Alert archive / Arizona / Wind Advisories in 2011

Wind Advisory 38, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

November 3, 20115 counties in Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this wind advisory at Nov 3, 2011, 3:07 PM MST for 5 counties in Arizona. It took effect at Nov 4, 2011, 8:00 AM MST. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 3, 2011, 3:07 PM MST (22:07 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 4, 2011, 8:00 AM MST
Expired
Nov 5, 2011, 5:00 AM MST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Counties Apache County, AZ, Coconino County, AZ, Gila County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2011-11-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2011-11-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 132 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
4421 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
176 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

434 
WWUS75 KFGZ 032207
NPWFGZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
307 PM MST THU NOV 3 2011

AZZ004>008-015-037-038-040815-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.111104T1500Z-111105T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDONIA...PAGE...
GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...PRESCOTT...FLAGSTAFF...
COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...SEDONA
307 PM MST THU NOV 3 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...BECOMING
  STRONG AND GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
  LOCALLY STRONGER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER
  TERRAIN FEATURES SUCH AS THE SAN FRANSISCO PEAKS.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WILL DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL ALSO INCREASE
  DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...WITH REDUCED
  VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
CONSIDER SECURING LOOSE BELONGINGS ON YOUR PROPERTY. ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$

AZZ012>014-040-040815-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.111104T1700Z-111105T0600Z/
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...DILKON
307 PM MST THU NOV 3 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM MST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM MST FRIDAY. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY MORNING...BECOMING STRONG
  AND GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WILL DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...DRIVERS MAY ENCOUNTER LOCALIZED
  AREAS OF BLOWING DUST. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL ALSO INCREASE
  DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...WITH REDUCED
  VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
CONSIDER SECURING LOOSE BELONGINGS ON YOUR PROPERTY. ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$

AZZ009>011-016>018-039-040815-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.111104T1700Z-111105T0600Z/
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-
WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-BLACK MESA AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHINLE...KAYENTA...WINDOW ROCK...
GANADO...SHOW LOW...PAYSON
307 PM MST THU NOV 3 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM MST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM MST FRIDAY. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY MORNING...BECOMING STRONG AND
  GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
  LOCALLY STRONGER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER
  TERRAIN FEATURES.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WILL DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL ALSO INCREASE
  DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...WITH REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
CONSIDER SECURING LOOSE BELONGINGS ON YOUR PROPERTY. ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$

KD
7 follow-up statements
968 
WWUS75 KFGZ 040558
NPWFGZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1058 PM MST THU NOV 3 2011

AZZ004>008-015-037-038-041400-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.111104T1500Z-111105T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDONIA...PAGE...
GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...PRESCOTT...FLAGSTAFF...
COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...SEDONA
1058 PM MST THU NOV 3 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...BECOMING 
  STRONG AND GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
  LOCALLY STRONGER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER
  TERRAIN FEATURES SUCH AS THE SAN FRANCISCO PEAKS.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WILL DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL ALSO INCREASE 
  DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...WITH REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
CONSIDER SECURING LOOSE BELONGINGS ON YOUR PROPERTY. ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$

AZZ012>014-040-041400-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.111104T1700Z-111105T0600Z/
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...DILKON
1058 PM MST THU NOV 3 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM MST
FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM MST FRIDAY.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY MORNING...BECOMING STRONG 
  AND GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WILL DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...DRIVERS MAY ENCOUNTER 
  LOCALIZED AREAS OF BLOWING DUST. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL 
  ALSO INCREASE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...
  WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
CONSIDER SECURING LOOSE BELONGINGS ON YOUR PROPERTY. ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$

AZZ009>011-016>018-039-041400-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.111104T1700Z-111105T0600Z/
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-
WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-BLACK MESA AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHINLE...KAYENTA...WINDOW ROCK...
GANADO...SHOW LOW...PAYSON
1058 PM MST THU NOV 3 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM MST
FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM MST FRIDAY.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY MORNING...BECOMING STRONG 
  AND GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. 
  LOCALLY STRONGER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER 
  TERRAIN FEATURES. 

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WILL DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL ALSO INCREASE 
  DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...WITH REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
CONSIDER SECURING LOOSE BELONGINGS ON YOUR PROPERTY. ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$
281 
WWUS75 KFGZ 041300
NPWFGZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
600 AM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

AZZ004>008-015-037-038-042100-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.111104T1500Z-111105T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDONIA...PAGE...
GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...PRESCOTT...FLAGSTAFF...
COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...SEDONA
600 AM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY THIS MORNING...BECOMING STRONG AND
  GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
  LOCALLY STRONGER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER
  TERRAIN FEATURES INCLUDING THE SAN FRANCISCO PEAKS AND KAIBAB
  PLATEAU.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL ALSO INCREASE
  DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...WITH REDUCED
  VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$

AZZ012>014-040-042100-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.111104T1700Z-111105T0600Z/
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...DILKON
600 AM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING...BECOMING STRONG 
  AND GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...DRIVERS MAY ENCOUNTER LOCALIZED
  AREAS OF BLOWING DUST. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL ALSO INCREASE
  DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS... WITH REDUCED
  VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$

AZZ009>011-016>018-039-042100-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.111104T1700Z-111105T0600Z/
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-
WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-BLACK MESA AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHINLE...KAYENTA...WINDOW ROCK...
GANADO...SHOW LOW...PAYSON
600 AM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING...BECOMING STRONG 
  AND GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. 
  LOCALLY STRONGER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER 
  TERRAIN FEATURES. 

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL ALSO INCREASE
  DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...WITH REDUCED
  VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$
671 
WWUS75 KFGZ 042045
NPWFGZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
145 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

AZZ004>008-015-037-038-050300-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-111105T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDONIA...PAGE...
GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...PRESCOTT...FLAGSTAFF...
COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...SEDONA
145 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND CONDITIONS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS SUSTAINED AT 25 TO 35
  MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE BEING OBSERVED THIS AFTERNOON
  ACROSS WESTERN ARIZONA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 8
  PM THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$

AZZ012>014-040-050315-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-111105T0600Z/
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...DILKON
145 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND CONDITIONS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS SUSTAINED AT 25 TO 40
  MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE BEING OBSERVED IN THE LITTLE
  COLORADO RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. THESE CONDITIONS ARE
  EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS MAY ENCOUNTER AREAS OF BLOWING DUST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$

AZZ009>011-016>018-039-050315-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-111105T0600Z/
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-
WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-BLACK MESA AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHINLE...KAYENTA...WINDOW ROCK...
GANADO...SHOW LOW...PAYSON
145 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND CONDITIONS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS SUSTAINED AT 25 TO 40
  MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE BEING OBSERVED ACROSS NORTHEAST
  ARIZONA THIS AFTERNOON. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
  CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS MAY ENCOUNTER AREAS OF BLOWING DUST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$
636 
WWUS75 KFGZ 050257
NPWFGZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
757 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

AZZ004>008-015-037-038-050400-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-111105T0300Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDONIA...PAGE...
GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...PRESCOTT...FLAGSTAFF...
COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...SEDONA
757 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

THE WIND ADVISORY FOR NORTHWEST ARIZONA WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE
AS WINDS HAVE DECREASED THIS EVENING.

$$

AZZ012>014-040-050600-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-111105T0600Z/
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...DILKON
757 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND CONDITIONS: BREEZY SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
  OF 30 TO 40 MPH THIS EVENING WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
  GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH LATE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
  THE WEST.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS MAY ENCOUNTER AREAS OF BLOWING DUST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$

AZZ009>011-016>018-039-050600-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-111105T0600Z/
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-
WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-BLACK MESA AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHINLE...KAYENTA...WINDOW ROCK...
GANADO...SHOW LOW...PAYSON
757 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

* WIND CONDITIONS: SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 35
  MPH WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH
  LATE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS MAY ENCOUNTER AREAS OF BLOWING DUST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$
935 
WWUS75 KFGZ 050459
NPWFGZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
959 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

AZZ009>011-016>018-039-050600-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-111105T0600Z/
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-
WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-BLACK MESA AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHINLE...KAYENTA...WINDOW ROCK...
GANADO...SHOW LOW...PAYSON
959 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE DECREASED THIS EVENING AND ARE NO LONGER MEETING WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA. ANOTHER PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN AREAS OF THE EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM
AND WHITE MOUNTAINS AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES...HOWEVER WIND
GUSTS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 40 MPH OTHERWISE.

$$

AZZ012>014-040-051200-
/O.EXT.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-111105T1200Z/
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...DILKON
959 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SATURDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SATURDAY. 

* WIND CONDITIONS: BREEZY SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  OF 30 TO 40 MPH THIS EVENING WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH 
  WITH GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH LATE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT 
  APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. 

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH 
  PROFILE VEHICLES. DRIVERS MAY ENCOUNTER AREAS OF BLOWING DUST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$
663 
WWUS75 KFGZ 050642
NPWFGZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1142 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

AZZ012>014-040-051200-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-111105T1200Z/
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...DILKON
1142 PM MST FRI NOV 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SATURDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SATURDAY. 

* WIND CONDITIONS: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
  GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH LATE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
  THE WEST.

* IMPACTS: EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

&&

$$
377 
WWUS75 KFGZ 051142
NPWFGZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
442 AM MST SAT NOV 5 2011

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5AM MST...

AZZ012>014-040-051245-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.WI.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-111105T1200Z/
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...DILKON
442 AM MST SAT NOV 5 2011

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 AM MST THIS MORNING...


WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THIS
MORNING. SOME PEAK WIND GUSTS RECORDED LATE FRIDAY EVENING INTO
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING INCLUDE:

WINSLOW.......51 MPH 
TWO GUNS......56 MPH
ST. JOHNS.....55 MPH


$$

OUTLER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 3, 9:51 AM MST, 5 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 3, 9:51 AM MST, 5 hours 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
951 AM MST THU NOV 3 2011

.SYNOPSIS...BREEZY AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY BEFORE A STRONG AND COLD STORM SYSTEM
MOVES ACROSS THE STATE ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. EXPECT STRONG
SOUTHWEST WINDS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...MOUNTAIN SNOW AND LOWER
ELEVATION RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT...AND MUCH COLDER HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
SATURDAY. COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM TO AFFECT NORTHERN ARIZONA
COMING IN LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLY MILD
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO AFFECT THE NORTHLAND FOR TOMORROW AND SATURDAY STILL
LOOKS TO BRING IN A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE WEATHER...WITH VERY
STRONG WINDS...APPRECIABLE PRECIPITATION...AND COLDER DAYTIME TEMPS.
WILL EVALUATE LATEST MODEL RUNS AND CONSIDER THE NEED FOR HEADLINE
PRODUCTS WITH THIS AFTERNOON'S FORECAST PACKAGE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /240 AM MST/...ONE LAST DAY OF FAIR WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TODAY BEFORE BIG CHANGES MAKE THEIR WAY TO ARIZONA.  IN THE
MEANTIME...EXPECT A NICE REBOUND IN TEMPERATURES FROM WHAT WAS
OBSERVED WEDNESDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS AFTERNOON. STRENGTHENING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF INCOMING PACIFIC TROUGH WILL LEAD TO
BREEZY CONDITIONS IN THE AFTERNOON BUT OTHERWISE FAIR CONDITIONS.

BY FRIDAY...ATTENTION SHIFTS TO THE MUCH ANTICIPATED PACIFIC TROUGH
AND COLD FRONT WHICH WILL ARRIVE IN ARIZONA FRIDAY NIGHT. STRONG
WINDS...WIDESPREAD RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW...AND A SIGNIFICANT DROP
IN TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM.  WINDS WILL INCREASE
BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA. LOCALLY STRONGER WINDS OF UP TO 60
MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HOUSE ROCK AREA...DOWNWIND OF THE SAN
FRANCISCO PEAKS...AND IN THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.  AREAS OF
BLOWING DUST ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

FORECAST MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING TOWARDS A SLOWER PROGRESSION OF
THE COLD FRONT WITH THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION ARRIVING AFTER
DARK. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT WITH THIS
SYSTEM AND MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS ABOVE 7000 FEET ARE LIKELY TO RECEIVE
THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON...WITH MEASURABLE SNOW
POSSIBLE AS LOW AS 6000 FEET.  THE COLD FRONT WILL MARCH FROM WEST
TO EAST OVERNIGHT WITH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION SHIFTING INTO NEW
MEXICO BY SATURDAY MORNING.

FOR SATURDAY...BRISK SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ARE
ANTICIPATED AS WELL A SHARP DROP IN HIGH TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA WILL RUN 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AS THE
COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON SO FAR FILTERS INTO THE STATE.

BRIEF SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL LEAD TO DRY AND COLD CONDITIONS
OVERNIGHT SATURDAY BEFORE A SECOND TROUGH DIVES SOUTHWARDS TOWARDS
THE STATE.  GFS AND ECMWF HAVE BEEN TRENDING WETTER WITH THIS STORM
AND APPEAR TO BE VERY GOOD AGREEMENT SO I ADJUSTED PRECIPITATION
CHANCES UPWARDS FOR THE SUNDAY AND MONDAY TIME FRAME. THIS SYSTEM IS
QUITE COOL SO MOUNTAIN SNOW WILL ONCE AGAIN BE A CONCERN.

BEYOND MONDAY...LATEST INDICATIONS ARE FOR A RETURN TO RIDGING
CONDITIONS BUT MODEL VARIABILITY REMAINS HIGH FOR THIS PERIOD SO
CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN ANY ONE SOLUTION.  FOR NOW THE FORECAST REMAINS
DRY WITH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY WARMING TO SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE FCST
PERIOD. TIL 02Z SFC WINDS SOUTHWEST 15-25KT GUSTS TO 30KT. AFT 06Z
FRIDAY...10 KFT MSL WINDS BECOMING SW 45-55 KT CREATING LLWS AND
CHOP AROUND HIGHER TERRAIN. AFT 12Z FRI...AREAS OF SCT-BKN STRATUS
AOA 11 KFT MST OVER COCONINO COUNTY. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED
FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC.......KD/OUTLER
AVIATION.....DL

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 3, 6:45 AM MST, 8 hours 22 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
645 AM MST THU NOV 3 2011

AZZ004>018-037>040-040700-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
600 AM MST THU NOV 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO WEATHER HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BRING
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS TO NORTHERN ARIZONA ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

ON FRIDAY...WINDS WILL INCREASE BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY AT 25 TO 35
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA. LOCALLY
STRONGER WINDS OF UP TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HOUSE ROCK AREA...
DOWNWIND OF THE SAN FRANCISCO PEAKS...AND IN THE LITTLE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY.  AREAS OF BLOWING DUST ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE LITTLE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA LATE FRIDAY AND
EARLY SATURDAY BRINGING AREAS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TO THE
REGION. SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL FROM 9000 FEET ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO
BELOW 5500 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ABOVE 7000 FEET...WITH UP TO ONE INCH ABOVE 6000
FEET.

PRECIPITATION WILL END DURING THE DAY SATURDAY BUT VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ANOTHER STORM
SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW BACK TO THE AREA ON
MONDAY.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 3, 3:27 PM MSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo, Yavapai41 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Arizona, 2011Every wind advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.