Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Fort Worth, TX

448 
WWUS54 KFWD 302327
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
527 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

TXC001-302345-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110130T2345Z/
ANDERSON TX-
527 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CST
FOR ANDERSON COUNTY...

AT 526 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES
NORTHEAST OF ELKHART...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL EASTERN ANDERSON COUNTY AT 540 PM CST

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SEEK 
SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

&&

LAT...LON 3152 9573 3156 9574 3157 9572 3162 9571
      3166 9574 3161 9576 3169 9578 3181 9585
      3198 9545 3192 9542 3185 9544 3182 9540
      3177 9539 3171 9531 3161 9525
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 301DEG 16KT 3174 9544

$$



27/AE

136 
WWUS54 KFWD 302335
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
535 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

TXC001-302345-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110130T2345Z/
ANDERSON TX-
535 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CST
FOR ANDERSON COUNTY...

AT 535 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES
NORTHEAST OF ELKHART...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW 
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

&&

LAT...LON 3152 9573 3156 9574 3157 9572 3162 9571
      3166 9574 3161 9576 3169 9578 3181 9585
      3198 9545 3192 9542 3185 9544 3182 9540
      3177 9539 3171 9531 3161 9525
TIME...MOT...LOC 2335Z 301DEG 16KT 3172 9540

$$



27/AE

637 
WWUS54 KFWD 302344
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
544 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

TXC001-302352-
/O.EXP.KFWD.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110130T2345Z/
ANDERSON TX-
544 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ANDERSON COUNTY EXPIRES AT 545
PM CST...

AT 542 PM CST THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING 
RAPIDLY WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER SEVERE.

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...HAIL UP TO PENNY SIZE...AND GUSTY 
WINDS WERE STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORM.

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES INTO THE NIGHT AND ADDITIONAL 
WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED THIS EVENING.

LAT...LON 3152 9573 3156 9574 3157 9572 3162 9571
      3166 9574 3161 9576 3169 9578 3181 9585
      3198 9545 3192 9542 3185 9544 3182 9540
      3177 9539 3171 9531 3161 9525
TIME...MOT...LOC 2342Z 301DEG 16KT 3170 9537

$$


82/JLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
412 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN INCREDIBLY ACTIVE WEEK OF WEATHER IS COMING UP AND THERE IS
LOTS TO DISCUSS TODAY.

FIRST OFF...WEAK COLD FRONT IS SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH AREA AND
CURRENTLY BISECTS THE CWA WITH VERY WARM/HUMID CONDITIONS TO THE
SOUTH. THIS HAS CREATED AN UNSTABLE/UNCAPPED AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...BUT FORCING IS RATHER WEAK AS THE SHORTWAVE HAS MOVED ON
BY. STILL EXPECT ISOLATED STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE SE ZONES
INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL IS POSSIBLE DUE
TO HIGH INSTABILITY AND COLD TEMPS ALOFT. FRONT SHOULD PULL UP
STATIONARY TONIGHT ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST ZONES. FOG LOOKS LIKE
A GOOD BET ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS WINDS GO CALM AND
DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS FALL TO ZERO. AS THE FRONT STARTS TO RETREAT
NW LATE TONIGHT THIS FOG SHOULD BUILD INTO THE I-35 CORRIDOR SOUTH
OF THE METROPLEX. THINK FOG WILL TRANSITION TO LOW LEVEL STRATUS
IN THE METROPLEX BUT THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH. FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RETREAT NORTH TOMORROW BUT PREFER THE NAM
FORECAST WHICH STALLS IT OUT ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR. HIGH TEMPS
WILL BE DRAMATICALLY DIFFERENT ACROSS THE CWA WITH 70S AND SUN IN
THE SOUTH AND 40S AND LOW CLOUDS IN THE NORTH. OTHER MODELS MIX
OUT THE SHALLOW COLD AIR AND SHOW MUCH WARMER TEMPS ACROSS THE
NORTH BUT NAM IS SUPERIOR IN THESE SITUATIONS AND HAS BEEN HINTING
AT THIS FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

AN UPPER LOW NOW MOVING INTO NEVADA WILL BE RAPIDLY MOVING TOWARD
TEXAS AND SHOULD CROSS THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. STRONG DYNAMIC LIFT
WILL SPREAD OVER THE AREA MONDAY EVENING AND INSTABILITY SOUTH OF
THE FRONT IS PRESENT FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THE ENVIRONMENT IS
STRONGLY SHEARED TOMORROW NIGHT AND THERE MAY BE ENOUGH CAPE FOR
A FEW STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE TO THE SOUTH OF I-20. ELEVATED
INSTABILITY ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE FRONT IS SUFFICIENT FOR
INCLUSION OF SOME THUNDERSTORMS THERE TOO.

MEANWHILE...AN ARCTIC AIR MASS WHICH IS STILL DEVELOPING OVER WEST-
CENTRAL CANADA WILL BEGIN TO HEAD SOUTH. PRESSURE RISES IN
RESPONSE TO THE MOVING UPPER LEVEL FEATURES WILL OCCUR AND WINDS
ACROSS THE PLAINS TURN NORTHERLY AND INCREASE LATE MONDAY. AS THE
COLDER AIR POURS IN...THE STALLED FRONT OVER THE I-20 CORRIDOR WILL
UNDERGO INTENSE FRONTOGENESIS...AIDING IN STRONG LIFT AND
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION OVER OUR AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT.

STRONG COLD ADVECTION ON THE BACKSIDE WILL IMPORT SUBFREEZING AIR
INTO THE NW ZONES BETWEEN 3 AND 6 AM TUESDAY...AND INTO THE
METROPLEX AROUND OR JUST AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY. AS THIS OCCURS A
CHANGE FROM RAIN TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OCCUR. RAINFALL
RATES MAY BE INTENSE AND RAIN DROPS WILL BE VERY WARM INITIALLY
DUE TO 850 TEMPS OF 5-10C. IN ADDITION GROUND AND SURFACE OBJECT
TEMPS WILL BE WARM AND NOT HAVE MUCH TIME TO COOL BELOW FREEZING.
THEREFORE THE SURFACE TEMP MAY FALL BELOW FREEZING WHILE RAIN IS
OCCURRING...BUT VERY LITTLE WILL ACTUALLY FREEZE...AT LEAST NOT
UNTIL TEMPS GET INTO THE 20S WHICH IS FORECAST TO OCCUR. HOWEVER
ONCE SURFACE TEMPS GET INTO 20S THINK THE PRIMARY PRECIP TYPE WILL
TRANSITION OVER TO SLEET WITH 925 TEMPS DROPPING TO -10C. THE
PRIMARY MESSAGE IS THAT WE EXPECT SLEET TO BE THE DOMINANT AND
PROBLEM WINTER PRECIP TYPE...AND IT MAY BE HEAVY ACROSS THE NW
ZONES WHERE ACCUMULATIONS OF 1/2-3/4 INCH ARE POSSIBLE. AS TEMPS
FALL INTO THE 20S...WET ROADS/BRIDGES SHOULD FREEZE OVER. WE HAVE
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH ALONG AND NORTH OF A BRECKENRIDGE TO
MINERAL WELLS TO DECATUR TO GAINESVILLE LINE. THIS REGION WILL
HAVE THE COLDEST TEMPS OF MID 20S BEFORE PRECIP COMES TO AN END.
JUST TO THE SE OF THE WATCH /INCLUDING THE METROPLEX/ A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY LOOKS PROBABLE BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO ISSUE ONE
NOW. IN THIS AREA EXPECT RAIN WITH SUBFREEZING TEMPS...BUT ONCE
AGAIN NOT EXPECTING MUCH ICING DUE TO WARM RAIN/OBJECT TEMPS. ONCE
THE TRANSITION TO SLEET OCCURS THINK WET BRIDGES/OVERPASSES WILL
START TO ICE OVER. SLEET ACCUMS IN THE METROPLEX SHOULD BE 1/4 OR
LESS. THE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION SHOULD RAPIDLY END FROM WEST
TO EAST DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS WHEN THE LIFT SHUTS DOWN AS
SHORTWAVE PASSES THROUGH AND COLD ADVECTION DEEPENS/STABILIZES THE
AIR MASS. SOME LINGERING AND WRAP AROUND LIGHT SNOW MAY OCCUR
AROUND MIDDAY FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR...WITH SNOW
ACCUMS OF 1/2 TO 1 INCH. TO THE SOUTH OF I-20 MAINLY RAIN IS
EXPECTED...BUT A BRIEF CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN WITH MINIMAL
IMPACTS IS POSSIBLE BEFORE PRECIP ENDS.

THE MAIN STORY WITH THIS SYSTEM IS GOING TO BE THE COLD TEMPS. AT
THIS POINT IT LOOKS LIKE ONE OF THE MOST SIGNIFICANT COLD SPELLS
IN MANY YEARS...BUT THIS HARD THING TO QUANTIFY SINCE WE HAVE HAD
A SINGLE NIGHT/S LOW TEMP COLDER LAST YEAR THAN ANYTHING CURRENTLY
FORECAST. THIS WILL BE A PROLONGED COLD SPELL WITH LOTS OF WIND.
AT LEAST A COUPLE DAYS OF SUBFREEZING HIGHS ARE EXPECTED. PATTERN
IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR THE TRANSPORT OF ARCTIC AIR WELL SOUTH INTO
OUR AREA...AND 850 MB TEMPS ARE FORECAST TO REACH -14 TO -6 DEG C
IN THE CWA. THIS UPPER PATTERN IS COMPARABLE TO THE COLD SPELL IN
JAN 1997 WHEN SEVERAL DAYS BELOW FREEZING OCCURRED. TEMPS SHOULD
FALL INTO TEENS TUESDAY NIGHT WITH NORTH WINDS AT 20-30 MPH AND
GUSTY. WIND CHILLS SHOULD REACH SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA
WITH BELOW 0 VALUES IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF CWA. WINDS CONTINUE
INTO WEDNESDAY AND CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO HANG AROUND NORTH OF
I-20. COULD SEE A FEW SNOW FLURRIES FROM A PASSING MID LEVEL WAVE
IN THE NW ZONES...BUT DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE SHOULD LIMIT ACCUMS.
HIGHS WEDNESDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE LOW-MID 20 NORTH TO LOW 30S
SOUTH. TEENS FOR LOWS ARE EXPECTED IN MOST AREAS FOR 3 CONSECUTIVE
NIGHTS. THE WINDS SHOULD FINALLY COME DOWN BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
COLD ADVECTION SHOULD WANE FOR SOME SLOW MODERATION OF TEMPS
THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPOSED PIPES MAY NEED TO BE WRAPPED DUE
TO THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF THIS COLD SPELL.

FINALLY WE HAVE BEEN INTERNALLY DISCUSSING THE POTENTIAL FOR
ANOTHER SYSTEM BY NEXT WEEKEND FOR A COUPLE DAYS NOW. BASICALLY
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN LEAVES AN UPPER LOW AT THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH TO OUR WEST. MODELS HAVE BEEN SHOWING FLASHES OF BRINGING
THIS LOW THROUGH IN TACT FRI-SUN. MOST HAVE NOW SETTLED ON
BRINGING THIS THROUGH IN THE FRIDAY TIMEFRAME NOW...BUT FEW ARE
VERY BULLISH WITH MOISTURE PROFILES. THE PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THE
CHRISTMAS DEC 2004 SNOWSTORM IN SOUTH TEXAS...AND MODELS SHOWED
THAT LOW HAVING LITTLE MOISTURE TOO UNTIL IT WAS TOO LATE. EITHER
WAY WE ARE CLOSELY WATCHING THIS SYSTEM TO SEE WHERE IT TRACKS...
AND BELIEVE IF THE 500 MB PATTERN VERIFIES LIKE THE ECMWF/GEM/GFS
SHOW...IT WILL FIND THE MOISTURE. HAVE INTRODUCED 20 PERCENT
CHANCE OF SNOW FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT MUCH UNCERTAINTY
STILL EXISTS.

TR.92

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  43  56  33  33  16 /   5  10 100  80  10
WACO, TX              50  71  41  41  17 /  10  10  70  60  10
PARIS, TX             48  54  42  42  16 /  10  10 100 100  10
DENTON, TX            35  52  29  29  15 /   5  10 100  80  10
MCKINNEY, TX          42  53  32  32  15 /   5  10 100  90  10
DALLAS, TX            44  56  35  35  16 /   5  10 100  90  10
TERRELL, TX           47  60  40  40  17 /  10  10 100  90  10
CORSICANA, TX         56  68  45  45  18 /  20  10  80  90  10
TEMPLE, TX            54  75  45  45  17 /  10  10  70  60  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     36  61  27  27  13 /   5  10 100  60  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR TXZ091-092-100>102-115-116.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
434 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-311215-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
434 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING MAINLY SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM TEMPLE...TO ENNIS...TO SULPHUR SPRINGS. SOME OF THE
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING HAIL GREATER THAN ONE INCH IN
DIAMETER.

AREAS OF FOG WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY EAST OF I-35 AND
SOUTH OF I-20.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
FOG WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID-MORNING IN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EAST TEXAS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY MONDAY NIGHT ALONG AND AHEAD OF A STRONG
ARCTIC FRONT. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRIMARILY
SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR.

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL IMPACT MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS ON
TUESDAY...MAINLY NORTH OF I-20. THE ACTIVITY MAY TRANSITION TO
SNOW LATE IN THE DAY AGAIN NORTH OF I-20. A WINTER STORM WATCH IS
IN EFFECT GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM
BRECKENRIDGE...TO MINERAL WELLS...TO GAINESVILLE...WHERE
ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET MAY EXCEED 1/2 INCH. ADDITIONAL ICE AND
SNOW ACCUMULATION MAY OCCUR IN AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA.

THE COMBINATION OF STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND FRIGID TEMPERATURES
WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS BOTH
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WIND CHILLS MAY FALL BELOW ZERO TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF NORTH
TEXAS.

SNOW FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH A CHANCE FOR
MORE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS EVENING...
PRIMARILY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-45 CORRIDOR.

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
412 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0446 PM     HAIL             12 N PALESTINE          31.92N  95.63W
01/30/2011  E0.75 INCH       ANDERSON           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            12 N OF PALESTINE AT FM315 & CR 441.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
422 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

TXZ148-302245-
ANDERSON TX-
422 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHERN ANDERSON COUNTY

AT 422 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES NORTH OF PALESTINE...MOVING EAST AT 5
MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE FRANKSTON.

NICKEL-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3178 9540 3175 9586 3202 9604 3209 9545
      3208 9544 3200 9543 3199 9544 3195 9544
      3193 9542 3185 9544 3182 9540
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 289DEG 6KT 3192 9562

82/JLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
425 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0414 PM     HAIL             13 NE PALESTINE         31.88N  95.47W
01/30/2011  E0.75 INCH       ANDERSON           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            IN TODD CITY AT CR 335 & FM 19.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
431 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-311115-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
431 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTRY WEEK AHEAD FOR NORTH TEXAS...

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTH TEXAS MONDAY EVENING...
AND SWEEP THROUGH ALL OF NORTH TEXAS BY MID-MORNING TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGHOUT THE DAY TUESDAY...WITH AFTERNOON
READINGS DROPPING INTO THE TEENS IN AREAS NORTHWEST OF FORT WORTH.
ALL OF NORTH TEXAS IS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW FREEZING BY TUESDAY
EVENING. THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF NORTH TEXAS MAY REMAIN BELOW
FREEZING UNTIL FRIDAY.

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL IMPACT MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS ON
TUESDAY. THE ACTIVITY MAY TRANSITION TO SNOW LATE IN THE MORNING
NORTH OF I-20. A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT GENERALLY ALONG
AND NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM BRECKENRIDGE...TO MINERAL WELLS...TO
GAINESVILLE...WHERE ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET MAY EXCEED 1/2 INCH.
ADDITIONAL ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATION MAY OCCUR JUST SOUTHEAST OF
THE WATCH AREA AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED
TOMORROW FOR MORE OF THE AREA.

GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE FRIGID TEMPERATURES TO
PRODUCE WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. WIND CHILLS MAY FALL BELOW ZERO TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF NORTH TEXAS.

SNOW FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF
MORE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ON FRIDAY.

DURING EXTENDED OUTBREAKS OF COLD WEATHER...IT IS ALWAYS ADVISABLE
TO BE PROACTIVE AND PROTECT EXPOSED PIPES WITH INSULATING
MATERIAL...AND TO LEAVE A WATER FAUCET SLOWLY DRIPPING OVERNIGHT.
OUTDOOR PETS SHOULD BE PROVIDED APPROPRIATE SHELTER...AND
RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO DRESS IN LAYERS TO AVOID THE IMPACTS
OF COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS. ANYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING...TURN OFF AUTOMATIC SPRINKLERS.
SPRINKLER SYSTEMS RUNNING IN SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES CAN CREATE
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
437 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0429 PM     HAIL             8 N PALESTINE           31.87N  95.63W
01/30/2011  E0.88 INCH       ANDERSON           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            8N OF PALESTINE AT FM 321 & CR 404

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
453 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

TXZ148-302315-
ANDERSON TX-
453 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  ANDERSON COUNTY

AT 452 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF PALESTINE...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 15 MPH. TWO OTHER ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS WERE ALSO LOCATED IN
THE COUNTY...ONE APPROXIMATELY 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF PALESTINE AND
ANOTHER OVER ELKHART.  ALL THREE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE ELKHART...FRANKSTON AND
PALESTINE.

NICKEL-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

IF THIS STORM NEAR PALESTINE INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3151 9573 3154 9576 3160 9571 3165 9573
      3165 9576 3161 9576 3165 9579 3169 9578
      3170 9586 3175 9587 3182 9594 3201 9605
      3209 9543 3204 9542 3199 9544 3185 9544
      3171 9530 3161 9527
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 310DEG 14KT 3183 9559

82/JLD