Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

May 11, 2011Lincoln County, South Dakota

NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 11, 2011, 6:06 PM CDT for Lincoln County, South Dakota. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 11, 2011, 6:06 PM CDT (23:06 UTC)
Expired: May 11, 2011, 6:30 PM CDT
In force: 24 min
Issued by: NWS Sioux Falls, SD
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 58.0 mph

County Lincoln County, SD

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 909 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -95 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1123 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 55 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 177 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

961 
WUUS53 KFSD 112306
SVRFSD
SDC083-112330-
/O.NEW.KFSD.SV.W.0059.110511T2306Z-110511T2330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
606 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 606 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR
  SIZE HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HUDSON...OR
  5 MILES NORTHWEST OF HAWARDEN...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN
  LINCOLN COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4324 9689 4327 9663 4308 9653 4308 9666
TIME...MOT...LOC 2306Z 146DEG 20KT 4309 9654
WIND...HAIL <58MPH 1.25IN

$$

LAFLIN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sioux Falls, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 11, 3:03 PM CDT, 3 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 11, 3:03 PM CDT, 3 hours 3 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
303 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
NEBRASKA AND IOWA LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND ANTICIPATE THIS AREA OF
PRECIPITATION TO LIFT NORTHWARD TONIGHT AS MOISTURE TRANSPORT SURGES
NORTHWARD AND ANOTHER PV ANOMALY TRACKS FROM THE SOUTH AHEAD OF AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW PUSHING OUT OF COLORADO. ALSO SEEING ANOTHER AREA OF
CONVECTION DEVELOP IN OUR SOUTHWESTERN CWA WHERE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE/LOW LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS RESIDE...AND DYNAMICS WOULD
SUGGEST THAT THIS WILL KEEP PUSHING TO THE NORTH THROUGH THE
EVENING. IN TERMS OF SEVERE STORMS...WHILE MUCAPE VALUES ARE DECENT
ACROSS OUR SOUTH...AROUND 1500 TO 2000 J/KG...0 TO 6 KM BULK SHEAR
IS NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE...GENERALLY AROUND 10 TO 15 KTS...BUT COULD
SEE ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS IN OUR FAR SOUTH THROUGH THE EVENING
CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. IN TERMS OF LOWS...UPPER
40S NORTHWEST TO LOWER 60S THROUGH NORTHWESTERN IOWA.  /JM

THURSDAY WILL SEE A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH DURING THE MORNING AND IN THE
SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH
LOOKS TO BE TIED CLOSELY TO THE COLD FRONT ALOFT/PV ANOMALY WILL
WEAKEN DURING THE MORNING AS THE MAIN WAVE TO THE SOUTH REGROUPS AND
SHIFTS SOUTHEAST. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE BAND TO DISSIPATE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN CWA FROM AROUND SIOUX CITY TO
STORM LAKE...EXPECT A LITTLE SUNSHINE AND WITH THE LOW LEVEL
BOUNDARY LOCKED IN AROUND NORTHERN NEBRASKA INTO NORTHERN IOWA...A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON. WITH
DECENT INSTABILITY NEARBY...CAPES CLOSE TO 2000 J/KG JUST TO THE
SOUTH...BUT 0KM TO 6KM BULK SHEAR VALUES AROUND 30 KNOTS...ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. HIGHS RIGHT NOW EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM THE MID 70S IN SOUTHERN IA TO AROUND 50 FROM HURON TO
CHAMBERLAIN.

THURSDAY NIGHT WILL SEE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SLIDE
SOUTHEAST WITH CONTINUED ADVECTION OF COOL AIR. EXPECT A DECENT
AMOUNT OF CLOUDS AND SOME WIND THROUGH THE NIGHT SO STILL EXPECTING
CHILLY CONDITIONS BY FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE 40S.

A LARGE DUMBBELL LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN CANADA
INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY. LAPSE RATES ARE NOT EXCEPTIONAL WITH THIS
COLD POOL ALOFT BUT LIKELY ENOUGH TO ALLOW SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER
THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE CWA BY AFTERNOON. FOR NOW WILL HAVE
MAINLY 30 TO 40 POPS BUT MAY NEED TO INCREASE IF CONFIDENCE IN
COVERAGE INCREASES. A VERY COOL DAY WITH NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH
AND HIGH ONLY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S.

FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE COOL...BUT A LITTLE LESS
BREEZY. WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE STILL LINGERING AROUND
WILL NEED TO KEEP SOME SMALL POPS IN THE EASTERN CWA...OTHERWISE
MOSTLY CLOUDY REMAINDER OF THE TIME. LOWS ON SATURDAY MORNING MAINLY
40 TO 45 WITH HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

IN THE LATTER PERIODS(SUN/WED)...UPPER LEVEL LOW DUMBBELLS AROUND
SUNDAY THEN SHIFTS EAST BY MONDAY. THIS IS ACTUALLY FAIRLY WELL
AGREED UPON BY THE VARYING MODELS SO WILL NOT STRAY TOO FAR FROM
THIS IDEA. AS THE LOW SHIFTS EAST LOW LEVEL THERMAL FIELDS SLOWLY
MODIFY AND EXPECT NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY MID WEEK. SO MAINLY
BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...ESPECIALLY EARLY. STATISTICAL
GUIDANCE HINTING FAIRLY STRONGLY AT HIGHS ONLY IN THE 50S IN MOST
LOCATIONS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. OTHER THAN THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
SHOWERS IN THE EAST ON SUNDAY...LOOKS MAINLY DRY MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY...THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE MISSOURI RIVER CORRIDOR AFTER
21Z AND EXPAND NORTHWARD THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE VFR CONDITIONS WILL
BE PREDOMINATE OVERNIGHT...MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN HEAVIER THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A SWATH OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE INTERACTS WITH
A LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY ORIENTED FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
CWA. WITH DECENT INSTABILITY...RELATIVELY SLOW STORM MOTION AND
POTENTIAL TRAINING ALONG THE FRONT AS WELL AS PRECIPITABLE WATER
AMOUNTS AROUND 1.50 INCHES...A SWATH OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WILL
BE POSSIBLE...IF THE BOUNDARY STALLS IN ONE SPOT FOR A COUPLE OF
HOURS. OVERALL...A VERY GOOD CHANCE FOR MOST LOCATIONS TO GET ABOUT
0.75 INCHES TO 1.50 INCHES OF NEW RAINFALL.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
NE...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 11, 11:57 AM CDT, 6 hours 9 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1157 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-121200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
1157 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER CORRIDOR...THEN EXPAND TO THE
NORTH ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN A LINE GENERALLY
SOUTH OF YANKTON TO SPENCER...AND MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL TO HALF
DOLLAR SIZE ALONG WITH WINDS TO 60 MPH.

FLOODING...
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT OVER THE AREA. AT THIS TIME RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT IS
EXPECTED TO VARY FROM LESS THAN AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A
HALF...AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...IF HEAVIER
RAINFALL THAN THIS WERE TO DEVELOP OVER AN AREA...IT COULD CAUSE
A LOCAL FLOOD THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY...MAINLY EAST OF THE
JAMES RIVER. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 4 PM IN THE ABOVE
MENTIONED AREA.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SIOUXFALLS. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 11, 5:16 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
516 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0513 PM     HAIL             SALIX                   42.31N 96.29W
05/11/2011  M1.75 INCH       WOODBURY           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0510 PM     HAIL             10 E SALIX              42.31N 96.09W
05/11/2011  M0.88 INCH       WOODBURY           IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

BT

Local storm report, May 11, 5:38 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
538 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SOUTH SIOUX CITY        42.47N 96.41W
05/11/2011                   DAKOTA             NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LIGHT POLE KNOCKED OVER

0455 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 E WAKEFIELD           42.27N 96.71W
05/11/2011                   THURSTON           NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEMI BLOWN OVER

&&

BT

Local storm report, May 11, 5:42 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
542 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 ENE WAKEFIELD         42.31N 96.72W
05/11/2011                   DAKOTA             NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEMI BLOWN OVER

&&

BT

Local storm report, May 11, 5:59 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
559 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0557 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NNE VERMILLION        42.86N 96.88W
05/11/2011                   CLAY               SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SHINGLES BLOWN OFF ROOF.

&&

BT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 11, 4:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Union	39 min
May 11, 4:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Union	50 min
May 11, 5:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Clay, Union, Yankton	38 min
May 11, 5:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Union	48 min
May 11, 5:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Lincoln	42 min
May 11, 6:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FSD	Lincoln, Union	32 min
May 11, 6:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Lincoln, Turner, Union	31 min
May 11, 6:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Lincoln, Minnehaha, Turner	41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Dakota, 2011 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.