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED A FEW MILES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE...AND EXTENDS EAST THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY. BACKWATER FLOODING FROM THE ICE JAM WILL MOST LIKELY AFFECT AREAS UPSTREAM OF THE JAM. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.1 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER MAY FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT. * AT 7.0 FEET...HOMES SOUTH OF THE RIVER MAY FLOOD. ROADS LEADING TO THE CITY WELL FIELDS MAY FLOOD. THE CITY WELL FIELDS MAY BE THREATENED BY HIGH WATER LEVELS. A MOBILE HOME PARK THREE MILES EAST OF KEARNEY MAY FLOOD. $$
062 WGUS83 KGID 110139 FLSGID FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 739 PM CST MON JAN 10 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA.. PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-111339- /O.CON.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110114T2100Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110114T0300Z.NR/ 739 PM CST MON JAN 10 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 7:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. *THE RIVER STAGE IS BEING IMPACTED BY BACKWATER FROM A DOWNSTREAM ICE JAM AND RIVER STAGE FLUCTUATIONS BETWEEN 6.2 FEET AND 7.2 ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED A FEW MILES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE...AND EXTENDS EAST THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY. BACKWATER FLOODING FROM THE ICE JAM WILL MOST LIKELY AFFECT AREAS UPSTREAM OF THE JAM. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.1 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER MAY FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING. * AT 7.0 FEET...HOMES SOUTH OF THE RIVER MAY FLOOD. ROADS LEADING TO THE CITY WELL FIELDS ARE FLOODED AND THE CITY WELL FIELDS ARE THREATENED BY HIGH WATER LEVELS. A MOBILE HOME PARK THREE MILES EAST OF KEARNEY MAY FLOOD. $$
184 WGUS83 KGID 111546 FLSGID FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 946 AM CST TUE JAN 11 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-120346- /O.EXT.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110113T1200Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110112T1800Z.NR/ 946 AM CST TUE JAN 11 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 8:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER CONTINUES TO BE IMPACTED BY BACKWATER FROM A DOWNSTREAM ICE JAM...AND FLUCTUATIONS BETWEEN 6.3 AND 6.8 FEET ARE POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY. THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED A FEW MILES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE...AND EXTENDS EAST TROUGH MOST OF EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL...AND MAY FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. PREDICTING RIVER LEVELS INFLUENCED BY ICE ACTION IS VERY DIFFICULT...AND THE ICE JAMS AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. * AT 6.8 FEET...HOMES SOUTH OF KEARNEY AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 44 ARE THREATENED BY FLOODING. $$
921 WGUS83 KGID 120212 FLSGID FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 812 PM CST TUE JAN 11 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA.. PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-121412- /O.CON.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110113T1200Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110112T1800Z.NR/ 812 PM CST TUE JAN 11 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 7:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. *FORECAST...THE RIVER CONTINUES TO BE IMPACTED BY BACKWATER FROM A DOWNSTREAM ICE JAM...AND FLUCTUATIONS BETWEEN 6.0 AND 6.5 FEET ARE POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY. THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED A FEW MILES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE...AND EXTENDS EAST TROUGH MOST OF EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL...AND MAY FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. PREDICTING RIVER LEVELS INFLUENCED BY ICE ACTION IS VERY DIFFICULT...AND THE ICE JAMS AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. * AT 6.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF RURAL LOWLANDS OCCUR. $$
598 WGUS83 KGID 120229 CCA FLSGID FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 812 PM CST TUE JAN 11 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA.. PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-121412- /O.COR.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110113T1200Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110112T1800Z.NR/ 812 PM CST TUE JAN 11 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 7:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. *FORECAST...THE RIVER CONTINUES TO BE IMPACTED BY BACKWATER FROM A DOWNSTREAM ICE JAM...AND FLUCTUATIONS BETWEEN 6.0 AND 6.5 FEET ARE POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY. THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED A FEW MILES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE...AND EXTENDS EAST THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL...AND MAY FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. PREDICTING RIVER LEVELS INFLUENCED BY ICE ACTION IS VERY DIFFICULT...AND THE ICE JAMS AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. * AT 6.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF RURAL LOWLANDS OCCUR. $$
862 WGUS83 KGID 121539 FLSGID FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 939 AM CST WED JAN 12 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-130339- /O.EXT.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110115T0000Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110114T0600Z.NR/ 939 AM CST WED JAN 12 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 9:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER CONTINUES TO BE IMPACTED BY BACKWATER FROM A DOWNSTREAM ICE JAM...AND FLUCTUATIONS BETWEEN 6.0 AND 6.5 FEET ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE ICE JAM IS LOCATED A FEW MILES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE KEARNEY HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE...AND EXTENDS EAST THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY FALL...AND MAY FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY NIGHT. PREDICTING RIVER LEVELS INFLUENCED BY ICE ACTION IS VERY DIFFICULT...AND THE ICE JAMS AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. * AT 6.0 FEET...THERE IS MINOR FLOODING OF RURAL LOWLANDS RIGHT ALONG THE RIVER BANKS. $$
046 WGUS83 KGID 130111 FLSGID FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 711 PM CST WED JAN 12 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-131311- /O.EXT.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110114T1800Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110114T0000Z.NR/ 711 PM CST WED JAN 12 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 6:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS AFFECTED BY ICE JAMS AND WATER LEVEL FLUCTUATIONS WITHIN A FOOT ARE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH THE RIVER LEVELS AT KEARNEY ARE DROPPING...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE RIVER COULD RETURN TO FLOOD STAGE. BUFFALO COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED THAT THE ICE JAM WAS WORKING WEST AND LOWLAND FLOODING WAS OCCURRING IN THE ODESSA AREA...ADJACENT TO THE RIVER. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE ICE JAM WILL CONTINUE TO WORK WEST TOWARDS THE ELM CREEK AREA. THE RIVER...LOW LAND FLOODING AND ICE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED DAILY. * AT 6.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF RURAL LOWLANDS OCCUR. $$
945 WGUS83 KGID 130114 CCA FLSGID FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 711 PM CST WED JAN 12 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-131311- /O.COR.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110114T1800Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110114T0000Z.NR/ 711 PM CST WED JAN 12 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 6:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS AFFECTED BY ICE JAMS AND WATER LEVEL FLUCTUATIONS WITHIN A FOOT ARE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH THE RIVER LEVELS AT KEARNEY ARE DROPPING...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE RIVER COULD RETURN TO FLOOD STAGE. BUFFALO COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED THAT THE ICE JAM WAS WORKING WEST AND LOWLAND FLOODING WAS OCCURRING IN THE ODESSA AREA...ADJACENT TO THE RIVER. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE ICE JAM WILL CONTINUE TO WORK WEST TOWARDS THE ELM CREEK AREA. THE RIVER...LOW LAND FLOODING AND ICE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED DAILY. * AT 6.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF RURAL LOWLANDS OCCUR. $$
135 WGUS83 KGID 131129 FLSGID FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 529 AM CST THU JAN 13 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-132329- /O.EXT.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110115T1218Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110114T1818Z.NR/ 529 AM CST THU JAN 13 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 4:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. THE RIVER IS AFFECTED BY ICE JAMS AND WATER LEVEL FLUCTUATIONS WITHIN A FOOT ARE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH THE RIVER LEVELS AT KEARNEY ARE JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE RIVER COULD RETURN TO FLOOD STAGE. BUFFALO COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED THAT THE ICE JAM WAS WORKING WEST AND LOWLAND FLOODING WAS OCCURRING IN THE ODESSA AREA...ADJACENT TO THE RIVER. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE ICE JAM WILL CONTINUE TO WORK WEST TOWARDS THE ELM CREEK AREA. THE RIVER...LOW LAND FLOODING AND ICE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED DAILY. * AT 6.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF RURAL LOWLANDS OCCUR. $$
974 WGUS83 KGID 131133 CCA FLSGID FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 529 AM CST THU JAN 13 2011 CORRECTED FOR FORMAT ERRORS ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-132330- /O.COR.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110115T1218Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110114T1818Z.NR/ 530 AM CST THU JAN 13 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 4:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. THE RIVER IS AFFECTED BY ICE JAMS AND WATER LEVEL FLUCTUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH THE RIVER LEVELS AT KEARNEY ARE JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE RIVER COULD RETURN TO FLOOD STAGE. BUFFALO COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED THAT THE ICE JAM WAS WORKING WEST AND LOWLAND FLOODING WAS OCCURRING IN THE ODESSA AREA...ADJACENT TO THE RIVER. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE ICE JAM WILL CONTINUE TO WORK WEST TOWARDS THE ELM CREEK AREA. THE RIVER...LOW LAND FLOODING AND ICE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED DAILY. * AT 6.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF RURAL LOWLANDS OCCUR. $$
310 WGUS83 KGID 132218 FLSGID FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 418 PM CST THU JAN 13 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEBRASKA... PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY AFFECTING BUFFALO AND KEARNEY COUNTIES NEC019-099-132248- /O.CAN.KGID.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110115T1218Z/ /KEAN1.3.ER.110109T0825Z.110109T1330Z.110112T1945Z.NR/ 418 PM CST THU JAN 13 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR KEARNEY. * AT 3:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 1:45 PM WEDNESDAY. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 5.4 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. * THE ICE JAM WHICH CAUSED THE FLOODING IN THE KEARNEY AREA HAS MOVED WEST TOWARDS THE ODESSA AREA. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 8, 10:57 PM CST, 4 hours 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 8, 10:57 PM CST, 4 hours 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1057 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011
.AVIATION...06Z TAF. KUEX WSR-88D SHOWS SNOW HAS EXPANDED ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING ISENTROPIC LIFT.
A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SNOW IS EXPECTED AT KGRI DUE TO THE
CONTINUED ISENTROPIC LIFT...AND IT WILL BE HARD TO PIN DOWN
THE FLUCTUATIONS IN CIGS/VSBYS AT KGRI OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE
00Z NAM AND GFS BOTH SHOW FORCING WILL CONTINUE IN THE DENDRITIC
LAYER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THEY AGREE THAT THERE COULD BE
A PERIOD OF DECREASED LIFT EARLY SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE THE LIFT
INCREASES AGAIN BY AFTERNOON. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE FOR KGRI IS NOT
MUCH HELP AT THE MOMENT WITH IT NOT REFLECTING THE CURRENT
CONDITIONS AT KGRI...SO IN THE END WILL STAY WITH THE SIMPLE
APPROACH AND HOLD FAIRLY STEADY CONDITIONS AT KGRI. WINDS WILL ALSO
NOT CHANGE MUCH THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A GENERAL SOUTHEAST
DIRECTION EXPECTED AT 12 KTS OR LESS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 415 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011/
SHORT TERM...THROUGH 12Z MONDAY. THE MAIN CONCERN IS THE UPCOMING
PROLONGED SNOW EVENT...AND OVERALL...NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED FROM PREV
THINKING.
AT 21Z THIS AFTERNOON...HIT AND MISS BANDS OF FLURRIES/LIGHT SNOW
WERE ONGOING IN NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST FASHION ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CWA...BUT WITH VERY LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION. THIS INITIAL
ACTIVITY IS TIED RATHER CLOSELY TO MID LEVEL ISENTROPIC
LIFT/SATURATION ON THE 295K SFC...WITHIN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION
OF A 120KT H3 JET STREAK CENTERED FROM ILLINOIS INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC. 21Z OBJECTIVE SFC ANALYSIS HAS A RIDGE AXIS RUNNING
SOUTHWARD FROM MN INTO MO...WITH FAIRLY UNIFORM EAST/SOUTHEAST
BREEZES OF 10-15 MPH ACROSS THE CWA ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE RIDGE.
MID AFTERNOON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SHORT TERM MODEL DATA
FEATURE THREE H5 LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ACROSS THE CONUS...ONE IN
THE SOUTHWEST...ANOTHER DEPARTING THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES...AND
THE THIRD...MOST IMPACTFUL VORT MAX FOR THE LOCAL AREA JUST
STARTING TO CREEP INTO MONTANA FROM THE NORTHWEST.
OVERALL...DIDN/T CHANGE A WHOLE LOT BIG PICTURE WISE WITH THE
UPCOMING SNOW POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...AS PREV FCST
ALREADY HAD VERY HIGH POPS. HOWEVER...QPF AND ASSOCIATED SNOW
AMOUNTS IN INDIVIDUAL 6-12 HOUR BLOCKS WERE MODIFIED SOMEWHAT.
STARTING OFF TONIGHT...THE ONGOING NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST BANDS OF
FLURRIES/VERY LIGHT SNOW SHOULD GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO A BIT
STEADIER LIGHT SNOWFALL AS PERSISTENT ISENTROPIC LIFT CONTINUES IN
THE MID LEVELS...AND THINGS CONTINUE TO SATURATE FROM TOP DOWN.
UNLIKE SEVERAL PREV EVENTS THIS SEASON...DENDRITIC LAYER RH IS
QUITE HIGH...AND AM NOT ANTICIPATING A FZDZ THREAT. THROUGH
SUNRISE...HAVE AIMED FOR ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM ONLY A DUSTING
IN KS ZONES ALONG WITH FAR SOUTHERN NEB...UP TO 1-2 INCHES
NEAR/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80 IN THE MOST FOCUSED AREA OF LIFT. AS A
RESULT...KEPT THE 03Z START TIME FOR THE NEB PORTION OF THE
ADVISORY...ALTHOUGH WANT TO EMPHASIZE THAT ESPECIALLY THE BOTTOM 2
ROWS OF NEB COUNTIES COULD BE HARD PRESSED TO SEE 1 INCH BY
SUNRISE. WITH SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINING IN THE 10-15 MPH
RANGE...NOT ANTICIPATING A HUGE TRAVEL IMPACT TONIGHT.
DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...ANTICIPATE A GENERAL INCREASE IN SNOWFALL
EFFICIENCY...AS THE H5 SYSTEM TO THE NORTHWEST BUILDS FARTHER INTO
THE PLAINS...AND UPPER DIFFLUENCE BECOMES CONSIDERABLY MORE
PRONOUNCED AT H3...AS A 140KT JET STREAK DIVES ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...AND ANOTHER JET SEGMENT LOOPS FROM THE
NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. HOWEVER...THE
LATEST GFS/ECMWF/4KM EMC WRF-NMM RUNS ARE CLEARLY FOCUSING MOST OF
THE SNOWFALL SUNDAY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST 2/3 OF THE CWA...IN A
STRENGTHENING ZONE OF MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS/DEFORMATION EVIDENT
AT H6. THIS RESULTS IN SOUTHEAST ZONES BEING LUCKY TO SEE 1 INCH
DURING THE DAY...WHILE NORTHERN/WESTERN AREA SHOULD BE IN LINE FOR
AT LEAST 2-3 INCHES. SPEAKING OF SOUTHERN AREAS...THE START TIME
OF THE KS SEGMENT OF THE ADVISORY WAS PUSHED BACK TO 18Z...AND
EVEN THIS MIGHT BE A BIT ON THE EARLY SIDE WITH MOST OF THE FOCUS
OVER NEB ZONES DURING THE DAY.
SUNDAY NIGHT...THE PRIMARY 24 HOUR PERIOD OF SNOWFALL WILL KICK
IN CWA-WIDE...AND EXPECT MOST AREAS TO RECEIVE 3-4 INCHES DURING
THIS TIME AS UPPER SUPPORT/LOW-MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS/DEFORMATION
CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN DIRECTLY OVER THE AREA. WINDS THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT WILL REMAIN ON THE FAIRLY LIGHT SIDE HOWEVER...WITH
AN INVERTED TROUGH AXIS POKING NORTHEAST OUT OF THE TX PANHANDLE
INTO THE CWA. ALL IN ALL...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH
SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING SHOULD RANGE FROM 5-8 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF
THE CWA...EXCEPT FOR SOUTHEAST AREAS MORE SO 3-4. SEE LONG TERM
DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT DETAILS. ALL IN ALL...A
FAIRLY UNIQUE LONG DURATION SNOW EVENT DRIVEN BY ISENTROPIC
LIFT/WARM AIR ADVECTION DURING THE FIRST 24-36 HOURS...AND
INCREASING UPPER DYNAMICS/FORCING THEREAFTER. AS FOR LIQUID
EQUIVALENT...MUCH OF THE CWA SHOULD BE IN LINE FOR A GOOD 0.3 TO
0.5 INCH THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...WHICH WILL AT LEAST PROVIDE SOME
MUCH NEEDED MOISTURE.
TEMPERATURE WISE...FOR LOWS TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY
NIGHT...STAYED A FEW DEGREES ABOVE MET/MAV GUIDANCE DUE TO
EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER. FOR HIGHS SUNDAY...STAYED CLOSE TO MET/MAV
GUIDANCE...WITH MOST NEB ZONES TOPPING OUT IN THE LOW/MID
20S...AND KS ZONES UPPER 20S/NEAR 30.
LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN
WILL CONTINUE TO CENTER AROUND THE SNOWFALL THAT IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT
THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
LITTLE HAS CHANGED IN THE OVERALL THINKING AS TO HOW THIS STORM
SYSTEM WILL EVOLVE MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. FORECAST MODELS
CONTINUE TO SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT FROM ONE MODEL TO THE NEXT. THE
HEAVIER SNOW THAT BEGINS SUNDAY NIGHT WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY WITH
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST SNOW SHIFTING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST
ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE DAY. THIS HEAVIER SNOW AXIS
WILL THEN SLIP EAST OF OUR AREA BY MONDAY EVENING AND THE SNOW WILL
DECREASE IN COVERAGE AREA AND INTENSITY MONDAY NIGHT.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON MONDAY WILL GENERALLY
RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS OUR NORTHWESTERN CWA...TO 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER OUR SOUTHEASTERN CWA. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL MONDAY NIGHT
WILL GENERALLY BE ONE INCH OR LESS. WHEN YOU ADD UP ALL OF THE LIGHT
SNOW OVER THE TWO AND A HALF DAY PERIOD RUNNING FROM TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT...THE GRAND TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD RANGE FROM 8
TO 10 INCHES ACROSS NEBRASKA AND 6 TO 9 INCHES OVER NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS.
IT WILL BE IMPORTANT TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE FORECAST MODELS AND
REAL TIME OBSERVATIONS OVER THE COMING HOURS AS THE EVENT BEGINS TO
UNFOLD. ONE INTERESTING NOTE IS THAT THE 12Z ECMWF HAS CONTINUED
THAT MODELS DOWNWARD TREND IN FORECASTED QPF WITH THIS SYSTEM. RAW
12Z ECMWF OUTPUT NOW ONLY SHOWS .40 TO .65 HUNDREDTHS OF MOISTURE
WITH THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTH. THIS IS A REDUCTION IN
RAW QPF OF AT LEAST 30 TO 40 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS. THE SYSTEM AS
DEPICTED BY THE NEWER ECMWF IS GENERALLY SLIGHTLY WEAKER WITH LESS
LIFT AND PULLS OUT OF THE AREA EARLIER ON MONDAY. THE ECMWF SFC WIND
FIELDS ARE ALSO WEAKER AND BEGINNING TO COME MORE IN LINE WITH OTHER
WIND SPEED MODEL GUIDANCE.
THE WIND SHOULD STILL SHIFT FROM EAST TO NORTH DURING THE DAY ON
MONDAY AND INCREASE. HOWEVER...THE 850MB WINDS ARE NOT OVERLY
IMPRESSIVE SO HARD TO SEE HOW THE SFC WIND CAN GET MUCH MORE THAN
SUSTAINED AT 15 TO 25 MPH. GIVEN THE LIGHT AND FLUFFY NATURE OF THE
SNOW...THESE WINDS SHOULD STILL BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. THE WINDS WILL FIRST
INCREASE ACROSS WESTERN ZONES MONDAY MORNING AND THEN ACROSS EASTERN
ZONES MONDAY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES BEHIND THIS SYSTEM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH BE BITTERLY COLD WITH LOWS GENERALLY FROM AROUND 0 TO 15 BELOW.
HIGHS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
WITH SOME NORTHERN CWA LOCATIONS POSSIBLY NOT GETTING ABOVE 0 FOR A
HIGH BY WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MODERATING TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY. THE
MID TO LATE WEEK PERIOD CONTINUES TO LOOK PRIMARILY DRY.
&&
.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT FOR
NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.
KS...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY
NIGHT FOR KSZ005>007-017>019.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 8, 1:38 PM CST, 14 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 138 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 091200- PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE- SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK- GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN- WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER- 138 PM CST SAT JAN 8 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. TONIGHT WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF A PROLONGED PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW FOR MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY GOES INTO EFFECT THIS EVENING. PLEASE REFER TO THE ADVISORY PRODUCT FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL AFFECT THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA FROM SUNDAY THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA DURING THIS TIME...WHILE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS GOES INTO EFFECT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. PLEASE REFER TO THESE ADVISORY PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. AS SNOW DIMINISHES MONDAY NIGHT...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BECOME AN ISSUE...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ONLY FORECAST IN THE SINGLE DIGITS FOR MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO ARE LIKELY AT VARIOUS TIMES BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH SNOWFALL AMOUNT REPORTS ARE ENCOURAGED THROUGH THE UPCOMING EVENT. && MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS (ALL LOWERCASE) PFANNKUCH
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Nebraska, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.